Scoreboard

Every game LOWFI has an opinion about, scored the way FiveThirtyEight scored its old NFL forecasting game.

2026 so far, live

LOWFI/1

−13.1

−0.40 per game · 33 games

LOWFI/0

−4.6

−0.14 per game · 33 games

Market

+51.5

+1.56 per game · 33 games

Season by Season

Open a season to see its weeks, and a week to see its games.

SEASONGAMESLOWFI/1LOWFI/0MARKETLOWFI/1 / GAMELOWFI/0 / GAMEMARKET / GAME

2026LIVE33−13.1−4.6+51.5−0.40−0.14+1.56

Week 116+36.3+2.1+50.9+2.27+0.13+3.18

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NE @ SEA	SEA by 3	63%	57%	62%	+11.1	+6.5	+10.3
SF @ LA	SF by 20	63%	57%	64%	−15.3	−7.5	−16.6
ARI @ LAC	ARI by 12	75%	71%	81%	−31.5	−25.2	−40.9
ATL @ PIT	PIT by 7	61%	61%	61%	+10.1	+9.5	+9.7
BAL @ IND	BAL by 18	47%	57%	39%	+2.5	−7.5	+9.7
BUF @ HOU	BUF by 5	53%	57%	48%	−2.7	−7.5	+1.7
CHI @ CAR	CHI by 22	46%	51%	41%	+3.9	−1.1	+8.5
CLE @ JAX	JAX by 24	70%	71%	76%	+15.7	+16.5	+19.2
DAL @ NYG	NYG by 8	50%	50%	43%	+0.4	+0.4	−7.7
GB @ MIN	MIN by 17	48%	56%	52%	−1.9	+5.9	+1.7
MIA @ LV	LV by 14	57%	50%	64%	+6.5	−0.4	+11.8
NO @ DET	DET by 1	72%	62%	73%	+17.2	+10.6	+17.5
NYJ @ TEN	NYJ by 13	61%	57%	54%	−12.6	−7.5	−4.5
TB @ CIN	CIN by 6	59%	53%	63%	+8.4	+3.2	+11.4
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 2	68%	68%	64%	+14.9	+14.5	+12.4
DEN @ KC	KC by 21	61%	42%	57%	+9.5	−8.3	+6.7

Week 216−22.7+11.9+26.5−1.42+0.74+1.66

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DET @ BUF	BUF by 10	60%	63%	66%	+9.3	+10.9	+13.3
CAR @ ATL	CAR by 31	58%	57%	47%	−8.9	−7.2	+3.1
CIN @ HOU	CIN by 14	57%	60%	57%	−7.2	−11.4	−7.7
CLE @ TB	CLE by 4	69%	61%	77%	−23.1	−12.3	−34.5
GB @ NYJ	GB by 3	47%	53%	36%	+2.8	−3.1	+12.4
IND @ KC	KC by 3	71%	61%	72%	+16.4	+9.9	+17.3
JAX @ DEN	DEN by 7	46%	52%	55%	−4.6	+1.5	+4.9
LV @ LAC	LV by 12	63%	63%	73%	−15.0	−14.1	−27.7
MIA @ SF	SF by 22	81%	73%	87%	+21.2	+17.5	+23.3
MIN @ CHI	MIN by 6	75%	60%	68%	−31.2	−10.6	−20.6
NO @ BAL	NO by 7	73%	67%	77%	−28.5	−19.4	−34.5
PHI @ TEN	PHI by 4	38%	35%	28%	+10.3	+12.4	+17.3
PIT @ NE	NE by 17	63%	57%	67%	+10.9	+6.3	+14.0
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 24	42%	37%	34%	+7.4	+11.4	+13.7
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 17	57%	60%	66%	+6.9	+8.7	+13.7
NYG @ LA	LA by 22	62%	63%	75%	+10.4	+11.5	+18.6

Week 31−26.7−18.5−25.9−26.71−18.54−25.92

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ GB	ATL by 21	72%	66%	71%	−26.7	−18.5	−25.9

2025RETRODICTION272+834.7+740.9+1023.9+3.07+2.72+3.76

Week 116+99.5+61.6+108.7+6.22+3.85+6.79

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 4	72%	69%	74%	+17.1	+15.6	+18.1
KC @ LAC	LAC by 6	50%	49%	41%	+0.0	−0.7	−9.6
ARI @ NO	ARI by 7	41%	51%	33%	+8.0	−0.8	+14.3
BAL @ BUF	BUF by 1	59%	59%	46%	+8.1	+8.1	−4.6
CAR @ JAX	JAX by 16	59%	55%	63%	+8.1	+4.3	+11.5
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 1	38%	46%	34%	+10.3	+4.2	+13.4
DET @ GB	GB by 14	58%	49%	55%	+7.5	−0.7	+4.3
HOU @ LA	LA by 5	60%	57%	60%	+9.3	+6.3	+9.3
LV @ NE	LV by 7	61%	57%	57%	−12.3	−7.2	−8.0
MIA @ IND	IND by 25	56%	57%	55%	+5.6	+6.3	+4.3
NYG @ WAS	WAS by 15	71%	73%	67%	+16.4	+17.5	+14.3
PIT @ NYJ	PIT by 2	46%	47%	41%	+3.5	+2.8	+8.0
SF @ SEA	SF by 4	49%	64%	43%	+0.7	−15.8	+6.8
TB @ ATL	TB by 3	49%	53%	46%	+1.4	−3.1	+4.2
TEN @ DEN	DEN by 8	71%	69%	74%	+16.4	+15.6	+18.1
MIN @ CHI	MIN by 3	51%	40%	46%	−0.8	+9.2	+4.2

Week 216+82.2+55.9+87.9+5.13+3.50+5.50

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
WAS @ GB	GB by 9	63%	56%	60%	+11.5	+5.6	+9.3
ATL @ MIN	ATL by 16	63%	73%	60%	−15.0	−28.5	−11.4
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 20	33%	35%	33%	+14.3	+12.4	+14.3
CAR @ ARI	ARI by 5	65%	69%	70%	+12.5	+15.6	+16.0
CHI @ DET	DET by 31	63%	72%	67%	+11.5	+17.1	+14.3
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 24	81%	72%	83%	+21.2	+17.1	+21.9
DEN @ IND	IND by 1	55%	54%	43%	+4.3	+3.6	−7.9
JAX @ CIN	CIN by 4	58%	65%	60%	+7.5	+12.5	+9.3
LA @ TEN	LA by 14	43%	37%	34%	+6.8	+11.4	+13.4
NE @ MIA	NE by 6	47%	64%	55%	+2.8	−15.8	−4.7
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 3	65%	64%	63%	+13.0	+12.0	+11.5
PHI @ KC	PHI by 3	57%	52%	46%	−7.2	−1.6	+4.2
SEA @ PIT	SEA by 14	63%	64%	60%	−14.1	−15.8	−11.4
SF @ NO	SF by 5	36%	48%	41%	+11.9	+2.1	+8.0
LAC @ LV	LAC by 11	46%	43%	40%	+4.2	+6.8	+9.2
TB @ HOU	TB by 1	53%	49%	57%	−3.1	+1.4	−8.0

Week 316+77.7+104.4+59.2+4.86+6.53+3.70

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 10	83%	78%	83%	+22.3	+20.1	+21.9
ARI @ SF	SF by 1	61%	55%	55%	+9.9	+4.3	+4.3
ATL @ CAR	CAR by 30	48%	43%	34%	−2.2	−7.9	−18.4
CIN @ MIN	MIN by 38	50%	57%	59%	+0.0	+6.9	+8.1
DAL @ CHI	CHI by 17	52%	49%	46%	+2.2	−1.5	−4.6
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 3	61%	65%	57%	+9.9	+13.0	+6.9
GB @ CLE	CLE by 3	31%	30%	26%	−23.0	−23.9	−29.3
HOU @ JAX	JAX by 7	57%	55%	55%	+6.3	+4.3	+4.3
IND @ TEN	IND by 21	42%	35%	33%	+7.4	+12.9	+14.3
KC @ NYG	KC by 13	39%	36%	33%	+9.8	+11.9	+14.3
LA @ PHI	PHI by 7	59%	65%	60%	+8.1	+13.0	+9.3
LV @ WAS	WAS by 17	67%	69%	57%	+13.9	+15.6	+6.9
NO @ SEA	SEA by 31	71%	71%	71%	+16.7	+16.4	+16.7
NYJ @ TB	TB by 2	72%	77%	69%	+17.1	+19.6	+15.2
PIT @ NE	PIT by 7	54%	48%	46%	−3.9	+2.1	+4.2
DET @ BAL	DET by 8	65%	52%	63%	−16.7	−2.3	−15.0

Week 416+34.1+25.2+74.6+2.13+1.58+4.66

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 3	50%	53%	46%	−0.0	−3.1	+4.2
BAL @ KC	KC by 17	43%	61%	43%	−7.1	+9.9	−7.9
CAR @ NE	NE by 29	52%	54%	66%	+2.2	+3.6	+13.4
CHI @ LV	CHI by 1	52%	54%	55%	−1.6	−3.9	−4.7
CLE @ DET	DET by 24	81%	77%	77%	+21.4	+19.8	+19.8
GB @ DAL	tie	41%	42%	30%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
IND @ LA	LA by 7	56%	55%	60%	+5.6	+4.3	+9.3
JAX @ SF	JAX by 5	60%	65%	60%	−11.4	−17.6	−11.4
LAC @ NYG	NYG by 3	35%	26%	33%	−17.5	−30.2	−20.2
MIN @ PIT	PIT by 3	50%	49%	43%	+0.0	−0.7	−7.9
NO @ BUF	BUF by 12	87%	82%	88%	+23.4	+21.8	+23.5
PHI @ TB	PHI by 6	50%	49%	40%	−0.0	+1.4	+9.2
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 26	67%	67%	71%	+14.3	+13.9	+16.7
WAS @ ATL	ATL by 7	40%	45%	57%	−10.5	−5.4	+6.9
CIN @ DEN	DEN by 25	63%	52%	71%	+10.9	+2.2	+16.7
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 6	55%	60%	57%	+4.3	+9.3	+6.9

Week 514−76.2−99.7−75.9−5.44−7.12−5.42

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SF @ LA	SF by 3	62%	63%	74%	−13.2	−15.0	−29.4
DAL @ NYJ	DAL by 15	49%	45%	55%	+1.4	+4.9	−4.7
DEN @ PHI	DEN by 4	62%	75%	60%	−13.2	−31.2	−11.4
DET @ CIN	DET by 13	29%	42%	22%	+16.7	+7.4	+20.3
HOU @ BAL	HOU by 34	71%	62%	43%	−25.8	−13.2	+6.8
LV @ IND	IND by 34	71%	74%	70%	+16.4	+18.1	+16.0
MIA @ CAR	CAR by 3	60%	53%	46%	+9.3	+2.9	−4.6
MIN @ CLE	MIN by 4	32%	37%	40%	+14.7	+11.4	+9.2
NE @ BUF	NE by 3	73%	79%	71%	−28.5	−37.3	−25.8
NYG @ NO	NO by 12	49%	55%	55%	−1.5	+4.3	+4.3
TB @ SEA	TB by 3	63%	56%	60%	−15.0	−6.3	−11.4
TEN @ ARI	TEN by 1	75%	75%	71%	−31.2	−31.2	−25.8
WAS @ LAC	WAS by 17	57%	61%	57%	−7.2	−12.3	−8.0
KC @ JAX	JAX by 3	51%	48%	40%	+0.8	−2.2	−11.3

Week 615+25.3+22.8+71.8+1.69+1.52+4.79

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PHI @ NYG	NYG by 17	31%	23%	30%	−22.1	−34.6	−23.9
ARI @ IND	IND by 4	70%	68%	74%	+16.0	+14.8	+18.1
CIN @ GB	GB by 9	74%	66%	85%	+18.1	+13.4	+22.8
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 14	74%	76%	66%	+18.1	+19.0	+13.4
DAL @ CAR	CAR by 3	54%	53%	41%	+3.6	+2.9	−9.6
DEN @ NYJ	DEN by 2	35%	29%	29%	+12.4	+16.7	+16.7
DET @ KC	KC by 13	46%	45%	57%	−3.8	−5.4	+6.9
LAC @ MIA	LAC by 2	44%	40%	40%	+5.5	+9.2	+9.2
LA @ BAL	LA by 14	57%	47%	30%	−8.0	+2.8	+15.9
NE @ NO	NE by 6	35%	48%	40%	+12.4	+2.1	+9.2
SEA @ JAX	SEA by 8	52%	55%	46%	−2.3	−5.5	+4.2
SF @ TB	TB by 11	57%	63%	60%	+6.9	+10.9	+9.3
TEN @ LV	LV by 10	59%	56%	60%	+8.1	+5.6	+9.3
BUF @ ATL	ATL by 10	35%	43%	40%	−17.5	−7.1	−11.3
CHI @ WAS	CHI by 1	69%	69%	66%	−22.2	−22.2	−18.5

Week 715+84.4+94.3+103.5+5.62+6.29+6.90

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PIT @ CIN	CIN by 2	40%	43%	34%	−11.3	−7.1	−18.4
ATL @ SF	SF by 10	61%	57%	55%	+9.9	+6.3	+4.3
CAR @ NYJ	CAR by 7	44%	38%	55%	+5.5	+10.3	−4.7
GB @ ARI	GB by 4	48%	38%	30%	+2.1	+10.3	+15.9
IND @ LAC	IND by 14	44%	56%	57%	+5.5	−6.3	−8.0
LA @ JAX	LA by 28	51%	50%	41%	−0.8	−0.0	+8.0
LV @ KC	KC by 31	79%	77%	84%	+20.6	+19.8	+22.6
MIA @ CLE	CLE by 25	48%	54%	57%	−2.2	+3.6	+6.9
NE @ TEN	NE by 18	31%	38%	31%	+15.1	+10.3	+15.1
NO @ CHI	CHI by 12	68%	69%	63%	+14.8	+15.6	+11.5
NYG @ DEN	DEN by 1	72%	75%	71%	+17.1	+18.7	+16.7
PHI @ MIN	PHI by 6	59%	52%	43%	−9.7	−1.6	+6.8
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 22	47%	46%	55%	−3.0	−4.6	+4.3
HOU @ SEA	SEA by 8	57%	67%	59%	+6.9	+13.9	+8.1
TB @ DET	DET by 15	67%	55%	67%	+13.9	+5.0	+14.3

Week 813+89.0+45.0+99.9+6.85+3.46+7.68

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIN @ LAC	LAC by 27	51%	54%	59%	+0.8	+3.6	+8.1
BUF @ CAR	BUF by 31	43%	44%	30%	+6.2	+5.5	+15.9
CHI @ BAL	BAL by 14	58%	49%	57%	+7.5	−0.7	+6.9
CLE @ NE	NE by 19	75%	70%	70%	+18.7	+16.0	+16.0
DAL @ DEN	DEN by 20	60%	71%	60%	+8.7	+16.7	+9.3
GB @ PIT	GB by 10	52%	50%	41%	−1.6	−0.0	+8.0
MIA @ ATL	MIA by 24	67%	73%	70%	−19.4	−28.5	−24.0
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 18	69%	82%	70%	+15.2	+21.8	+16.0
NYJ @ CIN	NYJ by 1	60%	79%	66%	−11.4	−38.2	−18.5
SF @ HOU	HOU by 11	64%	46%	57%	+12.0	−4.6	+6.9
TB @ NO	TB by 20	35%	29%	37%	+12.9	+16.3	+11.4
TEN @ IND	IND by 24	88%	83%	88%	+23.5	+22.3	+23.5
WAS @ KC	KC by 21	70%	68%	78%	+16.0	+14.8	+20.3

Week 914+2.5+15.2−10.2+0.18+1.09−0.73

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ MIA	BAL by 22	43%	47%	29%	+6.8	+2.8	+16.7
ATL @ NE	NE by 1	76%	62%	66%	+19.0	+10.4	+13.4
CAR @ GB	CAR by 3	73%	75%	83%	−27.6	−31.2	−43.1
CHI @ CIN	CHI by 5	50%	55%	41%	−0.0	−4.7	+8.0
DEN @ HOU	DEN by 3	60%	43%	55%	−10.6	+6.2	−4.7
IND @ PIT	PIT by 7	39%	48%	40%	−12.2	−2.2	−11.3
JAX @ LV	JAX by 1	40%	42%	43%	+9.2	+7.4	+6.8
KC @ BUF	BUF by 7	58%	55%	43%	+7.5	+4.3	−7.9
LAC @ TEN	LAC by 7	28%	28%	23%	+17.1	+17.1	+19.8
MIN @ DET	MIN by 3	76%	67%	76%	−32.1	−20.4	−33.0
NO @ LA	LA by 24	86%	82%	85%	+22.9	+21.6	+22.8
SEA @ WAS	SEA by 24	43%	44%	43%	+6.2	+5.5	+6.8
SF @ NYG	SF by 10	46%	39%	43%	+4.2	+9.8	+6.8
ARI @ DAL	ARI by 10	57%	60%	60%	−8.0	−11.4	−11.4

Week 1014+45.2+6.3+43.1+3.23+0.45+3.08

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LV @ DEN	DEN by 3	81%	83%	76%	+21.4	+22.1	+19.3
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 22	73%	74%	70%	+17.5	+18.4	+16.0
ATL @ IND	IND by 6	81%	69%	69%	+21.2	+15.6	+15.2
BAL @ MIN	BAL by 8	52%	65%	37%	−2.3	−17.6	+11.4
BUF @ MIA	MIA by 17	25%	29%	26%	−32.0	−25.7	−29.3
CLE @ NYJ	NYJ by 7	56%	50%	46%	+5.6	+0.0	−4.6
DET @ WAS	DET by 22	35%	40%	26%	+12.9	+9.2	+18.1
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 7	69%	52%	46%	+15.6	+2.2	−4.6
LA @ SF	LA by 16	43%	49%	34%	+6.2	+1.4	+13.4
NE @ TB	NE by 5	52%	65%	57%	−2.3	−16.7	−8.0
NO @ CAR	NO by 10	73%	73%	66%	−28.5	−27.6	−18.5
NYG @ CHI	CHI by 4	64%	71%	63%	+12.0	+16.7	+11.5
PIT @ LAC	LAC by 15	57%	58%	59%	+6.9	+7.5	+8.1
PHI @ GB	PHI by 3	58%	49%	55%	−8.9	+0.7	−4.7

Week 1115+87.9+97.8+91.2+5.86+6.52+6.08

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ NE	NE by 13	78%	79%	83%	+20.1	+20.8	+21.9
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 7	36%	37%	29%	+11.9	+11.4	+16.7
CAR @ ATL	CAR by 3	53%	57%	63%	−3.1	−7.2	−15.0
CHI @ MIN	CHI by 2	57%	60%	59%	−8.0	−11.4	−9.7
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 22	67%	67%	66%	+13.9	+13.9	+13.4
DET @ PHI	PHI by 7	45%	63%	57%	−5.4	+10.9	+6.9
GB @ NYG	GB by 7	38%	30%	29%	+10.3	+15.9	+16.7
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 3	22%	33%	34%	+20.3	+13.8	+13.4
KC @ DEN	DEN by 3	50%	61%	40%	+0.0	+9.9	−11.3
LAC @ JAX	JAX by 29	48%	45%	41%	−2.2	−5.4	−9.6
SEA @ LA	LA by 2	58%	58%	59%	+7.5	+7.5	+8.1
SF @ ARI	SF by 19	54%	45%	40%	−3.9	+4.9	+9.2
TB @ BUF	BUF by 12	67%	57%	67%	+14.3	+6.3	+14.3
WAS @ MIA	MIA by 3	53%	53%	57%	+2.9	+2.9	+6.9
DAL @ LV	DAL by 17	40%	46%	40%	+9.2	+3.5	+9.2

Week 1214+139.2+87.3+114.0+9.94+6.24+8.14

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ HOU	HOU by 4	53%	46%	34%	+2.9	−4.6	−18.4
ATL @ NO	ATL by 14	43%	49%	55%	+6.8	+0.7	−4.7
CLE @ LV	CLE by 14	50%	56%	59%	−0.0	−6.3	−9.7
IND @ KC	KC by 3	55%	55%	60%	+5.0	+4.3	+9.3
JAX @ ARI	JAX by 3	49%	45%	43%	+1.4	+4.9	+6.8
MIN @ GB	GB by 17	66%	64%	69%	+13.4	+12.0	+15.2
NE @ CIN	NE by 6	29%	39%	29%	+16.3	+9.8	+16.7
NYG @ DET	DET by 7	82%	83%	85%	+21.6	+22.3	+22.8
NYJ @ BAL	BAL by 13	74%	77%	85%	+18.1	+19.6	+22.8
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 3	49%	29%	41%	−0.7	−25.7	−9.6
PIT @ CHI	CHI by 3	50%	55%	59%	+0.0	+4.3	+8.1
SEA @ TEN	SEA by 6	16%	23%	18%	+22.4	+19.8	+21.9
TB @ LA	LA by 27	74%	67%	70%	+18.4	+13.9	+16.0
CAR @ SF	SF by 11	66%	65%	71%	+13.4	+12.5	+16.7

Week 1316+4.5+29.7+12.3+0.28+1.86+0.77

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CIN @ BAL	CIN by 18	75%	69%	70%	−31.2	−23.1	−24.0
GB @ DET	GB by 7	66%	58%	57%	−18.5	−8.9	−8.0
KC @ DAL	DAL by 3	43%	43%	40%	−7.9	−7.9	−11.3
CHI @ PHI	CHI by 9	65%	69%	70%	−16.7	−23.1	−24.0
ARI @ TB	TB by 3	59%	73%	63%	+8.1	+17.8	+11.5
ATL @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	47%	43%	41%	−3.0	−7.9	−9.6
BUF @ PIT	BUF by 19	47%	51%	41%	+2.8	−0.8	+8.0
DEN @ WAS	DEN by 1	37%	32%	31%	+11.4	+14.7	+15.1
HOU @ IND	HOU by 4	65%	61%	59%	−16.7	−12.3	−9.7
JAX @ TEN	JAX by 22	28%	28%	33%	+17.4	+17.1	+14.3
LA @ CAR	CAR by 3	28%	32%	23%	−26.6	−21.1	−34.6
LV @ LAC	LAC by 17	77%	83%	77%	+19.6	+22.1	+19.8
MIN @ SEA	SEA by 26	79%	67%	83%	+20.8	+13.9	+21.9
NO @ MIA	MIA by 4	68%	66%	66%	+14.8	+13.4	+13.4
SF @ CLE	SF by 18	39%	34%	34%	+9.8	+13.4	+13.4
NYG @ NE	NE by 18	79%	84%	70%	+20.6	+22.4	+16.0

Week 1414+39.9+43.3+7.6+2.85+3.10+0.54

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ DET	DET by 14	70%	68%	60%	+16.0	+14.8	+9.3
CHI @ GB	GB by 7	67%	63%	69%	+14.3	+11.5	+15.2
CIN @ BUF	BUF by 5	81%	72%	67%	+21.4	+17.1	+14.3
DEN @ LV	DEN by 7	25%	19%	26%	+19.0	+21.6	+18.1
HOU @ KC	HOU by 10	61%	57%	63%	−12.3	−8.0	−15.0
IND @ JAX	JAX by 17	48%	54%	43%	−2.2	+3.6	−7.9
LA @ ARI	LA by 28	29%	28%	24%	+16.3	+17.1	+19.3
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 24	51%	47%	43%	−0.8	+2.8	+6.8
NO @ TB	NO by 4	75%	80%	71%	−31.2	−39.0	−25.8
PIT @ BAL	PIT by 5	57%	56%	66%	−8.0	−6.3	−18.5
SEA @ ATL	SEA by 28	28%	35%	30%	+17.4	+12.4	+15.9
TEN @ CLE	TEN by 2	68%	65%	63%	−21.3	−17.6	−15.0
WAS @ MIN	MIN by 31	56%	66%	46%	+5.6	+13.4	−4.6
PHI @ LAC	LAC by 3	56%	50%	46%	+5.6	+0.0	−4.6

Week 1516+83.1+110.2+83.3+5.19+6.89+5.21

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ TB	ATL by 1	64%	69%	67%	−15.8	−23.1	−20.4
ARI @ HOU	HOU by 20	78%	79%	78%	+20.1	+20.6	+20.3
BAL @ CIN	BAL by 24	43%	50%	43%	+6.2	−0.0	+6.8
BUF @ NE	BUF by 4	58%	57%	43%	−8.9	−8.0	+6.8
CAR @ NO	NO by 3	39%	43%	43%	−12.2	−7.9	−7.9
CLE @ CHI	CHI by 28	69%	81%	71%	+15.6	+21.4	+16.7
DET @ LA	LA by 7	68%	60%	66%	+14.8	+9.3	+13.4
GB @ DEN	DEN by 8	57%	58%	46%	+6.3	+7.5	−4.6
IND @ SEA	SEA by 2	71%	67%	84%	+16.4	+14.3	+22.6
LAC @ KC	LAC by 3	66%	51%	66%	−18.5	−0.8	−18.5
LV @ PHI	PHI by 31	80%	87%	83%	+21.0	+23.4	+21.9
MIN @ DAL	MIN by 8	61%	54%	66%	−12.3	−3.9	−18.5
NYJ @ JAX	JAX by 28	81%	78%	84%	+21.2	+20.1	+22.6
TEN @ SF	SF by 13	85%	83%	83%	+22.7	+22.3	+21.9
WAS @ NYG	WAS by 8	56%	48%	57%	−6.3	+2.1	−8.0
MIA @ PIT	PIT by 13	65%	65%	59%	+13.0	+13.0	+8.1

Week 1616−12.0+29.9+43.1−0.75+1.87+2.69

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LA @ SEA	SEA by 1	57%	55%	55%	+6.9	+4.3	+4.3
GB @ CHI	CHI by 6	51%	49%	55%	+0.8	−0.7	+4.3
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 11	35%	33%	30%	+12.9	+14.3	+15.9
ATL @ ARI	ATL by 7	54%	47%	43%	−3.9	+2.8	+6.8
BUF @ CLE	BUF by 3	25%	22%	22%	+19.0	+20.3	+20.3
CIN @ MIA	CIN by 24	63%	59%	40%	−14.1	−9.7	+9.2
JAX @ DEN	JAX by 14	55%	69%	60%	−5.5	−23.1	−11.4
KC @ TEN	TEN by 17	21%	28%	40%	−37.2	−26.6	−11.3
LAC @ DAL	LAC by 17	52%	39%	55%	−1.6	+9.8	−4.7
LV @ HOU	HOU by 2	89%	87%	86%	+23.9	+23.3	+23.1
MIN @ NYG	MIN by 3	43%	31%	43%	+6.2	+15.5	+6.8
NE @ BAL	NE by 4	46%	46%	60%	+3.5	+3.5	−11.4
NYJ @ NO	NO by 23	56%	63%	69%	+5.6	+10.9	+15.2
PIT @ DET	PIT by 5	68%	63%	71%	−21.3	−14.1	−25.8
TB @ CAR	CAR by 3	55%	50%	41%	+5.0	+0.0	−9.6
SF @ IND	SF by 21	61%	51%	37%	−12.3	−0.8	+11.4

Week 1716−27.6−20.3+19.2−1.73−1.27+1.20

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 7	43%	50%	26%	+6.2	−0.0	+18.1
DEN @ KC	DEN by 7	57%	40%	16%	−7.2	+9.2	+22.5
DET @ MIN	MIN by 13	40%	52%	30%	−10.5	+2.2	−23.9
BAL @ GB	BAL by 17	62%	69%	57%	−13.2	−23.1	−8.0
HOU @ LAC	HOU by 4	49%	60%	55%	+0.7	−10.6	−4.7
ARI @ CIN	CIN by 23	57%	67%	70%	+6.9	+13.9	+16.0
CHI @ SF	SF by 4	65%	57%	60%	+13.0	+6.9	+9.3
JAX @ IND	JAX by 6	52%	47%	40%	−1.6	+2.8	+9.2
NE @ NYJ	NE by 32	19%	24%	18%	+21.6	+19.3	+21.9
NO @ TEN	NO by 8	48%	46%	46%	+2.1	+4.2	+4.2
NYG @ LV	NYG by 24	43%	54%	41%	+6.2	−3.9	+8.0
PHI @ BUF	PHI by 1	65%	57%	59%	−16.7	−7.2	−9.7
PIT @ CLE	CLE by 7	35%	27%	37%	−17.5	−28.4	−14.8
SEA @ CAR	SEA by 17	30%	35%	31%	+15.9	+12.4	+15.1
TB @ MIA	MIA by 3	49%	49%	34%	−0.7	−1.5	−18.4
LA @ ATL	ATL by 3	24%	35%	29%	−32.9	−16.6	−25.7

Week 1816+56.1+31.7+90.6+3.50+1.98+5.66

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ TB	TB by 2	57%	57%	59%	+6.3	+6.9	+8.1
SEA @ SF	SEA by 10	46%	48%	43%	+4.2	+2.1	+6.8
ARI @ LA	LA by 17	89%	84%	86%	+23.7	+22.4	+23.1
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 2	55%	60%	37%	+4.3	+8.7	−14.8
CLE @ CIN	CLE by 2	63%	70%	76%	−14.1	−24.0	−33.0
DAL @ NYG	NYG by 17	46%	38%	41%	−3.8	−13.1	−9.6
DET @ CHI	DET by 3	49%	57%	60%	+0.7	−8.0	−11.4
GB @ MIN	MIN by 13	51%	53%	83%	+0.8	+2.9	+21.9
IND @ HOU	HOU by 8	65%	71%	76%	+13.0	+16.7	+19.3
KC @ LV	LV by 2	24%	29%	40%	−32.9	−25.7	−11.3
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 16	61%	62%	86%	+9.9	+10.4	+23.1
MIA @ NE	NE by 28	83%	75%	85%	+22.1	+18.7	+22.8
NO @ ATL	ATL by 2	63%	63%	63%	+10.9	+11.5	+11.5
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 27	89%	86%	83%	+23.8	+22.9	+21.9
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 34	88%	86%	83%	+23.6	+22.9	+21.9
WAS @ PHI	WAS by 7	78%	83%	59%	−36.5	−43.9	−9.7

2024RETRODICTION272+1047.9+952.7+1280.2+3.85+3.50+4.71

Week 116+79.2+70.7+75.5+4.95+4.42+4.72

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ KC	KC by 7	60%	53%	59%	+8.7	+2.9	+8.1
GB @ PHI	PHI by 5	63%	60%	56%	+10.9	+9.3	+5.6
ARI @ BUF	BUF by 6	68%	69%	69%	+14.8	+15.6	+15.2
CAR @ NO	NO by 37	62%	69%	60%	+10.4	+15.6	+9.3
DAL @ CLE	DAL by 16	53%	55%	57%	−3.1	−4.7	−8.0
DEN @ SEA	SEA by 6	63%	58%	69%	+11.5	+7.5	+15.2
HOU @ IND	HOU by 2	51%	55%	41%	−0.8	−4.7	+8.0
JAX @ MIA	MIA by 3	65%	60%	60%	+12.5	+9.3	+9.3
LA @ DET	DET by 6	63%	60%	65%	+11.5	+9.3	+12.5
LV @ LAC	LAC by 12	65%	51%	59%	+12.5	+0.8	+8.1
MIN @ NYG	MIN by 22	52%	55%	47%	−2.3	−4.7	+2.8
NE @ CIN	NE by 6	74%	66%	73%	−30.3	−18.5	−27.6
PIT @ ATL	PIT by 8	63%	51%	62%	−15.0	−0.8	−13.2
TEN @ CHI	CHI by 7	68%	58%	62%	+14.8	+7.5	+10.4
WAS @ TB	TB by 17	61%	66%	62%	+9.9	+13.4	+10.4
NYJ @ SF	SF by 13	66%	65%	60%	+13.4	+13.0	+9.3

Week 216−29.2−46.6−70.2−1.83−2.91−4.39

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 21	57%	57%	57%	−7.2	−8.0	−8.0
CHI @ HOU	HOU by 6	60%	63%	67%	+8.7	+10.9	+14.3
CIN @ KC	KC by 1	69%	68%	69%	+15.2	+14.8	+15.2
CLE @ JAX	CLE by 5	55%	54%	59%	−5.5	−3.9	−9.7
IND @ GB	GB by 6	65%	56%	41%	+12.5	+5.6	−9.6
LAC @ CAR	LAC by 23	35%	43%	35%	+12.9	+6.8	+12.4
LA @ ARI	ARI by 31	50%	46%	47%	+0.0	−3.8	−3.0
LV @ BAL	LV by 3	73%	65%	75%	−28.5	−16.7	−31.2
NO @ DAL	NO by 25	65%	63%	69%	−16.7	−15.0	−22.2
NYG @ WAS	WAS by 3	66%	53%	55%	+13.4	+2.9	+4.3
NYJ @ TEN	NYJ by 7	41%	55%	40%	+8.0	−4.7	+9.2
PIT @ DEN	PIT by 7	46%	46%	41%	+4.2	+4.2	+8.0
SEA @ NE	SEA by 3	48%	49%	40%	+2.1	+1.4	+9.2
SF @ MIN	MIN by 6	40%	48%	37%	−11.3	−2.2	−14.8
TB @ DET	TB by 4	63%	63%	71%	−15.0	−14.1	−25.8
ATL @ PHI	ATL by 1	69%	71%	66%	−22.2	−24.9	−18.5

Week 316−73.9−51.2−62.3−4.62−3.20−3.90

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NE @ NYJ	NYJ by 21	68%	61%	69%	+14.8	+9.9	+15.2
BAL @ DAL	BAL by 3	58%	63%	46%	−8.9	−15.0	+4.2
CAR @ LV	CAR by 14	69%	74%	66%	−22.2	−29.4	−18.5
CHI @ IND	IND by 5	51%	53%	55%	+0.8	+2.9	+4.3
DEN @ TB	DEN by 19	72%	71%	67%	−26.7	−25.8	−20.4
DET @ ARI	DET by 7	55%	44%	41%	−4.7	+5.5	+8.0
GB @ TEN	GB by 16	38%	45%	59%	+10.9	+4.9	−9.7
HOU @ MIN	MIN by 27	53%	52%	44%	+2.9	+2.2	−6.2
KC @ ATL	KC by 5	48%	43%	41%	+2.1	+6.2	+8.0
LAC @ PIT	PIT by 10	54%	64%	59%	+3.6	+12.0	+8.1
MIA @ SEA	SEA by 21	54%	60%	62%	+3.6	+8.7	+10.4
NYG @ CLE	NYG by 6	73%	71%	69%	−27.6	−25.8	−22.2
PHI @ NO	PHI by 3	60%	61%	57%	−11.4	−12.3	−8.0
SF @ LA	LA by 3	39%	46%	33%	−12.2	−3.8	−20.2
JAX @ BUF	BUF by 37	73%	73%	62%	+17.8	+17.5	+10.4
WAS @ CIN	WAS by 5	65%	58%	71%	−16.7	−8.9	−25.8

Week 416+4.0−5.8+34.4+0.25−0.36+2.15

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 5	35%	46%	34%	+12.9	+4.2	+13.4
BUF @ BAL	BAL by 25	42%	48%	57%	−8.7	−2.2	+6.9
CIN @ CAR	CIN by 10	37%	54%	37%	+11.4	−3.9	+11.4
CLE @ LV	LV by 4	49%	53%	43%	−1.5	+2.9	−7.9
DEN @ NYJ	DEN by 1	67%	61%	71%	−20.4	−12.3	−25.8
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 4	66%	70%	66%	+13.4	+16.0	+13.4
KC @ LAC	KC by 7	49%	41%	29%	+0.7	+8.0	+16.7
LA @ CHI	CHI by 6	60%	51%	59%	+9.3	+0.8	+8.1
MIN @ GB	MIN by 2	56%	52%	57%	−6.3	−1.6	−8.0
NE @ SF	SF by 17	79%	67%	78%	+20.8	+13.9	+20.3
NO @ ATL	ATL by 2	44%	48%	57%	−6.2	−2.2	+6.9
PHI @ TB	TB by 17	46%	52%	47%	−3.8	+1.5	−3.0
PIT @ IND	IND by 3	51%	42%	43%	+0.8	−8.7	−7.9
WAS @ ARI	WAS by 28	59%	52%	60%	−9.7	−1.6	−11.4
SEA @ DET	DET by 13	59%	55%	60%	+8.1	+4.3	+9.3
TEN @ MIA	TEN by 19	65%	71%	57%	−16.7	−24.9	−8.0

Week 514−2.6+11.4+30.5−0.19+0.81+2.18

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TB @ ATL	ATL by 6	55%	49%	57%	+4.3	−0.7	+6.9
ARI @ SF	ARI by 1	73%	72%	70%	−27.6	−26.7	−24.0
BAL @ CIN	BAL by 3	50%	42%	43%	−0.0	+7.4	+6.8
BUF @ HOU	HOU by 3	43%	56%	53%	−7.9	+5.6	+2.9
CAR @ CHI	CHI by 26	72%	69%	62%	+17.1	+15.6	+10.4
CLE @ WAS	WAS by 21	67%	59%	59%	+14.3	+8.1	+8.1
DAL @ PIT	DAL by 3	55%	58%	57%	−5.5	−8.9	−8.0
GB @ LA	GB by 5	43%	52%	41%	+6.8	−1.6	+8.0
IND @ JAX	JAX by 3	46%	46%	60%	−3.8	−3.8	+9.3
LV @ DEN	DEN by 16	60%	58%	59%	+9.3	+7.5	+8.1
MIA @ NE	MIA by 5	51%	49%	44%	−0.8	+1.4	+5.5
NYG @ SEA	NYG by 9	72%	71%	70%	−26.7	−25.8	−24.0
NYJ @ MIN	MIN by 6	65%	70%	57%	+13.0	+16.0	+6.9
NO @ KC	KC by 13	55%	72%	66%	+5.0	+17.1	+13.4

Week 614+81.3+46.1+122.0+5.81+3.30+8.72

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SF @ SEA	SF by 12	45%	59%	40%	+4.9	−9.7	+9.2
ARI @ GB	GB by 21	67%	68%	66%	+14.3	+14.8	+13.4
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 18	33%	35%	33%	+13.8	+12.9	+14.3
CIN @ NYG	CIN by 10	41%	60%	37%	+8.0	−10.6	+11.4
CLE @ PHI	PHI by 4	69%	67%	73%	+15.6	+14.3	+17.5
DET @ DAL	DET by 38	53%	55%	40%	−3.1	−4.7	+9.2
HOU @ NE	HOU by 20	38%	31%	31%	+10.9	+15.1	+15.1
IND @ TEN	IND by 3	48%	49%	57%	+2.1	+0.7	−8.0
JAX @ CHI	CHI by 19	71%	62%	46%	+16.4	+10.4	−4.6
LAC @ DEN	LAC by 7	57%	63%	41%	−7.2	−15.0	+8.0
PIT @ LV	PIT by 19	40%	48%	40%	+8.6	+2.1	+9.2
TB @ NO	TB by 24	63%	51%	40%	−14.1	−0.8	+9.2
WAS @ BAL	BAL by 7	59%	65%	69%	+8.1	+13.0	+15.2
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 3	47%	46%	47%	+2.8	+3.5	+2.8

Week 715+65.4+63.6+92.8+4.36+4.24+6.18

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ NO	DEN by 23	63%	52%	43%	−15.0	−1.6	+6.8
CAR @ WAS	WAS by 33	83%	75%	77%	+21.9	+18.7	+19.8
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 7	41%	54%	34%	+8.0	−3.9	+13.4
DET @ MIN	DET by 2	53%	56%	53%	−3.1	−6.3	−3.1
HOU @ GB	GB by 2	65%	49%	59%	+12.5	−0.7	+8.1
KC @ SF	KC by 10	59%	41%	57%	−9.7	+8.0	−8.0
LV @ LA	LA by 5	62%	56%	70%	+10.4	+5.6	+16.0
MIA @ IND	IND by 6	67%	58%	59%	+13.9	+7.5	+8.1
NE @ JAX	JAX by 16	62%	63%	69%	+10.4	+11.5	+15.2
NYJ @ PIT	PIT by 22	63%	69%	41%	+10.9	+15.6	−9.6
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 25	41%	41%	41%	+8.0	+8.0	+8.0
SEA @ ATL	SEA by 20	64%	63%	59%	−15.8	−14.1	−9.7
TEN @ BUF	BUF by 24	77%	76%	76%	+19.8	+19.0	+19.3
BAL @ TB	BAL by 10	55%	50%	37%	−4.7	−0.0	+11.4
LAC @ ARI	ARI by 2	48%	46%	47%	−2.2	−3.8	−3.0

Week 816+75.6+67.0+64.6+4.73+4.19+4.04

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIN @ LA	LA by 10	35%	41%	41%	−16.6	−9.6	−9.6
ARI @ MIA	ARI by 1	49%	59%	62%	+1.4	−9.7	−13.2
ATL @ TB	ATL by 5	64%	58%	46%	−15.8	−8.9	+4.2
BAL @ CLE	CLE by 5	32%	31%	29%	−21.1	−23.0	−25.7
BUF @ SEA	BUF by 21	44%	49%	41%	+5.5	+0.7	+8.0
CAR @ DEN	DEN by 14	81%	78%	83%	+21.2	+20.3	+22.3
CHI @ WAS	WAS by 3	63%	57%	55%	+11.5	+6.3	+4.3
DAL @ SF	SF by 6	70%	51%	66%	+16.0	+0.8	+13.4
GB @ JAX	GB by 3	35%	42%	40%	+12.4	+7.4	+9.2
IND @ HOU	HOU by 3	63%	64%	65%	+10.9	+12.0	+12.5
KC @ LV	KC by 7	28%	28%	25%	+17.1	+17.4	+18.7
NO @ LAC	LAC by 18	59%	61%	70%	+8.1	+9.9	+16.0
NYJ @ NE	NE by 3	38%	47%	30%	−14.0	−3.0	−23.9
PHI @ CIN	PHI by 20	55%	44%	57%	−4.7	+5.5	−8.0
TEN @ DET	DET by 38	84%	84%	83%	+22.6	+22.4	+21.9
NYG @ PIT	PIT by 8	81%	74%	67%	+21.2	+18.4	+14.3

Week 915+98.9+82.7+133.6+6.59+5.51+8.91

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
HOU @ NYJ	NYJ by 8	49%	33%	57%	−1.5	−20.2	+6.9
CHI @ ARI	ARI by 20	42%	55%	55%	−8.7	+5.0	+4.3
DAL @ ATL	ATL by 6	63%	57%	59%	+10.9	+6.3	+8.1
DEN @ BAL	BAL by 31	64%	65%	75%	+12.0	+12.5	+18.7
DET @ GB	DET by 10	44%	47%	43%	+5.5	+2.8	+6.8
IND @ MIN	MIN by 8	69%	64%	69%	+15.6	+12.0	+15.2
JAX @ PHI	PHI by 5	76%	74%	71%	+19.0	+18.4	+16.7
LAC @ CLE	LAC by 17	44%	50%	44%	+5.5	−0.0	+5.5
LA @ SEA	LA by 6	60%	58%	46%	−11.4	−8.9	+4.2
LV @ CIN	CIN by 17	71%	62%	73%	+16.7	+10.4	+17.5
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 3	84%	75%	69%	+22.4	+18.7	+15.2
NE @ TEN	TEN by 3	53%	57%	59%	+2.9	+6.3	+8.1
NO @ CAR	CAR by 1	33%	43%	30%	−20.2	−7.9	−23.9
WAS @ NYG	WAS by 5	26%	41%	37%	+18.1	+8.0	+11.4
TB @ KC	KC by 6	64%	76%	75%	+12.0	+19.3	+18.7

