History
Every team, every week, since 2004. Pick a rating, hover a line to read it, and click one to pin it.
Every Team, Every Week
Leave the team list empty to show all 32, or hold Cmd or Ctrl to pick a few.
League Scoring
Best and Worst
LOWFI/1 NET
| BEST | WORST | |
|---|---|---|
| End of season |  NE 2007 (+12.85) |
 LA 2009 (−9.66) |
| Season average | NE 2007 (+11.16) |
LA 2009 (−7.98) |
| Single week | NE 2007, week 11 (+13.41) |
LA 2009, week 16 (−9.66) |
LOWFI/1 OFFENSE
| BEST | WORST | |
|---|---|---|
| End of season | NE 2007 (+9.51) |
LA 2011 (−6.97) |
| Season average |  DEN 2013 (+8.89) |
LA 2009 (−5.81) |
| Single week | DEN 2013, week 8 (+10.63) |
 BUF 2018, week 9 (−7.12) |
LOWFI/1 DEFENSE
| BEST | WORST | |
|---|---|---|
| End of season |  SEA 2013 (+4.37) |
 DET 2008 (−5.32) |
| Season average | NE 2019 (+3.12) |
 SF 2005 (−3.59) |
| Single week | SEA 2013, week 15 (+4.44) |
DET 2008, week 16 (−5.32) |
LOWFI/0 TRUE STRENGTH
| BEST | WORST | |
|---|---|---|
| End of season | NE 2007 (84.7%) |
 CLE 2017 (13.5%) |
| Season average | NE 2007 (75.5%) |
CLE 2017 (21.5%) |
| Single week | NE 2007, week 17 (84.7%) |
CLE 2017, week 17 (13.5%) |
Take the Data
The full database - 12,960 rows, one per team per week since 2004 - lives in the LOWFI data repo, with a data dictionary and the retrodiction caveat attached to it.
Notes
Retrodiction, not a track record
Most of this page is retrodiction, not a track record. LOWFI didn't exist in 2011. Every completed season here is today's model read backwards over a season that's already been played, revealed to it a week at a time - so it answers "how does LOWFI read 2011," not "what did LOWFI say during 2011." For 2023 through 2025 it's reading its own training data.
The shaded stretch at the right is 2026, and that part is live: every point is what that Tuesday's run produced, before the games.
League scoring
Average points per team per game, straight from the schedule. No model here - just what happened, for context behind the ratings above.
Best and worst
Each rating gets three readings. End of season and season average use completed seasons only - where a team finished, and how it looked across the whole year, which can be very different for a team that collapsed in December. Single week is the highest and lowest weekly estimate anywhere in the database, live weeks included.