Week 1014+25.9+33.2+44.6+1.85+2.37+3.19

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 1	69%	73%	67%	+15.2	+17.5	+14.3
ATL @ NO	NO by 3	46%	37%	40%	−3.8	−14.8	−11.3
BUF @ IND	BUF by 10	35%	41%	37%	+12.4	+8.0	+11.4
DEN @ KC	KC by 2	71%	77%	71%	+16.4	+19.6	+16.7
DET @ HOU	DET by 3	35%	43%	37%	+12.4	+6.8	+11.4
MIN @ JAX	MIN by 5	36%	38%	30%	+11.9	+10.9	+15.9
NE @ CHI	NE by 16	77%	70%	69%	−33.9	−24.0	−22.2
NYG @ CAR	CAR by 3	43%	50%	31%	−7.1	+0.0	−22.1
NYJ @ ARI	ARI by 25	57%	65%	44%	+6.3	+12.5	−6.2
PHI @ DAL	PHI by 28	40%	46%	29%	+9.2	+4.2	+16.7
PIT @ WAS	PIT by 1	62%	52%	55%	−13.2	−1.6	−4.7
SF @ TB	SF by 3	53%	52%	31%	−3.1	−1.6	+15.1
TEN @ LAC	LAC by 10	79%	70%	73%	+20.8	+16.0	+17.5
MIA @ LA	MIA by 8	65%	67%	57%	−17.6	−20.4	−8.0

Week 1114+88.8+83.5+76.6+6.34+5.96+5.47

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 8	59%	68%	63%	+8.1	+14.8	+11.5
ATL @ DEN	DEN by 32	55%	53%	56%	+5.0	+2.9	+5.6
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 2	55%	55%	41%	+5.0	+4.3	−9.6
CIN @ LAC	LAC by 7	61%	65%	53%	+9.9	+12.5	+2.9
CLE @ NO	NO by 21	63%	57%	47%	+10.9	+6.3	−3.0
GB @ CHI	GB by 1	47%	42%	33%	+2.8	+7.4	+14.3
IND @ NYJ	IND by 1	55%	50%	62%	−4.7	−0.0	−13.2
JAX @ DET	DET by 46	86%	86%	85%	+23.1	+22.9	+22.8
KC @ BUF	BUF by 9	64%	46%	57%	+12.0	−3.8	+6.9
LA @ NE	LA by 6	46%	43%	38%	+4.2	+6.8	+10.3
LV @ MIA	MIA by 15	62%	63%	73%	+10.4	+11.5	+17.5
MIN @ TEN	MIN by 10	26%	32%	33%	+18.4	+14.7	+14.3
SEA @ SF	SEA by 3	69%	65%	67%	−23.1	−16.7	−20.4
HOU @ DAL	HOU by 24	43%	50%	29%	+6.8	−0.0	+16.7

Week 1213−6.1+34.4+44.6−0.47+2.65+3.43

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PIT @ CLE	CLE by 5	28%	29%	40%	−26.6	−24.8	−11.3
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 10	52%	55%	47%	+2.2	+5.0	−3.0
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 8	82%	60%	78%	−42.3	−11.4	−36.5
DEN @ LV	DEN by 10	31%	38%	31%	+15.5	+10.3	+15.1
DET @ IND	DET by 18	24%	30%	30%	+19.3	+15.9	+15.9
KC @ CAR	KC by 3	20%	20%	21%	+21.2	+21.0	+20.8
MIN @ CHI	MIN by 3	45%	36%	41%	+4.9	+11.9	+8.0
NE @ MIA	MIA by 19	63%	69%	71%	+10.9	+15.2	+16.7
PHI @ LA	PHI by 17	35%	40%	41%	+12.4	+9.2	+8.0
SF @ GB	GB by 28	58%	63%	69%	+7.5	+11.5	+15.2
TB @ NYG	TB by 23	34%	44%	31%	+13.4	+5.5	+15.1
TEN @ HOU	TEN by 5	81%	78%	73%	−40.7	−35.6	−27.6
BAL @ LAC	BAL by 7	54%	49%	41%	−3.9	+0.7	+8.0

Week 1316+182.1+178.5+134.9+11.38+11.16+8.43

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ DET	DET by 3	85%	87%	76%	+22.8	+23.2	+19.3
MIA @ GB	GB by 13	76%	70%	60%	+19.0	+16.0	+9.3
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 7	62%	73%	63%	+10.4	+17.8	+11.5
LV @ KC	KC by 2	83%	88%	84%	+22.1	+23.7	+22.6
ARI @ MIN	MIN by 1	69%	70%	60%	+15.6	+16.0	+9.3
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 3	32%	39%	40%	+14.7	+9.8	+9.2
IND @ NE	IND by 1	45%	41%	43%	+4.9	+8.0	+6.8
LAC @ ATL	LAC by 4	45%	55%	47%	+4.9	−5.5	+2.8
LA @ NO	LA by 7	62%	52%	43%	−13.2	−1.6	+6.8
PHI @ BAL	PHI by 5	52%	53%	59%	−2.3	−3.1	−9.7
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 6	49%	38%	59%	+1.4	+10.9	−9.7
SEA @ NYJ	SEA by 5	49%	41%	53%	+0.7	+8.0	−3.1
SF @ BUF	BUF by 25	74%	73%	69%	+18.1	+17.5	+15.2
TB @ CAR	TB by 3	22%	40%	31%	+20.3	+9.2	+15.1
TEN @ WAS	WAS by 23	84%	67%	67%	+22.6	+13.9	+14.3
CLE @ DEN	DEN by 9	78%	68%	69%	+20.1	+14.8	+15.2

Week 1413+108.0+103.3+106.4+8.31+7.95+8.19

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ DET	DET by 3	73%	71%	59%	+17.5	+16.4	+8.1
ATL @ MIN	MIN by 21	73%	70%	67%	+17.5	+16.0	+14.3
BUF @ LA	LA by 2	29%	37%	40%	−25.7	−14.8	−11.3
CAR @ PHI	PHI by 6	91%	89%	85%	+24.2	+23.7	+22.8
CHI @ SF	SF by 25	56%	67%	59%	+5.6	+13.9	+8.1
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 13	83%	78%	67%	+21.9	+20.1	+14.3
JAX @ TEN	JAX by 4	50%	57%	59%	−0.0	−7.2	−9.7
LAC @ KC	KC by 2	59%	74%	65%	+8.1	+18.1	+12.5
LV @ TB	TB by 15	81%	73%	70%	+21.4	+17.8	+16.0
NO @ NYG	NO by 3	39%	47%	34%	+9.8	+2.8	+13.4
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 6	57%	67%	69%	+6.3	+14.3	+15.2
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 12	57%	49%	59%	−7.2	+0.7	−9.7
CIN @ DAL	CIN by 7	40%	66%	35%	+8.6	−18.5	+12.4

Week 1516+128.4+85.7+125.3+8.03+5.36+7.83

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LA @ SF	LA by 6	64%	56%	59%	−15.8	−6.3	−9.7
BAL @ NYG	BAL by 21	26%	25%	11%	+18.4	+19.0	+23.8
BUF @ DET	BUF by 6	67%	69%	57%	−19.4	−23.1	−8.0
CIN @ TEN	CIN by 10	29%	46%	33%	+16.3	+3.5	+14.3
DAL @ CAR	DAL by 16	40%	35%	57%	+8.6	+12.4	−8.0
GB @ SEA	GB by 17	44%	51%	41%	+5.5	−0.8	+8.0
IND @ DEN	DEN by 18	74%	63%	63%	+18.4	+11.5	+11.5
KC @ CLE	KC by 14	30%	23%	37%	+15.9	+19.8	+11.4
MIA @ HOU	HOU by 8	68%	65%	57%	+14.8	+12.5	+6.9
NE @ ARI	ARI by 13	71%	71%	67%	+16.7	+16.4	+14.3
NYJ @ JAX	NYJ by 7	46%	62%	40%	+4.2	−13.2	+9.2
PIT @ PHI	PHI by 14	63%	63%	66%	+10.9	+11.5	+13.4
TB @ LAC	TB by 23	57%	60%	59%	−7.2	−10.6	−9.7
WAS @ NO	WAS by 1	35%	49%	29%	+12.4	+1.4	+16.7
ATL @ LV	ATL by 6	40%	38%	31%	+9.2	+10.3	+15.1
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 18	76%	81%	70%	+19.3	+21.4	+16.0

Week 1616+93.0+129.3+113.7+5.81+8.08+7.11

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 7	50%	52%	59%	+0.0	+1.5	+8.1
HOU @ KC	KC by 8	62%	74%	60%	+10.4	+18.4	+9.3
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 17	59%	57%	70%	+8.1	+6.3	+16.0
ARI @ CAR	CAR by 6	28%	37%	34%	−27.5	−14.8	−18.4
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 18	77%	64%	77%	+19.6	+12.0	+19.8
DET @ CHI	DET by 17	25%	20%	30%	+19.0	+21.0	+15.9
JAX @ LV	LV by 5	50%	49%	57%	+0.0	−0.7	+6.9
LA @ NYJ	LA by 10	53%	38%	41%	−3.1	+10.3	+8.0
MIN @ SEA	MIN by 3	40%	44%	43%	+9.2	+5.5	+6.8
NE @ BUF	BUF by 3	89%	88%	85%	+23.7	+23.5	+22.8
NYG @ ATL	ATL by 27	70%	77%	76%	+16.0	+19.6	+19.3
PHI @ WAS	WAS by 3	56%	35%	38%	+5.6	−16.6	−13.1
SF @ MIA	MIA by 12	48%	53%	44%	−2.2	+2.9	−6.2
TB @ DAL	DAL by 2	33%	55%	37%	−20.2	+4.3	−14.8
TEN @ IND	IND by 8	68%	70%	62%	+14.8	+16.0	+10.4
NO @ GB	GB by 34	77%	78%	85%	+19.6	+20.1	+22.8

Week 1716+111.0+127.4+126.8+6.94+7.96+7.92

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ HOU	BAL by 29	47%	46%	34%	+2.8	+3.5	+13.4
KC @ PIT	KC by 19	57%	41%	41%	−7.2	+8.0	+8.0
SEA @ CHI	SEA by 3	48%	40%	40%	+2.1	+9.2	+9.2
ARI @ LA	LA by 4	55%	67%	69%	+4.3	+14.3	+15.2
DEN @ CIN	CIN by 6	51%	49%	60%	+0.8	−0.7	+9.3
LAC @ NE	LAC by 33	32%	31%	33%	+14.7	+15.1	+14.3
ATL @ WAS	WAS by 6	77%	60%	60%	+19.6	+9.3	+9.3
CAR @ TB	TB by 34	87%	76%	76%	+23.3	+19.0	+19.3
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 34	83%	73%	71%	+21.9	+17.5	+16.7
GB @ MIN	MIN by 2	55%	60%	47%	+5.0	+8.7	−3.0
IND @ NYG	NYG by 12	39%	36%	29%	−12.2	−15.7	−25.7
LV @ NO	LV by 15	67%	63%	44%	−20.4	−15.0	+5.5
MIA @ CLE	MIA by 17	40%	45%	41%	+9.2	+4.9	+8.0
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 26	83%	85%	77%	+22.1	+22.8	+19.8
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 7	59%	60%	47%	+8.1	+9.3	−3.0
DET @ SF	DET by 6	29%	28%	38%	+16.7	+17.1	+10.3

Week 1816+18.0−60.7+86.4+1.13−3.79+5.40

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CIN @ PIT	CIN by 2	57%	67%	43%	−8.0	−20.4	+6.8
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 25	89%	84%	93%	+23.7	+22.6	+24.5
BUF @ NE	NE by 7	16%	18%	41%	−46.1	−42.2	−9.6
CAR @ ATL	CAR by 6	78%	76%	71%	−36.5	−33.0	−25.8
CHI @ GB	CHI by 2	83%	81%	77%	−43.9	−40.7	−34.7
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 9	31%	31%	57%	+15.1	+15.1	−8.0
JAX @ IND	IND by 3	63%	65%	60%	+11.5	+13.0	+9.3
KC @ DEN	DEN by 38	57%	32%	78%	+6.3	−21.1	+20.3
LAC @ LV	LAC by 14	28%	36%	30%	+17.1	+11.9	+15.9
MIA @ NYJ	NYJ by 12	47%	40%	55%	−3.0	−10.5	+4.3
MIN @ DET	DET by 22	69%	65%	59%	+15.6	+12.5	+8.1
NO @ TB	TB by 8	81%	71%	86%	+21.4	+16.7	+23.1
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 7	91%	88%	59%	+24.1	+23.7	+8.1
SEA @ LA	SEA by 5	55%	59%	29%	−5.5	−9.7	+16.7
SF @ ARI	ARI by 23	57%	53%	63%	+6.9	+2.9	+11.5
WAS @ DAL	WAS by 4	24%	52%	30%	+19.3	−1.6	+15.9

2023RETRODICTION272+568.1+315.3+890.2+2.09+1.16+3.27

Week 116−17.4−29.9+10.9−1.09−1.87+0.68

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DET @ KC	DET by 1	67%	66%	62%	−20.4	−18.5	−13.2
ARI @ WAS	WAS by 4	62%	65%	70%	+10.4	+12.5	+16.0
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 14	61%	57%	60%	+9.9	+6.3	+9.3
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 21	46%	46%	47%	−3.8	−3.8	−3.0
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 40	45%	52%	40%	+4.9	−2.3	+9.2
GB @ CHI	GB by 18	56%	47%	53%	−6.3	+2.8	−3.1
HOU @ BAL	BAL by 16	72%	68%	76%	+17.1	+14.8	+19.3
JAX @ IND	JAX by 10	43%	49%	38%	+6.8	+1.4	+10.3
LA @ SEA	LA by 17	66%	64%	63%	−18.5	−15.8	−15.0
LV @ DEN	LV by 1	63%	55%	59%	−14.1	−4.7	−9.7
MIA @ LAC	MIA by 2	58%	58%	59%	−8.9	−8.9	−9.7
PHI @ NE	PHI by 5	40%	46%	40%	+8.6	+4.2	+9.2
SF @ PIT	SF by 23	47%	49%	46%	+2.8	+0.7	+4.2
TB @ MIN	TB by 3	67%	66%	62%	−19.4	−18.5	−13.2
TEN @ NO	NO by 1	64%	57%	59%	+12.0	+6.3	+8.1
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 6	52%	44%	43%	+1.5	−6.2	−7.9

Week 216+12.9+52.4+63.6+0.81+3.27+3.98

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIN @ PHI	PHI by 6	66%	66%	67%	+13.4	+13.4	+14.3
BAL @ CIN	BAL by 3	49%	55%	60%	+0.7	−4.7	−11.4
CHI @ TB	TB by 10	56%	73%	57%	+5.6	+17.8	+6.9
GB @ ATL	ATL by 1	57%	55%	59%	+6.9	+5.0	+8.1
IND @ HOU	IND by 11	51%	55%	47%	−0.8	−4.7	+2.8
KC @ JAX	KC by 8	52%	55%	40%	−2.3	−4.7	+9.2
LAC @ TEN	TEN by 3	41%	51%	43%	−9.6	+0.8	−7.9
LV @ BUF	BUF by 28	69%	63%	71%	+15.6	+11.5	+16.7
MIA @ NE	MIA by 7	45%	48%	44%	+4.9	+2.1	+5.5
NYG @ ARI	NYG by 3	60%	46%	35%	−10.6	+3.5	+12.4
NYJ @ DAL	DAL by 20	66%	65%	74%	+13.4	+12.5	+18.1
SEA @ DET	SEA by 6	66%	65%	63%	−18.5	−16.7	−15.0
SF @ LA	SF by 7	40%	43%	29%	+9.2	+6.8	+16.7
WAS @ DEN	WAS by 2	63%	43%	62%	−14.1	+6.2	−13.2
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 4	46%	53%	43%	−3.8	+2.9	−7.9
NO @ CAR	NO by 3	47%	49%	41%	+2.8	+0.7	+8.0

Week 316+26.4−17.6+20.6+1.65−1.10+1.29

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYG @ SF	SF by 18	83%	69%	78%	+22.3	+15.2	+20.3
ATL @ DET	DET by 14	59%	52%	59%	+8.1	+2.2	+8.1
BUF @ WAS	BUF by 34	39%	54%	34%	+9.8	−3.9	+13.4
CAR @ SEA	SEA by 10	65%	67%	65%	+13.0	+14.3	+12.5
CHI @ KC	KC by 31	77%	79%	83%	+19.8	+20.6	+22.3
DAL @ ARI	ARI by 12	28%	29%	20%	−27.5	−25.7	−39.7
DEN @ MIA	MIA by 50	65%	76%	67%	+13.0	+19.3	+14.3
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 20	76%	73%	71%	−32.1	−27.6	−25.8
IND @ BAL	IND by 3	71%	71%	71%	−25.8	−24.9	−25.8
LAC @ MIN	LAC by 4	52%	63%	53%	−2.3	−14.1	−3.1
NE @ NYJ	NE by 5	63%	62%	43%	−14.1	−13.2	+6.8
NO @ GB	GB by 1	59%	52%	46%	+8.1	+1.5	−4.6
PIT @ LV	PIT by 5	48%	52%	59%	+2.1	−1.6	−9.7
TEN @ CLE	CLE by 24	68%	57%	60%	+14.8	+6.3	+9.3
LA @ CIN	CIN by 3	58%	62%	59%	+7.5	+10.4	+8.1
PHI @ TB	PHI by 14	39%	46%	33%	+9.8	+3.5	+14.3

Week 416+81.7+42.2+120.0+5.11+2.64+7.50

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DET @ GB	DET by 14	52%	55%	43%	−2.3	−4.7	+6.8
ARI @ SF	SF by 19	79%	79%	87%	+20.8	+20.8	+23.3
ATL @ JAX	JAX by 16	56%	51%	60%	+5.6	+0.8	+9.3
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 25	61%	53%	44%	−12.3	−3.1	+5.5
CIN @ TEN	TEN by 24	48%	49%	43%	−2.2	−1.5	−7.9
DEN @ CHI	DEN by 3	46%	53%	41%	+3.5	−3.1	+8.0
KC @ NYJ	KC by 3	38%	40%	24%	+10.9	+8.6	+19.3
LA @ IND	LA by 6	56%	63%	47%	−6.3	−15.0	+2.8
LV @ LAC	LAC by 7	74%	63%	70%	+18.1	+11.5	+16.0
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 28	60%	59%	57%	+8.7	+8.1	+6.9
MIN @ CAR	MIN by 8	47%	48%	37%	+2.8	+2.1	+11.4
NE @ DAL	DAL by 35	76%	67%	69%	+19.3	+14.3	+15.2
PIT @ HOU	HOU by 24	51%	42%	41%	+0.8	−8.7	−9.6
TB @ NO	TB by 17	65%	53%	62%	−17.6	−3.1	−13.2
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 3	78%	73%	76%	+20.1	+17.5	+19.3
SEA @ NYG	SEA by 21	36%	52%	43%	+11.9	−2.3	+6.8

Week 514−6.5+17.0+9.2−0.46+1.21+0.66

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ WAS	CHI by 20	60%	77%	67%	−11.4	−33.9	−20.4
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 7	38%	49%	37%	−14.0	−0.7	−14.8
CAR @ DET	DET by 18	76%	77%	76%	+19.0	+19.6	+19.3
CIN @ ARI	CIN by 14	57%	47%	41%	−8.0	+2.8	+8.0
DAL @ SF	SF by 32	59%	65%	60%	+8.1	+13.0	+9.3
HOU @ ATL	ATL by 2	53%	63%	57%	+2.9	+10.9	+6.9
JAX @ BUF	JAX by 5	79%	72%	66%	−38.2	−26.7	−18.5
KC @ MIN	KC by 7	41%	42%	40%	+8.0	+7.4	+9.2
NO @ NE	NO by 34	48%	55%	57%	+2.1	−4.7	−8.0
NYG @ MIA	MIA by 15	87%	67%	83%	+23.4	+14.3	+21.9
NYJ @ DEN	NYJ by 10	53%	52%	57%	−3.1	−1.6	−8.0
PHI @ LA	PHI by 9	43%	31%	40%	+6.2	+15.1	+9.2
TEN @ IND	IND by 7	57%	55%	43%	+6.3	+4.3	−7.9
GB @ LV	LV by 4	43%	47%	53%	−7.9	−3.0	+2.9

Week 615+79.7+32.6+77.1+5.31+2.18+5.14

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ KC	KC by 11	79%	83%	78%	+20.6	+22.1	+20.3
ARI @ LA	LA by 17	63%	64%	70%	+10.9	+12.0	+16.0
BAL @ TEN	BAL by 8	43%	48%	34%	+6.8	+2.1	+13.4
CAR @ MIA	MIA by 21	83%	79%	85%	+21.9	+20.8	+22.8
DET @ TB	DET by 14	40%	54%	41%	+8.6	−3.9	+8.0
IND @ JAX	JAX by 17	63%	60%	62%	+11.5	+9.3	+10.4
MIN @ CHI	MIN by 6	46%	43%	41%	+4.2	+6.8	+8.0
NE @ LV	LV by 4	62%	59%	59%	+10.4	+8.1	+8.1
NO @ HOU	HOU by 7	52%	47%	44%	+2.2	−3.0	−6.2
NYG @ BUF	BUF by 5	91%	73%	88%	+24.3	+17.5	+23.5
PHI @ NYJ	NYJ by 6	46%	29%	31%	−3.8	−24.8	−22.1
SEA @ CIN	CIN by 4	45%	51%	59%	−5.4	+0.8	+8.1
SF @ CLE	CLE by 2	35%	32%	24%	−17.5	−21.1	−32.9
WAS @ ATL	WAS by 8	63%	62%	55%	−15.0	−13.2	−4.7
DAL @ LAC	DAL by 3	50%	51%	46%	−0.0	−0.8	+4.2

Week 713−56.8−11.8−33.7−4.37−0.90−2.59

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
JAX @ NO	JAX by 7	52%	48%	57%	−1.6	+2.1	−8.0
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 10	72%	74%	76%	+17.1	+18.4	+19.3
ATL @ TB	ATL by 3	57%	62%	59%	−7.2	−13.2	−9.7
BUF @ NE	NE by 4	20%	33%	29%	−39.7	−19.3	−25.7
CLE @ IND	CLE by 1	47%	51%	40%	+2.8	−0.8	+9.2
DET @ BAL	BAL by 32	52%	50%	59%	+2.2	+0.0	+8.1
GB @ DEN	DEN by 2	48%	44%	55%	−2.2	−6.2	+4.3
LAC @ KC	KC by 14	69%	74%	66%	+15.2	+18.1	+13.4
LV @ CHI	CHI by 18	55%	41%	43%	+4.3	−9.6	−7.9
MIA @ PHI	PHI by 14	46%	65%	59%	−3.8	+12.5	+8.1
PIT @ LA	PIT by 7	64%	50%	60%	−15.8	−0.0	−11.4
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 7	42%	49%	41%	−8.7	−0.7	−9.6
SF @ MIN	MIN by 5	33%	38%	30%	−19.3	−13.1	−23.9

Week 816+72.4+46.9+101.4+4.52+2.93+6.34

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TB @ BUF	BUF by 6	81%	66%	77%	+21.2	+13.4	+19.8
ATL @ TEN	TEN by 5	55%	49%	43%	+5.0	−1.5	−7.9
BAL @ ARI	BAL by 7	29%	30%	24%	+16.3	+15.9	+19.3
CHI @ LAC	LAC by 17	67%	68%	76%	+14.3	+14.8	+19.3
CIN @ SF	CIN by 14	82%	67%	62%	−42.3	−19.4	−13.2
CLE @ SEA	SEA by 4	57%	57%	62%	+6.3	+6.9	+10.4
HOU @ CAR	CAR by 2	40%	44%	41%	−11.3	−6.2	−9.6
JAX @ PIT	JAX by 10	43%	55%	43%	+6.2	−5.5	+6.8
KC @ DEN	DEN by 15	28%	26%	30%	−26.6	−29.3	−23.9
LA @ DAL	DAL by 23	73%	71%	69%	+17.5	+16.7	+15.2
MIN @ GB	MIN by 14	52%	47%	47%	−2.3	+2.8	+2.8
NE @ MIA	MIA by 14	85%	71%	71%	+22.8	+16.7	+16.7
NO @ IND	NO by 11	53%	57%	44%	−3.1	−8.0	+5.5
NYJ @ NYG	NYJ by 3	33%	52%	41%	+14.3	−2.3	+8.0
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 7	31%	32%	30%	+15.1	+14.7	+15.9
LV @ DET	DET by 12	76%	72%	70%	+19.0	+17.1	+16.0

Week 914+75.8+75.9+93.1+5.42+5.42+6.65

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TEN @ PIT	PIT by 4	55%	63%	60%	+5.0	+11.5	+9.3
ARI @ CLE	CLE by 27	73%	76%	83%	+17.5	+19.3	+22.3
BUF @ CIN	CIN by 6	37%	52%	55%	−14.8	+2.2	+4.3
CHI @ NO	NO by 7	69%	69%	75%	+15.6	+15.2	+18.7
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 5	52%	67%	60%	+2.2	+14.3	+9.3
IND @ CAR	IND by 14	44%	52%	46%	+5.5	−1.6	+4.2
LA @ GB	GB by 17	55%	55%	60%	+5.0	+4.3	+9.3
MIA @ KC	KC by 7	54%	62%	53%	+3.6	+10.4	+2.9
MIN @ ATL	MIN by 3	46%	51%	60%	+4.2	−0.8	−11.4
NYG @ LV	LV by 24	61%	56%	53%	+9.9	+5.6	+2.9
SEA @ BAL	BAL by 34	67%	59%	67%	+13.9	+8.1	+14.3
TB @ HOU	HOU by 2	63%	49%	57%	+11.5	−0.7	+6.9
WAS @ NE	WAS by 3	50%	52%	57%	−0.0	−2.3	−8.0
LAC @ NYJ	LAC by 21	53%	59%	41%	−3.1	−9.7	+8.0

Week 1014−7.0−19.2−4.3−0.50−1.37−0.31

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ CHI	CHI by 3	61%	54%	59%	+9.9	+3.6	+8.1
ATL @ ARI	ARI by 2	45%	39%	44%	−5.4	−12.2	−6.2
CLE @ BAL	CLE by 2	69%	66%	67%	−23.1	−18.5	−20.4
DET @ LAC	DET by 3	58%	48%	43%	−8.9	+2.1	+6.8
GB @ PIT	PIT by 4	53%	68%	59%	+2.9	+14.8	+8.1
HOU @ CIN	HOU by 3	56%	72%	66%	−6.3	−26.7	−18.5
IND @ NE	IND by 4	40%	52%	47%	+9.2	−2.3	+2.8
NO @ MIN	MIN by 8	58%	65%	41%	+7.5	+13.0	−9.6
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 32	88%	76%	90%	+23.7	+19.0	+24.1
NYJ @ LV	LV by 4	49%	51%	47%	−1.5	+0.8	−3.0
SF @ JAX	SF by 31	48%	55%	41%	+2.1	−4.7	+8.0
TEN @ TB	TB by 14	57%	58%	57%	+6.3	+7.5	+6.9
WAS @ SEA	SEA by 3	67%	65%	67%	+13.9	+13.0	+14.3
DEN @ BUF	DEN by 2	79%	73%	71%	−37.3	−28.5	−25.8

Week 1114+121.1+92.6+117.4+8.65+6.61+8.38

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 14	77%	59%	62%	+19.6	+8.1	+10.4
ARI @ HOU	HOU by 5	73%	71%	66%	+17.5	+16.4	+13.4
CHI @ DET	DET by 5	76%	82%	73%	+19.0	+21.8	+17.5
DAL @ CAR	DAL by 23	19%	27%	21%	+21.4	+17.8	+20.8
LAC @ GB	GB by 3	44%	48%	41%	−6.2	−2.2	−9.6
LV @ MIA	MIA by 7	79%	67%	85%	+20.8	+14.3	+22.8
MIN @ DEN	DEN by 1	43%	43%	57%	−7.9	−7.9	+6.9
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 12	69%	65%	71%	−23.1	−16.7	−25.8
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 26	75%	66%	73%	+18.7	+13.4	+17.5
PIT @ CLE	CLE by 3	71%	55%	57%	+16.7	+5.0	+6.9
SEA @ LA	LA by 1	49%	39%	57%	−0.7	−12.2	+6.9
TB @ SF	SF by 13	82%	72%	84%	+21.6	+17.1	+22.6
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 20	69%	71%	69%	+15.2	+16.4	+15.2
PHI @ KC	PHI by 4	60%	49%	57%	−11.4	+1.4	−8.0

Week 1216+21.5+32.5+67.8+1.34+2.03+4.24

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ DET	GB by 7	69%	75%	74%	−22.2	−31.2	−29.4
SF @ SEA	SF by 18	33%	46%	30%	+14.3	+3.5	+15.9
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 35	87%	74%	83%	+23.4	+18.4	+22.3
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 21	33%	43%	24%	+14.3	+6.8	+19.3
BAL @ LAC	BAL by 10	45%	42%	41%	+4.9	+7.4	+8.0
BUF @ PHI	PHI by 3	53%	75%	57%	+2.9	+18.7	+6.9
CAR @ TEN	TEN by 7	64%	67%	60%	+12.0	+13.9	+9.3
CLE @ DEN	DEN by 17	40%	46%	55%	−10.5	−3.8	+4.3
JAX @ HOU	JAX by 3	53%	46%	47%	−3.1	+3.5	+2.8
KC @ LV	KC by 14	34%	36%	25%	+13.4	+11.9	+18.7
LA @ ARI	LA by 23	47%	43%	41%	+2.8	+6.2	+8.0
NE @ NYG	NYG by 3	50%	61%	37%	+0.0	+9.9	−14.8
NO @ ATL	ATL by 9	47%	55%	44%	−3.0	+5.0	−6.2
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 6	58%	57%	44%	−8.9	−7.2	+5.5
TB @ IND	IND by 7	60%	55%	57%	+8.7	+5.0	+6.9
CHI @ MIN	CHI by 2	73%	78%	59%	−27.6	−35.6	−9.7

Week 1313+38.4−44.9+32.4+2.96−3.46+2.49

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SEA @ DAL	DAL by 6	85%	67%	76%	+22.7	+14.3	+19.3
ARI @ PIT	ARI by 14	70%	82%	67%	−24.0	−41.5	−20.4
ATL @ NYJ	ATL by 5	50%	55%	44%	−0.0	−4.7	+5.5
CAR @ TB	TB by 3	71%	72%	62%	+16.4	+17.1	+10.4
CLE @ LA	LA by 17	48%	46%	60%	−2.2	−3.8	+9.3
DEN @ HOU	HOU by 5	63%	53%	60%	+10.9	+2.9	+9.3
DET @ NO	DET by 5	49%	39%	38%	+0.7	+9.8	+10.3
IND @ TEN	IND by 3	46%	51%	46%	+4.2	−0.8	+4.2
KC @ GB	GB by 8	42%	37%	34%	−8.7	−14.8	−18.4
LAC @ NE	LAC by 6	30%	46%	37%	+15.9	+4.2	+11.4
MIA @ WAS	MIA by 30	22%	38%	26%	+20.3	+10.3	+18.1
SF @ PHI	SF by 23	46%	68%	41%	+3.5	−21.3	+8.0
CIN @ JAX	CIN by 3	68%	65%	77%	−21.3	−16.7	−34.7

Week 1415−56.0−54.6−44.4−3.73−3.64−2.96

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NE @ PIT	NE by 3	69%	76%	67%	−22.2	−32.1	−20.4
BUF @ KC	BUF by 3	53%	63%	56%	−3.1	−15.0	−6.3
CAR @ NO	NO by 22	77%	73%	66%	+19.6	+17.5	+13.4
DEN @ LAC	DEN by 17	67%	56%	59%	−20.4	−6.3	−9.7
DET @ CHI	CHI by 15	36%	31%	41%	−15.7	−22.1	−9.6
HOU @ NYJ	NYJ by 24	41%	50%	40%	−9.6	+0.0	−11.3
IND @ CIN	CIN by 20	52%	62%	59%	+1.5	+10.4	+8.1
JAX @ CLE	CLE by 4	54%	52%	57%	+3.6	+2.2	+6.9
LA @ BAL	BAL by 6	78%	72%	71%	+20.3	+17.1	+16.7
MIN @ LV	MIN by 3	41%	47%	41%	+8.0	+2.8	+8.0
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 20	75%	48%	60%	+18.7	−2.2	+9.3
SEA @ SF	SF by 12	85%	74%	86%	+22.8	+18.1	+23.1
TB @ ATL	TB by 4	58%	60%	55%	−8.9	−10.6	−4.7
GB @ NYG	NYG by 2	30%	49%	33%	−23.9	−0.7	−20.2
TEN @ MIA	TEN by 1	85%	77%	85%	−46.9	−33.9	−47.7

Week 1516+104.0+62.1+96.9+6.50+3.88+6.06

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LAC @ LV	LV by 42	43%	54%	59%	−7.9	+3.6	+8.1
DEN @ DET	DET by 25	64%	65%	66%	+12.0	+13.0	+13.4
MIN @ CIN	CIN by 3	51%	59%	59%	+0.8	+8.1	+8.1
PIT @ IND	IND by 17	60%	53%	55%	+9.3	+2.9	+4.3
ATL @ CAR	CAR by 2	35%	34%	41%	−17.5	−18.4	−9.6
BAL @ JAX	BAL by 16	40%	48%	38%	+9.2	+2.1	+10.3
CHI @ CLE	CLE by 3	67%	72%	59%	+14.3	+17.1	+8.1
DAL @ BUF	BUF by 21	47%	46%	56%	−3.0	−3.8	+5.6
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 3	46%	55%	59%	+3.5	−4.7	−9.7
KC @ NE	KC by 10	27%	32%	23%	+17.8	+14.7	+19.8
NYG @ NO	NO by 18	80%	55%	67%	+21.0	+4.3	+14.3
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 30	82%	71%	71%	+21.8	+16.4	+16.7
SF @ ARI	SF by 16	16%	21%	18%	+22.4	+20.8	+21.9
TB @ GB	TB by 14	63%	57%	62%	−14.1	−7.2	−13.2
WAS @ LA	LA by 8	76%	61%	69%	+19.0	+9.9	+15.2
PHI @ SEA	SEA by 3	46%	35%	35%	−4.6	−16.6	−16.6

Week 1616+13.1+8.8+19.4+0.82+0.55+1.21

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ LA	LA by 8	52%	58%	62%	+2.2	+7.5	+10.4
BUF @ LAC	BUF by 2	33%	38%	17%	+14.3	+10.3	+22.2
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 23	48%	47%	41%	−2.2	−3.0	−9.6
ARI @ CHI	CHI by 11	64%	63%	63%	+12.0	+10.9	+11.5
CLE @ HOU	CLE by 14	53%	49%	41%	−3.1	+1.4	+8.0
DAL @ MIA	MIA by 2	57%	51%	55%	+6.3	+0.8	+4.3
DET @ MIN	DET by 6	52%	49%	43%	−2.3	+0.7	+6.8
GB @ CAR	GB by 3	33%	38%	40%	+14.3	+10.9	+9.2
IND @ ATL	ATL by 19	51%	50%	59%	+0.8	+0.0	+8.1
JAX @ TB	TB by 18	52%	53%	44%	+2.2	+2.9	−6.2
NE @ DEN	NE by 3	69%	69%	70%	−22.2	−22.2	−24.0
SEA @ TEN	SEA by 3	49%	46%	41%	+0.7	+4.2	+8.0
WAS @ NYJ	NYJ by 2	65%	60%	59%	+13.0	+8.7	+8.1
BAL @ SF	BAL by 14	65%	63%	69%	−16.7	−15.0	−22.2
LV @ KC	LV by 6	73%	74%	79%	−27.6	−30.3	−38.2
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 8	82%	79%	85%	+21.6	+20.8	+22.8

Week 1716+108.1+38.5+94.8+6.76+2.41+5.92

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ CLE	CLE by 17	73%	69%	69%	+17.8	+15.6	+15.2
DET @ DAL	DAL by 1	73%	59%	66%	+17.5	+8.1	+13.4
ARI @ PHI	ARI by 4	77%	89%	82%	−33.9	−53.8	−41.5
ATL @ CHI	CHI by 20	52%	51%	59%	+2.2	+0.8	+8.1
CAR @ JAX	JAX by 26	77%	81%	60%	+19.6	+21.2	+9.3
CIN @ KC	KC by 8	73%	60%	71%	+17.5	+9.3	+16.7
GB @ MIN	GB by 23	61%	61%	53%	−12.3	−12.3	−3.1
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 7	53%	60%	60%	+2.9	+9.3	+9.3
LA @ NYG	LA by 1	29%	50%	33%	+16.3	−0.0	+14.3
LV @ IND	IND by 3	55%	58%	60%	+4.3	+7.5	+9.3
MIA @ BAL	BAL by 37	61%	63%	59%	+9.9	+10.9	+8.1
NE @ BUF	BUF by 6	88%	78%	87%	+23.5	+20.3	+23.3
NO @ TB	NO by 10	54%	66%	57%	−3.9	−18.5	−8.0
PIT @ SEA	PIT by 7	58%	59%	63%	−8.9	−9.7	−15.0
SF @ WAS	SF by 17	14%	26%	15%	+23.2	+18.4	+22.8
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 23	65%	63%	65%	+12.5	+11.5	+12.5

Week 1816−43.5−8.2+47.9−2.72−0.51+2.99

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
HOU @ IND	HOU by 4	52%	57%	46%	−2.3	−8.0	+4.2
PIT @ BAL	PIT by 7	86%	73%	41%	−49.1	−27.6	+8.0
ATL @ NO	NO by 31	68%	58%	60%	+14.8	+7.5	+9.3
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 7	56%	55%	43%	−6.3	−4.7	+6.8
CHI @ GB	GB by 8	63%	64%	57%	+10.9	+12.0	+6.9
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 17	43%	52%	71%	−7.9	+2.2	+16.7
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 28	14%	29%	17%	+22.9	+16.7	+22.2
DEN @ LV	LV by 13	60%	54%	60%	+9.3	+3.6	+9.3
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 8	40%	43%	40%	−11.3	−7.9	−11.3
KC @ LAC	KC by 1	40%	35%	60%	+8.6	+12.9	−11.4
LA @ SF	LA by 1	81%	76%	66%	−39.8	−32.1	−18.5
MIN @ DET	DET by 10	66%	67%	60%	+13.4	+14.3	+9.3
NYJ @ NE	NYJ by 14	52%	50%	57%	−1.6	−0.0	−8.0
PHI @ NYG	NYG by 17	28%	31%	37%	−26.6	−23.0	−14.8
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 1	44%	38%	43%	+5.5	+10.3	+6.8
TB @ CAR	TB by 9	30%	31%	35%	+15.9	+15.5	+12.4

2022RETRODICTION271+732.8+524.7+1040.8+2.70+1.94+3.84

Week 116−7.5−27.7+5.4−0.47−1.73+0.34

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ LA	BUF by 21	51%	58%	47%	−0.8	−8.9	+2.8
BAL @ NYJ	BAL by 15	42%	49%	31%	+7.4	+0.7	+15.1
CLE @ CAR	CLE by 2	46%	51%	57%	+4.2	−0.8	−8.0
GB @ MIN	MIN by 16	50%	47%	57%	+0.0	−3.0	+6.9
IND @ HOU	tie	35%	47%	30%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
JAX @ WAS	WAS by 6	62%	64%	59%	+10.4	+12.0	+8.1
KC @ ARI	KC by 23	49%	55%	33%	+1.4	−4.7	+14.3
LV @ LAC	LAC by 5	64%	55%	60%	+12.0	+4.3	+9.3
NE @ MIA	MIA by 13	55%	55%	59%	+5.0	+4.3	+8.1
NO @ ATL	NO by 1	41%	53%	33%	+8.0	−3.1	+14.3
NYG @ TEN	NYG by 1	66%	71%	66%	−18.5	−24.9	−18.5
PHI @ DET	PHI by 3	43%	46%	33%	+6.8	+3.5	+14.3
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 3	67%	57%	71%	−20.4	−8.0	−25.8
SF @ CHI	CHI by 9	40%	49%	31%	−10.5	−0.7	−22.1
TB @ DAL	TB by 16	53%	55%	43%	−3.1	−4.7	+6.8
DEN @ SEA	SEA by 1	41%	57%	33%	−9.6	+6.3	−20.2

Week 216+65.1+23.1+39.4+4.07+1.44+2.46

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LAC @ KC	KC by 3	66%	63%	62%	+13.4	+10.9	+10.4
ARI @ LV	ARI by 6	59%	55%	66%	−9.7	−4.7	−18.5
ATL @ LA	LA by 4	67%	65%	78%	+13.9	+13.0	+20.3
CAR @ NYG	NYG by 3	60%	63%	47%	+8.7	+11.5	−3.0
CHI @ GB	GB by 17	64%	61%	78%	+12.0	+9.9	+20.3
CIN @ DAL	DAL by 3	55%	60%	29%	+5.0	+9.3	−25.7
HOU @ DEN	DEN by 7	67%	59%	78%	+14.3	+8.1	+20.3
IND @ JAX	JAX by 24	46%	42%	41%	−4.6	−8.7	−9.6
MIA @ BAL	MIA by 4	61%	55%	59%	−12.3	−4.7	−9.7
NE @ PIT	NE by 3	55%	63%	41%	−5.5	−15.0	+8.0
NYJ @ CLE	NYJ by 1	67%	69%	69%	−19.4	−23.1	−22.2
SEA @ SF	SF by 20	63%	55%	74%	+11.5	+4.3	+18.1
TB @ NO	TB by 10	44%	49%	43%	+5.5	+0.7	+6.8
WAS @ DET	DET by 9	57%	43%	47%	+6.9	−7.1	−3.0
MIN @ PHI	PHI by 17	56%	57%	57%	+5.6	+6.3	+6.9
TEN @ BUF	BUF by 34	77%	65%	77%	+19.8	+12.5	+19.8

Week 316−40.0−44.6+6.9−2.50−2.79+0.43

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PIT @ CLE	CLE by 12	63%	54%	63%	+11.5	+3.6	+11.5
ATL @ SEA	ATL by 4	50%	62%	53%	−0.0	−13.2	−3.1
BAL @ NE	BAL by 11	47%	62%	43%	+2.8	−13.2	+6.8
BUF @ MIA	MIA by 2	36%	53%	38%	−15.7	+2.9	−13.1
CIN @ NYJ	CIN by 15	49%	54%	31%	+1.4	−3.9	+15.1
DET @ MIN	MIN by 4	57%	64%	69%	+6.3	+12.0	+15.2
GB @ TB	GB by 2	69%	65%	53%	−22.2	−16.7	−3.1
HOU @ CHI	CHI by 3	56%	65%	59%	+5.6	+13.0	+8.1
JAX @ LAC	JAX by 28	66%	67%	69%	−18.5	−19.4	−22.2
KC @ IND	IND by 3	33%	40%	37%	−20.2	−10.5	−14.8
LA @ ARI	LA by 8	54%	55%	40%	−3.9	−4.7	+9.2
LV @ TEN	TEN by 2	54%	60%	46%	+3.6	+9.3	−4.6
NO @ CAR	CAR by 8	49%	42%	44%	−1.5	−8.7	−6.2
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 16	42%	46%	33%	+7.4	+4.2	+14.3
SF @ DEN	DEN by 1	55%	51%	47%	+5.0	+0.8	−3.0
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 7	52%	50%	53%	−1.6	−0.0	−3.1

Week 416+11.4+12.8+59.6+0.72+0.80+3.73

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIA @ CIN	CIN by 12	55%	44%	62%	+4.3	−6.2	+10.4
ARI @ CAR	ARI by 10	55%	46%	53%	−4.7	+3.5	−3.1
BUF @ BAL	BUF by 3	43%	49%	41%	+6.8	+0.7	+8.0
CHI @ NYG	NYG by 8	61%	55%	59%	+9.9	+4.3	+8.1
CLE @ ATL	ATL by 3	45%	49%	47%	−5.4	−1.5	−3.0
DEN @ LV	LV by 9	51%	49%	57%	+0.8	−1.5	+6.9
JAX @ PHI	PHI by 8	65%	70%	69%	+13.0	+16.0	+15.2
KC @ TB	KC by 10	57%	58%	53%	−7.2	−8.9	−3.1
LAC @ HOU	LAC by 10	46%	44%	34%	+4.2	+5.5	+13.4
MIN @ NO	MIN by 3	52%	52%	38%	−2.3	−1.6	+10.3
NE @ GB	GB by 3	61%	67%	77%	+9.9	+14.3	+19.8
NYJ @ PIT	NYJ by 4	57%	64%	59%	−7.2	−15.8	−9.7
SEA @ DET	SEA by 3	71%	52%	59%	−25.8	−2.3	−9.7
TEN @ IND	TEN by 7	55%	56%	63%	−5.5	−6.3	−15.0
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 15	67%	72%	59%	+13.9	+17.1	+8.1
LA @ SF	SF by 15	57%	46%	53%	+6.9	−4.6	+2.9

Week 516+43.7+33.6+49.8+2.73+2.10+3.11

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ DEN	IND by 3	64%	55%	60%	−15.8	−5.5	−11.4
ATL @ TB	TB by 6	72%	65%	78%	+17.1	+13.0	+20.3
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 7	71%	65%	77%	+16.7	+13.0	+19.8
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 2	63%	54%	59%	+10.9	+3.6	+8.1
DAL @ LA	DAL by 12	49%	51%	66%	+0.7	−0.8	−18.5
DET @ NE	NE by 29	51%	67%	59%	+0.8	+13.9	+8.1
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 7	71%	67%	70%	−24.9	−20.4	−24.0
LAC @ CLE	LAC by 2	60%	57%	47%	−10.6	−7.2	+2.8
MIA @ NYJ	NYJ by 23	46%	43%	41%	−3.8	−7.1	−9.6
NYG @ GB	NYG by 5	64%	69%	74%	−15.8	−23.1	−29.4
PHI @ ARI	PHI by 3	40%	49%	34%	+9.2	+0.7	+13.4
PIT @ BUF	BUF by 35	86%	73%	85%	+22.9	+17.8	+22.8
SEA @ NO	NO by 7	63%	54%	66%	+11.5	+3.6	+13.4
SF @ CAR	SF by 22	44%	43%	33%	+5.5	+6.8	+14.3
TEN @ WAS	TEN by 4	49%	42%	47%	+1.4	+7.4	+2.8
LV @ KC	KC by 1	73%	73%	71%	+17.8	+17.8	+16.7

Week 614−19.5−13.1−33.1−1.39−0.93−2.36

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
WAS @ CHI	WAS by 5	53%	63%	47%	−3.1	−14.1	+2.8
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 10	51%	49%	43%	+0.8	−1.5	−7.9
BAL @ NYG	NYG by 4	46%	57%	34%	−4.6	+6.9	−18.4
BUF @ KC	BUF by 4	43%	57%	43%	+6.8	−8.0	+6.8
CAR @ LA	LA by 14	62%	72%	77%	+10.4	+17.1	+19.8
CIN @ NO	CIN by 4	52%	55%	41%	−2.3	−4.7	+8.0
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 9	64%	56%	69%	+12.0	+5.6	+15.2
JAX @ IND	IND by 7	49%	67%	53%	−1.5	+14.3	+2.9
MIN @ MIA	MIN by 8	52%	53%	41%	−1.6	−3.1	+8.0
NE @ CLE	NE by 23	57%	52%	57%	−8.0	−2.3	−8.0
NYJ @ GB	NYJ by 17	58%	69%	71%	−8.9	−22.2	−25.8
SF @ ATL	ATL by 14	43%	49%	40%	−7.1	−1.5	−11.3
TB @ PIT	PIT by 2	32%	39%	23%	−21.1	−12.2	−34.6
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 3	60%	65%	60%	+8.7	+12.5	+9.3

Week 714−9.2+31.7−17.5−0.66+2.26−1.25

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ ARI	ARI by 8	49%	61%	57%	−1.5	+9.9	+6.9
ATL @ CIN	CIN by 18	63%	58%	69%	+11.5	+7.5	+15.2
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 3	65%	64%	69%	+13.0	+12.0	+15.2
DET @ DAL	DAL by 18	65%	81%	70%	+12.5	+21.2	+16.0
GB @ WAS	WAS by 2	49%	41%	38%	−0.7	−9.6	−13.1
HOU @ LV	LV by 18	65%	63%	70%	+13.0	+10.9	+16.0
IND @ TEN	TEN by 9	57%	60%	57%	+6.3	+9.3	+6.9
KC @ SF	KC by 21	49%	47%	47%	+0.7	+2.8	+2.8
NYG @ JAX	NYG by 6	57%	38%	59%	−7.2	+10.3	−9.7
NYJ @ DEN	NYJ by 7	52%	48%	44%	−1.6	+2.1	+5.5
PIT @ MIA	MIA by 6	67%	61%	71%	+13.9	+9.9	+16.7
SEA @ LAC	SEA by 14	65%	64%	66%	−17.6	−15.8	−18.5
TB @ CAR	CAR by 18	35%	35%	17%	−17.5	−16.6	−44.6
CHI @ NE	CHI by 19	77%	69%	76%	−33.9	−22.2	−33.0

Week 815+61.4+53.2+82.6+4.09+3.55+5.51

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ TB	BAL by 5	51%	57%	56%	−0.8	−7.2	−6.3
ARI @ MIN	MIN by 8	67%	66%	62%	+13.9	+13.4	+10.4
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 3	63%	65%	63%	+10.9	+13.0	+11.5
CHI @ DAL	DAL by 20	73%	75%	78%	+17.8	+18.7	+20.3
DEN @ JAX	DEN by 4	60%	52%	53%	−10.6	−2.3	−3.1
GB @ BUF	BUF by 10	87%	69%	78%	+23.3	+15.6	+20.3
LV @ NO	NO by 24	53%	53%	47%	+2.9	+2.9	−3.0
MIA @ DET	MIA by 4	50%	37%	40%	−0.0	+11.4	+9.2
NE @ NYJ	NE by 5	59%	61%	41%	−9.7	−12.3	+8.0
NYG @ SEA	SEA by 14	51%	49%	59%	+0.8	−0.7	+8.1
PIT @ PHI	PHI by 22	83%	77%	79%	+21.9	+19.8	+20.8
SF @ LA	SF by 17	50%	62%	47%	−0.0	−13.2	+2.8
TEN @ HOU	TEN by 7	47%	31%	47%	+2.8	+15.1	+2.8
WAS @ IND	WAS by 1	58%	63%	59%	−8.9	−14.1	−9.7
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 19	47%	43%	41%	−3.0	−7.1	−9.6

Week 913+68.7+40.4+46.5+5.28+3.10+3.58

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PHI @ HOU	PHI by 12	28%	23%	15%	+17.4	+19.8	+22.8
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	31%	39%	21%	−22.1	−12.2	−38.1
CAR @ CIN	CIN by 21	69%	71%	70%	+15.6	+16.4	+16.0
GB @ DET	DET by 6	53%	38%	38%	+2.9	−14.0	−13.1
IND @ NE	NE by 23	67%	60%	65%	+14.3	+9.3	+12.5
LAC @ ATL	LAC by 3	57%	55%	43%	−7.2	−4.7	+6.8
LA @ TB	TB by 3	66%	55%	59%	+13.4	+5.0	+8.1
LV @ JAX	JAX by 7	57%	48%	43%	+6.9	−2.2	−7.9
MIA @ CHI	MIA by 3	46%	43%	38%	+3.5	+6.2	+10.3
MIN @ WAS	MIN by 3	40%	43%	41%	+8.6	+6.8	+8.0
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 10	52%	52%	55%	−2.3	−2.3	−4.7
TEN @ KC	KC by 3	76%	59%	85%	+19.0	+8.1	+22.8
BAL @ NO	BAL by 14	52%	46%	47%	−1.6	+4.2	+2.8

Week 1014−68.2+6.1−39.4−4.87+0.43−2.82

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ CAR	CAR by 10	46%	44%	43%	−4.6	−6.2	−7.9
ARI @ LA	ARI by 10	55%	60%	60%	−4.7	−10.6	−11.4
CLE @ MIA	MIA by 22	54%	69%	59%	+3.6	+15.2	+8.1
DAL @ GB	GB by 3	38%	39%	40%	−13.1	−12.2	−11.3
DEN @ TEN	TEN by 7	58%	73%	57%	+7.5	+17.5	+6.9
DET @ CHI	DET by 1	53%	61%	59%	−3.1	−12.3	−9.7
HOU @ NYG	NYG by 8	67%	77%	66%	+14.3	+19.8	+13.4
IND @ LV	IND by 5	63%	50%	63%	−14.1	−0.0	−15.0
JAX @ KC	KC by 10	73%	83%	77%	+17.5	+21.9	+19.8
LAC @ SF	SF by 6	64%	56%	74%	+12.0	+5.6	+18.1
MIN @ BUF	MIN by 3	77%	58%	69%	−34.7	−8.9	−22.2
NO @ PIT	PIT by 10	37%	58%	53%	−14.8	+7.5	+2.9
SEA @ TB	TB by 5	58%	55%	57%	+7.5	+4.3	+6.9
WAS @ PHI	WAS by 11	82%	78%	79%	−41.5	−35.6	−38.2

Week 1114+91.3+37.3+105.7+6.52+2.66+7.55

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TEN @ GB	TEN by 10	52%	46%	59%	−1.6	+3.5	−9.7
CAR @ BAL	BAL by 10	77%	74%	83%	+19.6	+18.4	+22.3
CHI @ ATL	ATL by 3	63%	63%	59%	+10.9	+11.5	+8.1
CIN @ PIT	CIN by 7	33%	48%	40%	+14.3	+2.1	+9.2
CLE @ BUF	BUF by 8	83%	76%	71%	+21.9	+19.3	+16.7
DAL @ MIN	DAL by 37	56%	62%	46%	−6.3	−13.2	+4.2
DET @ NYG	DET by 13	63%	73%	59%	−15.0	−28.5	−9.7
KC @ LAC	KC by 3	37%	41%	34%	+11.4	+8.0	+13.4
LA @ NO	NO by 7	65%	50%	57%	+13.0	+0.0	+6.9
LV @ DEN	LV by 6	57%	60%	57%	−7.2	−11.4	−8.0
NYJ @ NE	NE by 7	60%	57%	60%	+8.7	+6.9	+9.3
PHI @ IND	PHI by 1	31%	40%	31%	+15.1	+9.2	+15.1
WAS @ HOU	WAS by 13	48%	37%	41%	+2.1	+11.4	+8.0
SF @ ARI	SF by 28	46%	50%	23%	+4.2	−0.0	+19.8

Week 1216+109.8+69.5+120.1+6.86+4.34+7.51

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ DET	BUF by 3	26%	33%	23%	+18.1	+13.8	+19.8
NE @ MIN	MIN by 7	52%	63%	57%	+2.2	+11.5	+6.9
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 8	76%	68%	78%	+19.0	+14.8	+20.3
ATL @ WAS	WAS by 6	55%	62%	60%	+5.0	+10.4	+9.3
BAL @ JAX	JAX by 1	45%	34%	40%	−5.4	−18.4	−11.3
CHI @ NYJ	NYJ by 21	71%	72%	74%	+16.4	+17.1	+18.1
CIN @ TEN	CIN by 4	49%	64%	47%	+0.7	−15.8	+2.8
DEN @ CAR	CAR by 13	51%	55%	47%	+0.8	+4.3	−3.0
GB @ PHI	PHI by 7	78%	73%	69%	+20.1	+17.8	+15.2
HOU @ MIA	MIA by 15	74%	82%	85%	+18.1	+21.8	+22.8
LAC @ ARI	LAC by 1	50%	53%	43%	−0.0	−3.1	+6.8
LA @ KC	KC by 16	81%	80%	89%	+21.4	+21.0	+23.8
LV @ SEA	LV by 6	60%	69%	62%	−11.4	−22.2	−13.2
NO @ SF	SF by 13	67%	71%	76%	+14.3	+16.7	+19.3
TB @ CLE	CLE by 6	53%	42%	41%	+2.9	−8.7	−9.6
PIT @ IND	PIT by 7	61%	60%	57%	−12.3	−11.4	−8.0

Week 1315+95.7+99.6+138.4+6.38+6.64+9.23

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ NE	BUF by 14	39%	47%	40%	+9.8	+2.8	+9.2
CLE @ HOU	CLE by 13	40%	40%	29%	+9.2	+8.6	+16.7
DEN @ BAL	BAL by 1	76%	74%	76%	+19.0	+18.4	+19.3
GB @ CHI	GB by 9	51%	43%	38%	−0.8	+6.8	+10.3
IND @ DAL	DAL by 35	83%	77%	79%	+21.9	+19.8	+20.8
JAX @ DET	DET by 26	52%	59%	53%	+1.5	+8.1	+2.9
KC @ CIN	CIN by 3	49%	45%	43%	−0.7	−5.4	−7.9
LAC @ LV	LV by 7	57%	47%	57%	+6.9	−3.0	+6.9
MIA @ SF	SF by 16	63%	55%	63%	+11.5	+5.0	+11.5
NYJ @ MIN	MIN by 5	53%	69%	59%	+2.9	+15.6	+8.1
PIT @ ATL	PIT by 3	66%	56%	47%	−18.5	−6.3	+2.8
SEA @ LA	SEA by 4	42%	49%	30%	+7.4	+1.4	+15.9
TEN @ PHI	PHI by 25	73%	65%	65%	+17.5	+13.0	+12.5
WAS @ NYG	tie	57%	55%	43%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
NO @ TB	TB by 1	59%	68%	60%	+8.1	+14.8	+9.3

Week 1413+85.6+25.4+54.3+6.59+1.95+4.17

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LV @ LA	LA by 1	42%	52%	31%	−8.7	+1.5	−22.1
BAL @ PIT	BAL by 2	33%	47%	55%	+13.8	+2.8	−4.7
CAR @ SEA	CAR by 6	66%	69%	60%	−18.5	−23.1	−11.4
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 13	66%	73%	63%	+13.4	+17.5	+11.5
HOU @ DAL	DAL by 4	89%	89%	90%	+23.8	+23.9	+24.0
JAX @ TEN	JAX by 14	57%	77%	59%	−7.2	−33.9	−9.7
KC @ DEN	KC by 6	33%	25%	26%	+13.8	+18.7	+18.1
MIA @ LAC	LAC by 6	48%	49%	41%	−2.2	−0.7	−9.6
MIN @ DET	DET by 11	52%	31%	57%	+1.5	−23.0	+6.9
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 8	76%	72%	77%	+19.3	+17.1	+19.8
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 26	35%	38%	29%	+12.4	+10.3	+16.7
TB @ SF	SF by 28	71%	64%	60%	+16.7	+12.0	+9.3
NE @ ARI	NE by 14	42%	48%	44%	+7.4	+2.1	+5.5

Week 1516+68.6+36.6+93.5+4.29+2.29+5.84

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SF @ SEA	SF by 8	39%	43%	41%	+9.8	+6.8	+8.0
BAL @ CLE	CLE by 10	45%	42%	57%	−5.4	−8.7	+6.9
IND @ MIN	MIN by 3	74%	77%	60%	+18.1	+19.6	+9.3
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 3	80%	69%	70%	+21.0	+15.6	+16.0
ARI @ DEN	DEN by 9	60%	48%	55%	+8.7	−2.2	+4.3
ATL @ NO	NO by 3	57%	53%	65%	+6.9	+2.9	+12.5
CIN @ TB	CIN by 11	41%	46%	40%	+8.0	+3.5	+9.2
DAL @ JAX	JAX by 6	34%	28%	38%	−18.4	−26.6	−13.1
DET @ NYJ	DET by 3	62%	63%	56%	−13.2	−14.1	−6.3
KC @ HOU	KC by 6	25%	17%	14%	+18.7	+22.2	+23.1
NE @ LV	LV by 6	49%	44%	53%	−0.7	−6.2	+2.9
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 8	60%	59%	63%	−10.6	−9.7	−15.0
PHI @ CHI	PHI by 5	22%	21%	26%	+20.1	+20.8	+18.1
PIT @ CAR	PIT by 8	61%	52%	57%	−12.3	−2.3	−8.0
TEN @ LAC	LAC by 3	58%	54%	59%	+7.5	+3.6	+8.1
LA @ GB	GB by 12	62%	63%	73%	+10.4	+11.5	+17.5

Week 1616+27.1+39.4+74.5+1.69+2.47+4.66

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
JAX @ NYJ	JAX by 16	63%	62%	57%	−15.0	−13.2	−8.0
ATL @ BAL	BAL by 8	67%	71%	69%	+14.3	+16.7	+15.2
BUF @ CHI	BUF by 22	20%	21%	28%	+21.2	+20.5	+17.4
CIN @ NE	CIN by 4	51%	46%	41%	−0.8	+4.2	+8.0
DET @ CAR	CAR by 14	45%	50%	43%	−5.4	+0.0	−7.9
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 5	65%	83%	59%	−17.6	−43.1	−9.7
LV @ PIT	PIT by 3	45%	60%	57%	−5.4	+8.7	+6.9
NO @ CLE	NO by 7	59%	61%	59%	−9.7	−12.3	−9.7
NYG @ MIN	MIN by 3	65%	69%	63%	+12.5	+15.2	+11.5
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 6	57%	49%	62%	+6.3	−0.7	+10.4
SEA @ KC	KC by 14	73%	77%	78%	+17.5	+19.6	+20.3
WAS @ SF	SF by 17	78%	69%	69%	+20.1	+15.6	+15.2
DEN @ LA	LA by 37	47%	60%	41%	−3.0	+8.7	−9.6
GB @ MIA	GB by 6	65%	59%	60%	−16.7	−9.7	−11.4
TB @ ARI	TB by 3	48%	46%	29%	+2.1	+3.5	+16.7
LAC @ IND	LAC by 17	43%	44%	40%	+6.8	+5.5	+9.2

Week 1715+61.5+55.4+128.2+4.10+3.69+8.55

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ TEN	DAL by 14	30%	39%	15%	+15.9	+9.8	+22.8
ARI @ ATL	ATL by 1	65%	57%	70%	+13.0	+6.3	+16.0
CAR @ TB	TB by 6	57%	67%	60%	+6.3	+14.3	+9.3
CHI @ DET	DET by 31	71%	69%	63%	+16.4	+15.2	+11.5
CLE @ WAS	CLE by 14	52%	62%	53%	−2.3	−13.2	−3.1
DEN @ KC	KC by 3	82%	85%	84%	+21.6	+22.8	+22.6
IND @ NYG	NYG by 28	69%	68%	66%	+15.2	+14.8	+13.4
JAX @ HOU	JAX by 28	39%	40%	40%	+9.8	+8.6	+9.2
LA @ LAC	LAC by 21	65%	69%	69%	+12.5	+15.2	+15.2
MIA @ NE	NE by 2	61%	57%	59%	+9.9	+6.3	+8.1
MIN @ GB	GB by 24	48%	42%	59%	−2.2	−8.7	+8.1
NO @ PHI	NO by 10	77%	80%	66%	−34.7	−39.0	−18.5
NYJ @ SEA	SEA by 17	49%	57%	47%	−0.7	+6.9	−3.0
PIT @ BAL	PIT by 3	74%	65%	53%	−30.3	−16.7	−3.1
SF @ LV	SF by 3	37%	35%	23%	+11.4	+12.9	+19.8

Week 1816+87.1+46.1+126.0+5.45+2.88+7.87

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
KC @ LV	KC by 18	40%	29%	25%	+8.6	+16.7	+18.7
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 4	71%	53%	67%	+16.7	+2.9	+14.3
ARI @ SF	SF by 25	85%	82%	85%	+22.8	+21.6	+22.8
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 11	64%	67%	79%	+12.0	+14.3	+20.8
CAR @ NO	CAR by 3	63%	63%	60%	−15.0	−14.1	−11.4
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 14	47%	62%	57%	−3.0	+10.4	+6.9
DAL @ WAS	WAS by 20	29%	35%	29%	−25.7	−16.6	−25.7
DET @ GB	DET by 4	51%	67%	66%	−0.8	−20.4	−18.5
HOU @ IND	HOU by 1	50%	69%	59%	−0.0	−22.2	−9.7
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 3	43%	35%	67%	−7.9	−16.6	+14.3
LA @ SEA	SEA by 3	67%	64%	66%	+14.3	+12.0	+13.4
MIN @ CHI	MIN by 16	35%	23%	31%	+12.9	+19.5	+15.1
NE @ BUF	BUF by 12	79%	73%	73%	+20.6	+17.8	+17.5
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 6	74%	70%	89%	+18.4	+16.0	+23.8
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 5	56%	63%	60%	+5.6	+10.9	+9.3
TB @ ATL	ATL by 13	58%	44%	67%	+7.5	−6.2	+14.3

2021RETRODICTION272+367.3+426.0+890.4+1.35+1.57+3.27

Week 116−3.8+4.9−7.4−0.24+0.31−0.46

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ TB	TB by 2	68%	66%	77%	+14.8	+13.4	+19.8
ARI @ TEN	ARI by 25	60%	63%	57%	−11.4	−14.1	−8.0
CHI @ LA	LA by 20	69%	60%	76%	+15.2	+9.3	+19.3
CLE @ KC	KC by 4	68%	63%	66%	+14.8	+10.9	+13.4
DEN @ NYG	DEN by 14	55%	59%	41%	−5.5	−9.7	+8.0
GB @ NO	NO by 35	50%	55%	38%	+0.0	+4.3	−13.1
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 16	52%	63%	40%	+1.5	+10.9	−11.3
LAC @ WAS	LAC by 4	53%	57%	57%	−3.1	−7.2	−8.0
MIA @ NE	MIA by 1	55%	51%	60%	−5.5	−0.8	−11.4
MIN @ CIN	CIN by 3	48%	52%	41%	−2.2	+1.5	−9.6
NYJ @ CAR	CAR by 5	60%	63%	60%	+9.3	+10.9	+9.3
PHI @ ATL	PHI by 26	57%	56%	60%	−8.0	−6.3	−11.4
PIT @ BUF	PIT by 7	66%	59%	69%	−18.5	−9.7	−22.2
SEA @ IND	SEA by 12	57%	55%	41%	−8.0	−4.7	+8.0
SF @ DET	SF by 8	38%	55%	24%	+10.9	−4.7	+19.3
BAL @ LV	LV by 6	43%	51%	41%	−7.9	+0.8	−9.6

Week 216+26.7+3.5+76.7+1.67+0.22+4.79

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYG @ WAS	WAS by 1	65%	60%	62%	+12.5	+8.7	+10.4
ATL @ TB	TB by 23	81%	76%	84%	+21.2	+19.0	+22.6
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 35	55%	57%	40%	−4.7	−8.0	+9.2
CIN @ CHI	CHI by 3	55%	55%	56%	+4.3	+5.0	+5.6
DAL @ LAC	DAL by 3	54%	65%	59%	−3.9	−17.6	−9.7
DEN @ JAX	DEN by 10	44%	41%	33%	+5.5	+8.0	+14.3
HOU @ CLE	CLE by 10	68%	63%	84%	+14.8	+11.5	+22.6
KC @ BAL	BAL by 1	49%	43%	40%	−0.7	−7.9	−11.3
LA @ IND	LA by 3	49%	52%	38%	+1.4	−2.3	+10.3
LV @ PIT	LV by 9	63%	64%	66%	−14.1	−15.8	−18.5
MIN @ ARI	ARI by 1	67%	67%	62%	+14.3	+13.9	+10.4
NE @ NYJ	NE by 19	43%	46%	34%	+6.8	+3.5	+13.4
NO @ CAR	CAR by 19	35%	43%	41%	−17.5	−7.9	−9.6
SF @ PHI	SF by 6	48%	55%	41%	+2.1	−4.7	+8.0
TEN @ SEA	TEN by 3	67%	66%	69%	−20.4	−18.5	−22.2
DET @ GB	GB by 18	55%	71%	81%	+5.0	+16.7	+21.2

Week 316+9.7+41.9+66.2+0.61+2.62+4.14

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ HOU	CAR by 15	54%	49%	28%	−3.9	+1.4	+17.4
ARI @ JAX	ARI by 12	34%	30%	28%	+13.4	+15.9	+17.4
ATL @ NYG	ATL by 3	61%	59%	59%	−12.3	−9.7	−9.7
BAL @ DET	BAL by 2	40%	38%	29%	+8.6	+10.9	+16.7
CHI @ CLE	CLE by 20	73%	63%	71%	+17.5	+11.5	+16.7
CIN @ PIT	CIN by 14	66%	70%	57%	−18.5	−24.0	−8.0
GB @ SF	GB by 2	66%	51%	60%	−18.5	−0.8	−11.4
IND @ TEN	TEN by 9	57%	63%	63%	+6.3	+10.9	+11.5
LAC @ KC	LAC by 6	74%	69%	69%	−30.3	−23.1	−22.2
MIA @ LV	LV by 3	62%	61%	62%	+10.4	+9.9	+10.4
NO @ NE	NO by 15	55%	48%	59%	−4.7	+2.1	−9.7
NYJ @ DEN	DEN by 26	69%	74%	78%	+15.6	+18.4	+20.3
SEA @ MIN	MIN by 13	49%	40%	44%	−0.7	−11.3	−6.2
TB @ LA	LA by 10	50%	56%	47%	+0.0	+5.6	−3.0
WAS @ BUF	BUF by 22	72%	68%	71%	+17.1	+14.8	+16.7
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 20	61%	60%	60%	+9.9	+9.3	+9.3

Week 416−2.2−4.9+45.9−0.14−0.30+2.87

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
JAX @ CIN	CIN by 3	67%	75%	71%	+13.9	+18.7	+16.7
ARI @ LA	ARI by 17	63%	61%	60%	−14.1	−12.3	−11.4
BAL @ DEN	BAL by 16	54%	50%	53%	−3.9	−0.0	−3.1
CAR @ DAL	DAL by 8	63%	53%	63%	+10.9	+2.9	+11.5
CLE @ MIN	CLE by 7	48%	43%	47%	+2.1	+6.2	+2.8
DET @ CHI	CHI by 10	51%	67%	59%	+0.8	+14.3	+8.1
HOU @ BUF	BUF by 40	79%	76%	92%	+20.8	+19.3	+24.4
IND @ MIA	IND by 10	52%	60%	57%	−2.3	−11.4	−8.0
KC @ PHI	KC by 12	38%	40%	29%	+10.3	+8.6	+16.7
NYG @ NO	NYG by 6	76%	78%	71%	−33.0	−35.6	−25.8
PIT @ GB	GB by 10	61%	65%	69%	+9.9	+12.5	+15.2
SEA @ SF	SEA by 7	63%	52%	57%	−15.0	−1.6	−8.0
TB @ NE	TB by 2	43%	44%	33%	+6.8	+5.5	+14.3
TEN @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	33%	28%	34%	−19.3	−27.5	−18.4
WAS @ ATL	WAS by 4	45%	52%	47%	+4.9	−1.6	+2.8
LV @ LAC	LAC by 14	55%	47%	59%	+5.0	−3.0	+8.1

Week 516+72.0+69.0+109.6+4.50+4.31+6.85

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LA @ SEA	LA by 9	52%	53%	43%	−1.6	−3.1	+6.8
BUF @ KC	BUF by 18	51%	52%	57%	−0.8	−1.6	−8.0
CHI @ LV	CHI by 11	65%	65%	66%	−17.6	−17.6	−18.5
CLE @ LAC	LAC by 5	49%	51%	57%	−0.7	+0.8	+6.9
DEN @ PIT	PIT by 8	52%	57%	44%	+1.5	+6.9	−6.2
DET @ MIN	MIN by 2	66%	66%	77%	+13.4	+13.4	+19.8
GB @ CIN	GB by 3	50%	42%	44%	−0.0	+7.4	+5.5
MIA @ TB	TB by 28	76%	69%	79%	+19.3	+15.2	+20.8
NE @ HOU	NE by 3	39%	52%	28%	+9.8	−1.6	+17.4
NO @ WAS	NO by 11	46%	50%	43%	+4.2	−0.0	+6.8
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 24	71%	69%	71%	+16.7	+15.6	+16.7
NYJ @ ATL	ATL by 7	60%	58%	59%	+8.7	+7.5	+8.1
PHI @ CAR	PHI by 3	63%	69%	57%	−15.0	−22.2	−8.0
SF @ ARI	ARI by 7	65%	72%	67%	+12.5	+17.1	+14.3
TEN @ JAX	TEN by 18	41%	29%	38%	+8.0	+16.3	+10.3
IND @ BAL	BAL by 6	66%	68%	71%	+13.4	+14.8	+16.7

Week 614+28.8+53.1+72.8+2.06+3.79+5.20

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TB @ PHI	TB by 6	33%	36%	30%	+13.8	+11.9	+15.9
ARI @ CLE	ARI by 23	55%	50%	59%	−5.5	−0.0	−9.7
CIN @ DET	CIN by 23	49%	40%	40%	+1.4	+9.2	+9.2
DAL @ NE	DAL by 6	45%	47%	40%	+4.9	+2.8	+9.2
GB @ CHI	GB by 10	44%	42%	34%	+5.5	+7.4	+13.4
HOU @ IND	IND by 28	69%	69%	78%	+15.2	+15.6	+20.3
KC @ WAS	KC by 18	40%	46%	33%	+9.2	+3.5	+14.3
LAC @ BAL	BAL by 28	60%	63%	59%	+9.3	+10.9	+8.1
LA @ NYG	LA by 27	34%	32%	29%	+13.4	+14.7	+16.7
LV @ DEN	LV by 10	62%	49%	65%	−13.2	+0.7	−16.7
MIA @ JAX	JAX by 3	51%	35%	43%	+0.8	−16.6	−7.9
MIN @ CAR	MIN by 6	57%	57%	43%	−8.0	−8.0	+6.8
SEA @ PIT	PIT by 3	52%	57%	66%	+2.2	+6.3	+13.4
BUF @ TEN	TEN by 3	33%	45%	33%	−20.2	−5.4	−20.2

Week 713+72.8+96.4+75.4+5.60+7.41+5.80

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ CLE	CLE by 3	65%	67%	56%	+12.5	+14.3	+5.6
ATL @ MIA	ATL by 2	55%	59%	46%	−5.5	−9.7	+4.2
CAR @ NYG	NYG by 22	40%	49%	41%	−10.5	−0.7	−9.6
CHI @ TB	TB by 35	81%	70%	83%	+21.4	+16.0	+21.9
CIN @ BAL	CIN by 24	70%	73%	69%	−24.0	−28.5	−22.2
DET @ LA	LA by 9	82%	86%	90%	+21.8	+22.9	+24.0
HOU @ ARI	ARI by 26	87%	86%	94%	+23.4	+22.9	+24.6
IND @ SF	IND by 12	58%	49%	60%	−8.9	+0.7	−11.4
KC @ TEN	TEN by 24	48%	58%	38%	−2.2	+7.5	−13.1
NYJ @ NE	NE by 41	76%	67%	70%	+19.0	+14.3	+16.0
PHI @ LV	LV by 11	58%	71%	53%	+7.5	+16.7	+2.9
WAS @ GB	GB by 14	68%	79%	74%	+14.8	+20.6	+18.1
NO @ SEA	NO by 3	46%	51%	33%	+3.5	−0.8	+14.3

Week 815+23.0+11.6−29.8+1.53+0.77−1.99

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ ARI	GB by 3	73%	55%	69%	−27.6	−4.7	−22.2
CAR @ ATL	CAR by 6	49%	58%	57%	+1.4	−8.9	−8.0
CIN @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	24%	33%	20%	−32.9	−19.3	−39.7
DAL @ MIN	DAL by 4	43%	48%	63%	+6.8	+2.1	−15.0
JAX @ SEA	SEA by 24	70%	74%	62%	+16.0	+18.4	+10.4
LA @ HOU	LA by 16	22%	24%	10%	+20.3	+19.3	+24.0
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 15	90%	78%	87%	+24.0	+20.3	+23.3
NE @ LAC	NE by 3	49%	67%	60%	+1.4	−20.4	−11.4
PHI @ DET	PHI by 38	48%	46%	41%	+2.1	+4.2	+8.0
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 5	65%	57%	66%	−17.6	−8.0	−18.5
SF @ CHI	SF by 11	40%	65%	37%	+8.6	−17.6	+11.4
TB @ NO	NO by 9	45%	49%	38%	−5.4	−1.5	−13.1
TEN @ IND	TEN by 3	54%	46%	59%	−3.9	+3.5	−9.7
WAS @ DEN	DEN by 7	64%	57%	62%	+12.0	+6.9	+10.4
NYG @ KC	KC by 3	73%	72%	78%	+17.8	+17.1	+20.3

Week 914−73.9−52.2−78.1−5.28−3.73−5.58

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ IND	IND by 15	81%	73%	78%	+21.2	+17.5	+20.3
ARI @ SF	ARI by 14	40%	35%	66%	+8.6	+12.9	−18.5
ATL @ NO	ATL by 2	80%	77%	70%	−39.0	−33.9	−24.0
BUF @ JAX	JAX by 3	14%	22%	14%	−48.3	−36.4	−49.0
CLE @ CIN	CLE by 25	60%	50%	57%	−11.4	−0.0	−8.0
DEN @ DAL	DEN by 14	72%	70%	78%	−26.7	−24.0	−36.5
GB @ KC	KC by 6	56%	40%	70%	+5.6	−11.3	+16.0
HOU @ MIA	MIA by 8	63%	65%	62%	+10.9	+12.5	+10.4
LAC @ PHI	LAC by 3	57%	44%	47%	−8.0	+5.5	+2.8
LV @ NYG	NYG by 7	46%	36%	41%	−4.6	−15.7	−9.6
MIN @ BAL	BAL by 3	65%	73%	71%	+13.0	+17.5	+16.7
NE @ CAR	NE by 18	44%	53%	40%	+5.5	−3.1	+9.2
TEN @ LA	TEN by 12	65%	58%	70%	−16.7	−8.9	−24.0
CHI @ PIT	PIT by 2	70%	69%	70%	+16.0	+15.2	+16.0

Week 1014−28.2−59.2−22.1−2.01−4.23−1.58

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ MIA	MIA by 12	33%	32%	26%	−19.3	−21.1	−29.3
ATL @ DAL	DAL by 40	76%	69%	73%	+19.3	+15.2	+17.5
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 28	15%	29%	17%	+22.8	+16.3	+22.2
CAR @ ARI	CAR by 24	83%	81%	70%	−43.1	−39.8	−24.0
CLE @ NE	NE by 38	61%	49%	57%	+9.9	−1.5	+6.9
DET @ PIT	tie	74%	87%	75%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
JAX @ IND	IND by 6	78%	74%	78%	+20.3	+18.4	+20.3
KC @ LV	KC by 27	49%	51%	43%	+1.4	−0.8	+6.8
MIN @ LAC	MIN by 7	57%	67%	59%	−7.2	−20.4	−9.7
NO @ TEN	TEN by 2	57%	65%	59%	+6.9	+13.0	+8.1
PHI @ DEN	PHI by 17	59%	67%	53%	−9.7	−19.4	−3.1
SEA @ GB	GB by 17	60%	75%	59%	+8.7	+18.7	+8.1
TB @ WAS	WAS by 10	25%	33%	23%	−32.0	−20.2	−34.6
LA @ SF	SF by 21	44%	35%	40%	−6.2	−17.5	−11.3

Week 1115+18.5−43.6+41.5+1.23−2.91+2.77

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NE @ ATL	NE by 25	23%	46%	30%	+19.8	+3.5	+15.9
ARI @ SEA	ARI by 10	40%	41%	57%	+9.2	+8.0	−8.0
BAL @ CHI	BAL by 3	35%	40%	35%	+12.9	+8.6	+12.4
CIN @ LV	CIN by 19	46%	63%	47%	+4.2	−14.1	+2.8
DAL @ KC	KC by 10	49%	61%	57%	−0.7	+9.9	+6.9
DET @ CLE	CLE by 3	76%	83%	83%	+19.0	+21.9	+22.3
GB @ MIN	MIN by 3	52%	33%	47%	+2.2	−20.2	−3.0
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 9	86%	90%	78%	−48.4	−55.7	−36.5
IND @ BUF	IND by 26	77%	65%	71%	−34.7	−16.7	−25.8
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 7	40%	43%	40%	+8.6	+6.2	+9.2
NO @ PHI	PHI by 11	50%	41%	57%	+0.0	−9.6	+6.9
PIT @ LAC	LAC by 4	58%	47%	66%	+7.5	−3.0	+13.4
SF @ JAX	SF by 20	34%	42%	31%	+13.4	+7.4	+15.1
WAS @ CAR	WAS by 6	64%	57%	60%	−15.8	−8.0	−11.4
NYG @ TB	TB by 20	81%	74%	81%	+21.2	+18.1	+21.2

Week 1215−8.0+17.6+10.3−0.53+1.17+0.68

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ NO	BUF by 25	44%	54%	30%	+5.5	−3.9	+15.9
CHI @ DET	CHI by 2	51%	37%	44%	−0.8	+11.4	+5.5
LV @ DAL	LV by 3	79%	63%	70%	−38.2	−14.1	−24.0
ATL @ JAX	ATL by 7	57%	46%	46%	−7.2	+3.5	+4.2
CAR @ MIA	MIA by 23	48%	60%	47%	−2.2	+9.3	−3.0
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 6	60%	63%	59%	+9.3	+11.5	+8.1
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 15	55%	47%	43%	+5.0	−3.0	−7.9
LA @ GB	GB by 8	55%	62%	44%	+5.0	+10.4	−6.2
MIN @ SF	SF by 8	61%	55%	60%	+9.9	+4.3	+9.3
NYJ @ HOU	NYJ by 7	59%	60%	59%	−9.7	−10.6	−9.7
PHI @ NYG	NYG by 6	38%	52%	38%	−14.0	+1.5	−13.1
PIT @ CIN	CIN by 31	66%	47%	60%	+13.4	−3.0	+9.3
TB @ IND	TB by 7	51%	51%	41%	−0.8	−0.8	+8.0
TEN @ NE	NE by 23	70%	46%	71%	+16.0	−4.6	+16.7
SEA @ WAS	WAS by 2	51%	56%	47%	+0.8	+5.6	−3.0

Week 1314+48.9+32.4+72.7+3.49+2.32+5.19

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ NO	DAL by 10	48%	56%	33%	+2.1	−6.3	+14.3
ARI @ CHI	ARI by 11	25%	36%	29%	+19.0	+11.9	+16.7
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 1	43%	47%	38%	−7.1	−3.0	−13.1
DEN @ KC	KC by 13	65%	72%	74%	+12.5	+17.1	+18.1
IND @ HOU	IND by 31	25%	32%	23%	+19.0	+14.7	+19.8
JAX @ LA	LA by 30	81%	83%	85%	+21.4	+22.3	+22.8
LAC @ CIN	LAC by 19	71%	56%	57%	−24.9	−6.3	−8.0
MIN @ DET	DET by 2	34%	31%	30%	−18.4	−23.0	−23.9
NYG @ MIA	MIA by 11	60%	62%	69%	+9.3	+10.4	+15.2
PHI @ NYJ	PHI by 15	26%	45%	35%	+18.1	+4.9	+12.4
SF @ SEA	SEA by 7	44%	49%	41%	−6.2	−0.7	−9.6
TB @ ATL	TB by 13	20%	34%	21%	+21.2	+13.4	+20.8
WAS @ LV	WAS by 2	55%	60%	53%	−4.7	−10.6	−3.1
NE @ BUF	NE by 4	61%	61%	59%	−12.3	−12.3	−9.7

Week 1414+106.6+90.9+162.9+7.62+6.49+11.63

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PIT @ MIN	MIN by 8	65%	43%	60%	+12.5	−7.1	+9.3
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 8	70%	56%	57%	−24.0	−6.3	−8.0
BAL @ CLE	CLE by 2	52%	49%	59%	+2.2	−0.7	+8.1
BUF @ TB	TB by 6	55%	64%	60%	+4.3	+12.0	+9.3
CHI @ GB	GB by 15	78%	79%	81%	+20.3	+20.8	+21.2
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 7	34%	52%	31%	+13.4	−2.3	+15.1
DET @ DEN	DEN by 28	74%	76%	83%	+18.1	+19.3	+22.3
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 20	81%	85%	74%	+21.4	+22.7	+18.1
LV @ KC	KC by 39	76%	72%	77%	+19.0	+17.1	+19.8
NO @ NYJ	NO by 21	27%	36%	37%	+17.8	+11.9	+11.4
NYG @ LAC	LAC by 16	70%	69%	76%	+16.0	+15.2	+19.3
SEA @ HOU	SEA by 20	32%	37%	23%	+14.7	+11.4	+19.8
SF @ CIN	SF by 3	60%	57%	43%	−10.6	−7.2	+6.8
LA @ ARI	LA by 7	66%	64%	59%	−18.5	−15.8	−9.7

Week 1516+17.6−12.7+57.0+1.10−0.79+3.56

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
KC @ LAC	KC by 6	44%	44%	41%	+5.5	+5.5	+8.0
NE @ IND	IND by 10	49%	54%	47%	−1.5	+3.6	−3.0
ARI @ DET	DET by 18	20%	19%	17%	−38.9	−40.6	−44.6
ATL @ SF	SF by 18	79%	65%	76%	+20.8	+13.0	+19.3
CAR @ BUF	BUF by 17	83%	74%	85%	+22.1	+18.4	+22.8
CIN @ DEN	CIN by 5	54%	57%	59%	−3.9	−8.0	−9.7
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 15	27%	39%	20%	+17.8	+9.8	+21.2
GB @ BAL	GB by 1	52%	46%	24%	−1.6	+4.2	+19.3
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 14	56%	58%	67%	−6.3	−8.9	−20.4
NO @ TB	NO by 9	71%	72%	81%	−25.8	−26.7	−39.8
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 7	77%	76%	78%	+19.6	+19.0	+20.3
TEN @ PIT	PIT by 6	42%	49%	53%	−8.7	−0.7	+2.9
LV @ CLE	LV by 2	71%	66%	41%	−25.8	−18.5	+8.0
MIN @ CHI	MIN by 8	35%	51%	30%	+12.4	−0.8	+15.9
SEA @ LA	LA by 10	69%	71%	71%	+15.2	+16.4	+16.7
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 10	71%	52%	77%	+16.7	+1.5	+19.8

Week 1616+5.1+62.2+59.8+0.32+3.89+3.74

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SF @ TEN	TEN by 3	54%	63%	40%	+3.6	+10.9	−11.3
CLE @ GB	GB by 2	67%	73%	71%	+13.9	+17.5	+16.7
IND @ ARI	IND by 6	57%	60%	59%	−7.2	−11.4	−9.7
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 20	63%	49%	71%	+10.9	−1.5	+16.7
BUF @ NE	BUF by 12	58%	55%	53%	−8.9	−4.7	−3.1
CHI @ SEA	CHI by 1	72%	62%	70%	−26.7	−13.2	−24.0
DEN @ LV	LV by 4	38%	60%	47%	−14.0	+9.3	−3.0
DET @ ATL	ATL by 4	50%	69%	71%	+0.0	+15.2	+16.7
JAX @ NYJ	NYJ by 5	52%	59%	57%	+1.5	+8.1	+6.9
LAC @ HOU	HOU by 12	28%	31%	16%	−26.6	−22.1	−46.1
LA @ MIN	LA by 7	48%	43%	40%	+2.1	+6.8	+9.2
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 24	79%	65%	79%	+20.6	+12.5	+20.8
PIT @ KC	KC by 26	78%	68%	78%	+20.3	+14.8	+20.3
TB @ CAR	TB by 26	31%	28%	20%	+15.5	+17.1	+21.2
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 42	80%	67%	78%	+21.0	+14.3	+20.3
MIA @ NO	MIA by 17	68%	60%	41%	−21.3	−11.4	+8.0

Week 1716+118.1+138.4+155.9+7.38+8.65+9.74

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ DAL	ARI by 3	67%	58%	69%	−20.4	−8.9	−22.2
ATL @ BUF	BUF by 14	91%	73%	85%	+24.1	+17.8	+22.8
CAR @ NO	NO by 8	72%	73%	70%	+17.1	+17.8	+16.0
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 21	55%	63%	73%	+4.3	+11.5	+17.5
DET @ SEA	SEA by 22	71%	74%	74%	+16.4	+18.1	+18.1
HOU @ SF	SF by 16	82%	75%	85%	+21.6	+18.7	+22.8
JAX @ NE	NE by 40	92%	83%	90%	+24.4	+22.1	+24.1
KC @ CIN	CIN by 3	50%	38%	40%	+0.0	−14.0	−11.3
LA @ BAL	LA by 1	44%	46%	30%	+5.5	+4.2	+15.9
LV @ IND	LV by 3	82%	63%	74%	−42.3	−15.0	−29.4
MIA @ TEN	TEN by 31	65%	65%	59%	+13.0	+13.0	+8.1
MIN @ GB	GB by 27	64%	79%	83%	+12.0	+20.6	+22.3
NYG @ CHI	CHI by 26	58%	62%	70%	+7.5	+10.4	+16.0
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 4	31%	55%	31%	+15.5	−4.7	+15.1
TB @ NYJ	TB by 4	14%	23%	14%	+23.1	+19.8	+23.1
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 12	46%	57%	47%	−3.8	+6.9	−3.0

Week 1816−64.4−23.1+21.1−4.03−1.45+1.32

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 25	49%	49%	31%	+1.4	+0.7	+15.1
KC @ DEN	KC by 4	40%	32%	20%	+9.2	+14.7	+21.2
CAR @ TB	TB by 24	84%	85%	79%	+22.6	+22.7	+20.8
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 14	67%	60%	60%	+14.3	+9.3	+9.3
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 5	43%	55%	69%	−7.9	+5.0	+15.2
GB @ DET	DET by 7	26%	14%	38%	−29.3	−49.0	−13.1
IND @ JAX	JAX by 15	15%	24%	15%	−46.8	−32.9	−47.6
LAC @ LV	LV by 3	40%	57%	40%	−11.3	+6.9	−11.3
NE @ MIA	MIA by 9	27%	54%	33%	−28.4	+3.6	−20.2
NO @ ATL	NO by 10	31%	44%	37%	+15.1	+5.5	+11.4
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 17	93%	84%	88%	+24.5	+22.4	+23.7
PIT @ BAL	PIT by 3	64%	53%	59%	−15.8	−3.1	−9.7
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 8	68%	71%	66%	−21.3	−24.9	−18.5
SF @ LA	SF by 3	61%	71%	59%	−12.3	−24.9	−9.7
TEN @ HOU	TEN by 3	25%	25%	22%	+18.7	+18.7	+20.3
WAS @ NYG	WAS by 15	47%	48%	33%	+2.8	+2.1	+14.3

2020RETRODICTION256+849.3+821.7+1187.0+3.32+3.21+4.64

Week 116+17.3+47.0+37.2+1.08+2.94+2.33

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
HOU @ KC	KC by 14	77%	60%	76%	+19.6	+9.3	+19.3
ARI @ SF	ARI by 4	72%	71%	70%	−26.7	−24.9	−24.0
CHI @ DET	CHI by 4	52%	48%	57%	−2.3	+2.1	−8.0
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 32	73%	71%	70%	+17.5	+16.7	+16.0
DAL @ LA	LA by 3	50%	59%	53%	+0.0	+8.1	+2.9
GB @ MIN	GB by 9	57%	51%	53%	−7.2	−0.8	−3.1
IND @ JAX	JAX by 7	38%	55%	30%	−13.1	+4.3	−23.9
LAC @ CIN	LAC by 3	48%	51%	43%	+2.1	−0.8	+6.8
LV @ CAR	LV by 4	49%	53%	41%	+0.7	−3.1	+8.0
MIA @ NE	NE by 10	67%	70%	71%	+14.3	+16.0	+16.7
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 10	65%	63%	69%	+13.0	+10.9	+15.2
PHI @ WAS	WAS by 10	38%	45%	34%	−13.1	−5.4	−18.4
SEA @ ATL	SEA by 13	49%	49%	53%	+0.7	+1.4	−3.1
TB @ NO	NO by 11	61%	68%	62%	+9.9	+14.8	+10.4
PIT @ NYG	PIT by 10	46%	49%	33%	+4.2	+1.4	+14.3
TEN @ DEN	TEN by 2	52%	53%	41%	−2.3	−3.1	+8.0

Week 216+138.4+128.5+178.1+8.65+8.03+11.13

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 5	59%	65%	67%	+8.1	+13.0	+14.3
ATL @ DAL	DAL by 1	63%	59%	59%	+10.9	+8.1	+8.1
BAL @ HOU	BAL by 17	29%	42%	29%	+16.7	+7.4	+16.7
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 3	45%	40%	34%	+4.9	+8.6	+13.4
CAR @ TB	TB by 14	67%	62%	71%	+13.9	+10.4	+16.7
DEN @ PIT	PIT by 5	64%	65%	67%	+12.0	+12.5	+14.3
DET @ GB	GB by 21	73%	79%	70%	+17.5	+20.8	+16.0
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 3	65%	62%	70%	+13.0	+10.4	+16.0
KC @ LAC	KC by 3	33%	43%	26%	+14.3	+6.8	+18.1
LA @ PHI	LA by 18	55%	48%	56%	−4.7	+2.1	−6.3
MIN @ IND	IND by 17	52%	50%	60%	+1.5	+0.0	+9.3
NE @ SEA	SEA by 5	64%	56%	62%	+12.0	+5.6	+10.4
NYG @ CHI	CHI by 4	65%	70%	63%	+12.5	+16.0	+11.5
SF @ NYJ	SF by 18	43%	47%	30%	+6.8	+2.8	+15.9
WAS @ ARI	ARI by 15	60%	60%	71%	+8.7	+9.3	+16.7
NO @ LV	LV by 10	41%	45%	38%	−9.6	−5.4	−13.1

Week 316+14.1+16.9+37.3+0.88+1.06+2.33

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIA @ JAX	MIA by 18	53%	65%	59%	−3.1	−16.7	−9.7
CAR @ LAC	CAR by 5	61%	65%	67%	−12.3	−16.7	−20.4
CHI @ ATL	CHI by 4	56%	42%	57%	−6.3	+7.4	−8.0
CIN @ PHI	tie	63%	68%	66%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
DAL @ SEA	SEA by 7	65%	70%	66%	+12.5	+16.0	+13.4
DET @ ARI	DET by 3	68%	73%	63%	−21.3	−27.6	−15.0
GB @ NO	GB by 7	53%	49%	60%	−3.1	+0.7	−11.4
HOU @ PIT	PIT by 7	72%	65%	62%	+17.1	+13.0	+10.4
LA @ BUF	BUF by 3	59%	57%	55%	+8.1	+6.9	+4.3
LV @ NE	NE by 16	58%	57%	70%	+7.5	+6.9	+16.0
NYJ @ IND	IND by 29	69%	63%	83%	+15.2	+11.5	+21.9
SF @ NYG	SF by 27	38%	35%	41%	+10.9	+12.4	+8.0
TB @ DEN	TB by 18	49%	50%	33%	+0.7	−0.0	+14.3
TEN @ MIN	TEN by 1	53%	45%	41%	−3.1	+4.9	+8.0
WAS @ CLE	CLE by 14	59%	61%	71%	+8.1	+9.9	+16.7
KC @ BAL	KC by 14	65%	60%	60%	−16.7	−11.4	−11.4

Week 415+74.2+44.5+65.5+4.95+2.97+4.36

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ NYJ	DEN by 9	47%	56%	53%	+2.8	−6.3	−3.1
ARI @ CAR	CAR by 10	51%	49%	41%	+0.8	−0.7	−9.6
BAL @ WAS	BAL by 14	25%	33%	14%	+18.7	+14.3	+23.1
BUF @ LV	BUF by 7	49%	46%	41%	+1.4	+4.2	+8.0
CLE @ DAL	CLE by 11	62%	54%	60%	−13.2	−3.9	−11.4
IND @ CHI	IND by 8	50%	63%	40%	−0.0	−15.0	+9.2
JAX @ CIN	CIN by 8	58%	46%	53%	+7.5	−3.8	+2.9
LAC @ TB	TB by 7	70%	67%	71%	+16.0	+14.3	+16.7
MIN @ HOU	MIN by 8	47%	57%	60%	+2.8	−7.2	−11.4
NO @ DET	NO by 6	40%	42%	41%	+9.2	+7.4	+8.0
NYG @ LA	LA by 8	74%	75%	84%	+18.1	+18.7	+22.6
PHI @ SF	PHI by 5	76%	71%	74%	−32.1	−25.8	−29.4
SEA @ MIA	SEA by 8	43%	33%	37%	+6.8	+14.3	+11.4
ATL @ GB	GB by 14	73%	83%	65%	+17.8	+21.9	+12.5
NE @ KC	KC by 16	73%	64%	70%	+17.5	+12.0	+16.0

Week 514+37.7+65.5+40.1+2.69+4.68+2.87

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TB @ CHI	CHI by 1	48%	57%	40%	−2.2	+6.3	−11.3
ARI @ NYJ	ARI by 20	43%	47%	30%	+6.8	+2.8	+15.9
CAR @ ATL	CAR by 7	55%	49%	57%	−5.5	+1.4	−8.0
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 24	83%	82%	83%	+21.9	+21.6	+21.9
IND @ CLE	CLE by 9	51%	55%	53%	+0.8	+4.3	+2.9
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 16	57%	60%	69%	+6.9	+8.7	+15.2
LA @ WAS	LA by 20	38%	37%	30%	+10.3	+11.4	+15.9
LV @ KC	LV by 8	80%	75%	79%	−39.0	−31.2	−38.2
MIA @ SF	MIA by 26	71%	72%	74%	−25.8	−26.7	−29.4
MIN @ SEA	SEA by 1	71%	75%	69%	+16.7	+18.7	+15.2
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 3	71%	67%	71%	+16.7	+14.3	+16.7
PHI @ PIT	PIT by 9	68%	67%	71%	+14.8	+13.9	+16.7
LAC @ NO	NO by 3	69%	74%	70%	+15.2	+18.4	+16.0
BUF @ TEN	TEN by 26	50%	52%	41%	+0.0	+1.5	−9.6

Week 614+54.2+4.8+41.2+3.87+0.34+2.94

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ MIN	ATL by 17	63%	69%	60%	−14.1	−22.2	−11.4
BAL @ PHI	BAL by 2	31%	35%	22%	+15.5	+12.9	+20.3
CHI @ CAR	CHI by 7	55%	47%	56%	−5.5	+2.8	−6.3
CIN @ IND	IND by 4	75%	73%	71%	+18.7	+17.5	+16.7
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 31	63%	63%	59%	+11.5	+10.9	+8.1
DEN @ NE	DEN by 6	65%	71%	70%	−16.7	−25.8	−24.0
DET @ JAX	DET by 18	50%	54%	41%	−0.0	−3.9	+8.0
GB @ TB	TB by 28	45%	38%	41%	−5.4	−13.1	−9.6
HOU @ TEN	TEN by 6	73%	75%	62%	+17.5	+18.7	+10.4
LA @ SF	SF by 8	56%	49%	44%	+5.6	−0.7	−6.2
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 24	80%	68%	76%	+21.0	+14.8	+19.3
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 1	58%	52%	56%	+7.5	+2.2	+5.6
ARI @ DAL	ARI by 28	60%	55%	53%	−10.6	−5.5	−3.1
KC @ BUF	KC by 9	40%	54%	34%	+9.2	−3.9	+13.4

Week 714+79.7+49.9+93.5+5.69+3.56+6.68

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 1	65%	66%	65%	+13.0	+13.4	+12.5
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 8	30%	27%	24%	+15.9	+17.8	+19.3
CAR @ NO	NO by 3	66%	70%	70%	+13.4	+16.0	+16.0
CLE @ CIN	CLE by 3	47%	37%	37%	+2.8	+11.4	+11.4
DAL @ WAS	WAS by 22	43%	46%	47%	−7.1	−4.6	−3.0
DET @ ATL	DET by 1	58%	54%	53%	−8.9	−3.9	−3.1
GB @ HOU	GB by 15	39%	34%	43%	+9.8	+13.4	+6.8
JAX @ LAC	LAC by 10	68%	60%	73%	+14.8	+8.7	+17.5
KC @ DEN	KC by 27	33%	35%	30%	+13.8	+12.9	+15.9
PIT @ TEN	PIT by 3	52%	60%	53%	−1.6	−10.6	−3.1
SEA @ ARI	ARI by 3	49%	37%	40%	−1.5	−14.8	−11.3
SF @ NE	SF by 27	50%	57%	59%	−0.0	−7.2	−9.7
TB @ LV	TB by 25	46%	55%	40%	+4.2	−5.5	+9.2
CHI @ LA	LA by 14	63%	53%	69%	+10.9	+2.9	+15.2

Week 814+13.2−21.0+16.4+0.94−1.50+1.17

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 8	59%	65%	55%	−9.7	−16.7	−4.7
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 14	63%	63%	77%	+10.9	+11.5	+19.8
IND @ DET	IND by 20	42%	47%	40%	+7.4	+2.8	+9.2
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 1	51%	65%	41%	+0.8	+12.5	−9.6
LA @ MIA	MIA by 11	63%	44%	40%	+10.9	−6.2	−11.3
LV @ CLE	LV by 10	58%	59%	53%	−8.9	−9.7	−3.1
MIN @ GB	MIN by 6	74%	79%	66%	−29.4	−37.3	−18.5
NE @ BUF	BUF by 3	65%	66%	62%	+12.5	+13.4	+10.4
NO @ CHI	NO by 3	50%	52%	34%	−0.0	−1.6	+13.4
NYJ @ KC	KC by 26	92%	89%	93%	+24.4	+23.9	+24.5
PIT @ BAL	PIT by 4	65%	60%	62%	−16.7	−11.4	−13.2
SF @ SEA	SEA by 10	60%	65%	53%	+8.7	+13.0	+2.9
TEN @ CIN	CIN by 11	37%	26%	29%	−14.8	−30.2	−25.7
TB @ NYG	TB by 2	28%	31%	17%	+17.1	+15.1	+22.2

Week 914+32.8+70.4+77.3+2.34+5.03+5.52

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ SF	GB by 17	57%	49%	33%	−7.2	+1.4	+14.3
BAL @ IND	BAL by 14	51%	46%	53%	−0.8	+4.2	−3.1
CAR @ KC	KC by 2	84%	83%	77%	+22.4	+22.3	+19.8
CHI @ TEN	TEN by 7	64%	61%	69%	+12.0	+9.9	+15.2
DEN @ ATL	ATL by 7	60%	47%	63%	+8.7	−3.0	+11.5
DET @ MIN	MIN by 14	60%	63%	59%	+9.3	+10.9	+8.1
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 2	47%	44%	30%	+2.8	+5.5	+15.9
LV @ LAC	LV by 5	56%	38%	47%	−6.3	+10.9	+2.8
MIA @ ARI	MIA by 3	53%	62%	67%	−3.1	−13.2	−20.4
NO @ TB	NO by 35	68%	52%	59%	−21.3	−1.6	−9.7
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 3	57%	60%	59%	−7.2	−11.4	−9.7
PIT @ DAL	PIT by 5	26%	26%	15%	+18.1	+18.4	+22.8
SEA @ BUF	BUF by 10	43%	52%	41%	−7.1	+2.2	−9.6
NE @ NYJ	NE by 3	35%	33%	24%	+12.4	+13.8	+19.3

Week 1014+74.7+71.1+91.5+5.33+5.08+6.54

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ TEN	IND by 17	54%	64%	47%	−3.9	−15.8	+2.8
BAL @ NE	NE by 6	31%	39%	30%	−23.0	−12.2	−23.9
BUF @ ARI	ARI by 2	60%	41%	59%	+9.3	−9.6	+8.1
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 26	79%	86%	69%	+20.6	+22.9	+15.2
DEN @ LV	LV by 25	63%	68%	60%	+10.9	+14.8	+9.3
HOU @ CLE	CLE by 3	60%	65%	63%	+9.3	+12.5	+11.5
JAX @ GB	GB by 4	83%	88%	84%	+22.1	+23.5	+22.6
LAC @ MIA	MIA by 8	75%	73%	53%	+18.7	+17.8	+2.9
PHI @ NYG	NYG by 10	48%	43%	37%	−2.2	−7.9	−14.8
SEA @ LA	LA by 7	50%	48%	59%	+0.0	−2.2	+8.1
SF @ NO	NO by 14	63%	69%	76%	+11.5	+15.6	+19.3
TB @ CAR	TB by 23	46%	38%	33%	+3.5	+10.9	+14.3
WAS @ DET	DET by 3	55%	63%	57%	+5.0	+11.5	+6.9
MIN @ CHI	MIN by 6	57%	60%	40%	−7.2	−10.6	+9.2

Week 1114+13.5+26.2+3.4+0.97+1.87+0.25

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 7	59%	63%	59%	+8.1	+11.5	+8.1
ATL @ NO	NO by 15	73%	82%	60%	+17.5	+21.6	+9.3
CIN @ WAS	WAS by 11	57%	52%	56%	+6.3	+2.2	+5.6
DAL @ MIN	DAL by 3	70%	72%	70%	−24.0	−26.7	−24.0
DET @ CAR	CAR by 20	61%	52%	41%	+9.9	+1.5	−9.6
GB @ IND	IND by 3	59%	46%	55%	+8.1	−4.6	+4.3
KC @ LV	KC by 4	35%	42%	29%	+12.9	+7.4	+16.7
MIA @ DEN	DEN by 7	29%	46%	38%	−24.8	−3.8	−13.1
NE @ HOU	HOU by 7	50%	43%	43%	+0.0	−7.1	−7.9
NYJ @ LAC	LAC by 6	76%	63%	77%	+19.3	+10.9	+19.8
PHI @ CLE	CLE by 5	55%	65%	57%	+5.0	+13.0	+6.9
PIT @ JAX	PIT by 24	21%	16%	21%	+20.5	+22.4	+20.8
TEN @ BAL	TEN by 6	74%	63%	67%	−29.4	−15.0	−20.4
LA @ TB	LA by 3	64%	57%	62%	−15.8	−7.2	−13.2

Week 1216+68.3+87.5+112.8+4.27+5.47+7.05

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
HOU @ DET	HOU by 16	50%	52%	41%	−0.0	−1.6	+8.0
WAS @ DAL	WAS by 25	49%	63%	57%	+1.4	−15.0	−8.0
ARI @ NE	NE by 3	44%	55%	47%	−6.2	+5.0	−3.0
CAR @ MIN	MIN by 1	56%	66%	59%	+5.6	+13.4	+8.1
CHI @ GB	GB by 16	72%	71%	71%	+17.1	+16.4	+16.7
CLE @ JAX	CLE by 2	38%	27%	29%	+10.3	+17.8	+16.7
KC @ TB	KC by 3	43%	40%	40%	+6.2	+9.2	+9.2
LAC @ BUF	BUF by 10	65%	82%	63%	+12.5	+21.8	+11.5
LV @ ATL	ATL by 37	48%	40%	40%	−2.2	−11.3	−11.3
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 17	18%	29%	29%	+21.9	+16.3	+16.7
NO @ DEN	NO by 28	31%	32%	10%	+15.5	+14.7	+24.0
NYG @ CIN	NYG by 2	51%	51%	31%	−0.8	−0.8	+15.1
SF @ LA	SF by 3	62%	66%	65%	−13.2	−18.5	−16.7
TEN @ IND	TEN by 19	67%	55%	59%	−20.4	−4.7	−9.7
SEA @ PHI	SEA by 6	41%	37%	31%	+8.0	+11.4	+15.1
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 5	65%	66%	78%	+12.5	+13.4	+20.3

Week 1315+11.4+36.2+45.8+0.76+2.41+3.05

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CIN @ MIA	MIA by 12	83%	77%	78%	+21.9	+19.8	+20.3
CLE @ TEN	CLE by 6	68%	63%	62%	−21.3	−14.1	−13.2
DEN @ KC	KC by 6	89%	83%	83%	+23.8	+22.3	+22.3
DET @ CHI	DET by 4	66%	67%	59%	−18.5	−19.4	−9.7
IND @ HOU	IND by 6	40%	46%	40%	+8.6	+4.2	+9.2
JAX @ MIN	MIN by 3	73%	81%	78%	+17.5	+21.2	+20.3
LA @ ARI	LA by 10	57%	49%	43%	−7.2	+1.4	+6.8
LV @ NYJ	LV by 3	28%	26%	29%	+17.1	+18.4	+16.7
NE @ LAC	NE by 45	56%	35%	57%	−6.3	+12.4	−8.0
NO @ ATL	NO by 5	40%	29%	43%	+8.6	+16.7	+6.8
NYG @ SEA	NYG by 5	74%	79%	79%	−29.4	−38.2	−38.2
PHI @ GB	GB by 14	76%	78%	73%	+19.0	+20.1	+17.5
BUF @ SF	BUF by 10	55%	47%	55%	−4.7	+2.8	−4.7
WAS @ PIT	WAS by 6	81%	88%	66%	−40.7	−51.9	−18.5
DAL @ BAL	BAL by 17	86%	78%	74%	+22.9	+20.3	+18.1

Week 1416+26.6+38.6+92.9+1.66+2.41+5.81

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NE @ LA	LA by 21	64%	62%	65%	+12.0	+10.4	+12.5
ARI @ NYG	ARI by 19	46%	50%	41%	+3.5	−0.0	+8.0
ATL @ LAC	LAC by 3	41%	46%	53%	−9.6	−4.6	+2.9
DAL @ CIN	DAL by 23	61%	49%	41%	−12.3	+0.7	+8.0
DEN @ CAR	DEN by 5	71%	51%	62%	−24.9	−0.8	−13.2
GB @ DET	GB by 7	28%	30%	24%	+17.4	+15.9	+19.3
HOU @ CHI	CHI by 29	57%	56%	47%	+6.3	+5.6	−3.0
IND @ LV	IND by 17	43%	52%	43%	+6.8	−2.3	+6.8
KC @ MIA	KC by 6	51%	33%	29%	−0.8	+14.3	+16.7
MIN @ TB	TB by 12	70%	60%	70%	+16.0	+8.7	+16.0
NO @ PHI	PHI by 3	31%	26%	29%	−22.1	−29.3	−25.7
NYJ @ SEA	SEA by 37	87%	89%	89%	+23.4	+23.7	+23.8
PIT @ BUF	BUF by 11	44%	54%	56%	−6.2	+3.6	+5.6
TEN @ JAX	TEN by 21	30%	21%	29%	+15.9	+20.5	+16.7
WAS @ SF	WAS by 8	59%	70%	59%	−9.7	−24.0	−9.7
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 5	38%	54%	41%	+10.9	−3.9	+8.0

Week 1516+15.3+5.2+12.9+0.95+0.33+0.80

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LAC @ LV	LAC by 3	63%	74%	60%	−15.0	−29.4	−11.4
BUF @ DEN	BUF by 29	33%	33%	34%	+13.8	+13.8	+13.4
CAR @ GB	GB by 8	73%	84%	76%	+17.5	+22.4	+19.3
CHI @ MIN	CHI by 6	54%	60%	57%	−3.9	−11.4	−8.0
CLE @ NYG	CLE by 14	50%	40%	33%	−0.0	+9.2	+14.3
DET @ TEN	TEN by 21	77%	78%	76%	+19.8	+20.1	+19.3
HOU @ IND	IND by 7	79%	73%	71%	+20.6	+17.8	+16.7
JAX @ BAL	BAL by 26	88%	89%	83%	+23.6	+23.9	+22.3
KC @ NO	KC by 3	51%	46%	43%	−0.8	+4.2	+6.8
NE @ MIA	MIA by 10	76%	55%	46%	+19.0	+5.0	−4.6
NYJ @ LA	NYJ by 3	91%	90%	90%	−57.4	−55.7	−56.8
PHI @ ARI	ARI by 7	70%	63%	69%	+16.0	+10.9	+15.2
SEA @ WAS	SEA by 5	45%	37%	33%	+4.9	+11.4	+14.3
SF @ DAL	DAL by 8	38%	43%	38%	−13.1	−7.1	−13.1
TB @ ATL	TB by 4	45%	39%	33%	+4.9	+9.8	+14.3
PIT @ CIN	CIN by 10	23%	20%	14%	−34.6	−39.7	−49.0

Week 1616+81.5+50.4+59.5+5.09+3.15+3.72

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIN @ NO	NO by 19	76%	74%	69%	+19.3	+18.4	+15.2
MIA @ LV	MIA by 1	34%	53%	44%	+13.4	−3.1	+5.5
SF @ ARI	SF by 8	67%	61%	67%	−19.4	−12.3	−20.4
TB @ DET	TB by 40	27%	35%	19%	+17.8	+12.4	+21.6
ATL @ KC	KC by 3	79%	90%	79%	+20.8	+24.0	+20.8
CAR @ WAS	CAR by 7	59%	63%	47%	−9.7	−14.1	+2.8
CHI @ JAX	CHI by 24	31%	29%	24%	+15.1	+16.3	+19.3
CIN @ HOU	CIN by 6	59%	68%	71%	−9.7	−21.3	−25.8
CLE @ NYJ	NYJ by 7	24%	24%	31%	−32.9	−32.9	−22.1
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 3	61%	49%	57%	+9.9	−0.7	+6.9
IND @ PIT	PIT by 4	60%	58%	47%	+9.3	+7.5	−3.0
LA @ SEA	SEA by 11	61%	61%	55%	+9.9	+9.9	+4.3
NYG @ BAL	BAL by 14	84%	79%	77%	+22.4	+20.8	+19.8
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 20	47%	54%	41%	−3.0	+3.6	−9.6
TEN @ GB	GB by 26	62%	63%	59%	+10.4	+10.9	+8.1
BUF @ NE	BUF by 29	41%	38%	30%	+8.0	+10.9	+15.9

Week 1716+96.5+100.0+181.7+6.03+6.25+11.36

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ LA	LA by 11	59%	63%	53%	+8.1	+11.5	+2.9
ATL @ TB	TB by 17	74%	77%	71%	+18.4	+19.6	+16.7
BAL @ CIN	BAL by 35	24%	24%	16%	+19.3	+19.3	+22.5
DAL @ NYG	NYG by 4	57%	53%	46%	+6.9	+2.9	−4.6
GB @ CHI	GB by 19	43%	35%	37%	+6.2	+12.4	+11.4
JAX @ IND	IND by 14	88%	88%	88%	+23.5	+23.6	+23.5
LAC @ KC	LAC by 17	86%	89%	30%	−48.4	−55.1	+15.9
LV @ DEN	LV by 1	43%	50%	43%	+6.8	−0.0	+6.8
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 30	57%	71%	40%	+6.3	+16.7	−11.3
MIN @ DET	MIN by 2	40%	46%	41%	+9.2	+4.2	+8.0
NO @ CAR	NO by 26	39%	27%	33%	+9.8	+17.8	+14.3
NYJ @ NE	NE by 14	77%	76%	59%	+19.6	+19.0	+8.1
PIT @ CLE	CLE by 2	40%	48%	78%	−11.3	−2.2	+20.3
SEA @ SF	SEA by 3	42%	41%	30%	+7.4	+8.0	+15.9
TEN @ HOU	TEN by 3	36%	35%	30%	+11.9	+12.9	+15.9
WAS @ PHI	WAS by 6	47%	60%	31%	+2.8	−10.6	+15.1

2019RETRODICTION256+755.6+654.7+954.5+2.95+2.56+3.73

Week 116+84.6+47.9+86.6+5.29+3.00+5.41

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ CHI	GB by 7	58%	67%	60%	−8.9	−20.4	−11.4
ATL @ MIN	MIN by 16	58%	60%	60%	+7.5	+8.7	+9.3
BAL @ MIA	BAL by 49	40%	51%	30%	+8.6	−0.8	+15.9
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 1	57%	53%	57%	−7.2	−3.1	−8.0
CIN @ SEA	SEA by 1	69%	65%	76%	+15.6	+12.5	+19.3
DET @ ARI	tie	49%	51%	43%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
IND @ LAC	LAC by 6	65%	60%	67%	+13.0	+9.3	+14.3
KC @ JAX	KC by 14	41%	43%	40%	+8.0	+6.8	+9.2
LA @ CAR	LA by 3	48%	45%	46%	+2.1	+4.9	+4.2
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 18	68%	66%	70%	+14.8	+13.4	+16.0
PIT @ NE	NE by 30	67%	60%	66%	+13.9	+8.7	+13.4
SF @ TB	SF by 14	49%	59%	53%	+0.7	−9.7	−3.1
TEN @ CLE	TEN by 30	62%	54%	66%	−13.2	−3.9	−18.5
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 5	76%	60%	78%	+19.3	+9.3	+20.3
DEN @ LV	LV by 8	48%	53%	41%	−2.2	+2.9	−9.6
HOU @ NO	NO by 2	65%	60%	69%	+12.5	+9.3	+15.2

Week 216+36.3+29.7+79.0+2.27+1.85+4.94

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TB @ CAR	TB by 6	67%	61%	69%	−19.4	−12.3	−22.2
ARI @ BAL	BAL by 6	89%	73%	83%	+23.8	+17.8	+22.3
BUF @ NYG	BUF by 14	52%	48%	47%	−1.6	+2.1	+2.8
CHI @ DEN	CHI by 2	53%	46%	41%	−3.1	+4.2	+8.0
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 10	39%	44%	33%	+9.8	+5.5	+14.3
IND @ TEN	IND by 2	69%	61%	59%	−23.1	−12.3	−9.7
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 1	62%	67%	71%	+10.4	+14.3	+16.7
KC @ LV	KC by 18	32%	42%	30%	+14.7	+7.4	+15.9
LAC @ DET	DET by 3	43%	42%	47%	−7.1	−8.7	−3.0
MIN @ GB	GB by 5	54%	55%	59%	+3.6	+4.3	+8.1
NE @ MIA	NE by 43	16%	41%	9%	+22.5	+8.0	+24.2
NO @ LA	LA by 18	58%	57%	56%	+7.5	+6.3	+5.6
PHI @ ATL	ATL by 4	49%	46%	47%	−0.7	−4.6	−3.0
SEA @ PIT	SEA by 2	48%	49%	62%	+2.1	+0.7	−13.2
SF @ CIN	SF by 24	49%	53%	53%	+0.7	−3.1	−3.1
CLE @ NYJ	CLE by 20	54%	50%	31%	−3.9	−0.0	+15.1

Week 316+72.2+82.3+79.4+4.51+5.14+4.96

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 13	48%	44%	46%	−2.2	−6.2	−4.6
ATL @ IND	IND by 3	51%	61%	53%	+0.8	+9.9	+2.9
BAL @ KC	KC by 5	55%	60%	63%	+4.3	+9.3	+11.5
CAR @ ARI	CAR by 18	46%	54%	57%	+4.2	−3.9	−8.0
CIN @ BUF	BUF by 4	62%	69%	66%	+10.4	+15.6	+13.4
DEN @ GB	GB by 11	69%	72%	70%	+15.6	+17.1	+16.0
DET @ PHI	DET by 3	67%	57%	62%	−20.4	−7.2	−13.2
HOU @ LAC	HOU by 7	59%	57%	59%	−9.7	−7.2	−9.7
LA @ CLE	LA by 7	40%	38%	38%	+8.6	+10.3	+10.3
MIA @ DAL	DAL by 25	85%	74%	95%	+22.8	+18.1	+24.7
NO @ SEA	NO by 6	55%	57%	65%	−4.7	−7.2	−16.7
NYG @ TB	NYG by 1	61%	63%	65%	−12.3	−15.0	−16.7
NYJ @ NE	NE by 16	87%	80%	94%	+23.2	+21.0	+24.6
LV @ MIN	MIN by 20	71%	63%	74%	+16.4	+11.5	+18.1
PIT @ SF	SF by 4	70%	60%	67%	+16.0	+8.7	+14.3
CHI @ WAS	CHI by 16	51%	42%	35%	−0.8	+7.4	+12.4

Week 415−45.9−79.0−49.2−3.06−5.26−3.28

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PHI @ GB	PHI by 7	60%	67%	60%	−11.4	−19.4	−11.4
CAR @ HOU	CAR by 6	58%	71%	66%	−8.9	−25.8	−18.5
CLE @ BAL	CLE by 15	81%	67%	71%	−39.8	−19.4	−25.8
DAL @ NO	NO by 2	52%	57%	43%	+1.5	+6.3	−7.9
JAX @ DEN	JAX by 2	46%	51%	57%	+4.2	−0.8	−8.0
KC @ DET	KC by 4	33%	44%	29%	+13.8	+5.5	+16.7
LAC @ MIA	LAC by 20	28%	44%	13%	+17.4	+5.5	+23.3
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 10	47%	63%	47%	−3.0	+10.9	−3.0
NE @ BUF	NE by 6	31%	48%	30%	+15.5	+2.1	+15.9
LV @ IND	LV by 7	66%	73%	66%	−18.5	−27.6	−18.5
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 17	41%	35%	34%	+8.0	+12.9	+13.4
TB @ LA	TB by 15	78%	81%	75%	−35.6	−40.7	−31.2
TEN @ ATL	TEN by 14	55%	57%	60%	−4.7	−8.0	−11.4
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 21	57%	58%	59%	+6.3	+7.5	+8.1
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 24	60%	64%	60%	+9.3	+12.0	+9.3

Week 515+0.0−11.1+8.0+0.00−0.74+0.54

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LA @ SEA	SEA by 1	48%	51%	55%	−2.2	+0.8	+4.3
ARI @ CIN	ARI by 3	55%	58%	59%	−5.5	−8.9	−9.7
ATL @ HOU	HOU by 21	61%	67%	62%	+9.9	+13.9	+10.4
BAL @ PIT	BAL by 3	37%	49%	40%	+11.4	+0.7	+9.2
BUF @ TEN	BUF by 7	65%	53%	60%	−16.7	−3.1	−11.4
CHI @ LV	LV by 3	47%	38%	31%	−3.0	−13.1	−22.1
DEN @ LAC	DEN by 7	67%	74%	62%	−20.4	−30.3	−13.2
GB @ DAL	GB by 10	61%	62%	60%	−12.3	−13.2	−11.4
IND @ KC	IND by 6	80%	72%	78%	−39.0	−26.7	−36.5
JAX @ CAR	CAR by 7	57%	59%	59%	+6.9	+8.1	+8.1
MIN @ NYG	MIN by 18	43%	51%	34%	+6.2	−0.8	+13.4
NE @ WAS	NE by 26	19%	27%	12%	+21.6	+17.8	+23.5
NYJ @ PHI	PHI by 25	77%	72%	85%	+19.6	+17.1	+22.8
TB @ NO	NO by 7	61%	74%	59%	+9.9	+18.4	+8.1
CLE @ SF	SF by 28	67%	59%	65%	+13.9	+8.1	+12.5

Week 614+2.6−1.6−0.6+0.19−0.11−0.04

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYG @ NE	NE by 21	87%	79%	89%	+23.4	+20.8	+23.8
ATL @ ARI	ARI by 1	47%	49%	41%	−3.0	−0.7	−9.6
CAR @ TB	CAR by 11	52%	51%	44%	−1.6	−0.8	+5.5
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 6	84%	79%	78%	+22.6	+20.8	+20.3
DAL @ NYJ	NYJ by 2	28%	32%	30%	−26.6	−21.1	−23.9
HOU @ KC	HOU by 7	69%	65%	60%	−22.2	−17.6	−11.4
NO @ JAX	NO by 7	53%	32%	57%	−3.1	+14.7	−8.0
PHI @ MIN	MIN by 18	56%	57%	60%	+5.6	+6.3	+9.3
PIT @ LAC	PIT by 7	58%	64%	67%	−8.9	−15.8	−20.4
SEA @ CLE	SEA by 4	49%	43%	53%	+1.4	+6.8	−3.1
SF @ LA	SF by 13	52%	62%	59%	−1.6	−13.2	−9.7
TEN @ DEN	DEN by 16	46%	49%	53%	−3.8	−1.5	+2.9
WAS @ MIA	WAS by 1	44%	60%	33%	+5.5	−10.6	+14.3
DET @ GB	GB by 1	68%	62%	60%	+14.8	+10.4	+9.3

Week 714+122.1+87.0+95.9+8.72+6.22+6.85

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
KC @ DEN	KC by 24	37%	35%	41%	+11.4	+12.4	+8.0
ARI @ NYG	ARI by 6	54%	57%	60%	−3.9	−8.0	−11.4
BAL @ SEA	BAL by 14	47%	63%	59%	+2.8	−14.1	−9.7
HOU @ IND	IND by 7	46%	53%	55%	−4.6	+2.9	+4.3
JAX @ CIN	JAX by 10	42%	44%	38%	+7.4	+5.5	+10.3
LAC @ TEN	TEN by 3	57%	53%	59%	+6.9	+2.9	+8.1
LA @ ATL	LA by 27	43%	38%	41%	+6.2	+10.3	+8.0
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 10	83%	76%	90%	+21.9	+19.3	+24.0
MIN @ DET	MIN by 12	43%	52%	43%	+6.8	−1.6	+6.8
NO @ CHI	NO by 11	52%	46%	62%	−2.3	+4.2	−13.2
LV @ GB	GB by 18	72%	68%	66%	+17.1	+14.8	+13.4
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 27	59%	59%	59%	+8.1	+8.1	+8.1
SF @ WAS	SF by 9	19%	37%	23%	+21.6	+11.4	+19.8
NE @ NYJ	NE by 33	15%	25%	24%	+22.7	+18.7	+19.3

Week 815+159.7+142.7+199.1+10.64+9.52+13.28

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
WAS @ MIN	MIN by 10	88%	76%	89%	+23.5	+19.0	+23.8
ARI @ NO	NO by 22	73%	82%	83%	+17.8	+21.8	+21.9
CAR @ SF	SF by 38	65%	63%	63%	+13.0	+11.5	+11.5
CIN @ LA	LA by 14	81%	84%	82%	+21.2	+22.6	+21.6
CLE @ NE	NE by 14	87%	79%	76%	+23.4	+20.6	+19.3
DEN @ IND	IND by 2	63%	74%	67%	+11.5	+18.4	+14.3
GB @ KC	GB by 7	65%	59%	35%	−16.7	−9.7	+12.4
LAC @ CHI	LAC by 1	59%	69%	60%	−9.7	−22.2	−11.4
NYG @ DET	DET by 5	66%	66%	69%	+13.4	+13.4	+15.2
NYJ @ JAX	JAX by 14	77%	65%	70%	+19.8	+12.5	+16.0
LV @ HOU	HOU by 3	71%	67%	65%	+16.4	+14.3	+12.5
PHI @ BUF	PHI by 18	57%	66%	53%	−8.0	−18.5	−3.1
SEA @ ATL	SEA by 7	45%	33%	29%	+4.9	+13.8	+16.7
TB @ TEN	TEN by 4	58%	60%	56%	+7.5	+9.3	+5.6
MIA @ PIT	PIT by 13	82%	70%	85%	+21.8	+16.0	+22.8

Week 914+76.4+71.8+29.2+5.46+5.13+2.08

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SF @ ARI	SF by 3	23%	36%	22%	+19.8	+11.9	+20.3
CHI @ PHI	PHI by 8	60%	55%	65%	+9.3	+4.3	+12.5
CLE @ DEN	DEN by 5	56%	52%	38%	+5.6	+1.5	−13.1
DET @ LV	LV by 7	49%	52%	57%	−0.7	+2.2	+6.9
GB @ LAC	LAC by 15	41%	38%	38%	−9.6	−13.1	−13.1
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 23	55%	43%	53%	−4.7	+6.8	−3.1
IND @ PIT	PIT by 2	59%	44%	53%	+8.1	−6.2	+2.9
MIN @ KC	KC by 3	59%	60%	34%	+8.1	+8.7	−18.4
NE @ BAL	BAL by 17	44%	45%	41%	−6.2	−5.4	−9.6
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 8	46%	53%	40%	−3.8	+2.9	−11.3
TB @ SEA	SEA by 6	60%	77%	62%	+9.3	+19.8	+10.4
TEN @ CAR	CAR by 10	56%	60%	60%	+5.6	+8.7	+9.3
WAS @ BUF	BUF by 15	76%	75%	78%	+19.3	+18.7	+20.3
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 19	29%	38%	31%	+16.3	+10.9	+15.1

Week 1013−86.8−67.3−93.1−6.68−5.18−7.16

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LAC @ LV	LV by 2	51%	54%	47%	+0.8	+3.6	−3.0
ARI @ TB	TB by 3	65%	56%	66%	+13.0	+5.6	+13.4
ATL @ NO	ATL by 17	78%	87%	85%	−35.6	−50.5	−47.7
BAL @ CIN	BAL by 36	21%	20%	22%	+20.5	+21.2	+20.3
BUF @ CLE	CLE by 3	49%	42%	59%	−1.5	−8.7	+8.1
CAR @ GB	GB by 8	65%	65%	65%	+13.0	+12.5	+12.5
DET @ CHI	CHI by 7	57%	61%	67%	+6.9	+9.9	+14.3
KC @ TEN	TEN by 3	41%	38%	35%	−9.6	−14.0	−16.6
LA @ PIT	PIT by 5	46%	48%	38%	−4.6	−2.2	−13.1
MIA @ IND	MIA by 4	81%	78%	79%	−39.8	−36.5	−38.2
MIN @ DAL	MIN by 4	61%	56%	60%	−12.3	−6.3	−11.4
NYG @ NYJ	NYJ by 7	45%	53%	41%	−5.4	+2.9	−9.6
SEA @ SF	SEA by 3	76%	55%	69%	−32.1	−4.7	−22.2

Week 1114+130.6+106.7+155.1+9.33+7.62+11.08

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PIT @ CLE	CLE by 14	47%	46%	59%	−3.0	−3.8	+8.1
ARI @ SF	SF by 10	86%	78%	77%	+22.9	+20.1	+19.8
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 26	65%	67%	60%	−17.6	−19.4	−11.4
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 17	28%	41%	30%	+17.1	+8.0	+15.9
CHI @ LA	LA by 10	69%	62%	65%	+15.6	+10.4	+12.5
CIN @ LV	LV by 7	72%	79%	83%	+17.1	+20.8	+22.3
DAL @ DET	DAL by 8	36%	46%	29%	+11.9	+3.5	+16.7
DEN @ MIN	MIN by 4	78%	73%	77%	+20.1	+17.8	+19.8
HOU @ BAL	BAL by 34	73%	61%	62%	+17.8	+9.9	+10.4
JAX @ IND	IND by 20	55%	66%	57%	+5.0	+13.4	+6.9
NE @ PHI	NE by 7	31%	40%	37%	+15.1	+8.6	+11.4
NO @ TB	NO by 17	48%	30%	35%	+2.1	+15.9	+12.4
NYJ @ WAS	NYJ by 17	52%	55%	53%	−1.6	−4.7	−3.1
KC @ LAC	KC by 7	41%	43%	34%	+8.0	+6.2	+13.4

Week 1214+97.8+111.1+96.2+6.99+7.94+6.87

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ HOU	HOU by 3	60%	60%	60%	+9.3	+9.3	+9.3
CAR @ NO	NO by 3	70%	76%	77%	+16.0	+19.3	+19.8
DAL @ NE	NE by 4	71%	71%	66%	+16.4	+16.7	+13.4
DEN @ BUF	BUF by 17	67%	70%	60%	+13.9	+16.0	+9.3
DET @ WAS	WAS by 3	32%	43%	38%	−21.1	−7.1	−13.1
GB @ SF	SF by 29	70%	55%	59%	+16.0	+5.0	+8.1
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 22	65%	63%	63%	+12.5	+11.5	+11.5
MIA @ CLE	CLE by 17	78%	67%	79%	+20.1	+14.3	+20.8
NYG @ CHI	CHI by 5	68%	74%	67%	+14.8	+18.4	+14.3
LV @ NYJ	NYJ by 31	38%	43%	40%	−13.1	−7.9	−11.3
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 6	34%	28%	34%	+13.4	+17.4	+13.4
SEA @ PHI	SEA by 8	54%	42%	47%	−3.9	+7.4	+2.8
TB @ ATL	TB by 13	55%	60%	60%	−5.5	−11.4	−11.4
BAL @ LA	BAL by 39	40%	48%	40%	+9.2	+2.1	+9.2

Week 1316−41.9+31.9−28.4−2.62+1.99−1.77

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ DAL	BUF by 11	69%	55%	69%	−22.2	−4.7	−22.2
CHI @ DET	CHI by 4	53%	43%	34%	−3.1	+6.8	+13.4
NO @ ATL	NO by 8	40%	28%	30%	+9.2	+17.4	+15.9
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 7	57%	60%	47%	+6.9	+9.3	−3.0
GB @ NYG	GB by 18	33%	27%	31%	+13.8	+17.8	+15.1
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 3	49%	49%	37%	−1.5	−0.7	−14.8
LA @ ARI	LA by 27	38%	33%	43%	+10.3	+13.8	+6.8
NE @ HOU	HOU by 6	34%	45%	40%	−18.4	−5.4	−11.3
NYJ @ CIN	CIN by 16	47%	38%	43%	−3.0	−13.1	−7.9
LV @ KC	KC by 31	79%	71%	81%	+20.6	+16.4	+21.2
PHI @ MIA	MIA by 6	25%	40%	22%	−31.1	−11.3	−36.4
SF @ BAL	BAL by 3	67%	64%	66%	+14.3	+12.0	+13.4
TB @ JAX	TB by 17	49%	54%	41%	+0.7	−3.9	+8.0
TEN @ IND	TEN by 14	51%	61%	47%	−0.8	−12.3	+2.8
WAS @ CAR	WAS by 8	77%	69%	78%	−33.9	−23.1	−36.5
MIN @ SEA	SEA by 7	46%	65%	57%	−3.8	+13.0	+6.9

Week 1416+103.3+32.7+100.3+6.46+2.04+6.27

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ CHI	CHI by 7	41%	58%	41%	−9.6	+7.5	−9.6
BAL @ BUF	BAL by 7	33%	42%	31%	+14.3	+7.4	+15.1
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 20	54%	52%	60%	+3.6	+2.2	+9.3
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 8	72%	77%	69%	+17.1	+19.6	+15.2
DEN @ HOU	DEN by 14	70%	78%	73%	−24.0	−35.6	−27.6
DET @ MIN	MIN by 13	77%	77%	82%	+19.6	+19.6	+21.6
IND @ TB	TB by 3	59%	49%	59%	+8.1	−1.5	+8.1
KC @ NE	KC by 7	66%	63%	59%	−18.5	−14.1	−9.7
LAC @ JAX	LAC by 35	47%	51%	40%	+2.8	−0.8	+9.2
MIA @ NYJ	NYJ by 1	65%	55%	65%	+12.5	+5.0	+12.5
PIT @ ARI	PIT by 6	39%	37%	43%	+9.8	+11.4	+6.8
SEA @ LA	LA by 16	59%	45%	53%	+8.1	−5.4	+2.9
SF @ NO	SF by 2	43%	67%	53%	+6.8	−19.4	−3.1
TEN @ LV	TEN by 21	35%	52%	41%	+12.9	−1.6	+8.0
WAS @ GB	GB by 5	85%	79%	83%	+22.7	+20.6	+22.3
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 6	72%	73%	76%	+17.1	+17.8	+19.3

Week 1516+65.0+58.3+61.8+4.06+3.65+3.86

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ BAL	BAL by 21	93%	87%	90%	+24.5	+23.2	+24.0
ATL @ SF	ATL by 7	83%	77%	78%	−44.7	−33.9	−36.5
BUF @ PIT	BUF by 7	52%	55%	53%	−1.6	−4.7	−3.1
CHI @ GB	GB by 8	67%	65%	62%	+14.3	+12.5	+10.4
CLE @ ARI	ARI by 14	40%	41%	41%	−11.3	−9.6	−9.6
DEN @ KC	KC by 20	81%	77%	77%	+21.2	+19.6	+19.8
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 3	67%	49%	59%	−19.4	+0.7	−9.7
JAX @ LV	JAX by 4	56%	66%	70%	−6.3	−18.5	−24.0
LA @ DAL	DAL by 23	60%	46%	47%	+8.7	−4.6	−3.0
MIA @ NYG	NYG by 16	63%	50%	60%	+11.5	+0.0	+9.3
MIN @ LAC	MIN by 29	45%	42%	47%	+4.9	+7.4	+2.8
NE @ CIN	NE by 21	17%	17%	22%	+22.1	+22.2	+20.3
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 10	32%	43%	30%	+14.7	+6.2	+15.9
SEA @ CAR	SEA by 6	43%	31%	33%	+6.2	+15.5	+14.3
TB @ DET	TB by 21	46%	46%	34%	+4.2	+3.5	+13.4
IND @ NO	NO by 27	70%	75%	73%	+16.0	+18.7	+17.5

Week 1616−4.8+38.0+52.3−0.30+2.37+3.27

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ NE	NE by 7	77%	66%	70%	+19.6	+13.4	+16.0
HOU @ TB	HOU by 3	57%	42%	41%	−7.2	+7.4	+8.0
LA @ SF	SF by 3	74%	58%	70%	+18.4	+7.5	+16.0
ARI @ SEA	ARI by 14	73%	84%	73%	−27.6	−46.2	−27.6
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 16	23%	28%	24%	+19.8	+17.4	+19.3
CAR @ IND	IND by 32	57%	64%	71%	+6.9	+12.0	+16.7
CIN @ MIA	MIA by 3	46%	65%	46%	−3.8	+13.0	−4.6
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 8	42%	54%	44%	−8.7	+3.6	−6.2
DET @ DEN	DEN by 10	60%	65%	76%	+8.7	+12.5	+19.3
JAX @ ATL	ATL by 12	69%	64%	71%	+15.2	+12.0	+16.7
KC @ CHI	KC by 23	33%	44%	31%	+13.8	+5.5	+15.1
NO @ TEN	NO by 10	55%	38%	40%	−5.5	+10.3	+9.2
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 6	45%	60%	47%	+4.9	−10.6	+2.8
LV @ LAC	LV by 7	70%	57%	71%	−24.0	−7.2	−25.8
PIT @ NYJ	NYJ by 6	38%	40%	41%	−13.1	−10.5	−9.6
GB @ MIN	GB by 13	69%	52%	62%	−22.2	−2.3	−13.2

Week 1716−15.9−26.7+82.8−0.99−1.67+5.18

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ LA	LA by 7	73%	74%	70%	+17.5	+18.4	+16.0
ATL @ TB	ATL by 6	60%	56%	53%	−10.6	−6.3	−3.1
CHI @ MIN	CHI by 2	78%	63%	34%	−36.5	−15.0	+13.4
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 10	40%	31%	43%	−10.5	−22.1	−7.9
GB @ DET	GB by 3	32%	24%	16%	+14.7	+19.3	+22.5
IND @ JAX	JAX by 18	40%	43%	35%	−10.5	−7.9	−16.6
LAC @ KC	KC by 10	82%	80%	77%	+21.6	+21.0	+19.8
MIA @ NE	MIA by 3	93%	87%	90%	−62.4	−49.8	−56.8
NO @ CAR	NO by 32	28%	25%	16%	+17.1	+18.7	+22.5
NYJ @ BUF	NYJ by 7	78%	73%	46%	−35.6	−27.6	+4.2
LV @ DEN	DEN by 1	63%	55%	66%	+11.5	+5.0	+13.4
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 17	40%	37%	38%	+8.6	+11.4	+10.3
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 18	88%	79%	44%	+23.6	+20.8	−6.2
SF @ SEA	SF by 5	35%	60%	40%	+12.9	−10.6	+9.2
TEN @ HOU	TEN by 21	51%	68%	23%	−0.8	−21.3	+19.8
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 31	88%	76%	83%	+23.5	+19.3	+22.3

2018RETRODICTION256+947.2+591.7+985.6+3.70+2.31+3.85

Week 116+31.3+25.3+23.0+1.96+1.58+1.44

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ PHI	PHI by 6	60%	63%	53%	+9.3	+10.9	+2.9
BUF @ BAL	BAL by 44	70%	57%	71%	+16.0	+6.3	+16.7
CHI @ GB	GB by 1	69%	60%	69%	+15.6	+9.3	+15.2
CIN @ IND	CIN by 11	55%	51%	47%	−5.5	−0.8	+2.8
DAL @ CAR	CAR by 8	57%	60%	57%	+6.9	+9.3	+6.9
HOU @ NE	NE by 7	69%	73%	67%	+15.6	+17.8	+14.3
JAX @ NYG	JAX by 5	47%	43%	43%	+2.8	+6.8	+6.8
KC @ LAC	KC by 10	63%	55%	60%	−15.0	−4.7	−11.4
PIT @ CLE	tie	38%	31%	40%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
SEA @ DEN	DEN by 3	57%	49%	59%	+6.9	−1.5	+8.1
SF @ MIN	MIN by 8	69%	70%	67%	+15.2	+16.0	+14.3
TB @ NO	TB by 8	73%	68%	77%	−28.5	−21.3	−34.7
TEN @ MIA	MIA by 7	52%	51%	47%	+1.5	+0.8	−3.0
WAS @ ARI	WAS by 18	52%	59%	56%	−2.3	−9.7	−6.3
LA @ LV	LA by 20	40%	47%	33%	+8.6	+2.8	+14.3
NYJ @ DET	NYJ by 31	64%	65%	70%	−15.8	−16.7	−24.0

Week 216+59.8+19.3+51.6+3.74+1.21+3.23

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 11	43%	52%	53%	−7.1	+2.2	+2.9
ARI @ LA	LA by 34	83%	69%	84%	+22.1	+15.6	+22.6
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 7	59%	47%	66%	+8.1	−3.0	+13.4
CLE @ NO	NO by 3	71%	73%	77%	+16.4	+17.5	+19.8
DET @ SF	SF by 3	64%	52%	67%	+12.0	+2.2	+14.3
HOU @ TEN	TEN by 3	51%	65%	40%	+0.8	+13.0	−11.3
IND @ WAS	IND by 12	62%	69%	67%	−13.2	−23.1	−20.4
KC @ PIT	KC by 5	54%	59%	63%	−3.9	−9.7	−15.0
LAC @ BUF	LAC by 11	26%	56%	29%	+18.1	−6.3	+16.7
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 8	62%	55%	59%	−13.2	−5.5	−9.7
MIN @ GB	tie	53%	46%	44%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
NE @ JAX	JAX by 11	47%	52%	44%	−3.0	+2.2	−6.2
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 7	56%	67%	59%	+5.6	+13.9	+8.1
LV @ DEN	DEN by 1	63%	61%	66%	+10.9	+9.9	+13.4
PHI @ TB	TB by 6	49%	42%	41%	−0.7	−8.7	−9.6
SEA @ CHI	CHI by 7	57%	49%	65%	+6.9	−0.7	+12.5

Week 316−21.3−13.0−50.9−1.33−0.81−3.18

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ CLE	CLE by 4	47%	43%	59%	−3.0	−7.9	+8.1
BUF @ MIN	BUF by 21	85%	74%	89%	−47.7	−29.4	−54.5
CHI @ ARI	CHI by 2	35%	55%	33%	+12.4	−5.5	+14.3
CIN @ CAR	CAR by 10	57%	57%	57%	+6.9	+6.3	+6.9
DAL @ SEA	SEA by 11	55%	51%	53%	+4.3	+0.8	+2.9
DEN @ BAL	BAL by 13	71%	57%	66%	+16.7	+6.3	+13.4
GB @ WAS	WAS by 14	43%	53%	43%	−7.1	+2.9	−7.9
IND @ PHI	PHI by 4	65%	71%	69%	+13.0	+16.7	+15.2
LAC @ LA	LA by 12	73%	66%	71%	+17.8	+13.4	+16.7
NE @ DET	DET by 16	37%	43%	30%	−14.8	−7.1	−23.9
NO @ ATL	NO by 6	54%	57%	55%	−3.9	−8.0	−4.7
NYG @ HOU	NYG by 5	60%	59%	69%	−11.4	−9.7	−22.2
LV @ MIA	MIA by 8	63%	69%	59%	+11.5	+15.2	+8.1
SF @ KC	KC by 11	69%	71%	67%	+15.2	+16.4	+14.3
TEN @ JAX	TEN by 3	69%	67%	77%	−23.1	−19.4	−34.7
PIT @ TB	PIT by 3	57%	54%	53%	−8.0	−3.9	−3.1

Week 415+88.4+51.7+108.3+5.89+3.44+7.22

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIN @ LA	LA by 7	77%	64%	71%	+19.6	+12.0	+16.7
BAL @ PIT	BAL by 12	46%	61%	59%	+3.5	−12.3	−9.7
BUF @ GB	GB by 22	75%	56%	74%	+18.7	+5.6	+18.1
CIN @ ATL	CIN by 1	62%	55%	60%	−13.2	−5.5	−11.4
CLE @ LV	LV by 3	54%	58%	57%	+3.6	+7.5	+6.9
DET @ DAL	DAL by 2	55%	56%	57%	+4.3	+5.6	+6.9
HOU @ IND	HOU by 3	55%	65%	47%	−4.7	−16.7	+2.8
MIA @ NE	NE by 31	60%	54%	69%	+9.3	+3.6	+15.2
NO @ NYG	NO by 15	43%	38%	40%	+6.8	+10.3	+9.2
NYJ @ JAX	JAX by 19	64%	71%	71%	+12.0	+16.7	+16.7
PHI @ TEN	TEN by 3	49%	49%	41%	−0.7	−0.7	−9.6
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 3	38%	48%	40%	+10.3	+2.1	+9.2
SF @ LAC	LAC by 2	63%	62%	77%	+11.5	+10.4	+19.8
TB @ CHI	CHI by 38	49%	55%	59%	−0.7	+4.3	+8.1
KC @ DEN	KC by 4	41%	40%	40%	+8.0	+8.6	+9.2

Week 515+36.5+49.0+69.9+2.43+3.27+4.66

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ NE	NE by 14	71%	74%	78%	+16.4	+18.4	+20.3
ARI @ SF	ARI by 10	72%	62%	59%	−26.7	−13.2	−9.7
ATL @ PIT	PIT by 24	50%	64%	60%	+0.0	+12.0	+9.3
BAL @ CLE	CLE by 3	37%	33%	41%	−14.8	−20.2	−9.6
DAL @ HOU	HOU by 3	61%	43%	60%	+9.9	−7.1	+9.3
DEN @ NYJ	NYJ by 18	55%	50%	47%	+4.3	+0.0	−3.0
GB @ DET	DET by 8	46%	49%	53%	−4.6	−1.5	+2.9
JAX @ KC	KC by 16	60%	65%	59%	+9.3	+12.5	+8.1
LA @ SEA	LA by 2	30%	40%	29%	+15.9	+9.2	+16.7
MIA @ CIN	CIN by 10	65%	59%	67%	+12.5	+8.1	+14.3
MIN @ PHI	MIN by 2	58%	59%	60%	−8.9	−9.7	−11.4
NYG @ CAR	CAR by 2	67%	77%	70%	+13.9	+19.6	+16.0
LV @ LAC	LAC by 16	65%	68%	66%	+13.0	+14.8	+13.4
TEN @ BUF	BUF by 1	34%	45%	33%	−18.4	−5.4	−20.2
WAS @ NO	NO by 24	68%	63%	66%	+14.8	+11.5	+13.4

Week 615+85.2+66.5+74.8+5.68+4.43+4.99

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 21	48%	36%	46%	+2.1	+11.9	+4.2
ARI @ MIN	MIN by 10	74%	74%	77%	+18.4	+18.1	+19.8
BAL @ TEN	BAL by 21	41%	57%	43%	+8.0	−8.0	+6.8
BUF @ HOU	HOU by 7	75%	48%	78%	+18.7	−2.2	+20.3
CAR @ WAS	WAS by 6	49%	46%	47%	−1.5	−4.6	−3.0
CHI @ MIA	MIA by 3	43%	56%	29%	−7.9	+5.6	−25.7
IND @ NYJ	NYJ by 8	58%	63%	57%	+7.5	+11.5	+6.9
JAX @ DAL	DAL by 33	46%	48%	41%	−3.8	−2.2	−9.6
KC @ NE	NE by 3	57%	46%	62%	+6.9	−3.8	+10.4
LAC @ CLE	LAC by 24	48%	39%	53%	+2.1	+9.8	−3.1
LA @ DEN	LA by 3	26%	28%	30%	+18.4	+17.1	+15.9
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 7	57%	57%	53%	−8.0	−7.2	−3.1
SEA @ LV	SEA by 24	49%	47%	41%	+1.4	+2.8	+8.0
TB @ ATL	ATL by 5	60%	55%	59%	+9.3	+4.3	+8.1
SF @ GB	GB by 3	66%	66%	75%	+13.4	+13.4	+18.7

Week 714+59.7+48.7+64.9+4.27+3.48+4.64

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ ARI	DEN by 35	46%	55%	47%	+3.5	−5.5	+2.8
BUF @ IND	IND by 32	73%	43%	70%	+17.5	−7.9	+16.0
CAR @ PHI	CAR by 4	63%	57%	65%	−15.0	−7.2	−16.7
CIN @ KC	KC by 35	67%	67%	69%	+13.9	+13.9	+15.2
CLE @ TB	TB by 3	60%	66%	60%	+9.3	+13.4	+9.3
DAL @ WAS	WAS by 3	52%	59%	46%	+2.2	+8.1	−4.6
DET @ MIA	DET by 11	55%	62%	41%	−5.5	−13.2	+8.0
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 13	55%	65%	62%	−4.7	−16.7	−13.2
LA @ SF	LA by 29	29%	23%	28%	+16.7	+19.8	+17.4
MIN @ NYJ	MIN by 20	55%	40%	40%	−4.7	+8.6	+9.2
NE @ CHI	NE by 7	49%	42%	47%	+0.7	+7.4	+2.8
NO @ BAL	NO by 1	55%	51%	57%	−4.7	−0.8	−8.0
TEN @ LAC	LAC by 1	72%	64%	69%	+17.1	+12.0	+15.2
NYG @ ATL	ATL by 3	66%	71%	63%	+13.4	+16.7	+11.5

Week 814+111.6+104.5+123.4+7.97+7.46+8.81

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIA @ HOU	HOU by 19	65%	54%	71%	+12.5	+3.6	+16.7
BAL @ CAR	CAR by 15	46%	63%	43%	−3.8	+10.9	−7.9
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 15	69%	81%	74%	+15.6	+21.2	+18.1
DEN @ KC	KC by 7	76%	78%	74%	+19.3	+20.3	+18.1
GB @ LA	LA by 2	78%	77%	71%	+20.3	+19.8	+16.7
IND @ LV	IND by 14	38%	57%	40%	+10.3	−7.2	+9.2
NO @ MIN	NO by 10	49%	55%	43%	+1.4	−5.5	+6.8
NYJ @ CHI	CHI by 14	65%	59%	74%	+12.5	+8.1	+18.1
PHI @ JAX	PHI by 6	46%	53%	38%	+4.2	−3.1	+10.3
SEA @ DET	SEA by 14	53%	57%	59%	−3.1	−7.2	−9.7
SF @ ARI	ARI by 3	43%	57%	43%	−7.1	+6.3	−7.9
TB @ CIN	CIN by 3	57%	63%	60%	+6.3	+10.9	+9.3
WAS @ NYG	WAS by 7	49%	33%	47%	+1.4	+14.3	+2.8
NE @ BUF	NE by 19	18%	36%	16%	+21.7	+11.9	+22.5

Week 913+45.8+68.6+40.3+3.52+5.28+3.10

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LV @ SF	SF by 31	60%	55%	46%	+9.3	+5.0	−4.6
ATL @ WAS	ATL by 24	57%	63%	55%	−7.2	−15.0	−4.7
CHI @ BUF	CHI by 32	23%	50%	22%	+19.8	−0.0	+20.3
DET @ MIN	MIN by 15	66%	68%	63%	+13.4	+14.8	+11.5
GB @ NE	NE by 14	69%	73%	65%	+15.6	+17.5	+12.5
HOU @ DEN	HOU by 2	50%	47%	53%	−0.0	+2.8	−3.1
KC @ CLE	KC by 16	28%	22%	29%	+17.4	+20.1	+16.7
LAC @ SEA	LAC by 8	55%	50%	53%	−4.7	−0.0	−3.1
LA @ NO	NO by 10	49%	48%	43%	−1.5	−2.2	−7.9
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 7	52%	64%	59%	+1.5	+12.0	+8.1
PIT @ BAL	PIT by 7	61%	46%	55%	−12.3	+3.5	−4.7
TB @ CAR	CAR by 14	65%	73%	67%	+13.0	+17.5	+14.3
TEN @ DAL	TEN by 14	66%	57%	63%	−18.5	−7.2	−15.0

Week 1014+31.7+19.8+26.0+2.26+1.41+1.86

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ PIT	PIT by 31	57%	57%	60%	+6.3	+6.9	+9.3
ARI @ KC	KC by 12	89%	84%	89%	+23.9	+22.4	+23.8
ATL @ CLE	CLE by 12	40%	35%	34%	−11.3	−17.5	−18.4
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 31	77%	55%	69%	−33.9	−5.5	−22.2
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 7	65%	67%	71%	−16.7	−19.4	−25.8
DET @ CHI	CHI by 12	77%	61%	71%	+19.6	+9.9	+16.7
JAX @ IND	IND by 3	68%	47%	59%	+14.8	−3.0	+8.1
LAC @ LV	LAC by 14	26%	26%	22%	+18.1	+18.1	+20.3
MIA @ GB	GB by 19	66%	54%	83%	+13.4	+3.6	+22.3
NE @ TEN	TEN by 24	35%	39%	33%	−17.5	−12.2	−20.2
NO @ CIN	NO by 37	35%	42%	34%	+12.4	+7.4	+13.4
SEA @ LA	LA by 5	77%	76%	77%	+19.6	+19.0	+19.8
WAS @ TB	WAS by 13	56%	46%	60%	−6.3	+4.2	−11.4
NYG @ SF	NYG by 4	60%	63%	59%	−10.6	−14.1	−9.7

Week 1113+52.3−46.1+21.2+4.02−3.55+1.63

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ SEA	SEA by 3	55%	56%	59%	+5.0	+5.6	+8.1
CAR @ DET	DET by 1	43%	40%	38%	−7.9	−11.3	−13.1
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 3	74%	53%	69%	+18.1	+2.9	+15.2
DAL @ ATL	DAL by 3	56%	58%	60%	−6.3	−8.9	−11.4
DEN @ LAC	DEN by 1	68%	78%	71%	−21.3	−35.6	−25.8
HOU @ WAS	HOU by 2	49%	60%	41%	+1.4	−10.6	+8.0
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 5	67%	47%	57%	+13.9	−3.0	+6.9
LV @ ARI	LV by 2	57%	64%	63%	−7.2	−15.8	−15.0
PHI @ NO	NO by 41	76%	74%	70%	+19.0	+18.4	+16.0
PIT @ JAX	PIT by 4	35%	35%	38%	+12.4	+12.4	+10.3
TB @ NYG	NYG by 3	55%	46%	59%	+4.3	−3.8	+8.1
TEN @ IND	IND by 28	63%	46%	56%	+10.9	−4.6	+5.6
KC @ LA	LA by 3	61%	59%	59%	+9.9	+8.1	+8.1

Week 1215+127.7+82.2+140.7+8.52+5.48+9.38

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ NO	NO by 14	83%	79%	81%	+22.1	+20.6	+21.2
CHI @ DET	CHI by 7	32%	48%	41%	+14.7	+2.1	+8.0
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 8	62%	54%	70%	+10.4	+3.6	+16.0
ARI @ LAC	LAC by 35	83%	79%	85%	+21.9	+20.8	+22.8
CLE @ CIN	CLE by 15	57%	71%	47%	−7.2	−24.9	+2.8
GB @ MIN	MIN by 7	58%	68%	62%	+7.5	+14.8	+10.4
JAX @ BUF	BUF by 3	38%	55%	41%	−13.1	+4.3	−9.6
MIA @ IND	IND by 3	77%	53%	75%	+19.6	+2.9	+18.7
NE @ NYJ	NE by 14	32%	29%	17%	+14.7	+16.3	+22.2
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 3	62%	73%	63%	+10.4	+17.5	+11.5
LV @ BAL	BAL by 17	85%	74%	83%	+22.7	+18.4	+22.3
PIT @ DEN	DEN by 7	42%	31%	41%	−8.7	−22.1	−9.6
SEA @ CAR	SEA by 3	55%	63%	59%	−5.5	−14.1	−9.7
SF @ TB	TB by 18	55%	63%	55%	+4.3	+11.5	+4.3
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 17	67%	62%	60%	+13.9	+10.4	+9.3

Week 1316+27.8+27.7+16.8+1.74+1.73+1.05

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ DAL	DAL by 3	31%	35%	30%	−22.1	−16.6	−23.9
ARI @ GB	ARI by 3	82%	70%	84%	−41.5	−24.0	−46.2
BAL @ ATL	BAL by 10	42%	50%	57%	+7.4	−0.0	−8.0
BUF @ MIA	MIA by 4	67%	58%	60%	+13.9	+7.5	+9.3
CAR @ TB	TB by 7	48%	40%	40%	−2.2	−10.5	−11.3
CHI @ NYG	NYG by 3	33%	32%	40%	−20.2	−21.1	−11.3
CLE @ HOU	HOU by 16	71%	74%	65%	+16.7	+18.4	+12.5
DEN @ CIN	DEN by 14	44%	56%	40%	+5.5	−6.3	+9.2
IND @ JAX	JAX by 6	37%	52%	38%	−14.8	+2.2	−13.1
KC @ LV	KC by 7	16%	22%	15%	+22.5	+20.3	+22.8
LAC @ PIT	LAC by 3	55%	62%	60%	−5.5	−13.2	−11.4
LA @ DET	LA by 14	25%	27%	22%	+19.0	+17.8	+20.3
MIN @ NE	NE by 14	65%	61%	67%	+13.0	+9.9	+14.3
NYJ @ TEN	TEN by 4	63%	70%	78%	+11.5	+16.0	+20.3
SF @ SEA	SEA by 27	72%	79%	77%	+17.1	+20.6	+19.8
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 15	58%	57%	66%	+7.5	+6.9	+13.4

Week 1416+10.1−79.4−2.7+0.63−4.97−0.17

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 21	59%	63%	66%	+8.1	+10.9	+13.4
ATL @ GB	GB by 14	63%	54%	62%	+10.9	+3.6	+10.4
BAL @ KC	KC by 3	63%	70%	69%	+10.9	+16.0	+15.2
CAR @ CLE	CLE by 6	47%	40%	47%	−3.0	−11.3	−3.0
CIN @ LAC	LAC by 5	81%	73%	90%	+21.2	+17.8	+24.0
DEN @ SF	SF by 6	38%	35%	41%	−13.1	−16.6	−9.6
DET @ ARI	DET by 14	42%	47%	43%	+7.4	+2.8	+6.8
IND @ HOU	IND by 3	60%	71%	62%	−10.6	−24.9	−13.2
LA @ CHI	CHI by 9	50%	34%	41%	+0.0	−18.4	−9.6
NE @ MIA	MIA by 1	31%	37%	26%	−22.1	−14.8	−29.3
NO @ TB	NO by 14	26%	30%	26%	+18.4	+15.9	+18.1
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 24	57%	69%	41%	−8.0	−23.1	+8.0
NYJ @ BUF	NYJ by 4	46%	66%	63%	+4.2	−18.5	−15.0
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 6	61%	58%	60%	+9.9	+7.5	+9.3
PIT @ LV	LV by 3	22%	26%	22%	−36.4	−29.3	−36.4
MIN @ SEA	SEA by 14	64%	53%	59%	+12.0	+2.9	+8.1

Week 1516+12.5+7.8+23.5+0.78+0.49+1.47

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LAC @ KC	LAC by 1	61%	64%	60%	−12.3	−15.8	−11.4
CLE @ DEN	CLE by 1	65%	64%	53%	−16.7	−15.8	−3.1
HOU @ NYJ	HOU by 7	35%	36%	30%	+12.9	+11.9	+15.9
ARI @ ATL	ATL by 26	73%	66%	77%	+17.8	+13.4	+19.8
DAL @ IND	IND by 23	63%	45%	59%	+10.9	−5.4	+8.1
DET @ BUF	BUF by 1	42%	51%	57%	−8.7	+0.8	+6.9
GB @ CHI	CHI by 7	69%	69%	67%	+15.6	+15.2	+14.3
MIA @ MIN	MIN by 24	65%	63%	71%	+13.0	+11.5	+16.7
NE @ PIT	PIT by 7	53%	52%	43%	+2.9	+1.5	−7.9
LV @ CIN	CIN by 14	64%	66%	59%	+12.0	+13.4	+8.1
PHI @ LA	PHI by 7	78%	76%	84%	−35.6	−32.1	−46.2
SEA @ SF	SF by 3	31%	31%	40%	−22.1	−22.1	−11.3
TB @ BAL	BAL by 8	74%	67%	74%	+18.4	+14.3	+18.1
TEN @ NYG	TEN by 17	57%	43%	43%	−7.2	+6.2	+6.8
WAS @ JAX	WAS by 3	55%	52%	71%	−4.7	−1.6	−25.8
NO @ CAR	NO by 3	29%	35%	33%	+16.3	+12.4	+14.3

Week 1616+98.5+62.0+147.0+6.15+3.87+9.19

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ LAC	BAL by 12	59%	67%	62%	−9.7	−20.4	−13.2
WAS @ TEN	TEN by 9	65%	62%	83%	+13.0	+10.4	+21.9
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 14	58%	62%	43%	−8.9	−13.2	+6.8
BUF @ NE	NE by 12	85%	74%	85%	+22.8	+18.1	+22.8
CHI @ SF	CHI by 5	28%	33%	40%	+17.1	+14.3	+9.2
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 8	60%	55%	77%	+9.3	+4.3	+19.8
GB @ NYJ	GB by 6	40%	48%	41%	+8.6	+2.1	+8.0
HOU @ PHI	PHI by 2	47%	54%	53%	−3.0	+3.6	+2.9
JAX @ MIA	JAX by 10	56%	66%	59%	−6.3	−18.5	−9.7
KC @ SEA	SEA by 7	51%	42%	47%	+0.8	−8.7	−3.0
LA @ ARI	LA by 22	14%	21%	14%	+23.1	+20.5	+23.1
MIN @ DET	MIN by 18	42%	41%	31%	+7.4	+8.0	+15.1
NYG @ IND	IND by 1	74%	69%	77%	+18.1	+15.2	+19.8
PIT @ NO	NO by 3	74%	69%	69%	+18.1	+15.2	+15.2
TB @ DAL	DAL by 7	64%	71%	70%	+12.0	+16.4	+16.0
DEN @ LV	LV by 13	30%	45%	43%	−23.9	−5.4	−7.9

Week 1716+89.5+97.0+107.8+5.60+6.07+6.74

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 3	89%	80%	88%	+23.7	+21.0	+23.5
ATL @ TB	ATL by 2	49%	51%	43%	+1.4	−0.8	+6.8
CAR @ NO	CAR by 19	83%	81%	73%	−43.9	−39.8	−27.6
CHI @ MIN	CHI by 14	48%	57%	67%	+2.1	−8.0	−20.4
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 3	76%	73%	85%	+19.3	+17.5	+22.8
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 2	75%	70%	70%	+18.7	+16.0	+16.0
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 1	50%	35%	71%	−0.0	+12.9	−25.8
DET @ GB	DET by 31	71%	59%	71%	−25.8	−9.7	−25.8
IND @ TEN	IND by 16	46%	61%	35%	+3.5	−12.3	+12.4
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 17	76%	69%	70%	+19.3	+15.6	+16.0
LAC @ DEN	LAC by 14	45%	34%	30%	+4.9	+13.4	+15.9
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 25	46%	51%	66%	−3.8	+0.8	+13.4
NYJ @ NE	NE by 35	79%	82%	85%	+20.6	+21.8	+22.8
LV @ KC	KC by 32	86%	83%	86%	+23.1	+22.1	+23.1
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 24	46%	46%	33%	+3.5	+3.5	+14.3
SF @ LA	LA by 16	85%	87%	78%	+22.8	+23.2	+20.3

2017RETRODICTION256+834.3+684.2+1249.5+3.26+2.67+4.88

Week 115+12.8+24.9+44.6+0.85+1.66+2.97

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
KC @ NE	KC by 15	73%	60%	73%	−27.6	−11.4	−27.6
ARI @ DET	DET by 12	47%	60%	43%	−3.0	+8.7	−7.9
ATL @ CHI	ATL by 6	37%	41%	31%	+11.4	+8.0	+15.1
BAL @ CIN	BAL by 20	57%	54%	57%	−8.0	−3.9	−8.0
CAR @ SF	CAR by 20	39%	49%	37%	+9.8	+1.4	+11.4
IND @ LA	LA by 37	46%	49%	60%	−3.8	−1.5	+9.3
JAX @ HOU	JAX by 22	63%	68%	66%	−14.1	−21.3	−18.5
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 16	57%	60%	67%	+6.9	+9.3	+14.3
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 9	66%	60%	70%	+13.4	+9.3	+16.0
LV @ TEN	LV by 10	55%	51%	57%	−5.5	−0.8	−8.0
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 13	50%	60%	44%	−0.0	−10.6	+5.5
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 3	32%	37%	23%	+14.7	+11.4	+19.8
SEA @ GB	GB by 8	55%	56%	57%	+5.0	+5.6	+6.9
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 3	55%	65%	59%	+5.0	+12.5	+8.1
NO @ MIN	MIN by 10	60%	59%	59%	+8.7	+8.1	+8.1

Week 216+92.5+91.3+106.0+5.78+5.70+6.62

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
HOU @ CIN	HOU by 4	52%	54%	66%	−2.3	−3.9	−18.5
ARI @ IND	ARI by 3	40%	57%	30%	+9.2	−7.2	+15.9
BUF @ CAR	CAR by 6	71%	54%	69%	+16.4	+3.6	+15.2
CHI @ TB	TB by 22	68%	71%	70%	+14.8	+16.4	+16.0
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 14	68%	75%	71%	+14.8	+18.7	+16.7
DAL @ DEN	DEN by 25	53%	48%	43%	+2.9	−2.2	−7.9
GB @ ATL	ATL by 11	56%	57%	60%	+5.6	+6.3	+9.3
MIA @ LAC	MIA by 2	60%	43%	60%	−11.4	+6.2	−11.4
MIN @ PIT	PIT by 17	57%	62%	74%	+6.3	+10.4	+18.1
NE @ NO	NE by 16	35%	43%	34%	+12.4	+6.8	+13.4
NYJ @ LV	LV by 25	81%	76%	85%	+21.2	+19.0	+22.8
PHI @ KC	KC by 7	63%	67%	62%	+10.9	+13.9	+10.4
SF @ SEA	SEA by 3	77%	73%	84%	+19.8	+17.5	+22.6
TEN @ JAX	TEN by 21	55%	53%	47%	−5.5	−3.1	+2.8
WAS @ LA	WAS by 7	67%	57%	59%	−19.4	−7.2	−9.7
DET @ NYG	DET by 14	53%	54%	59%	−3.1	−3.9	−9.7

Week 316−4.4+0.5−1.3−0.28+0.03−0.08

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LA @ SF	LA by 2	38%	46%	41%	+10.3	+4.2	+8.0
ATL @ DET	ATL by 4	52%	54%	41%	−1.6	−3.9	+8.0
BAL @ JAX	JAX by 37	46%	43%	41%	−3.8	−7.9	−9.6
CIN @ GB	GB by 3	73%	70%	70%	+17.8	+16.0	+16.0
CLE @ IND	IND by 3	55%	68%	53%	+4.3	+14.8	+2.9
DEN @ BUF	BUF by 10	38%	46%	40%	−13.1	−4.6	−11.3
HOU @ NE	NE by 3	83%	67%	84%	+21.9	+13.9	+22.6
KC @ LAC	KC by 14	41%	29%	41%	+8.0	+16.3	+8.0
MIA @ NYJ	NYJ by 14	39%	38%	34%	−12.2	−14.0	−18.4
NO @ CAR	NO by 21	65%	67%	66%	−17.6	−20.4	−18.5
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 3	67%	57%	65%	+14.3	+6.3	+12.5
LV @ WAS	WAS by 17	38%	43%	40%	−14.0	−7.1	−11.3
PIT @ CHI	CHI by 6	30%	30%	30%	−23.9	−23.9	−23.9
SEA @ TEN	TEN by 6	59%	55%	56%	+8.1	+5.0	+5.6
TB @ MIN	MIN by 17	52%	52%	50%	+1.5	+2.2	+0.0
DAL @ ARI	DAL by 11	55%	46%	41%	−4.7	+3.5	+8.0

Week 416−15.4−11.7+3.6−0.96−0.73+0.22

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ GB	GB by 21	74%	73%	71%	+18.4	+17.5	+16.7
BUF @ ATL	BUF by 6	73%	70%	73%	−28.5	−24.0	−27.6
CAR @ NE	CAR by 3	79%	71%	75%	−37.3	−24.9	−31.2
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 24	57%	47%	41%	−7.2	+2.8	+8.0
DET @ MIN	DET by 7	61%	54%	57%	−12.3	−3.9	−8.0
IND @ SEA	SEA by 28	71%	62%	83%	+16.4	+10.4	+21.9
JAX @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	34%	52%	38%	−18.4	+2.2	−13.1
LA @ DAL	LA by 5	57%	73%	65%	−7.2	−27.6	−16.7
NO @ MIA	NO by 20	42%	63%	38%	+7.4	−15.0	+10.3
NYG @ TB	TB by 2	67%	60%	57%	+13.9	+9.3	+6.9
LV @ DEN	DEN by 6	57%	52%	60%	+6.3	+2.2	+9.3
PHI @ LAC	PHI by 2	45%	40%	55%	+4.9	+9.2	−4.7
PIT @ BAL	PIT by 17	47%	52%	40%	+2.8	−2.3	+9.2
SF @ ARI	ARI by 3	65%	73%	69%	+13.0	+17.8	+15.2
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 43	45%	49%	43%	−5.4	−0.7	−7.9
WAS @ KC	KC by 9	73%	69%	69%	+17.8	+15.2	+15.2

Week 514−26.7−38.4−18.2−1.91−2.74−1.30

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NE @ TB	NE by 5	38%	52%	40%	+10.9	−1.6	+9.2
ARI @ PHI	PHI by 27	67%	63%	67%	+14.3	+10.9	+14.3
BAL @ LV	BAL by 13	67%	64%	59%	−19.4	−15.8	−9.7
BUF @ CIN	CIN by 4	55%	41%	59%	+5.0	−9.6	+8.1
CAR @ DET	CAR by 3	58%	63%	56%	−8.9	−15.0	−6.3
GB @ DAL	GB by 4	49%	57%	57%	+0.7	−7.2	−8.0
JAX @ PIT	JAX by 21	63%	72%	71%	−15.0	−26.7	−25.8
KC @ HOU	KC by 8	50%	38%	44%	−0.0	+10.9	+5.5
LAC @ NYG	LAC by 5	55%	67%	59%	−5.5	−19.4	−9.7
NYJ @ CLE	NYJ by 3	55%	35%	46%	−5.5	+12.9	+4.2
SEA @ LA	SEA by 6	54%	52%	56%	−3.9	−2.3	−6.3
SF @ IND	IND by 3	52%	71%	47%	+2.2	+16.7	−3.0
TEN @ MIA	MIA by 6	38%	52%	50%	−14.0	+2.2	+0.0
MIN @ CHI	MIN by 3	35%	44%	40%	+12.4	+5.5	+9.2

Week 614−68.4−78.2−78.0−4.89−5.59−5.57

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PHI @ CAR	PHI by 5	51%	54%	59%	−0.8	−3.9	−9.7
CHI @ BAL	CHI by 3	70%	73%	66%	−24.0	−27.6	−18.5
CLE @ HOU	HOU by 16	78%	81%	71%	+20.1	+21.4	+16.7
DET @ NO	NO by 14	57%	50%	67%	+6.3	+0.0	+14.3
GB @ MIN	MIN by 13	52%	47%	41%	+1.5	−3.0	−9.6
LAC @ LV	LAC by 1	60%	71%	59%	−11.4	−24.9	−9.7
LA @ JAX	LA by 10	62%	57%	53%	−13.2	−8.0	−3.1
MIA @ ATL	MIA by 3	78%	66%	85%	−35.6	−18.5	−47.7
NE @ NYJ	NE by 7	24%	43%	25%	+19.3	+6.8	+18.7
NYG @ DEN	NYG by 13	71%	73%	85%	−24.9	−27.6	−47.7
PIT @ KC	PIT by 6	71%	73%	60%	−24.9	−27.6	−11.4
SF @ WAS	WAS by 2	64%	82%	82%	+12.0	+21.6	+21.6
TB @ ARI	ARI by 5	43%	52%	43%	−7.1	+2.2	−7.9
IND @ TEN	TEN by 14	67%	63%	70%	+14.3	+10.9	+16.0

Week 715+92.0+73.1+103.4+6.13+4.87+6.89

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
KC @ LV	LV by 1	42%	36%	41%	−8.7	−15.7	−9.6
ARI @ LA	LA by 33	69%	57%	59%	+15.6	+6.3	+8.1
ATL @ NE	NE by 16	71%	63%	59%	+16.4	+10.9	+8.1
BAL @ MIN	MIN by 8	67%	65%	65%	+13.9	+12.5	+12.5
CAR @ CHI	CHI by 14	38%	43%	43%	−13.1	−7.9	−7.9
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 15	65%	72%	62%	+12.5	+17.1	+10.4
DAL @ SF	DAL by 30	44%	25%	31%	+5.5	+19.0	+15.1
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 21	49%	42%	47%	−0.7	−8.7	−3.0
JAX @ IND	JAX by 27	33%	55%	41%	+13.8	−4.7	+8.0
NO @ GB	NO by 9	54%	62%	40%	−3.9	−13.2	+9.2
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 3	57%	66%	59%	+6.3	+13.4	+8.1
SEA @ NYG	SEA by 17	46%	46%	38%	+4.2	+4.2	+10.3
TB @ BUF	BUF by 3	52%	61%	59%	+2.2	+9.9	+8.1
TEN @ CLE	TEN by 3	38%	26%	34%	+10.9	+18.1	+13.4
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 10	72%	64%	65%	+17.1	+12.0	+12.5

Week 813+135.2+121.1+167.6+10.40+9.31+12.89

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIA @ BAL	BAL by 40	63%	45%	59%	+11.5	−5.4	+8.1
ATL @ NYJ	ATL by 5	41%	45%	31%	+8.0	+4.9	+15.1
CAR @ TB	CAR by 14	59%	52%	55%	−9.7	−2.3	−4.7
CHI @ NO	NO by 8	76%	69%	71%	+19.3	+15.6	+16.7
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 14	44%	52%	41%	+5.5	−1.6	+8.0
HOU @ SEA	SEA by 3	59%	63%	67%	+8.1	+11.5	+14.3
IND @ CIN	CIN by 1	71%	58%	79%	+16.7	+7.5	+20.8
LAC @ NE	NE by 8	76%	77%	69%	+19.3	+19.8	+15.2
MIN @ CLE	MIN by 17	31%	20%	21%	+15.1	+21.0	+20.8
LV @ BUF	BUF by 20	56%	60%	57%	+5.6	+8.7	+6.9
PIT @ DET	PIT by 5	53%	49%	41%	−3.1	+1.4	+8.0
SF @ PHI	PHI by 23	82%	90%	83%	+21.6	+24.0	+22.3
DEN @ KC	KC by 10	72%	70%	70%	+17.1	+16.0	+16.0

Week 913−17.1−6.3+28.0−1.31−0.49+2.15

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 13	40%	40%	41%	−10.5	−10.5	−9.6
ARI @ SF	ARI by 10	54%	30%	43%	−3.9	+15.9	+6.8
ATL @ CAR	CAR by 3	56%	50%	41%	+5.6	+0.0	−9.6
BAL @ TEN	TEN by 3	52%	61%	59%	+1.5	+9.9	+8.1
CIN @ JAX	JAX by 16	72%	60%	67%	+17.1	+8.7	+14.3
DEN @ PHI	PHI by 28	76%	71%	70%	+19.0	+16.7	+16.0
IND @ HOU	IND by 6	83%	68%	67%	−43.9	−21.3	−20.4
KC @ DAL	DAL by 11	52%	49%	56%	+2.2	−0.7	+5.6
LA @ NYG	LA by 34	36%	48%	34%	+11.9	+2.1	+13.4
LV @ MIA	LV by 3	40%	61%	41%	+8.6	−12.3	+8.0
TB @ NO	NO by 20	69%	71%	70%	+15.2	+16.7	+16.0
WAS @ SEA	WAS by 3	75%	67%	73%	−31.2	−20.4	−27.6
DET @ GB	DET by 13	58%	60%	43%	−8.9	−11.4	+6.8

Week 1014+151.8+85.3+129.9+10.84+6.10+9.28

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 6	32%	48%	33%	+14.7	+2.1	+14.3
CIN @ TEN	TEN by 4	63%	69%	63%	+10.9	+15.6	+11.5
CLE @ DET	DET by 14	77%	87%	78%	+19.8	+23.2	+20.3
DAL @ ATL	ATL by 20	47%	49%	60%	−3.0	−1.5	+9.3
GB @ CHI	GB by 7	44%	45%	63%	+5.5	+4.9	−15.0
HOU @ LA	LA by 26	70%	64%	82%	+16.0	+12.0	+21.6
LAC @ JAX	JAX by 3	71%	65%	65%	+16.7	+12.5	+12.5
MIN @ WAS	MIN by 8	40%	50%	47%	+9.2	−0.0	+2.8
NE @ DEN	NE by 25	31%	36%	30%	+15.5	+11.9	+15.9
NO @ BUF	NO by 37	46%	51%	44%	+4.2	−0.8	+5.5
NYG @ SF	SF by 10	50%	34%	41%	+0.0	−18.4	−9.6
NYJ @ TB	TB by 5	57%	52%	53%	+6.9	+1.5	+2.9
PIT @ IND	PIT by 3	29%	33%	22%	+16.3	+14.3	+20.3
MIA @ CAR	CAR by 24	75%	59%	73%	+18.7	+8.1	+17.5

Week 1114+71.2−2.3+80.0+5.09−0.17+5.72

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TEN @ PIT	PIT by 23	64%	65%	70%	+12.0	+12.5	+16.0
ARI @ HOU	HOU by 10	71%	55%	57%	+16.7	+4.3	+6.9
BAL @ GB	BAL by 23	55%	65%	43%	−4.7	−16.7	+6.8
BUF @ LAC	LAC by 30	60%	46%	70%	+9.3	−4.6	+16.0
CIN @ DEN	CIN by 3	53%	62%	57%	−3.1	−13.2	−8.0
DET @ CHI	DET by 3	38%	41%	41%	+10.9	+8.0	+8.0
JAX @ CLE	JAX by 12	24%	22%	29%	+19.3	+20.1	+16.7
KC @ NYG	NYG by 3	30%	30%	23%	−23.9	−23.9	−34.6
LA @ MIN	MIN by 17	46%	63%	53%	−3.8	+10.9	+2.9
NE @ LV	NE by 25	30%	39%	30%	+15.9	+9.8	+15.9
PHI @ DAL	PHI by 28	42%	50%	33%	+7.4	−0.0	+14.3
TB @ MIA	TB by 10	41%	63%	47%	+8.0	−15.0	+2.8
WAS @ NO	NO by 3	81%	67%	76%	+21.2	+14.3	+19.3
ATL @ SEA	ATL by 3	63%	58%	53%	−14.1	−8.9	−3.1

Week 1216+105.2+113.8+151.2+6.58+7.11+9.45

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LAC @ DAL	LAC by 22	53%	71%	47%	−3.1	−24.9	+2.8
MIN @ DET	MIN by 7	50%	49%	43%	−0.0	+0.7	+6.8
NYG @ WAS	WAS by 10	63%	65%	70%	+11.5	+12.5	+16.0
BUF @ KC	BUF by 6	74%	67%	74%	−30.3	−20.4	−29.4
CAR @ NYJ	CAR by 8	42%	43%	34%	+7.4	+6.8	+13.4
CHI @ PHI	PHI by 28	88%	83%	85%	+23.5	+22.1	+22.8
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 14	71%	81%	71%	+16.4	+21.4	+16.7
DEN @ LV	LV by 7	59%	64%	60%	+8.1	+12.0	+9.3
GB @ PIT	PIT by 3	71%	72%	85%	+16.7	+17.1	+22.8
JAX @ ARI	ARI by 3	28%	47%	31%	−27.5	−3.0	−22.1
MIA @ NE	NE by 18	92%	78%	90%	+24.4	+20.3	+24.0
NO @ LA	LA by 6	58%	46%	57%	+7.5	−3.8	+6.9
SEA @ SF	SEA by 11	31%	24%	30%	+15.5	+19.3	+15.9
TB @ ATL	ATL by 14	67%	71%	78%	+14.3	+16.4	+20.3
TEN @ IND	TEN by 4	38%	40%	41%	+10.9	+8.6	+8.0
HOU @ BAL	BAL by 7	61%	60%	71%	+9.9	+8.7	+16.7

Week 1316+107.8+97.3+106.9+6.74+6.08+6.68

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 24	57%	60%	46%	+6.9	+9.3	−4.6
CAR @ NO	NO by 10	67%	60%	66%	+13.9	+8.7	+13.4
CLE @ LAC	LAC by 9	84%	84%	84%	+22.4	+22.6	+22.6
DEN @ MIA	MIA by 26	44%	62%	47%	−6.2	+10.4	−3.0
DET @ BAL	BAL by 24	60%	54%	57%	+9.3	+3.6	+6.9
HOU @ TEN	TEN by 11	51%	69%	70%	+0.8	+15.2	+16.0
IND @ JAX	JAX by 20	86%	69%	77%	+22.9	+15.6	+19.8
KC @ NYJ	NYJ by 7	41%	40%	40%	−9.6	−11.3	−11.3
LA @ ARI	LA by 16	23%	47%	29%	+19.5	+2.8	+16.7
MIN @ ATL	MIN by 5	52%	53%	56%	−1.6	−3.1	−6.3
NE @ BUF	NE by 20	22%	36%	29%	+20.1	+11.9	+16.7
NYG @ LV	LV by 7	65%	69%	77%	+12.5	+15.6	+19.8
PHI @ SEA	SEA by 14	40%	46%	40%	−10.5	−4.6	−11.3
SF @ CHI	SF by 1	56%	71%	57%	−6.3	−24.9	−8.0
TB @ GB	GB by 6	57%	62%	59%	+6.9	+10.4	+8.1
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 3	43%	31%	37%	+6.8	+15.1	+11.4

Week 1416−32.7+5.8+7.5−2.05+0.36+0.47

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ ATL	ATL by 3	46%	55%	57%	−3.8	+4.3	+6.9
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 1	56%	73%	67%	+5.6	+17.5	+14.3
CHI @ CIN	CHI by 26	68%	66%	67%	−21.3	−18.5	−20.4
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 20	38%	37%	38%	+10.3	+11.4	+10.3
DET @ TB	DET by 3	49%	46%	50%	+1.4	+4.2	−0.0
GB @ CLE	GB by 6	35%	19%	43%	+12.4	+21.4	+6.8
IND @ BUF	BUF by 6	68%	71%	60%	+14.8	+16.7	+9.3
MIN @ CAR	CAR by 7	49%	44%	43%	−0.7	−6.2	−7.9
NYJ @ DEN	DEN by 23	45%	52%	47%	−5.4	+1.5	−3.0
LV @ KC	KC by 11	67%	60%	63%	+14.3	+8.7	+11.5
PHI @ LA	PHI by 8	55%	48%	47%	−5.5	+2.1	+2.8
SEA @ JAX	JAX by 6	63%	49%	59%	+10.9	−1.5	+8.1
SF @ HOU	SF by 10	71%	74%	53%	−24.9	−29.4	−3.1
TEN @ ARI	ARI by 5	40%	43%	43%	−10.5	−7.1	−7.9
WAS @ LAC	LAC by 17	73%	54%	67%	+17.8	+3.6	+14.3
NE @ MIA	MIA by 7	14%	31%	23%	−48.3	−23.0	−34.6

Week 1516+176.0+120.0+189.7+11.00+7.50+11.86

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ IND	DEN by 12	43%	50%	41%	+6.8	−0.0	+8.0
CHI @ DET	DET by 10	68%	74%	65%	+14.8	+18.4	+12.5
LAC @ KC	KC by 17	53%	66%	53%	+2.9	+13.4	+2.9
ARI @ WAS	WAS by 5	60%	56%	62%	+9.3	+5.6	+10.4
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 17	22%	18%	31%	+20.1	+21.7	+15.1
CIN @ MIN	MIN by 27	77%	79%	83%	+19.8	+20.6	+21.9
DAL @ LV	DAL by 3	46%	49%	41%	+4.2	+0.7	+8.0
GB @ CAR	CAR by 7	67%	63%	59%	+14.3	+10.9	+8.1
HOU @ JAX	JAX by 38	76%	71%	78%	+19.3	+16.4	+20.3
LA @ SEA	LA by 35	49%	59%	47%	+0.7	−9.7	+2.8
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 8	62%	57%	60%	+10.4	+6.9	+9.3
NE @ PIT	NE by 3	41%	58%	43%	+8.0	−8.9	+6.8
NYJ @ NO	NO by 12	80%	74%	89%	+21.0	+18.1	+23.8
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 5	17%	26%	29%	+22.2	+18.1	+16.7
TEN @ SF	SF by 2	45%	29%	57%	−5.4	−25.7	+6.9
ATL @ TB	ATL by 3	42%	34%	30%	+7.4	+13.4	+15.9

Week 1616+151.1+117.9+174.9+9.44+7.37+10.93

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ BAL	BAL by 7	88%	76%	84%	+23.7	+19.0	+22.6
MIN @ GB	MIN by 16	36%	41%	26%	+11.9	+8.0	+18.1
ATL @ NO	NO by 10	68%	55%	66%	+14.8	+4.3	+13.4
BUF @ NE	NE by 21	87%	74%	79%	+23.2	+18.4	+20.8
CLE @ CHI	CHI by 17	68%	79%	66%	+14.8	+20.6	+13.4
DEN @ WAS	WAS by 16	56%	63%	59%	+5.6	+11.5	+8.1
DET @ CIN	CIN by 9	42%	40%	41%	−8.7	−10.5	−9.6
JAX @ SF	SF by 11	25%	32%	38%	−32.0	−21.1	−13.1
LAC @ NYJ	LAC by 7	38%	51%	29%	+10.9	−0.8	+16.7
LA @ TEN	LA by 4	30%	52%	34%	+15.9	−2.3	+13.4
MIA @ KC	KC by 16	79%	65%	79%	+20.6	+13.0	+20.8
NYG @ ARI	ARI by 23	57%	67%	59%	+6.9	+14.3	+8.1
SEA @ DAL	SEA by 9	56%	61%	63%	−6.3	−12.3	−15.0
TB @ CAR	CAR by 3	72%	77%	77%	+17.1	+19.6	+19.8
LV @ PHI	PHI by 9	84%	74%	77%	+22.6	+18.4	+19.8
PIT @ HOU	PIT by 28	38%	27%	28%	+10.3	+17.8	+17.4

Week 1716−96.5−29.8+53.9−6.03−1.86+3.37

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SEA	ARI by 2	74%	67%	73%	−29.4	−19.4	−27.6
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 6	48%	52%	43%	+2.1	−1.6	+6.8
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 12	55%	57%	65%	+4.3	+6.3	+12.5
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 13	82%	84%	84%	+21.8	+22.4	+22.6
CIN @ BAL	CIN by 4	79%	69%	73%	−38.2	−22.2	−27.6
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 4	88%	96%	65%	+23.5	+24.9	+12.5
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 6	78%	69%	40%	−36.5	−22.2	+9.2
GB @ DET	DET by 24	63%	60%	71%	+11.5	+9.3	+16.7
HOU @ IND	IND by 9	40%	49%	66%	−10.5	−0.7	+13.4
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 5	33%	55%	57%	−20.2	+5.0	+6.9
KC @ DEN	KC by 3	33%	38%	59%	+13.8	+10.3	−9.7
NO @ TB	TB by 7	31%	31%	33%	−22.1	−22.1	−20.2
NYJ @ NE	NE by 20	88%	86%	90%	+23.7	+22.9	+24.0
LV @ LAC	LAC by 20	73%	55%	70%	+17.8	+5.0	+16.0
SF @ LA	SF by 21	85%	78%	31%	−47.7	−36.5	+15.1
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 8	40%	40%	35%	−10.5	−11.3	−16.6

2016RETRODICTION256+745.2+717.5+753.4+2.91+2.80+2.94

Week 116+46.7+18.3+10.2+2.92+1.14+0.64

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ DEN	DEN by 1	51%	51%	41%	+0.8	+0.8	−9.6
BUF @ BAL	BAL by 6	60%	51%	59%	+9.3	+0.8	+8.1
CHI @ HOU	HOU by 9	64%	63%	66%	+12.0	+10.9	+13.4
CIN @ NYJ	CIN by 1	47%	53%	53%	+2.8	−3.1	−3.1
CLE @ PHI	PHI by 19	60%	65%	60%	+8.7	+12.5	+9.3
DET @ IND	DET by 4	60%	59%	57%	−11.4	−9.7	−8.0
GB @ JAX	GB by 4	41%	47%	40%	+8.0	+2.8	+9.2
MIA @ SEA	SEA by 2	76%	65%	78%	+19.3	+12.5	+20.3
MIN @ TEN	MIN by 9	49%	41%	43%	+0.7	+8.0	+6.8
NE @ ARI	NE by 2	59%	59%	75%	−9.7	−9.7	−31.2
NYG @ DAL	NYG by 1	55%	53%	53%	−4.7	−3.1	−3.1
LV @ NO	LV by 1	52%	57%	57%	−2.3	−7.2	−8.0
LAC @ KC	KC by 6	67%	70%	69%	+13.9	+16.0	+15.2
TB @ ATL	TB by 7	56%	60%	57%	−6.3	−11.4	−8.0
LA @ SF	SF by 28	51%	53%	43%	+0.8	+2.9	−7.9
PIT @ WAS	PIT by 22	45%	55%	43%	+4.9	−4.7	+6.8

Week 216+25.9+30.7+14.7+1.62+1.92+0.92

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ BUF	NYJ by 6	52%	52%	55%	−1.6	−1.6	−4.7
ATL @ LV	ATL by 7	65%	63%	62%	−17.6	−14.1	−13.2
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 5	41%	45%	38%	+8.0	+4.9	+10.3
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 8	66%	52%	59%	+13.4	+2.2	+8.1
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 4	51%	65%	60%	−0.8	−17.6	−11.4
GB @ MIN	MIN by 3	49%	58%	46%	−1.5	+7.5	−4.6
IND @ DEN	DEN by 14	60%	71%	65%	+9.3	+16.7	+12.5
JAX @ LAC	LAC by 24	59%	55%	59%	+8.1	+5.0	+8.1
KC @ HOU	HOU by 7	54%	53%	47%	+3.6	+2.9	−3.0
MIA @ NE	NE by 7	73%	74%	66%	+17.8	+18.4	+13.4
NO @ NYG	NYG by 3	59%	62%	60%	+8.1	+10.4	+9.3
SEA @ LA	LA by 6	23%	43%	34%	−33.7	−7.1	−18.4
SF @ CAR	CAR by 19	70%	67%	82%	+16.0	+14.3	+21.6
TB @ ARI	ARI by 33	70%	62%	71%	+16.0	+10.4	+16.7
TEN @ DET	TEN by 1	66%	70%	67%	−18.5	−24.0	−20.4
PHI @ CHI	PHI by 15	51%	48%	59%	−0.8	+2.1	−9.7

Week 316+8.1+38.1+1.5+0.51+2.38+0.09

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
HOU @ NE	NE by 27	63%	63%	53%	+10.9	+11.5	+2.9
ARI @ BUF	BUF by 15	32%	40%	35%	−21.1	−10.5	−16.6
BAL @ JAX	BAL by 2	46%	43%	47%	+3.5	+6.8	+2.8
CHI @ DAL	DAL by 14	67%	60%	69%	+14.3	+8.7	+15.2
CLE @ MIA	MIA by 6	65%	65%	77%	+13.0	+12.5	+19.8
DEN @ CIN	DEN by 12	54%	49%	60%	−3.9	+0.7	−11.4
DET @ GB	GB by 7	68%	63%	67%	+14.8	+11.5	+14.3
LA @ TB	LA by 5	67%	55%	60%	−20.4	−5.5	−11.4
MIN @ CAR	MIN by 12	64%	57%	67%	−15.8	−7.2	−20.4
NYJ @ KC	KC by 21	61%	57%	59%	+9.9	+6.9	+8.1
LV @ TEN	LV by 7	44%	51%	46%	+5.5	−0.8	+4.2
PIT @ PHI	PHI by 31	45%	50%	40%	−5.4	+0.0	−11.3
LAC @ IND	IND by 4	52%	58%	55%	+2.2	+7.5	+4.3
SF @ SEA	SEA by 19	70%	63%	78%	+16.0	+11.5	+20.3
WAS @ NYG	WAS by 2	60%	65%	60%	−11.4	−17.6	−11.4
ATL @ NO	ATL by 13	54%	48%	57%	−3.9	+2.1	−8.0

Week 415−27.2+9.8−9.1−1.81+0.65−0.61

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIA @ CIN	CIN by 15	61%	67%	71%	+9.9	+13.9	+16.7
BUF @ NE	BUF by 16	72%	76%	60%	−26.7	−33.0	−11.4
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 15	53%	50%	43%	+2.9	+0.0	−7.9
CLE @ WAS	WAS by 11	65%	73%	71%	+12.5	+17.8	+16.7
DAL @ SF	DAL by 7	46%	55%	47%	+4.2	−4.7	+2.8
DEN @ TB	DEN by 20	40%	33%	40%	+8.6	+14.3	+9.2
DET @ CHI	CHI by 3	43%	49%	41%	−7.9	−0.7	−9.6
IND @ JAX	JAX by 3	44%	43%	53%	−6.2	−7.1	+2.9
KC @ PIT	PIT by 29	54%	57%	59%	+3.6	+6.3	+8.1
LA @ ARI	LA by 4	82%	59%	77%	−42.3	−9.7	−34.7
NO @ LAC	NO by 1	64%	59%	62%	−15.8	−9.7	−13.2
LV @ BAL	LV by 1	55%	60%	60%	−4.7	−10.6	−11.4
SEA @ NYJ	SEA by 10	42%	52%	47%	+7.4	−1.6	+2.8
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 7	67%	71%	62%	+14.3	+16.7	+10.4
NYG @ MIN	MIN by 14	65%	73%	60%	+13.0	+17.8	+9.3

Week 514+39.0−0.2+33.5+2.78−0.01+2.39

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SF	ARI by 12	38%	46%	40%	+10.9	+3.5	+9.2
ATL @ DEN	ATL by 7	62%	69%	60%	−13.2	−23.1	−11.4
BUF @ LA	BUF by 11	41%	61%	43%	+8.0	−12.3	+6.8
CHI @ IND	IND by 6	69%	60%	62%	+15.2	+9.3	+10.4
CIN @ DAL	DAL by 14	59%	48%	43%	+8.1	−2.2	−7.9
HOU @ MIN	MIN by 18	66%	68%	67%	+13.4	+14.8	+14.3
NE @ CLE	NE by 20	33%	23%	23%	+13.8	+19.8	+19.8
NYG @ GB	GB by 7	71%	66%	70%	+16.7	+13.4	+16.0
NYJ @ PIT	PIT by 18	74%	69%	77%	+18.4	+15.6	+19.8
PHI @ DET	DET by 1	40%	39%	40%	−10.5	−12.2	−11.3
LAC @ LV	LV by 3	55%	73%	60%	+5.0	+17.5	+9.3
TEN @ MIA	TEN by 13	58%	61%	57%	−8.9	−12.3	−8.0
WAS @ BAL	WAS by 6	60%	58%	62%	−10.6	−8.9	−13.2
TB @ CAR	TB by 3	73%	69%	67%	−27.6	−23.1	−20.4

Week 615+35.3−0.6+32.6+2.35−0.04+2.17

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 8	51%	27%	41%	+0.8	−28.4	−9.6
ATL @ SEA	SEA by 2	58%	55%	70%	+7.5	+4.3	+16.0
BAL @ NYG	NYG by 4	55%	53%	60%	+4.3	+2.9	+9.3
CAR @ NO	NO by 3	49%	47%	43%	−1.5	−3.0	−7.9
CIN @ NE	NE by 18	71%	67%	71%	+16.4	+13.9	+16.7
CLE @ TEN	TEN by 2	65%	70%	71%	+12.5	+16.0	+16.7
DAL @ GB	DAL by 14	62%	65%	65%	−13.2	−16.7	−16.7
IND @ HOU	HOU by 3	54%	65%	59%	+3.6	+13.0	+8.1
JAX @ CHI	JAX by 1	52%	55%	57%	−2.3	−5.5	−8.0
KC @ LV	KC by 16	60%	58%	47%	−10.6	−8.9	+2.8
LA @ DET	DET by 3	66%	49%	57%	+13.4	−0.7	+6.9
PHI @ WAS	WAS by 7	40%	55%	41%	−10.5	+4.3	−9.6
PIT @ MIA	MIA by 15	32%	32%	29%	−21.1	−21.1	−25.7
SF @ BUF	BUF by 29	71%	73%	71%	+16.4	+17.5	+16.7
NYJ @ ARI	ARI by 25	77%	64%	71%	+19.6	+12.0	+16.7

Week 715+34.2+15.5+46.0+2.28+1.03+3.07

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ GB	GB by 16	74%	76%	71%	+18.4	+19.0	+16.7
BAL @ NYJ	NYJ by 8	43%	55%	56%	−7.9	+4.3	+5.6
BUF @ MIA	MIA by 3	40%	44%	43%	−10.5	−6.2	−7.9
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 14	66%	82%	81%	+13.4	+21.6	+21.2
IND @ TEN	IND by 8	50%	55%	62%	−0.0	−4.7	−13.2
MIN @ PHI	PHI by 11	55%	37%	43%	+5.0	−14.8	−7.9
NE @ PIT	NE by 11	52%	50%	29%	−2.3	−0.0	+16.7
NO @ KC	KC by 6	61%	68%	67%	+9.9	+14.8	+14.3
NYG @ LA	NYG by 7	48%	58%	41%	+2.1	−8.9	+8.0
LV @ JAX	LV by 17	45%	46%	55%	+4.9	+4.2	−4.7
LAC @ ATL	LAC by 3	63%	71%	63%	−14.1	−25.8	−15.0
SEA @ ARI	tie	62%	51%	57%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
TB @ SF	TB by 17	54%	46%	53%	−3.9	+4.2	−3.1
WAS @ DET	DET by 3	57%	49%	47%	+6.3	−1.5	−3.0
HOU @ DEN	DEN by 18	65%	60%	74%	+13.0	+9.3	+18.1

Week 813+10.6+27.7+51.5+0.81+2.13+3.96

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 14	63%	56%	59%	+10.9	+5.6	+8.1
ARI @ CAR	CAR by 10	47%	50%	57%	−3.0	+0.0	+6.9
DET @ HOU	HOU by 7	54%	61%	53%	+3.6	+9.9	+2.9
GB @ ATL	ATL by 1	57%	52%	59%	+6.9	+1.5	+8.1
KC @ IND	KC by 16	53%	44%	41%	−3.1	+5.5	+8.0
NE @ BUF	NE by 16	50%	41%	34%	−0.0	+8.0	+13.4
NYJ @ CLE	NYJ by 3	52%	32%	43%	−2.3	+14.7	+6.8
LV @ TB	LV by 6	44%	49%	53%	+5.5	+0.7	−3.1
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 6	57%	57%	65%	+6.9	+6.3	+12.5
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 8	63%	73%	60%	+10.9	+17.8	+9.3
SEA @ NO	NO by 5	46%	40%	47%	−4.6	−11.3	−3.0
WAS @ CIN	tie	57%	57%	59%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 10	32%	25%	34%	−21.1	−31.1	−18.4

Week 913+45.7+26.8+56.5+3.52+2.06+4.35

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ TB	ATL by 15	38%	46%	37%	+10.9	+4.2	+11.4
CAR @ LA	CAR by 3	38%	52%	41%	+10.3	−1.6	+8.0
DAL @ CLE	DAL by 25	29%	21%	30%	+16.7	+20.8	+15.9
DEN @ LV	LV by 10	50%	49%	53%	+0.0	−1.5	+2.9
DET @ MIN	DET by 6	67%	70%	62%	−20.4	−24.0	−13.2
IND @ GB	IND by 5	67%	67%	71%	−19.4	−19.4	−25.8
JAX @ KC	KC by 5	77%	79%	70%	+19.8	+20.6	+16.0
NO @ SF	NO by 18	40%	43%	35%	+9.2	+6.8	+12.4
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 4	63%	56%	60%	+11.5	+5.6	+9.3
PHI @ NYG	NYG by 5	43%	55%	59%	−7.9	+4.3	+8.1
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 7	46%	42%	40%	−4.6	−8.7	−11.3
TEN @ LAC	LAC by 8	63%	60%	60%	+11.5	+9.3	+9.3
BUF @ SEA	SEA by 6	59%	62%	66%	+8.1	+10.4	+13.4

Week 1014+14.1+37.0−43.4+1.01+2.64−3.10

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 21	71%	82%	71%	+16.7	+21.6	+16.7
ATL @ PHI	PHI by 9	55%	48%	56%	+5.0	−2.2	+5.6
CHI @ TB	TB by 26	57%	63%	43%	+6.9	+10.9	−7.9
DAL @ PIT	DAL by 5	45%	52%	59%	+4.9	−1.6	−9.7
DEN @ NO	DEN by 2	49%	43%	59%	+0.7	+6.8	−9.7
GB @ TEN	TEN by 22	46%	43%	41%	−4.6	−7.1	−9.6
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 3	43%	35%	59%	+6.2	+12.9	−9.7
KC @ CAR	KC by 3	54%	49%	59%	−3.9	+1.4	−9.7
LA @ NYJ	LA by 3	56%	57%	47%	−6.3	−7.2	+2.8
MIA @ LAC	MIA by 7	65%	55%	62%	−17.6	−5.5	−13.2
MIN @ WAS	WAS by 6	50%	51%	57%	+0.0	+0.8	+6.9
SEA @ NE	SEA by 7	69%	67%	71%	−23.1	−20.4	−25.8
SF @ ARI	ARI by 3	82%	77%	85%	+21.8	+19.6	+22.8
CIN @ NYG	NYG by 1	58%	57%	47%	+7.5	+6.9	−3.0

Week 1114+104.1+118.1+108.3+7.44+8.43+7.74

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ CAR	CAR by 3	58%	62%	60%	+7.5	+10.4	+9.3
ARI @ MIN	MIN by 6	52%	60%	56%	+2.2	+8.7	+5.6
BAL @ DAL	DAL by 10	74%	71%	70%	+18.1	+16.4	+16.0
BUF @ CIN	BUF by 4	47%	57%	57%	+2.8	−8.0	−8.0
CHI @ NYG	NYG by 6	71%	76%	70%	+16.4	+19.0	+16.0
GB @ WAS	WAS by 18	53%	63%	57%	+2.9	+11.5	+6.9
JAX @ DET	DET by 7	69%	73%	66%	+15.6	+17.8	+13.4
MIA @ LA	MIA by 4	46%	52%	53%	+3.5	−2.3	−3.1
NE @ SF	NE by 13	22%	21%	22%	+20.1	+20.8	+20.3
PHI @ SEA	SEA by 11	57%	67%	69%	+6.3	+13.9	+15.2
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 15	31%	23%	28%	+15.1	+19.8	+17.4
TB @ KC	TB by 2	69%	74%	70%	−23.1	−29.4	−24.0
TEN @ IND	IND by 7	54%	63%	59%	+3.6	+11.5	+8.1
HOU @ LV	LV by 7	65%	59%	69%	+13.0	+8.1	+15.2

Week 1216+94.8+63.5+129.7+5.93+3.97+8.11

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIN @ DET	DET by 3	51%	51%	56%	+0.8	+0.8	+5.6
PIT @ IND	PIT by 21	52%	54%	28%	−2.3	−3.9	+17.4
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 5	72%	63%	66%	+17.1	+10.9	+13.4
ARI @ ATL	ATL by 19	57%	61%	60%	+6.9	+9.9	+9.3
CAR @ LV	LV by 3	61%	65%	60%	+9.9	+13.0	+9.3
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 5	60%	55%	60%	+9.3	+4.3	+9.3
JAX @ BUF	BUF by 7	77%	74%	74%	+19.8	+18.1	+18.1
KC @ DEN	KC by 3	61%	60%	60%	−12.3	−10.6	−11.4
LA @ NO	NO by 28	68%	57%	71%	+14.8	+6.3	+16.7
NE @ NYJ	NE by 5	25%	31%	25%	+18.7	+15.1	+18.7
NYG @ CLE	NYG by 14	33%	18%	31%	+13.8	+21.7	+15.1
LAC @ HOU	LAC by 8	49%	68%	43%	+1.4	−21.3	+6.8
SEA @ TB	TB by 9	40%	42%	35%	−10.5	−8.7	−16.6
SF @ MIA	MIA by 7	73%	80%	70%	+17.5	+21.0	+16.0
TEN @ CHI	TEN by 6	38%	51%	31%	+10.3	−0.8	+15.1
GB @ PHI	GB by 14	67%	61%	62%	−20.4	−12.3	−13.2

Week 1315+64.9+84.8+63.5+4.33+5.65+4.23

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ MIN	DAL by 2	44%	49%	41%	+5.5	+1.4	+8.0
BUF @ LV	LV by 14	58%	69%	59%	+7.5	+15.6	+8.1
CAR @ SEA	SEA by 33	64%	65%	74%	+12.0	+12.5	+18.1
DEN @ JAX	DEN by 10	30%	27%	40%	+15.9	+17.8	+9.2
DET @ NO	DET by 15	61%	48%	69%	−12.3	+2.1	−22.2
HOU @ GB	GB by 8	63%	51%	70%	+11.5	+0.8	+16.0
KC @ ATL	KC by 1	63%	52%	65%	−14.1	−1.6	−16.7
LA @ NE	NE by 16	86%	80%	83%	+22.9	+21.0	+22.3
MIA @ BAL	BAL by 32	57%	50%	60%	+6.9	+0.0	+9.3
NYG @ PIT	PIT by 10	64%	53%	70%	+12.0	+2.9	+16.0
PHI @ CIN	CIN by 18	43%	54%	53%	−7.1	+3.6	+2.9
SF @ CHI	CHI by 20	57%	63%	50%	+6.9	+10.9	+0.0
TB @ LAC	TB by 7	64%	52%	60%	−15.8	−2.3	−11.4
WAS @ ARI	ARI by 8	59%	51%	57%	+8.1	+0.8	+6.9
IND @ NYJ	IND by 31	45%	51%	53%	+4.9	−0.8	−3.1

Week 1416+29.8+86.8+32.4+1.86+5.42+2.02

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LV @ KC	KC by 8	54%	55%	60%	+3.6	+4.3	+9.3
ARI @ MIA	MIA by 3	45%	57%	44%	−5.4	+6.9	−6.2
ATL @ LA	ATL by 28	28%	43%	37%	+17.1	+6.8	+11.4
CHI @ DET	DET by 3	73%	77%	71%	+17.5	+19.8	+16.7
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 13	33%	24%	38%	+14.3	+19.3	+10.3
DAL @ NYG	NYG by 3	39%	45%	40%	−12.2	−5.4	−11.3
DEN @ TEN	TEN by 3	49%	35%	56%	−1.5	−16.6	+5.6
HOU @ IND	HOU by 5	65%	55%	69%	−16.7	−4.7	−22.2
MIN @ JAX	MIN by 9	33%	32%	41%	+13.8	+14.7	+8.0
NO @ TB	TB by 5	53%	66%	56%	+2.9	+13.4	+5.6
NYJ @ SF	NYJ by 6	50%	41%	59%	−0.0	+8.0	−9.7
PIT @ BUF	PIT by 7	54%	52%	47%	−3.9	−2.3	+2.8
LAC @ CAR	CAR by 12	49%	62%	53%	−0.7	+10.4	+2.9
SEA @ GB	GB by 28	46%	44%	41%	−4.6	−6.2	−9.6
WAS @ PHI	WAS by 5	60%	50%	46%	−11.4	−0.0	+4.2
BAL @ NE	NE by 7	72%	74%	67%	+17.1	+18.4	+14.3

Week 1516+87.8+76.3+84.7+5.49+4.77+5.29

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LA @ SEA	SEA by 21	83%	75%	87%	+22.1	+18.7	+23.3
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 21	42%	43%	43%	+7.4	+6.8	+6.8
CLE @ BUF	BUF by 20	82%	87%	78%	+21.6	+23.3	+20.3
DET @ NYG	NYG by 11	55%	57%	62%	+4.3	+6.3	+10.4
GB @ CHI	GB by 3	35%	36%	37%	+12.4	+11.9	+11.4
IND @ MIN	IND by 28	63%	66%	65%	−14.1	−18.5	−16.7
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 1	69%	78%	60%	+15.6	+20.3	+9.3
NE @ DEN	NE by 13	47%	45%	41%	+2.8	+4.9	+8.0
NO @ ARI	NO by 7	62%	63%	59%	−13.2	−15.0	−9.7
LV @ LAC	LV by 3	49%	36%	43%	+0.7	+11.9	+6.8
PHI @ BAL	BAL by 1	58%	62%	65%	+7.5	+10.4	+12.5
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 4	46%	47%	41%	+3.5	+2.8	+8.0
SF @ ATL	ATL by 28	87%	86%	84%	+23.2	+23.1	+22.6
TB @ DAL	DAL by 6	74%	65%	70%	+18.4	+13.0	+16.0
TEN @ KC	TEN by 2	62%	77%	67%	−13.2	−34.7	−20.4
CAR @ WAS	CAR by 11	60%	58%	70%	−11.4	−8.9	−24.0

Week 1616+31.1−8.4+29.0+1.94−0.53+1.81

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 5	60%	40%	56%	+9.3	−11.3	+5.6
ARI @ SEA	ARI by 3	65%	70%	75%	−16.7	−24.0	−31.2
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 17	40%	55%	41%	+9.2	−4.7	+8.0
CIN @ HOU	HOU by 2	54%	63%	59%	+3.6	+11.5	+8.1
IND @ LV	LV by 8	60%	73%	60%	+9.3	+17.8	+9.3
MIA @ BUF	MIA by 3	64%	51%	63%	−15.8	−0.8	−15.0
MIN @ GB	GB by 13	63%	57%	67%	+10.9	+6.3	+14.3
NYJ @ NE	NE by 38	89%	85%	90%	+23.7	+22.8	+24.0
LAC @ CLE	CLE by 3	28%	26%	37%	−27.5	−30.2	−14.8
SF @ LA	SF by 1	57%	74%	67%	−8.0	−29.4	−20.4
TB @ NO	NO by 7	59%	48%	59%	+8.1	−2.2	+8.1
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 21	34%	37%	38%	−18.4	−14.8	−13.1
WAS @ CHI	WAS by 20	42%	35%	41%	+7.4	+12.9	+8.0
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 4	63%	65%	66%	+10.9	+12.5	+13.4
DEN @ KC	KC by 23	57%	63%	60%	+6.9	+11.5	+9.3
DET @ DAL	DAL by 21	74%	67%	69%	+18.1	+13.9	+15.2

Week 1716+100.3+93.3+111.8+6.27+5.83+6.99

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ LA	ARI by 38	29%	43%	30%	+16.7	+6.8	+15.9
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 17	50%	52%	43%	+0.0	+2.2	−7.9
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 20	26%	46%	40%	−30.2	−3.8	−11.3
CAR @ TB	TB by 1	57%	55%	60%	+6.3	+4.3	+9.3
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 28	71%	77%	67%	+16.7	+19.8	+14.3
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 3	86%	91%	60%	+22.9	+24.1	+9.3
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 14	43%	35%	69%	−7.1	−17.5	+15.2
GB @ DET	GB by 7	46%	55%	40%	+3.5	−5.5	+9.2
HOU @ TEN	TEN by 7	61%	46%	59%	+9.9	−4.6	+8.1
JAX @ IND	IND by 4	73%	73%	66%	+17.8	+17.5	+13.4
KC @ LAC	KC by 10	47%	31%	34%	+2.8	+15.1	+13.4
NE @ MIA	NE by 21	33%	40%	29%	+13.8	+8.6	+16.7
NO @ ATL	ATL by 6	72%	69%	71%	+17.1	+15.2	+16.7
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 9	60%	53%	77%	−11.4	−3.1	−34.7
LV @ DEN	DEN by 18	51%	45%	53%	+0.8	−5.4	+2.9
SEA @ SF	SEA by 2	21%	23%	20%	+20.5	+19.5	+21.2

2015RETRODICTION256+557.6+580.7+544.3+2.18+2.27+2.13

Week 116+49.4+56.0+67.8+3.09+3.50+4.24

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PIT @ NE	NE by 7	68%	59%	71%	+14.8	+8.1	+16.7
BAL @ DEN	DEN by 6	63%	60%	63%	+11.5	+9.3	+11.5
CAR @ JAX	CAR by 11	48%	48%	41%	+2.1	+2.1	+8.0
CIN @ LV	CIN by 20	47%	42%	41%	+2.8	+7.4	+8.0
CLE @ NYJ	NYJ by 21	61%	51%	60%	+9.9	+0.8	+9.3
DET @ LAC	LAC by 5	60%	53%	60%	+9.3	+2.9	+9.3
GB @ CHI	GB by 8	38%	43%	34%	+10.9	+6.8	+13.4
IND @ BUF	BUF by 13	42%	53%	47%	−8.7	+2.9	−3.0
KC @ HOU	KC by 7	54%	57%	47%	−3.9	−7.2	+2.8
MIA @ WAS	MIA by 7	42%	49%	38%	+7.4	+1.4	+10.3
NO @ ARI	ARI by 12	54%	65%	56%	+3.6	+12.5	+5.6
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 1	66%	68%	70%	+13.4	+14.8	+16.0
SEA @ LA	LA by 3	40%	45%	40%	−10.5	−5.4	−11.3
TEN @ TB	TEN by 28	56%	57%	59%	−6.3	−7.2	−9.7
MIN @ SF	SF by 17	46%	59%	43%	−4.6	+8.1	−7.9
PHI @ ATL	ATL by 2	48%	49%	40%	−2.2	−1.5	−11.3

Week 216−64.3−1.0−89.8−4.02−0.06−5.61

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ KC	DEN by 7	51%	52%	59%	−0.8	−1.6	−9.7
ARI @ CHI	ARI by 25	44%	38%	44%	+5.5	+10.3	+5.5
ATL @ NYG	ATL by 4	52%	49%	56%	−2.3	+0.7	−6.3
BAL @ LV	LV by 4	43%	44%	33%	−7.9	−6.2	−20.2
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 10	60%	46%	70%	−11.4	+4.2	−24.0
DET @ MIN	MIN by 10	44%	49%	57%	−6.2	−0.7	+6.9
HOU @ CAR	CAR by 7	52%	60%	59%	+2.2	+9.3	+8.1
MIA @ JAX	JAX by 3	38%	40%	35%	−14.0	−10.5	−16.6
NE @ BUF	NE by 8	50%	52%	56%	−0.0	−1.6	−6.3
LAC @ CIN	CIN by 5	58%	58%	60%	+7.5	+7.5	+9.3
SEA @ GB	GB by 10	54%	65%	60%	+3.6	+12.5	+9.3
SF @ PIT	PIT by 25	65%	55%	67%	+12.5	+5.0	+14.3
LA @ WAS	WAS by 14	46%	45%	41%	−4.6	−5.4	−9.6
TB @ NO	TB by 7	68%	67%	76%	−21.3	−20.4	−33.0
TEN @ CLE	CLE by 14	38%	59%	53%	−14.0	+8.1	+2.9
NYJ @ IND	NYJ by 13	62%	61%	67%	−13.2	−12.3	−20.4

Week 316+79.8+67.6+99.5+4.99+4.23+6.22

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 11	59%	52%	59%	+8.1	+2.2	+8.1
ATL @ DAL	ATL by 11	61%	67%	53%	−12.3	−20.4	−3.1
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 27	55%	53%	53%	−4.7	−3.1	−3.1
CHI @ SEA	SEA by 26	76%	67%	89%	+19.0	+14.3	+23.8
CIN @ BAL	CIN by 4	50%	42%	57%	−0.0	+7.4	−8.0
DEN @ DET	DEN by 12	46%	40%	41%	+4.2	+8.6	+8.0
IND @ TEN	IND by 2	53%	48%	41%	−3.1	+2.1	+8.0
JAX @ NE	NE by 34	82%	77%	86%	+21.6	+19.8	+23.1
NO @ CAR	CAR by 5	60%	71%	77%	+9.3	+16.7	+19.8
LV @ CLE	LV by 7	50%	63%	60%	−0.0	−14.1	−11.4
PHI @ NYJ	PHI by 7	57%	60%	59%	−8.0	−11.4	−9.7
PIT @ LA	PIT by 6	47%	47%	55%	+2.8	+2.8	−4.7
LAC @ MIN	MIN by 17	47%	52%	57%	−3.0	+2.2	+6.9
SF @ ARI	ARI by 40	78%	67%	70%	+20.1	+14.3	+16.0
TB @ HOU	HOU by 10	64%	63%	67%	+12.0	+11.5	+14.3
KC @ GB	GB by 10	67%	67%	63%	+13.9	+14.3	+11.5

Week 415+22.8−2.8+61.6+1.52−0.18+4.11

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ PIT	BAL by 3	63%	71%	41%	−15.0	−24.9	+8.0
CAR @ TB	CAR by 14	43%	34%	41%	+6.8	+13.4	+8.0
CLE @ LAC	LAC by 3	69%	62%	63%	+15.2	+10.4	+11.5
DAL @ NO	NO by 6	46%	35%	59%	−3.8	−16.6	+8.1
GB @ SF	GB by 14	24%	38%	29%	+19.3	+10.3	+16.7
HOU @ ATL	ATL by 27	65%	65%	62%	+12.5	+13.0	+10.4
JAX @ IND	IND by 3	71%	67%	62%	+16.4	+14.3	+10.4
KC @ CIN	CIN by 15	63%	69%	60%	+10.9	+15.2	+9.3
MIN @ DEN	DEN by 3	71%	70%	70%	+16.4	+16.0	+16.0
NYG @ BUF	NYG by 14	71%	69%	67%	−24.9	−22.2	−20.4
NYJ @ MIA	NYJ by 13	51%	55%	43%	−0.8	−4.7	+6.8
LV @ CHI	CHI by 2	47%	46%	41%	−3.0	−3.8	−9.6
PHI @ WAS	WAS by 3	46%	47%	41%	−4.6	−3.0	−9.6
LA @ ARI	LA by 2	81%	76%	70%	−40.7	−32.1	−24.0
DET @ SEA	SEA by 3	74%	64%	77%	+18.1	+12.0	+19.8

Week 514+70.7+71.6+32.8+5.05+5.12+2.34

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ HOU	IND by 7	52%	49%	63%	−1.6	+0.7	−15.0
ARI @ DET	ARI by 25	33%	40%	37%	+14.3	+9.2	+11.4
BUF @ TEN	BUF by 1	50%	40%	53%	−0.0	+8.6	−3.1
CHI @ KC	CHI by 1	71%	65%	77%	−24.9	−17.6	−34.7
CLE @ BAL	CLE by 3	68%	63%	67%	−21.3	−15.0	−20.4
DEN @ LV	DEN by 6	36%	31%	35%	+11.9	+15.1	+12.4
JAX @ TB	TB by 7	57%	54%	53%	+6.3	+3.6	+2.9
NE @ DAL	NE by 24	35%	46%	28%	+12.4	+4.2	+17.4
NO @ PHI	PHI by 22	62%	60%	69%	+10.4	+8.7	+15.2
SEA @ CIN	CIN by 3	57%	67%	59%	+6.9	+14.3	+8.1
SF @ NYG	NYG by 3	77%	58%	71%	+19.8	+7.5	+16.7
LA @ GB	GB by 14	77%	76%	74%	+19.6	+19.3	+18.1
WAS @ ATL	ATL by 6	74%	71%	71%	+18.4	+16.7	+16.7
PIT @ LAC	PIT by 4	52%	54%	62%	−1.6	−3.9	−13.2

Week 614+17.0+73.7+23.7+1.22+5.26+1.69

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ NO	NO by 10	36%	35%	41%	−15.7	−17.5	−9.6
ARI @ PIT	PIT by 12	38%	53%	34%	−13.1	+2.9	−18.4
BAL @ SF	SF by 5	37%	54%	43%	−14.8	+3.6	−7.9
CAR @ SEA	CAR by 4	65%	49%	70%	−16.7	+1.4	−24.0
CHI @ DET	DET by 3	62%	54%	60%	+10.4	+3.6	+9.3
CIN @ BUF	CIN by 13	52%	43%	41%	−1.6	+6.8	+8.0
DEN @ CLE	DEN by 3	35%	32%	40%	+12.4	+14.7	+9.2
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 11	47%	47%	57%	+2.8	+2.8	−8.0
KC @ MIN	MIN by 6	60%	61%	60%	+8.7	+9.9	+9.3
MIA @ TEN	MIA by 28	64%	48%	57%	−15.8	+2.1	−8.0
NE @ IND	NE by 7	29%	43%	28%	+16.3	+6.2	+17.4
LAC @ GB	GB by 7	74%	77%	78%	+18.1	+19.6	+20.3
WAS @ NYJ	NYJ by 14	69%	65%	71%	+15.6	+12.5	+16.7
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 20	62%	55%	60%	+10.4	+5.0	+9.3

Week 714+57.3+24.8+81.3+4.09+1.77+5.81

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SEA @ SF	SEA by 17	28%	53%	31%	+17.1	−3.1	+15.1
ATL @ TEN	ATL by 3	39%	31%	34%	+9.8	+15.5	+13.4
BUF @ JAX	JAX by 3	35%	35%	40%	−16.6	−16.6	−11.3
CLE @ LA	LA by 18	55%	60%	69%	+5.0	+8.7	+15.2
DAL @ NYG	NYG by 7	59%	52%	59%	+8.1	+1.5	+8.1
HOU @ MIA	MIA by 18	60%	56%	63%	+8.7	+5.6	+11.5
MIN @ DET	MIN by 9	49%	47%	53%	+1.4	+2.8	−3.1
NO @ IND	NO by 6	60%	66%	66%	−10.6	−18.5	−18.5
NYJ @ NE	NE by 7	76%	74%	70%	+19.3	+18.1	+16.0
LV @ LAC	LV by 8	63%	64%	60%	−14.1	−15.8	−11.4
PHI @ CAR	CAR by 11	55%	67%	59%	+4.3	+14.3	+8.1
PIT @ KC	KC by 10	45%	38%	62%	−5.4	−14.0	+10.4
TB @ WAS	WAS by 1	60%	60%	59%	+9.3	+8.7	+8.1
BAL @ ARI	ARI by 8	80%	73%	77%	+21.0	+17.5	+19.8

Week 814+85.8+65.4+66.3+6.13+4.67+4.74

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIA @ NE	NE by 29	80%	80%	73%	+21.0	+21.0	+17.5
ARI @ CLE	ARI by 14	24%	37%	30%	+19.3	+11.4	+15.9
CIN @ PIT	CIN by 6	46%	44%	53%	+4.2	+5.5	−3.1
DET @ KC	KC by 35	62%	60%	59%	+10.4	+9.3	+8.1
GB @ DEN	DEN by 19	52%	55%	43%	+2.2	+4.3	−7.9
MIN @ CHI	MIN by 3	38%	42%	47%	+10.9	+7.4	+2.8
NYG @ NO	NO by 3	55%	53%	59%	+4.3	+2.9	+8.1
NYJ @ LV	LV by 14	43%	49%	41%	−7.9	−0.7	−9.6
LAC @ BAL	BAL by 3	54%	52%	63%	+3.6	+2.2	+11.5
SEA @ DAL	SEA by 1	39%	53%	37%	+9.8	−3.1	+11.4
SF @ LA	LA by 21	70%	63%	73%	+16.0	+10.9	+17.5
TB @ ATL	TB by 3	74%	79%	73%	−30.3	−38.2	−27.6
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 14	58%	69%	60%	+7.5	+15.6	+9.3
IND @ CAR	CAR by 3	68%	71%	65%	+14.8	+16.7	+12.5

Week 913+35.5+19.3+18.3+2.73+1.48+1.41

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 21	83%	84%	83%	+22.1	+22.6	+22.3
ATL @ SF	SF by 1	28%	42%	24%	−27.5	−8.7	−32.9
DEN @ IND	IND by 3	40%	30%	40%	−11.3	−23.9	−11.3
GB @ CAR	CAR by 8	55%	55%	44%	+5.0	+4.3	−6.2
JAX @ NYJ	NYJ by 5	74%	70%	71%	+18.4	+16.0	+16.7
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 16	63%	60%	62%	+11.5	+8.7	+10.4
NYG @ TB	NYG by 14	46%	46%	46%	+4.2	+4.2	+4.2
LV @ PIT	PIT by 3	62%	65%	67%	+10.4	+12.5	+14.3
PHI @ DAL	PHI by 6	44%	55%	41%	+5.5	−4.7	+8.0
LA @ MIN	MIN by 3	63%	63%	56%	+11.5	+10.9	+5.6
TEN @ NO	TEN by 6	67%	77%	70%	−19.4	−33.9	−24.0
WAS @ NE	NE by 17	88%	85%	84%	+23.7	+22.7	+22.6
CHI @ LAC	CHI by 3	66%	60%	60%	−18.5	−11.4	−11.4

Week 1014−109.5−117.2−134.2−7.82−8.37−9.59

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 5	56%	56%	57%	−6.3	−6.3	−8.0
ARI @ SEA	ARI by 7	45%	49%	59%	+4.9	+0.7	−9.7
CAR @ TEN	CAR by 17	36%	21%	40%	+11.9	+20.8	+9.2
CHI @ LA	CHI by 24	67%	65%	71%	−19.4	−16.7	−25.8
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 21	76%	75%	70%	+19.0	+18.7	+16.0
DAL @ TB	TB by 4	51%	46%	47%	+0.8	−3.8	−3.0
DET @ GB	DET by 2	79%	81%	78%	−37.3	−40.7	−36.5
JAX @ BAL	JAX by 2	65%	67%	62%	−16.7	−19.4	−13.2
KC @ DEN	KC by 16	67%	77%	62%	−19.4	−33.9	−13.2
MIA @ PHI	MIA by 1	69%	65%	66%	−23.1	−16.7	−18.5
MIN @ LV	MIN by 16	51%	43%	59%	−0.8	+6.2	−9.7
NE @ NYG	NE by 1	29%	31%	30%	+16.7	+15.5	+15.9
NO @ WAS	WAS by 33	49%	51%	47%	−1.5	+0.8	−3.0
HOU @ CIN	HOU by 4	79%	82%	77%	−38.2	−42.3	−34.7

Week 1114+26.4+55.0+51.2+1.89+3.93+3.66

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 6	54%	61%	59%	+3.6	+9.9	+8.1
CIN @ ARI	ARI by 3	68%	53%	62%	+14.8	+2.9	+10.4
DAL @ MIA	DAL by 10	60%	61%	43%	−10.6	−12.3	+6.8
DEN @ CHI	DEN by 2	40%	34%	43%	+9.2	+13.4	+6.8
GB @ MIN	GB by 17	57%	55%	47%	−7.2	−4.7	+2.8
IND @ ATL	IND by 3	66%	57%	60%	−18.5	−7.2	−11.4
KC @ LAC	KC by 30	45%	45%	41%	+4.9	+4.9	+8.0
NYJ @ HOU	HOU by 7	47%	57%	38%	−3.0	+6.3	−13.1
LV @ DET	DET by 5	46%	56%	44%	−4.6	+5.6	−6.2
SF @ SEA	SEA by 16	84%	65%	85%	+22.4	+13.0	+22.8
LA @ BAL	BAL by 3	57%	51%	59%	+6.3	+0.8	+8.1
TB @ PHI	TB by 28	73%	67%	70%	−28.5	−19.4	−24.0
WAS @ CAR	CAR by 28	72%	81%	70%	+17.1	+21.4	+16.0
BUF @ NE	NE by 7	79%	79%	70%	+20.6	+20.6	+16.0

Week 1216+51.3+61.3+19.1+3.20+3.83+1.20

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ DAL	CAR by 19	32%	29%	47%	+14.7	+16.7	+2.8
CHI @ GB	CHI by 4	74%	78%	71%	−30.3	−35.6	−25.8
PHI @ DET	DET by 31	42%	55%	59%	−8.7	+5.0	+8.1
ARI @ SF	ARI by 6	14%	31%	29%	+23.2	+15.5	+16.7
BUF @ KC	KC by 8	63%	57%	63%	+11.5	+6.3	+11.5
MIA @ NYJ	NYJ by 18	67%	58%	63%	+13.9	+7.5	+11.5
MIN @ ATL	MIN by 10	59%	48%	56%	−9.7	+2.1	−6.3
NE @ DEN	DEN by 6	38%	45%	43%	−14.0	−5.4	−7.9
NO @ HOU	HOU by 18	60%	63%	60%	+8.7	+11.5	+9.3
NYG @ WAS	WAS by 6	46%	50%	47%	−3.8	+0.0	−3.0
LV @ TEN	LV by 3	48%	43%	47%	+2.1	+6.2	+2.8
PIT @ SEA	SEA by 9	63%	54%	59%	+10.9	+3.6	+8.1
LAC @ JAX	LAC by 6	53%	57%	65%	−3.1	−7.2	−16.7
LA @ CIN	CIN by 24	78%	77%	78%	+20.3	+19.8	+20.3
TB @ IND	IND by 13	58%	70%	59%	+7.5	+16.0	+8.1
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 6	41%	51%	67%	+8.0	−0.8	−20.4

Week 1316+23.7+11.8+69.4+1.48+0.73+4.34

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ DET	GB by 4	41%	42%	43%	+8.0	+7.4	+6.8
ARI @ LA	ARI by 24	23%	31%	40%	+19.5	+15.5	+9.2
ATL @ TB	TB by 4	46%	48%	53%	−3.8	−2.2	+2.9
BAL @ MIA	MIA by 2	52%	54%	60%	+1.5	+3.6	+9.3
CAR @ NO	CAR by 3	26%	26%	34%	+18.4	+18.4	+13.4
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 34	20%	25%	29%	+21.0	+19.0	+16.7
DEN @ LAC	DEN by 14	38%	27%	33%	+10.9	+17.8	+14.3
HOU @ BUF	BUF by 9	63%	55%	59%	+10.9	+4.3	+8.1
IND @ PIT	PIT by 35	65%	57%	77%	+12.5	+6.3	+19.8
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 3	55%	48%	59%	+5.0	−2.2	+8.1
KC @ LV	KC by 14	39%	45%	41%	+9.8	+4.9	+8.0
NYJ @ NYG	NYJ by 3	52%	56%	44%	−2.3	−6.3	+5.5
PHI @ NE	PHI by 7	85%	83%	76%	−46.9	−44.7	−33.0
SEA @ MIN	SEA by 31	51%	60%	43%	−0.8	−10.6	+6.8
SF @ CHI	SF by 6	73%	60%	67%	−27.6	−10.6	−20.4
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 3	61%	58%	56%	−12.3	−8.9	−6.3

Week 1416+59.9+12.3+74.6+3.74+0.77+4.66

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIN @ ARI	ARI by 3	81%	68%	77%	+21.4	+14.8	+19.8
ATL @ CAR	CAR by 38	75%	82%	74%	+18.7	+21.6	+18.1
BUF @ PHI	PHI by 3	47%	52%	53%	−3.0	+1.5	+2.9
DAL @ GB	GB by 21	75%	74%	67%	+18.7	+18.1	+14.3
DET @ LA	LA by 7	48%	53%	41%	−2.2	+2.9	−9.6
IND @ JAX	JAX by 35	50%	35%	53%	+0.0	−16.6	+2.9
NE @ HOU	NE by 21	31%	35%	38%	+15.1	+12.4	+10.3
NO @ TB	NO by 7	60%	58%	67%	−11.4	−8.9	−20.4
LV @ DEN	LV by 3	74%	83%	67%	−29.4	−43.9	−20.4
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 13	69%	67%	53%	−23.1	−19.4	−3.1
LAC @ KC	KC by 7	80%	73%	81%	+21.0	+17.5	+21.2
SEA @ BAL	SEA by 29	33%	38%	22%	+13.8	+10.9	+20.3
SF @ CLE	CLE by 14	52%	46%	57%	+2.2	−3.8	+6.9
TEN @ NYJ	NYJ by 22	74%	75%	73%	+18.4	+18.7	+17.5
WAS @ CHI	WAS by 3	55%	56%	62%	−4.7	−6.3	−13.2
NYG @ MIA	NYG by 7	46%	57%	43%	+4.2	−7.2	+6.8

Week 1516+152.0+130.9+119.0+9.50+8.18+7.43

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TB @ LA	LA by 8	49%	60%	53%	−1.5	+9.3	+2.9
NYJ @ DAL	NYJ by 3	34%	50%	41%	+13.4	−0.0	+8.0
ARI @ PHI	ARI by 23	29%	33%	40%	+16.3	+14.3	+9.2
ATL @ JAX	ATL by 6	55%	46%	56%	−4.7	+3.5	−6.3
BUF @ WAS	WAS by 10	46%	52%	43%	−3.8	+2.2	−7.9
CAR @ NYG	CAR by 3	35%	28%	37%	+12.9	+17.4	+11.4
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 21	65%	73%	62%	+12.5	+17.5	+10.4
CIN @ SF	CIN by 10	16%	31%	30%	+22.4	+15.1	+15.9
CLE @ SEA	SEA by 17	90%	80%	86%	+24.1	+21.0	+23.1
DEN @ PIT	PIT by 7	63%	49%	71%	+11.5	−0.7	+16.7
GB @ LV	GB by 10	40%	35%	38%	+9.2	+12.4	+10.3
HOU @ IND	HOU by 6	48%	58%	57%	+2.1	−8.9	−8.0
KC @ BAL	KC by 20	32%	40%	31%	+14.7	+8.6	+15.1
MIA @ LAC	LAC by 16	53%	52%	53%	+2.9	+2.2	+2.9
TEN @ NE	NE by 17	89%	90%	86%	+23.9	+24.1	+23.1
DET @ NO	DET by 8	54%	57%	57%	−3.9	−7.2	−8.0

Week 1616−30.1+3.8−16.5−1.88+0.24−1.03

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LAC @ LV	LV by 3	60%	60%	62%	+8.7	+8.7	+10.4
WAS @ PHI	WAS by 14	52%	57%	60%	−2.3	−8.0	−11.4
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 7	30%	28%	30%	−23.9	−27.5	−23.9
CHI @ TB	CHI by 5	59%	56%	59%	−9.7	−6.3	−9.7
CLE @ KC	KC by 4	89%	77%	81%	+23.7	+19.8	+21.2
DAL @ BUF	BUF by 10	73%	62%	69%	+17.5	+10.4	+15.2
GB @ ARI	ARI by 30	74%	64%	67%	+18.1	+12.0	+14.3
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 28	43%	33%	40%	+6.8	+13.8	+9.2
IND @ MIA	IND by 6	57%	49%	57%	−7.2	+1.4	−8.0
JAX @ NO	NO by 11	51%	64%	57%	+0.8	+12.0	+6.9
NE @ NYJ	NYJ by 6	41%	37%	43%	−9.6	−14.8	−7.9
NYG @ MIN	MIN by 32	59%	70%	70%	+8.1	+16.0	+16.0
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 3	29%	33%	21%	−25.7	−19.3	−38.1
SF @ DET	DET by 15	73%	61%	74%	+17.5	+9.9	+18.1
LA @ SEA	LA by 6	86%	73%	79%	−49.1	−28.5	−38.2
CIN @ DEN	DEN by 3	46%	55%	60%	−3.8	+4.3	+9.3

Week 1716+29.9+48.2+0.1+1.87+3.01+0.01

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 8	85%	78%	77%	+22.7	+20.3	+19.8
DET @ CHI	DET by 4	51%	51%	43%	−0.8	−0.8	+6.8
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 24	65%	75%	65%	+12.5	+18.7	+12.5
MIN @ GB	MIN by 7	57%	62%	59%	−8.0	−13.2	−9.7
NE @ MIA	MIA by 10	22%	26%	23%	−36.4	−29.3	−34.6
NO @ ATL	NO by 3	63%	63%	67%	−14.1	−14.1	−20.4
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 5	52%	50%	43%	+1.5	+0.0	−7.9
LV @ KC	KC by 6	77%	70%	69%	+19.8	+16.0	+15.2
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 5	61%	54%	62%	−12.3	−3.9	−13.2
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 16	21%	31%	17%	+20.5	+15.5	+22.2
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 7	74%	83%	77%	+18.4	+21.9	+19.8
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 30	70%	71%	67%	−24.0	−24.9	−20.4
LA @ SF	SF by 3	40%	46%	41%	−11.3	−3.8	−9.6
TB @ CAR	CAR by 28	83%	86%	77%	+22.3	+23.1	+19.8
TEN @ IND	IND by 6	63%	78%	60%	+10.9	+20.3	+9.3
WAS @ DAL	WAS by 11	41%	48%	59%	+8.0	+2.1	−9.7

2014RETRODICTION256+1039.2+905.2+1038.6+4.06+3.54+4.06

Week 116+40.3+41.2+32.0+2.52+2.58+2.00

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ SEA	SEA by 20	63%	65%	63%	+11.5	+13.0	+11.5
BUF @ CHI	BUF by 3	65%	60%	70%	−17.6	−11.4	−24.0
CAR @ TB	CAR by 6	55%	41%	66%	−4.7	+8.0	−18.5
CIN @ BAL	CIN by 7	54%	51%	53%	−3.9	−0.8	−3.1
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 3	67%	65%	66%	+14.3	+12.5	+13.4
IND @ DEN	DEN by 7	69%	60%	73%	+15.6	+9.3	+17.5
JAX @ PHI	PHI by 17	73%	68%	77%	+17.5	+14.8	+19.8
MIN @ LA	MIN by 28	55%	60%	59%	−5.5	−10.6	−9.7
NE @ MIA	MIA by 13	38%	49%	40%	−14.0	−1.5	−11.3
NO @ ATL	ATL by 3	43%	43%	41%	−7.9	−7.9	−9.6
LV @ NYJ	NYJ by 5	63%	65%	69%	+10.9	+12.5	+15.2
SF @ DAL	SF by 11	43%	49%	40%	+6.8	+1.4	+9.2
TEN @ KC	TEN by 16	56%	65%	59%	−6.3	−16.7	−9.7
WAS @ HOU	HOU by 11	59%	55%	59%	+8.1	+4.3	+8.1
NYG @ DET	DET by 21	60%	57%	69%	+9.3	+6.3	+15.2
LAC @ ARI	ARI by 1	57%	59%	59%	+6.3	+8.1	+8.1

Week 216−8.7−5.6+4.8−0.54−0.35+0.30

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 20	53%	50%	57%	+2.9	+0.0	+6.9
ARI @ NYG	ARI by 11	46%	43%	53%	+3.5	+6.8	−3.1
ATL @ CIN	CIN by 14	60%	68%	66%	+9.3	+14.8	+13.4
CHI @ SF	CHI by 8	63%	71%	70%	−14.1	−24.9	−24.0
DAL @ TEN	DAL by 16	63%	63%	59%	−15.0	−14.1	−9.7
DET @ CAR	CAR by 17	51%	66%	53%	+0.8	+13.4	+2.9
HOU @ LV	HOU by 16	46%	53%	41%	+4.2	−3.1	+8.0
JAX @ WAS	WAS by 31	57%	53%	65%	+6.9	+2.9	+12.5
KC @ DEN	DEN by 7	83%	69%	83%	+21.9	+15.2	+22.3
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 19	51%	52%	53%	+0.8	+2.2	+2.9
NE @ MIN	NE by 23	52%	52%	40%	−1.6	−2.3	+9.2
NO @ CLE	CLE by 2	40%	45%	37%	−10.5	−5.4	−14.8
NYJ @ GB	GB by 7	66%	52%	70%	+13.4	+2.2	+16.0
SEA @ LAC	LAC by 9	36%	42%	37%	−15.7	−8.7	−14.8
LA @ TB	LA by 2	63%	52%	62%	−15.0	−2.3	−13.2
PHI @ IND	PHI by 3	51%	52%	59%	−0.8	−2.3	−9.7

Week 316+73.2+42.6+72.7+4.57+2.66+4.55

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TB @ ATL	ATL by 42	62%	65%	69%	+10.4	+12.5	+15.2
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 2	47%	50%	44%	+2.8	−0.0	+5.5
DAL @ LA	DAL by 3	45%	53%	46%	+4.9	−3.1	+4.2
DEN @ SEA	SEA by 6	57%	49%	62%	+6.3	−0.7	+10.4
GB @ DET	DET by 12	53%	52%	55%	+2.9	+2.2	+4.3
HOU @ NYG	NYG by 13	42%	53%	53%	−8.7	+2.9	+2.9
IND @ JAX	IND by 27	35%	43%	33%	+12.4	+6.8	+14.3
KC @ MIA	KC by 19	62%	59%	67%	−13.2	−9.7	−20.4
MIN @ NO	NO by 11	69%	57%	77%	+15.2	+6.3	+19.8
LV @ NE	NE by 7	78%	77%	85%	+20.1	+19.6	+22.8
PIT @ CAR	PIT by 18	63%	71%	59%	−14.1	−24.9	−9.7
LAC @ BUF	LAC by 12	54%	57%	57%	−3.9	−8.0	−8.0
SF @ ARI	ARI by 9	54%	60%	41%	+3.6	+9.3	−9.6
TEN @ CIN	CIN by 26	68%	69%	69%	+14.8	+15.2	+15.2
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 3	68%	76%	62%	+14.8	+19.0	+10.4
CHI @ NYJ	CHI by 8	45%	55%	55%	+4.9	−4.7	−4.7

Week 413−21.8−2.2+2.1−1.68−0.17+0.16

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 31	64%	50%	59%	−15.8	−0.0	−9.7
ATL @ MIN	MIN by 13	42%	53%	34%	−8.7	+2.9	−18.4
BUF @ HOU	HOU by 6	60%	48%	59%	+8.7	−2.2	+8.1
CAR @ BAL	BAL by 28	60%	50%	60%	+9.3	+0.0	+9.3
DET @ NYJ	DET by 7	47%	52%	56%	+2.8	−1.6	−6.3
GB @ CHI	GB by 21	63%	62%	44%	−14.1	−13.2	+5.5
JAX @ LAC	LAC by 19	79%	78%	83%	+20.8	+20.3	+22.3
MIA @ LV	MIA by 24	50%	43%	38%	−0.0	+6.8	+10.3
NO @ DAL	DAL by 21	46%	61%	41%	−4.6	+9.9	−9.6
PHI @ SF	SF by 5	48%	48%	60%	−2.2	−2.2	+9.3
TB @ PIT	TB by 3	75%	76%	71%	−31.2	−32.1	−25.8
TEN @ IND	IND by 24	75%	61%	71%	+18.7	+9.9	+16.7
NE @ KC	KC by 27	45%	49%	41%	−5.4	−0.7	−9.6

Week 515+126.3+106.6+136.3+8.42+7.11+9.09

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIN @ GB	GB by 32	64%	63%	74%	+12.0	+11.5	+18.1
ARI @ DEN	DEN by 21	69%	55%	73%	+15.2	+5.0	+17.5
ATL @ NYG	NYG by 10	52%	61%	62%	+2.2	+9.9	+10.4
BAL @ IND	IND by 7	62%	54%	57%	+10.4	+3.6	+6.9
BUF @ DET	BUF by 3	64%	65%	63%	−15.8	−16.7	−15.0
CHI @ CAR	CAR by 7	50%	62%	55%	+0.0	+10.4	+4.3
CIN @ NE	NE by 26	47%	48%	43%	−3.0	−2.2	−7.9
CLE @ TEN	CLE by 1	45%	60%	47%	+4.9	−10.6	+2.8
HOU @ DAL	DAL by 3	59%	69%	65%	+8.1	+15.6	+12.5
KC @ SF	SF by 5	57%	59%	62%	+6.3	+8.1	+10.4
NYJ @ LAC	LAC by 31	73%	71%	70%	+17.5	+16.4	+16.0
PIT @ JAX	PIT by 8	31%	38%	33%	+15.5	+10.9	+14.3
LA @ PHI	PHI by 6	78%	70%	60%	+20.1	+16.0	+9.3
TB @ NO	NO by 6	73%	65%	79%	+17.8	+13.0	+20.8
SEA @ WAS	SEA by 10	31%	30%	30%	+15.1	+15.9	+15.9

Week 615+79.4+101.8+45.5+5.29+6.78+3.04

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ HOU	IND by 5	44%	43%	43%	+5.5	+6.8	+6.8
BAL @ TB	BAL by 31	35%	39%	40%	+12.9	+9.8	+9.2
CAR @ CIN	tie	67%	58%	70%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
CHI @ ATL	CHI by 14	59%	48%	60%	−9.7	+2.1	−11.4
DAL @ SEA	DAL by 7	74%	61%	77%	−29.4	−12.3	−34.7
DEN @ NYJ	DEN by 14	23%	33%	23%	+19.5	+13.8	+19.8
DET @ MIN	DET by 14	46%	49%	53%	+4.2	+0.7	−3.1
GB @ MIA	GB by 3	43%	51%	46%	+6.8	−0.8	+4.2
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 2	66%	69%	62%	+13.4	+15.6	+10.4
NE @ BUF	NE by 15	46%	46%	53%	+3.5	+3.5	−3.1
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 27	64%	67%	53%	+12.0	+13.9	+2.9
PIT @ CLE	CLE by 21	52%	50%	57%	+1.5	+0.0	+6.9
LAC @ LV	LAC by 3	26%	27%	30%	+18.4	+17.8	+15.9
WAS @ ARI	ARI by 10	64%	80%	65%	+12.0	+21.0	+12.5
SF @ LA	SF by 14	40%	39%	40%	+8.6	+9.8	+9.2

Week 715+50.7+59.8+82.7+3.38+3.99+5.51

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ NE	NE by 2	79%	77%	76%	+20.6	+19.6	+19.3
ARI @ LV	ARI by 11	37%	25%	40%	+11.4	+19.0	+9.2
ATL @ BAL	BAL by 22	73%	73%	70%	+17.5	+17.8	+16.0
CAR @ GB	GB by 21	69%	56%	69%	+15.2	+5.6	+15.2
CIN @ IND	IND by 27	65%	56%	59%	+12.5	+5.6	+8.1
CLE @ JAX	JAX by 18	28%	35%	38%	−26.6	−17.5	−13.1
KC @ LAC	KC by 3	68%	66%	59%	−21.3	−18.5	−9.7
MIA @ CHI	MIA by 13	61%	60%	59%	−12.3	−11.4	−9.7
MIN @ BUF	BUF by 1	63%	63%	70%	+11.5	+10.9	+16.0
NO @ DET	DET by 1	57%	60%	55%	+6.9	+9.3	+4.3
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 10	65%	71%	65%	+13.0	+16.4	+12.5
SEA @ LA	LA by 2	27%	37%	30%	−28.4	−14.8	−23.9
SF @ DEN	DEN by 25	74%	62%	70%	+18.1	+10.4	+16.0
TEN @ WAS	WAS by 2	61%	45%	67%	+9.9	−5.4	+14.3
HOU @ PIT	PIT by 7	53%	65%	59%	+2.9	+13.0	+8.1

Week 815+44.0+30.0+51.0+2.93+2.00+3.40

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 14	73%	67%	75%	+17.8	+14.3	+18.7
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 3	40%	56%	43%	−10.5	+5.6	−7.9
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 20	47%	46%	59%	+2.8	+3.5	−9.7
CHI @ NE	NE by 28	67%	73%	66%	+14.3	+17.5	+13.4
DET @ ATL	DET by 1	46%	37%	40%	+3.5	+11.4	+9.2
GB @ NO	NO by 21	44%	43%	56%	−6.2	−7.9	+5.6
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 14	42%	60%	40%	+7.4	−10.6	+9.2
IND @ PIT	PIT by 17	38%	46%	35%	−14.0	−4.6	−16.6
MIA @ JAX	MIA by 14	33%	38%	30%	+13.8	+10.9	+15.9
MIN @ TB	MIN by 6	48%	52%	53%	+2.1	−1.6	−3.1
LV @ CLE	CLE by 10	69%	73%	69%	+15.2	+17.8	+15.2
PHI @ ARI	ARI by 4	47%	57%	53%	−3.0	+6.3	+2.9
SEA @ CAR	SEA by 4	38%	55%	33%	+10.9	−5.5	+14.3
LA @ KC	KC by 27	71%	69%	71%	+16.4	+15.2	+16.7
WAS @ DAL	WAS by 3	72%	82%	76%	−26.7	−42.3	−33.0

Week 913+55.7+69.9+59.2+4.29+5.38+4.56

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ CAR	NO by 18	44%	60%	41%	+5.5	−11.4	+8.0
ARI @ DAL	ARI by 11	58%	51%	55%	−8.9	−0.8	−4.7
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 20	45%	56%	57%	−5.4	+5.6	+6.9
DEN @ NE	NE by 22	44%	50%	41%	−6.2	+0.0	−9.6
JAX @ CIN	CIN by 10	77%	83%	77%	+19.8	+22.1	+19.8
NYJ @ KC	KC by 14	78%	76%	76%	+20.3	+19.0	+19.3
LV @ SEA	SEA by 6	84%	85%	84%	+22.4	+22.8	+22.6
PHI @ HOU	PHI by 10	47%	37%	46%	+2.8	+11.4	+4.2
LAC @ MIA	MIA by 37	49%	52%	59%	−0.7	+1.5	+8.1
LA @ SF	LA by 3	71%	74%	78%	−25.8	−29.4	−36.5
TB @ CLE	CLE by 5	73%	70%	70%	+17.5	+16.0	+16.0
WAS @ MIN	MIN by 3	53%	58%	47%	+2.9	+7.5	−3.0
IND @ NYG	IND by 16	37%	44%	41%	+11.4	+5.5	+8.0

Week 1013+94.5+88.7+82.9+7.27+6.83+6.38

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CLE @ CIN	CLE by 21	60%	69%	69%	−11.4	−22.2	−22.2
ATL @ TB	ATL by 10	40%	52%	40%	+8.6	−2.3	+9.2
CHI @ GB	GB by 41	73%	67%	76%	+17.5	+14.3	+19.3
DAL @ JAX	DAL by 14	29%	28%	29%	+16.3	+17.4	+16.7
DEN @ LV	DEN by 24	19%	16%	17%	+21.4	+22.4	+22.2
KC @ BUF	KC by 4	48%	49%	56%	+2.1	+1.4	−6.3
MIA @ DET	DET by 4	53%	58%	59%	+2.9	+7.5	+8.1
NYG @ SEA	SEA by 21	76%	72%	75%	+19.3	+17.1	+18.7
PIT @ NYJ	NYJ by 7	31%	35%	37%	−23.0	−16.6	−14.8
SF @ NO	SF by 3	67%	52%	67%	−20.4	−1.6	−20.4
LA @ ARI	ARI by 17	77%	78%	70%	+19.6	+20.1	+16.0
TEN @ BAL	BAL by 14	83%	71%	78%	+21.9	+16.4	+20.3
CAR @ PHI	PHI by 24	77%	68%	70%	+19.6	+14.8	+16.0

Week 1114−28.1−7.2−27.6−2.01−0.51−1.97

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ MIA	MIA by 13	67%	60%	62%	+13.9	+8.7	+10.4
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 2	50%	69%	43%	−0.0	−23.1	+6.8
CIN @ NO	CIN by 17	67%	49%	74%	−20.4	+1.4	−29.4
DEN @ LA	LA by 15	17%	31%	28%	−43.8	−23.0	−27.5
DET @ ARI	ARI by 8	63%	68%	47%	+10.9	+14.8	−3.0
HOU @ CLE	HOU by 16	59%	69%	63%	−9.7	−22.2	−15.0
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 8	53%	57%	57%	+2.9	+6.3	+6.9
NE @ IND	NE by 22	57%	47%	59%	−7.2	+2.8	−9.7
LV @ LAC	LAC by 7	77%	83%	78%	+19.6	+22.3	+20.3
PHI @ GB	GB by 33	60%	52%	63%	+8.7	+2.2	+11.5
SEA @ KC	KC by 4	51%	57%	47%	+0.8	+6.3	−3.0
SF @ NYG	SF by 6	46%	40%	38%	+3.5	+8.6	+10.3
TB @ WAS	TB by 20	69%	69%	69%	−22.2	−22.2	−22.2
PIT @ TEN	PIT by 3	32%	39%	30%	+14.7	+9.8	+15.9

Week 1215+142.4+121.9+112.1+9.50+8.13+7.47

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
KC @ LV	LV by 4	27%	18%	29%	−28.4	−43.0	−25.7
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 16	64%	43%	71%	+12.0	−7.1	+16.7
CIN @ HOU	CIN by 9	60%	38%	59%	−11.4	+10.3	−9.7
CLE @ ATL	CLE by 2	52%	47%	59%	−1.6	+2.8	−9.7
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 3	39%	39%	38%	+9.8	+9.8	+10.3
DET @ NE	NE by 25	76%	71%	71%	+19.3	+16.4	+16.7
GB @ MIN	GB by 3	24%	37%	29%	+19.3	+11.4	+16.7
JAX @ IND	IND by 20	88%	83%	83%	+23.5	+22.3	+22.3
MIA @ DEN	DEN by 3	69%	68%	69%	+15.6	+14.8	+15.2
LA @ LAC	LAC by 3	73%	65%	62%	+17.8	+12.5	+10.4
TB @ CHI	CHI by 8	63%	73%	62%	+10.9	+17.5	+10.4
TEN @ PHI	PHI by 19	82%	80%	79%	+21.8	+21.0	+20.8
WAS @ SF	SF by 4	68%	78%	75%	+14.8	+20.3	+18.7
BAL @ NO	BAL by 7	46%	50%	57%	+3.5	−0.0	−8.0
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 35	69%	65%	57%	+15.6	+13.0	+6.9

Week 1316+73.7+18.0+53.5+4.61+1.13+3.34

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ DET	DET by 17	66%	65%	71%	+13.4	+12.5	+16.7
PHI @ DAL	PHI by 23	51%	55%	59%	−0.8	−5.5	−9.7
SEA @ SF	SEA by 16	40%	56%	53%	+8.6	−6.3	−3.1
ARI @ ATL	ATL by 11	44%	26%	46%	−6.2	−30.2	−4.6
CAR @ MIN	MIN by 18	58%	52%	57%	+7.5	+1.5	+6.9
CIN @ TB	CIN by 1	34%	25%	33%	+13.4	+18.7	+14.3
CLE @ BUF	BUF by 16	60%	56%	59%	+8.7	+5.6	+8.1
DEN @ KC	DEN by 13	46%	49%	53%	+3.5	+0.7	−3.1
NE @ GB	GB by 5	57%	46%	59%	+6.3	−4.6	+8.1
NO @ PIT	NO by 3	60%	66%	60%	−10.6	−18.5	−11.4
NYG @ JAX	JAX by 1	38%	42%	41%	−14.0	−8.7	−9.6
LV @ LA	LA by 52	60%	73%	69%	+8.7	+17.8	+15.2
LAC @ BAL	LAC by 1	71%	56%	69%	−24.9	−6.3	−22.2
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 24	77%	64%	70%	+19.6	+12.0	+16.0
WAS @ IND	IND by 22	81%	78%	71%	+21.4	+20.3	+16.7
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 3	25%	40%	31%	+19.0	+9.2	+15.1

Week 1416+84.0+32.6+50.7+5.25+2.04+3.17

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ CHI	DAL by 13	40%	45%	40%	+8.6	+4.9	+9.2
BAL @ MIA	BAL by 15	52%	57%	59%	−1.6	−8.0	−9.7
BUF @ DEN	DEN by 7	74%	74%	75%	+18.1	+18.1	+18.7
CAR @ NO	CAR by 31	73%	61%	74%	−28.5	−12.3	−29.4
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 14	24%	44%	31%	+19.3	+5.5	+15.1
IND @ CLE	IND by 1	37%	44%	41%	+11.4	+5.5	+8.0
KC @ ARI	ARI by 3	56%	63%	43%	+5.6	+11.5	−7.9
NE @ LAC	NE by 9	39%	44%	38%	+9.8	+5.5	+10.3
NYG @ TEN	NYG by 29	43%	51%	41%	+6.8	−0.8	+8.0
NYJ @ MIN	MIN by 6	71%	65%	63%	+16.4	+13.0	+11.5
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 21	52%	67%	59%	−2.3	−19.4	−9.7
SEA @ PHI	SEA by 10	55%	57%	46%	−5.5	−7.2	+4.2
SF @ LV	LV by 11	33%	25%	28%	−19.3	−32.0	−27.5
LA @ WAS	LA by 24	46%	44%	43%	+4.2	+5.5	+6.8
TB @ DET	DET by 17	77%	83%	78%	+19.6	+22.1	+20.3
ATL @ GB	GB by 6	81%	79%	84%	+21.4	+20.6	+22.6

Week 1516+122.9+143.2+126.0+7.68+8.95+7.88

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ LA	ARI by 6	52%	37%	67%	−1.6	+11.4	−20.4
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 30	57%	43%	57%	−8.0	+6.8	−8.0
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 11	66%	60%	60%	−18.5	−10.6	−11.4
DEN @ LAC	DEN by 12	39%	42%	38%	+9.8	+7.4	+10.3
GB @ BUF	BUF by 8	40%	40%	40%	−11.3	−11.3	−11.3
HOU @ IND	IND by 7	66%	74%	70%	+13.4	+18.1	+16.0
JAX @ BAL	BAL by 8	91%	82%	85%	+24.1	+21.6	+22.8
MIA @ NE	NE by 28	73%	76%	76%	+17.8	+19.0	+19.3
MIN @ DET	DET by 2	67%	69%	73%	+14.3	+15.6	+17.5
NYJ @ TEN	NYJ by 5	49%	53%	40%	+0.7	−3.1	+9.2
LV @ KC	KC by 18	82%	81%	79%	+21.6	+21.2	+20.8
PIT @ ATL	PIT by 7	44%	41%	41%	+5.5	+8.0	+8.0
SF @ SEA	SEA by 10	81%	67%	77%	+21.2	+14.3	+19.8
TB @ CAR	CAR by 2	67%	75%	60%	+13.9	+18.7	+9.3
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 11	67%	63%	70%	+14.3	+11.5	+16.0
NO @ CHI	NO by 16	44%	55%	41%	+5.5	−5.5	+8.0

Week 1616−4.6−18.8+2.5−0.29−1.17+0.15

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 8	54%	55%	62%	+3.6	+5.0	+10.4
PHI @ WAS	WAS by 3	26%	28%	30%	−30.2	−27.5	−23.9
LAC @ SF	LAC by 3	48%	55%	56%	+2.1	−4.7	−6.3
ATL @ NO	ATL by 16	60%	65%	67%	−10.6	−17.6	−20.4
BAL @ HOU	HOU by 12	47%	42%	33%	−3.0	−8.7	−20.2
BUF @ LV	LV by 2	27%	33%	30%	−28.4	−20.2	−23.9
CLE @ CAR	CAR by 4	54%	59%	67%	+3.6	+8.1	+14.3
DET @ CHI	DET by 6	35%	39%	23%	+12.4	+9.8	+19.8
GB @ TB	GB by 17	19%	20%	20%	+21.6	+21.2	+21.2
IND @ DAL	DAL by 35	48%	55%	60%	−2.2	+5.0	+9.3
KC @ PIT	PIT by 8	59%	56%	57%	+8.1	+5.6	+6.9
MIN @ MIA	MIA by 2	65%	64%	63%	+13.0	+12.0	+11.5
NE @ NYJ	NE by 1	15%	20%	23%	+22.8	+21.0	+19.8
NYG @ LA	NYG by 10	59%	63%	70%	−9.7	−15.0	−24.0
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 29	43%	57%	24%	+6.2	−7.2	+19.3
DEN @ CIN	CIN by 9	38%	45%	40%	−14.0	−5.4	−11.3

Week 1716+115.4+82.5+152.0+7.21+5.15+9.50

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SF	SF by 3	49%	42%	67%	−1.5	−8.7	+14.3
BUF @ NE	BUF by 8	76%	79%	63%	−32.1	−38.2	−15.0
CAR @ ATL	CAR by 31	63%	49%	57%	−15.0	+1.4	−8.0
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 4	67%	58%	70%	+13.9	+7.5	+16.0
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 10	63%	52%	59%	+11.5	+1.5	+8.1
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 10	77%	68%	85%	+19.8	+14.8	+22.8
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 27	26%	28%	33%	+18.1	+17.4	+14.3
DET @ GB	GB by 10	73%	60%	75%	+17.8	+9.3	+18.7
IND @ TEN	IND by 17	20%	22%	29%	+21.2	+20.1	+16.7
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 6	85%	72%	74%	+22.7	+17.1	+18.1
NO @ TB	NO by 3	35%	35%	33%	+12.4	+12.9	+14.3
NYJ @ MIA	NYJ by 13	78%	74%	70%	−35.6	−29.4	−24.0
LV @ DEN	DEN by 33	90%	87%	89%	+24.0	+23.4	+23.8
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 8	43%	42%	47%	+6.2	+7.4	+2.8
LAC @ KC	KC by 12	62%	55%	59%	+10.4	+5.0	+8.1
LA @ SEA	SEA by 14	82%	80%	79%	+21.6	+21.0	+20.8

2013RETRODICTION256+980.5+678.8+1163.4+3.83+2.65+4.54

Week 116+69.0+14.4+91.2+4.31+0.90+5.70

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ DEN	DEN by 22	71%	63%	71%	+16.7	+10.9	+16.7
ARI @ LA	LA by 3	63%	62%	60%	+10.9	+10.4	+9.3
ATL @ NO	NO by 6	56%	45%	60%	+5.6	−5.4	+9.3
CIN @ CHI	CHI by 3	57%	57%	59%	+6.3	+6.3	+8.1
GB @ SF	SF by 6	59%	57%	65%	+8.1	+6.9	+12.5
KC @ JAX	KC by 26	47%	57%	40%	+2.8	−7.2	+9.2
MIA @ CLE	MIA by 13	53%	53%	57%	−3.1	−3.1	−8.0
MIN @ DET	DET by 10	63%	45%	62%	+10.9	−5.4	+10.4
NE @ BUF	NE by 2	35%	45%	23%	+12.4	+4.9	+19.8
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 5	57%	55%	60%	+6.3	+4.3	+9.3
LV @ IND	IND by 4	70%	70%	79%	+16.0	+16.0	+20.8
SEA @ CAR	SEA by 5	43%	49%	41%	+6.8	+1.4	+8.0
TB @ NYJ	NYJ by 1	46%	55%	38%	−3.8	+4.3	−13.1
TEN @ PIT	TEN by 7	67%	60%	67%	−19.4	−11.4	−20.4
HOU @ LAC	HOU by 3	44%	47%	35%	+5.5	+2.8	+12.4
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 6	62%	68%	62%	−13.2	−21.3	−13.2

Week 216+114.1+81.8+109.5+7.13+5.11+6.84

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ NE	NE by 3	76%	67%	78%	+19.0	+14.3	+20.3
CAR @ BUF	BUF by 1	55%	55%	40%	+4.3	+5.0	−11.3
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 8	65%	67%	66%	+13.0	+13.9	+13.4
DAL @ KC	KC by 1	51%	45%	59%	+0.8	−5.4	+8.1
DEN @ NYG	DEN by 18	34%	42%	40%	+13.4	+7.4	+9.2
DET @ ARI	ARI by 4	44%	51%	47%	−6.2	+0.8	−3.0
JAX @ LV	LV by 10	67%	61%	60%	+13.9	+9.9	+9.3
MIA @ IND	MIA by 4	55%	64%	53%	−4.7	−15.8	−3.1
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 1	67%	65%	67%	+13.9	+12.5	+14.3
NO @ TB	NO by 2	45%	49%	41%	+4.9	+1.4	+8.0
LAC @ PHI	LAC by 3	59%	58%	71%	−9.7	−8.9	−25.8
SF @ SEA	SEA by 26	55%	55%	59%	+5.0	+5.0	+8.1
LA @ ATL	ATL by 7	62%	60%	62%	+10.4	+8.7	+10.4
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 6	65%	67%	71%	+12.5	+13.9	+16.7
WAS @ GB	GB by 18	66%	60%	75%	+13.4	+9.3	+18.7
PIT @ CIN	CIN by 10	62%	61%	70%	+10.4	+9.9	+16.0

Week 316+53.5+68.9+44.6+3.34+4.31+2.79

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
KC @ PHI	KC by 10	56%	53%	59%	−6.3	−3.1	−9.7
ARI @ NO	NO by 24	69%	67%	73%	+15.2	+13.9	+17.5
ATL @ MIA	MIA by 4	54%	53%	59%	+3.6	+2.9	+8.1
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 7	49%	57%	57%	−1.5	+6.9	+6.9
CHI @ PIT	CHI by 17	49%	38%	43%	+0.7	+10.3	+6.8
CLE @ MIN	CLE by 4	66%	65%	70%	−18.5	−17.6	−24.0
DET @ WAS	DET by 7	52%	60%	47%	−2.3	−10.6	+2.8
GB @ CIN	CIN by 4	52%	54%	41%	+1.5	+3.6	−9.6
HOU @ BAL	BAL by 21	51%	46%	53%	+0.8	−3.8	+2.9
IND @ SF	IND by 20	65%	59%	78%	−17.6	−9.7	−36.5
JAX @ SEA	SEA by 28	89%	83%	93%	+23.7	+22.3	+24.5
NYG @ CAR	CAR by 38	52%	52%	47%	+1.5	+2.2	−3.0
LAC @ TEN	TEN by 3	55%	55%	59%	+5.0	+5.0	+8.1
LA @ DAL	DAL by 24	60%	57%	60%	+9.3	+6.9	+9.3
TB @ NE	NE by 20	69%	77%	71%	+15.2	+19.8	+16.7
LV @ DEN	DEN by 16	87%	77%	88%	+23.3	+19.8	+23.7

Week 415+70.5+38.7+47.7+4.70+2.58+3.18

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SF @ LA	SF by 24	49%	49%	41%	+0.7	+0.7	+8.0
ARI @ TB	ARI by 3	58%	54%	57%	−8.9	−3.9	−8.0
BAL @ BUF	BUF by 3	49%	43%	38%	−0.7	−7.9	−13.1
CHI @ DET	DET by 8	51%	40%	59%	+0.8	−11.3	+8.1
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 11	38%	42%	40%	−14.0	−8.7	−11.3
DAL @ LAC	LAC by 9	46%	50%	47%	−4.6	+0.0	−3.0
IND @ JAX	IND by 34	27%	28%	24%	+17.8	+17.1	+19.3
NE @ ATL	NE by 7	49%	44%	59%	+0.7	+5.5	−9.7
NYG @ KC	KC by 24	67%	64%	60%	+14.3	+12.0	+9.3
NYJ @ TEN	TEN by 25	63%	57%	60%	+10.9	+6.9	+9.3
PHI @ DEN	DEN by 32	84%	81%	78%	+22.4	+21.2	+20.3
PIT @ MIN	MIN by 7	57%	60%	41%	+6.9	+8.7	−9.6
SEA @ HOU	SEA by 3	36%	52%	47%	+11.9	−2.3	+2.8
WAS @ LV	WAS by 10	49%	55%	40%	+0.7	−5.5	+9.2
MIA @ NO	NO by 21	63%	57%	70%	+11.5	+6.3	+16.0

Week 514−4.2−8.0−4.8−0.30−0.57−0.35

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ CLE	CLE by 13	51%	55%	60%	+0.8	+4.3	+9.3
BAL @ MIA	BAL by 3	55%	59%	57%	−5.5	−9.7	−8.0
CAR @ ARI	ARI by 16	39%	57%	41%	−12.2	+6.9	−9.6
DEN @ DAL	DEN by 3	31%	36%	29%	+15.1	+11.9	+16.7
DET @ GB	GB by 13	62%	59%	77%	+10.4	+8.1	+19.8
HOU @ SF	SF by 31	62%	56%	62%	+10.4	+5.6	+10.4
JAX @ LA	LA by 14	73%	72%	79%	+17.5	+17.1	+20.8
KC @ TEN	KC by 9	54%	60%	43%	−3.9	−10.6	+6.8
NE @ CIN	CIN by 7	47%	40%	44%	−3.0	−11.3	−6.2
NO @ CHI	NO by 8	52%	53%	53%	−1.6	−3.1	−3.1
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 15	46%	57%	47%	+3.5	−7.2	+2.8
LAC @ LV	LV by 10	44%	43%	33%	−6.2	−7.1	−20.2
SEA @ IND	IND by 6	46%	49%	41%	−4.6	−0.7	−9.6
NYJ @ ATL	NYJ by 2	71%	61%	77%	−24.9	−12.3	−34.7

Week 615+97.9+23.6+107.6+6.53+1.57+7.17

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYG @ CHI	CHI by 6	76%	74%	76%	+19.3	+18.4	+19.3
ARI @ SF	SF by 12	74%	67%	77%	+18.1	+13.9	+19.8
CAR @ MIN	CAR by 25	55%	62%	57%	−5.5	−13.2	−8.0
CIN @ BUF	CIN by 3	49%	45%	33%	+1.4	+4.9	+14.3
DET @ CLE	DET by 14	49%	57%	47%	+0.7	−8.0	+2.8
GB @ BAL	GB by 2	47%	57%	47%	+2.8	−8.0	+2.8
JAX @ DEN	DEN by 16	96%	91%	98%	+24.9	+24.3	+25.0
NO @ NE	NE by 3	52%	57%	57%	+1.5	+6.9	+6.9
LV @ KC	KC by 17	74%	70%	71%	+18.1	+16.0	+16.7
PHI @ TB	PHI by 11	47%	52%	43%	+2.8	−1.6	+6.8
PIT @ NYJ	PIT by 13	54%	69%	47%	−3.9	−23.1	+2.8
LA @ HOU	LA by 25	58%	65%	76%	−8.9	−16.7	−33.0
TEN @ SEA	SEA by 7	75%	68%	79%	+18.7	+14.8	+20.8
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 15	69%	59%	66%	+15.6	+8.1	+13.4
IND @ LAC	LAC by 10	43%	38%	47%	−7.9	−13.1	−3.0

Week 715+29.6+21.5+46.3+1.98+1.43+3.09

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 12	29%	38%	35%	+16.3	+10.9	+12.4
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 3	49%	45%	57%	−0.7	−5.4	+6.9
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 2	61%	67%	67%	−12.3	−19.4	−20.4
CHI @ WAS	WAS by 4	42%	42%	47%	−8.7	−8.7	−3.0
CIN @ DET	CIN by 3	60%	48%	57%	−10.6	+2.1	−8.0
CLE @ GB	GB by 18	73%	69%	71%	+17.8	+15.6	+16.7
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 14	46%	50%	59%	+3.5	−0.0	−9.7
DEN @ IND	IND by 6	33%	44%	33%	−20.2	−6.2	−20.2
HOU @ KC	KC by 1	78%	63%	70%	+20.3	+11.5	+16.0
NE @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	33%	36%	40%	−19.3	−15.7	−11.3
LAC @ JAX	LAC by 18	28%	31%	29%	+17.1	+15.5	+16.7
SF @ TEN	SF by 14	47%	44%	41%	+2.8	+5.5	+8.0
LA @ CAR	CAR by 15	67%	52%	73%	+13.9	+2.2	+17.5
TB @ ATL	ATL by 8	67%	71%	67%	+14.3	+16.7	+14.3
MIN @ NYG	NYG by 16	46%	47%	62%	−4.6	−3.0	+10.4

Week 813+132.4+128.8+152.2+10.18+9.91+11.71

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ TB	CAR by 18	35%	40%	31%	+12.4	+9.2	+15.1
ATL @ ARI	ARI by 14	46%	50%	57%	−4.6	+0.0	+6.9
BUF @ NO	NO by 18	76%	72%	78%	+19.0	+17.1	+20.3
CLE @ KC	KC by 6	76%	71%	70%	+19.3	+16.7	+16.0
DAL @ DET	DET by 1	50%	52%	59%	+0.0	+2.2	+8.1
GB @ MIN	GB by 13	31%	36%	30%	+15.1	+11.9	+15.9
MIA @ NE	NE by 10	67%	70%	69%	+13.9	+16.0	+15.2
NYG @ PHI	NYG by 8	67%	60%	66%	−20.4	−11.4	−18.5
NYJ @ CIN	CIN by 40	71%	67%	67%	+16.4	+13.9	+14.3
PIT @ LV	LV by 3	50%	50%	43%	+0.0	+0.0	−7.9
SF @ JAX	SF by 32	16%	19%	12%	+22.4	+21.6	+23.6
WAS @ DEN	DEN by 24	87%	77%	79%	+23.2	+19.6	+20.8
SEA @ LA	SEA by 5	31%	36%	17%	+15.5	+11.9	+22.2

Week 913+31.6+29.3+37.3+2.43+2.25+2.87

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CIN @ MIA	MIA by 2	43%	41%	41%	−7.1	−9.6	−9.6
ATL @ CAR	CAR by 24	71%	59%	77%	+16.7	+8.1	+19.8
BAL @ CLE	CLE by 6	46%	49%	47%	−3.8	−1.5	−3.0
IND @ HOU	IND by 3	30%	40%	47%	+15.9	+8.6	+2.8
KC @ BUF	KC by 10	38%	40%	37%	+10.3	+9.2	+11.4
MIN @ DAL	DAL by 4	78%	67%	77%	+20.1	+13.9	+19.8
NO @ NYJ	NYJ by 6	23%	42%	33%	−34.6	−8.7	−20.2
PHI @ LV	PHI by 29	53%	60%	47%	−3.1	−10.6	+2.8
PIT @ NE	NE by 24	71%	78%	66%	+16.7	+20.3	+13.4
LAC @ WAS	WAS by 6	46%	50%	53%	−4.6	+0.0	+2.9
TB @ SEA	SEA by 3	86%	88%	88%	+22.9	+23.6	+23.7
TEN @ LA	TEN by 7	49%	55%	41%	+1.4	−4.7	+8.0
CHI @ GB	CHI by 7	67%	67%	77%	−19.4	−19.4	−34.7

Week 1014−73.8−114.4−8.6−5.27−8.17−0.62

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
WAS @ MIN	MIN by 7	49%	46%	47%	−1.5	−4.6	−3.0
BUF @ PIT	PIT by 13	56%	55%	59%	+5.6	+5.0	+8.1
CAR @ SF	CAR by 1	62%	68%	67%	−13.2	−21.3	−20.4
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 3	46%	43%	53%	−3.8	−7.1	+2.9
DAL @ NO	NO by 32	62%	65%	67%	+10.4	+12.5	+14.3
DEN @ LAC	DEN by 8	26%	35%	30%	+18.1	+12.9	+15.9
DET @ CHI	DET by 2	57%	63%	47%	−8.0	−14.1	+2.8
HOU @ ARI	ARI by 3	65%	57%	62%	+12.5	+6.9	+10.4
JAX @ TEN	JAX by 2	86%	82%	81%	−49.1	−41.5	−39.8
LV @ NYG	NYG by 4	52%	57%	71%	+1.5	+6.9	+16.7
PHI @ GB	PHI by 14	69%	74%	47%	−23.1	−30.3	+2.8
SEA @ ATL	SEA by 23	30%	33%	40%	+15.9	+14.3	+9.2
LA @ IND	LA by 30	76%	77%	71%	−33.0	−34.7	−25.8
MIA @ TB	TB by 3	44%	33%	47%	−6.2	−19.3	−3.0

Week 1115+104.8+60.2+70.0+6.99+4.01+4.67

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ TEN	IND by 3	53%	40%	43%	−3.1	+9.2	+6.8
ARI @ JAX	ARI by 13	28%	33%	24%	+17.4	+14.3	+19.3
ATL @ TB	TB by 13	55%	44%	53%	+4.3	−6.2	+2.9
BAL @ CHI	CHI by 3	63%	60%	62%	+10.9	+9.3	+10.4
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 21	73%	68%	62%	+17.5	+14.8	+10.4
DET @ PIT	PIT by 10	44%	47%	41%	−6.2	−3.0	−9.6
GB @ NYG	NYG by 14	32%	43%	60%	−21.1	−7.9	+9.3
KC @ DEN	DEN by 10	75%	66%	71%	+18.7	+13.4	+16.7
MIN @ SEA	SEA by 21	85%	83%	83%	+22.7	+22.3	+22.3
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 23	60%	44%	47%	+9.3	−6.2	−3.0
LV @ HOU	LV by 5	53%	63%	78%	−3.1	−15.0	−36.5
LAC @ MIA	MIA by 4	54%	58%	43%	+3.6	+7.5	−7.9
SF @ NO	NO by 3	64%	57%	60%	+12.0	+6.9	+9.3
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 8	67%	57%	63%	+13.9	+6.3	+11.5
NE @ CAR	CAR by 4	59%	45%	59%	+8.1	−5.4	+8.1

Week 1214−9.3−72.9−9.2−0.67−5.21−0.65

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ ATL	NO by 4	23%	34%	29%	+19.5	+13.4	+16.7
CAR @ MIA	CAR by 4	40%	48%	37%	+9.2	+2.1	+11.4
CHI @ LA	LA by 21	49%	47%	53%	−1.5	−3.0	+2.9
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 3	38%	52%	53%	+10.9	−2.3	−3.1
DEN @ NE	NE by 3	40%	46%	53%	−11.3	−3.8	+2.9
IND @ ARI	ARI by 29	49%	44%	60%	−1.5	−6.2	+9.3
JAX @ HOU	JAX by 7	71%	72%	78%	−25.8	−26.7	−36.5
MIN @ GB	tie	73%	71%	67%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
NYJ @ BAL	BAL by 16	73%	55%	62%	+17.5	+5.0	+10.4
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 16	49%	55%	57%	+0.7	−4.7	−8.0
LAC @ KC	LAC by 3	71%	72%	60%	−24.9	−26.7	−11.4
TB @ DET	TB by 3	69%	72%	70%	−23.1	−26.7	−24.0
TEN @ LV	TEN by 4	43%	52%	43%	+6.2	−2.3	+6.8
SF @ WAS	SF by 21	32%	40%	34%	+14.7	+9.2	+13.4

Week 1316+76.1+61.3+110.5+4.75+3.83+6.90

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ DET	DET by 30	56%	51%	70%	+5.6	+0.8	+16.0
LV @ DAL	DAL by 7	73%	70%	77%	+17.5	+16.0	+19.8
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 2	59%	59%	59%	+8.1	+8.1	+8.1
ARI @ PHI	PHI by 3	58%	49%	60%	+7.5	−1.5	+9.3
ATL @ BUF	ATL by 3	65%	59%	65%	−16.7	−9.7	−16.7
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 3	41%	42%	57%	−9.6	−8.7	+6.9
CIN @ LAC	CIN by 7	46%	46%	43%	+4.2	+4.2	+6.8
DEN @ KC	DEN by 7	43%	43%	35%	+6.2	+6.2	+12.4
JAX @ CLE	JAX by 4	73%	70%	71%	−27.6	−24.0	−25.8
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 20	38%	55%	47%	+10.9	−5.5	+2.8
NE @ HOU	NE by 3	25%	28%	30%	+18.7	+17.1	+15.9
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 7	55%	54%	53%	−4.7	−3.9	−3.1
LA @ SF	SF by 10	73%	67%	71%	+17.8	+14.3	+16.7
TB @ CAR	CAR by 21	79%	78%	71%	+20.8	+20.1	+16.7
TEN @ IND	IND by 8	55%	71%	60%	+5.0	+16.4	+9.3
NO @ SEA	SEA by 27	65%	63%	69%	+12.5	+11.5	+15.2

Week 1416+108.8+124.6+136.7+6.80+7.79+8.55

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
HOU @ JAX	JAX by 7	42%	52%	41%	−8.7	+1.5	−9.6
ATL @ GB	GB by 1	67%	65%	60%	+14.3	+12.5	+9.3
BUF @ TB	TB by 21	49%	53%	59%	−1.5	+2.9	+8.1
CAR @ NO	NO by 18	57%	57%	59%	+6.3	+6.9	+8.1
CLE @ NE	NE by 1	81%	82%	76%	+21.4	+21.8	+19.3
DET @ PHI	PHI by 14	53%	55%	57%	+2.9	+5.0	+6.9
IND @ CIN	CIN by 14	69%	55%	70%	+15.2	+4.3	+16.0
KC @ WAS	KC by 35	29%	40%	40%	+16.3	+9.2	+9.2
MIA @ PIT	MIA by 6	55%	52%	59%	−5.5	−2.3	−9.7
MIN @ BAL	BAL by 3	69%	67%	67%	+15.2	+13.9	+14.3
NYG @ LAC	LAC by 23	67%	57%	63%	+13.9	+6.3	+11.5
LV @ NYJ	NYJ by 10	42%	67%	59%	−8.7	+13.9	+8.1
SEA @ SF	SF by 2	49%	44%	57%	−1.5	−6.2	+6.9
LA @ ARI	ARI by 20	60%	61%	62%	+8.7	+9.9	+10.4
TEN @ DEN	DEN by 23	81%	82%	83%	+21.2	+21.6	+22.3
DAL @ CHI	CHI by 17	49%	54%	56%	−0.7	+3.6	+5.6

Week 1516+14.1+13.5+2.4+0.88+0.84+0.15

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LAC @ DEN	LAC by 7	79%	80%	77%	−37.3	−39.0	−34.7
ARI @ TEN	ARI by 3	50%	46%	41%	−0.0	+3.5	+8.0
BUF @ JAX	BUF by 7	35%	52%	38%	+12.4	−2.3	+10.3
CHI @ CLE	CHI by 7	40%	42%	53%	+9.2	+7.4	−3.1
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 10	40%	39%	44%	−11.3	−12.2	−6.2
GB @ DAL	GB by 1	63%	54%	62%	−14.1	−3.9	−13.2
HOU @ IND	IND by 22	73%	79%	67%	+17.8	+20.8	+14.3
KC @ LV	KC by 25	28%	33%	31%	+17.4	+13.8	+15.1
NE @ MIA	MIA by 4	46%	40%	57%	−4.6	−11.3	+6.9
NO @ LA	LA by 11	36%	38%	31%	−15.7	−14.0	−22.1
NYJ @ CAR	CAR by 10	87%	69%	77%	+23.3	+15.6	+19.8
PHI @ MIN	MIN by 18	36%	46%	31%	−15.7	−3.8	−22.1
SEA @ NYG	SEA by 23	19%	30%	24%	+21.6	+15.9	+19.3
SF @ TB	SF by 19	31%	31%	37%	+15.1	+15.1	+11.4
WAS @ ATL	ATL by 1	60%	60%	66%	+9.3	+9.3	+13.4
BAL @ DET	BAL by 2	62%	52%	63%	−13.2	−1.6	−15.0

Week 1616+28.3+54.6+51.7+1.77+3.41+3.23

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SEA	ARI by 7	79%	73%	73%	−37.3	−28.5	−27.6
CHI @ PHI	PHI by 43	57%	52%	57%	+6.9	+1.5	+6.9
CLE @ NYJ	NYJ by 11	46%	66%	57%	−4.6	+13.4	+6.9
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 1	32%	43%	41%	+14.7	+6.8	+8.0
DEN @ HOU	DEN by 24	14%	22%	25%	+23.1	+20.1	+18.7
IND @ KC	IND by 16	76%	53%	71%	−32.1	−3.1	−25.8
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 19	47%	41%	53%	−3.0	−9.6	+2.9
MIN @ CIN	CIN by 28	76%	73%	71%	+19.3	+17.5	+16.7
NE @ BAL	NE by 34	47%	46%	47%	+2.8	+4.2	+2.8
NO @ CAR	CAR by 4	60%	56%	60%	+8.7	+5.6	+9.3
NYG @ DET	NYG by 3	77%	60%	76%	−34.7	−11.4	−33.0
LV @ LAC	LAC by 13	74%	74%	77%	+18.4	+18.1	+19.8
PIT @ GB	PIT by 7	56%	65%	47%	−6.3	−16.7	+2.8
TB @ LA	LA by 10	66%	67%	60%	+13.4	+14.3	+9.3
TEN @ JAX	TEN by 4	29%	47%	38%	+16.3	+2.8	+10.3
ATL @ SF	SF by 10	85%	77%	88%	+22.7	+19.6	+23.5

Week 1716+137.3+153.0+178.4+8.58+9.56+11.15

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 17	76%	63%	69%	+19.0	+11.5	+15.2
BUF @ NE	NE by 14	76%	79%	71%	+19.0	+20.6	+16.7
CAR @ ATL	CAR by 1	28%	35%	34%	+17.4	+12.9	+13.4
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 13	71%	71%	76%	+16.7	+16.4	+19.3
DEN @ LV	DEN by 20	18%	20%	23%	+21.9	+21.0	+19.8
DET @ MIN	MIN by 1	38%	52%	43%	−13.1	+2.2	−7.9
GB @ CHI	GB by 5	55%	55%	41%	−5.5	−4.7	+8.0
HOU @ TEN	TEN by 6	77%	67%	70%	+19.8	+13.9	+16.0
JAX @ IND	IND by 20	83%	84%	79%	+22.3	+22.4	+20.8
KC @ LAC	LAC by 3	46%	52%	88%	−4.6	+1.5	+23.5
NYJ @ MIA	NYJ by 13	74%	63%	71%	−29.4	−14.1	−25.8
PHI @ DAL	PHI by 2	50%	57%	29%	−0.0	−7.2	+16.7
SF @ ARI	SF by 3	45%	47%	59%	+4.9	+2.8	−9.7
LA @ SEA	SEA by 18	82%	74%	83%	+21.6	+18.4	+22.3
TB @ NO	NO by 25	80%	79%	79%	+21.0	+20.6	+20.8
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 14	57%	68%	60%	+6.3	+14.8	+9.3

2012RETRODICTION256+1008.9+644.1+1074.5+3.94+2.52+4.20

Week 116+47.3+23.1+53.6+2.96+1.44+3.35

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 7	59%	59%	60%	−9.7	−9.7	−11.4
ATL @ KC	ATL by 16	47%	51%	47%	+2.8	−0.8	+2.8
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 20	55%	60%	59%	+4.3	+9.3	+8.1
CAR @ TB	TB by 6	49%	53%	41%	−1.5	+2.9	−9.6
IND @ CHI	CHI by 20	72%	68%	77%	+17.1	+14.8	+19.8
JAX @ MIN	MIN by 3	58%	52%	60%	+7.5	+2.2	+9.3
MIA @ HOU	HOU by 20	76%	65%	83%	+19.3	+12.5	+22.3
NE @ TEN	NE by 21	35%	49%	37%	+12.9	+1.4	+11.4
PHI @ CLE	PHI by 1	36%	49%	25%	+11.9	+1.4	+18.7
PIT @ DEN	DEN by 12	52%	49%	57%	+2.2	−1.5	+6.9
SEA @ ARI	ARI by 4	51%	59%	47%	+0.8	+8.1	−3.0
SF @ GB	SF by 8	66%	61%	67%	−18.5	−12.3	−20.4
LA @ DET	DET by 4	69%	71%	75%	+15.2	+16.7	+18.7
WAS @ NO	WAS by 8	73%	71%	76%	−28.5	−25.8	−33.0
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 31	63%	63%	70%	+11.5	+10.9	+16.0
LAC @ LV	LAC by 8	50%	57%	53%	−0.0	−7.2	−3.1

Week 216+29.0+47.9+41.6+1.81+3.00+2.60

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ GB	GB by 13	63%	64%	65%	+10.9	+12.0	+12.5
ARI @ NE	ARI by 2	82%	66%	83%	−42.3	−18.5	−44.7
BAL @ PHI	PHI by 1	45%	49%	59%	−5.4	−1.5	+8.1
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 7	58%	67%	70%	+7.5	+13.9	+16.0
DAL @ SEA	SEA by 20	46%	47%	41%	−4.6	−3.0	−9.6
DET @ SF	SF by 8	60%	65%	70%	+9.3	+12.5	+16.0
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 20	33%	39%	31%	+14.3	+9.8	+15.1
KC @ BUF	BUF by 18	56%	54%	59%	+5.6	+3.6	+8.1
MIN @ IND	IND by 3	51%	47%	41%	+0.8	−3.0	−9.6
NO @ CAR	CAR by 8	43%	44%	41%	−7.9	−6.2	−9.6
NYJ @ PIT	PIT by 17	52%	57%	63%	+2.2	+6.3	+11.5
LV @ MIA	MIA by 22	54%	53%	47%	+3.6	+2.9	−3.0
TB @ NYG	NYG by 7	65%	58%	75%	+12.5	+7.5	+18.7
TEN @ LAC	LAC by 28	66%	63%	69%	+13.4	+10.9	+15.2
WAS @ LA	LA by 3	52%	43%	40%	+1.5	−7.9	−11.3
DEN @ ATL	ATL by 6	58%	60%	59%	+7.5	+8.7	+8.1

Week 316−64.4−33.2−76.9−4.03−2.08−4.80

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYG @ CAR	NYG by 29	52%	52%	57%	−1.6	−1.6	−8.0
ATL @ LAC	ATL by 24	55%	54%	59%	−4.7	−3.9	−9.7
BUF @ CLE	BUF by 10	43%	46%	43%	+6.2	+4.2	+6.8
CIN @ WAS	CIN by 7	59%	51%	59%	−9.7	−0.8	−9.7
DET @ TEN	TEN by 3	40%	49%	40%	−10.5	−0.7	−11.3
HOU @ DEN	HOU by 6	50%	48%	47%	−0.0	+2.1	+2.8
JAX @ IND	JAX by 5	60%	59%	59%	−10.6	−9.7	−9.7
KC @ NO	KC by 3	69%	65%	75%	−23.1	−16.7	−31.2
NE @ BAL	BAL by 1	52%	56%	57%	+1.5	+5.6	+6.9
NYJ @ MIA	NYJ by 3	49%	53%	43%	+0.7	−3.1	+6.8
PHI @ ARI	ARI by 21	51%	57%	41%	+0.8	+6.9	−9.6
PIT @ LV	LV by 3	35%	42%	40%	−16.6	−8.7	−11.3
SF @ MIN	MIN by 11	38%	31%	31%	−13.1	−23.0	−22.1
LA @ CHI	CHI by 17	69%	66%	70%	+15.2	+13.4	+16.0
TB @ DAL	DAL by 6	59%	63%	70%	+8.1	+11.5	+16.0
GB @ SEA	SEA by 2	43%	42%	41%	−7.1	−8.7	−9.6

Week 415+83.1+82.6+96.2+5.54+5.50+6.41

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 7	80%	82%	81%	+21.0	+21.6	+21.2
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 2	78%	76%	70%	+20.1	+19.0	+16.0
CIN @ JAX	CIN by 17	45%	43%	53%	+4.9	+6.8	−3.1
MIA @ ARI	ARI by 3	63%	74%	62%	+11.5	+18.1	+10.4
MIN @ DET	MIN by 7	63%	60%	60%	−14.1	−11.4	−11.4
NE @ BUF	NE by 24	40%	51%	40%	+8.6	−0.8	+9.2
NO @ GB	GB by 1	64%	68%	71%	+12.0	+14.8	+16.7
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 2	42%	57%	55%	−8.7	+6.9	+4.3
LV @ DEN	DEN by 31	72%	58%	69%	+17.1	+7.5	+15.2
LAC @ KC	LAC by 17	49%	48%	43%	+0.7	+2.1	+6.8
SEA @ LA	LA by 6	46%	42%	44%	−4.6	−8.7	−6.2
SF @ NYJ	SF by 34	53%	48%	40%	−3.1	+2.1	+9.2
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 24	78%	69%	83%	+20.3	+15.6	+22.3
WAS @ TB	WAS by 2	55%	54%	55%	−4.7	−3.9	−4.7
CHI @ DAL	CHI by 16	48%	57%	59%	+2.1	−7.2	−9.7

Week 514+100.1+28.1+102.9+7.15+2.00+7.35

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ LA	LA by 14	48%	35%	47%	−2.2	−17.5	−3.0
ATL @ WAS	ATL by 7	38%	37%	41%	+10.3	+11.4	+8.0
BAL @ KC	BAL by 3	38%	38%	33%	+10.9	+10.9	+14.3
BUF @ SF	SF by 42	69%	74%	77%	+15.2	+18.1	+19.8
CHI @ JAX	CHI by 38	29%	40%	33%	+16.7	+9.2	+14.3
CLE @ NYG	NYG by 14	78%	76%	71%	+20.1	+19.0	+16.7
DEN @ NE	NE by 10	69%	63%	67%	+15.6	+11.5	+14.3
GB @ IND	IND by 3	32%	33%	31%	−21.1	−20.2	−22.1
MIA @ CIN	MIA by 4	61%	71%	59%	−12.3	−25.8	−9.7
PHI @ PIT	PIT by 2	66%	52%	62%	+13.4	+1.5	+10.4
LAC @ NO	NO by 7	57%	44%	60%	+6.3	−6.2	+9.3
SEA @ CAR	SEA by 4	51%	49%	53%	−0.8	+0.7	−3.1
TEN @ MIN	MIN by 23	65%	58%	67%	+13.0	+7.5	+14.3
HOU @ NYJ	HOU by 6	31%	41%	24%	+15.1	+8.0	+19.3

Week 614−35.1−76.3−42.7−2.51−5.45−3.05

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PIT @ TEN	TEN by 3	35%	44%	34%	−17.5	−6.2	−18.4
BUF @ ARI	BUF by 3	60%	71%	65%	−11.4	−25.8	−16.7
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 10	45%	32%	47%	−5.4	−21.1	−3.0
DAL @ BAL	BAL by 2	72%	71%	59%	+17.1	+16.7	+8.1
DET @ PHI	DET by 3	52%	65%	60%	−2.3	−16.7	−11.4
GB @ HOU	GB by 18	67%	69%	62%	−20.4	−23.1	−13.2
IND @ NYJ	NYJ by 26	58%	64%	60%	+7.5	+12.0	+9.3
KC @ TB	TB by 28	60%	52%	65%	+9.3	+2.2	+12.5
MIN @ WAS	WAS by 12	49%	49%	46%	−0.7	−0.7	−4.6
NE @ SEA	SEA by 1	32%	47%	40%	−21.1	−3.0	−11.3
NYG @ SF	NYG by 23	65%	70%	70%	−17.6	−24.0	−24.0
LV @ ATL	ATL by 3	85%	78%	77%	+22.8	+20.3	+19.8
LA @ MIA	MIA by 3	57%	57%	66%	+6.3	+6.3	+13.4
DEN @ LAC	DEN by 11	52%	62%	53%	−1.6	−13.2	−3.1

Week 713+99.1+76.3+126.0+7.62+5.87+9.69

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SEA @ SF	SF by 7	70%	65%	71%	+16.0	+13.0	+16.7
ARI @ MIN	MIN by 7	62%	50%	70%	+10.4	+0.0	+16.0
BAL @ HOU	HOU by 30	63%	55%	69%	+11.5	+5.0	+15.2
CLE @ IND	IND by 4	52%	62%	53%	+1.5	+10.4	+2.9
DAL @ CAR	DAL by 5	52%	48%	43%	−1.6	+2.1	+6.8
GB @ LA	GB by 10	38%	40%	38%	+10.9	+8.6	+10.3
JAX @ LV	LV by 3	60%	63%	67%	+8.7	+10.9	+14.3
NO @ TB	NO by 7	53%	49%	47%	−3.1	+1.4	+2.8
NYJ @ NE	NE by 3	79%	63%	79%	+20.6	+10.9	+20.8
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 7	49%	55%	47%	+0.7	−4.7	+2.8
TEN @ BUF	TEN by 1	62%	56%	62%	−13.2	−6.3	−13.2
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 4	73%	65%	69%	+17.5	+13.0	+15.2
DET @ CHI	CHI by 6	76%	64%	69%	+19.3	+12.0	+15.2

Week 814+74.8+28.3+63.0+5.34+2.02+4.50

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TB @ MIN	TB by 19	59%	70%	65%	−9.7	−24.0	−16.7
ATL @ PHI	ATL by 13	37%	38%	55%	+11.4	+10.3	−4.7
CAR @ CHI	CHI by 1	82%	78%	70%	+21.8	+20.3	+16.0
IND @ TEN	IND by 6	55%	65%	60%	−5.5	−17.6	−11.4
JAX @ GB	GB by 9	87%	81%	87%	+23.3	+21.2	+23.3
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 21	60%	59%	53%	−10.6	−9.7	−3.1
NE @ LA	NE by 38	30%	38%	29%	+15.9	+10.9	+16.7
NO @ DEN	DEN by 20	64%	57%	67%	+12.0	+6.9	+14.3
NYG @ DAL	NYG by 5	38%	48%	46%	+10.3	+2.1	+4.2
LV @ KC	LV by 10	57%	50%	53%	−8.0	−0.0	−3.1
LAC @ CLE	CLE by 1	41%	38%	43%	−9.6	−14.0	−7.9
SEA @ DET	DET by 4	55%	52%	59%	+5.0	+2.2	+8.1
WAS @ PIT	PIT by 15	60%	66%	63%	+9.3	+13.4	+11.5
SF @ ARI	SF by 21	40%	43%	30%	+9.2	+6.2	+15.9

Week 914+124.9+71.9+101.8+8.92+5.13+7.27

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
KC @ LAC	LAC by 18	73%	67%	71%	+17.5	+14.3	+16.7
ARI @ GB	GB by 14	77%	67%	78%	+19.8	+14.3	+20.3
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 10	40%	29%	40%	+8.6	+16.3	+9.2
BUF @ HOU	HOU by 12	84%	77%	79%	+22.4	+19.8	+20.8
CAR @ WAS	CAR by 8	61%	66%	59%	−12.3	−18.5	−9.7
CHI @ TEN	CHI by 31	25%	43%	37%	+19.0	+6.2	+11.4
DAL @ ATL	ATL by 6	76%	79%	62%	+19.0	+20.6	+10.4
DEN @ CIN	DEN by 8	34%	50%	35%	+13.4	−0.0	+12.4
DET @ JAX	DET by 17	35%	38%	33%	+12.9	+10.3	+14.3
MIA @ IND	IND by 3	44%	52%	43%	−6.2	+1.5	−7.9
MIN @ SEA	SEA by 10	57%	57%	63%	+6.3	+6.9	+11.5
PIT @ NYG	PIT by 4	68%	60%	60%	−21.3	−10.6	−11.4
TB @ LV	TB by 10	34%	63%	53%	+13.4	−15.0	−3.1
PHI @ NO	NO by 15	65%	56%	57%	+12.5	+5.6	+6.9

Week 1014+47.0+48.6+55.3+3.36+3.47+3.95

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ JAX	IND by 17	41%	38%	41%	+8.0	+10.3	+8.0
ATL @ NO	NO by 4	43%	34%	47%	−7.1	−18.4	−3.0
BUF @ NE	NE by 6	88%	74%	84%	+23.5	+18.4	+22.6
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 15	50%	58%	47%	−0.0	−8.9	+2.8
DEN @ CAR	DEN by 22	33%	38%	40%	+14.3	+10.9	+9.2
DET @ MIN	MIN by 10	54%	51%	41%	+3.6	+0.8	−9.6
HOU @ CHI	HOU by 7	60%	51%	53%	−11.4	−0.8	−3.1
NYG @ CIN	CIN by 18	35%	44%	40%	−17.5	−6.2	−11.3
NYJ @ SEA	SEA by 21	64%	61%	65%	+12.0	+9.9	+12.5
LV @ BAL	BAL by 35	76%	76%	76%	+19.0	+19.0	+19.3
LAC @ TB	TB by 10	62%	52%	59%	+10.4	+1.5	+8.1
LA @ SF	tie	81%	81%	84%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
TEN @ MIA	TEN by 34	73%	58%	69%	−28.5	−8.9	−22.2
KC @ PIT	PIT by 3	79%	80%	83%	+20.8	+21.0	+21.9

Week 1114+155.8+126.1+146.5+11.13+9.01+10.46

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 5	52%	53%	53%	+2.2	+2.9	+2.9
ARI @ ATL	ATL by 4	79%	76%	76%	+20.8	+19.0	+19.3
BAL @ PIT	BAL by 3	52%	52%	41%	−1.6	−1.6	+8.0
CIN @ KC	CIN by 22	39%	40%	41%	+9.8	+8.6	+8.0
CLE @ DAL	DAL by 3	67%	70%	70%	+14.3	+16.0	+16.0
GB @ DET	GB by 4	40%	42%	41%	+8.6	+7.4	+8.0
IND @ NE	NE by 35	85%	70%	77%	+22.8	+16.0	+19.8
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 6	92%	90%	87%	+24.4	+24.0	+23.3
NO @ LV	NO by 21	31%	46%	33%	+15.1	+4.2	+14.3
NYJ @ LA	NYJ by 14	55%	52%	60%	−5.5	−1.6	−11.4
PHI @ WAS	WAS by 25	63%	52%	60%	+10.9	+1.5	+9.3
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 7	75%	67%	71%	+18.7	+14.3	+16.7
TB @ CAR	TB by 6	35%	46%	47%	+12.9	+4.2	+2.8
CHI @ SF	SF by 25	52%	63%	60%	+2.2	+10.9	+9.3

Week 1216+59.6+15.3+66.1+3.72+0.95+4.13

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
HOU @ DET	HOU by 3	34%	32%	40%	+13.4	+14.7	+9.2
NE @ NYJ	NE by 30	21%	38%	30%	+20.5	+10.9	+15.9
WAS @ DAL	WAS by 7	57%	64%	60%	−7.2	−15.8	−11.4
ATL @ TB	ATL by 1	55%	34%	47%	−5.5	+13.4	+2.8
BAL @ LAC	BAL by 3	47%	33%	47%	+2.8	+14.3	+2.8
BUF @ IND	IND by 7	54%	61%	56%	+3.6	+9.9	+5.6
DEN @ KC	DEN by 8	17%	29%	23%	+22.2	+16.7	+19.8
GB @ NYG	NYG by 28	54%	46%	53%	+3.6	−4.6	+2.9
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 18	71%	66%	69%	+16.7	+13.4	+15.2
LV @ CIN	CIN by 24	76%	65%	76%	+19.3	+13.0	+19.3
PIT @ CLE	CLE by 6	40%	31%	47%	−11.3	−23.0	−3.0
SEA @ MIA	MIA by 3	45%	47%	41%	−5.4	−3.0	−9.6
SF @ NO	SF by 10	46%	42%	47%	+3.5	+7.4	+2.8
LA @ ARI	LA by 14	60%	66%	53%	−10.6	−18.5	−3.1
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 5	44%	35%	40%	−6.2	−16.6	−11.3
CAR @ PHI	CAR by 8	50%	65%	41%	−0.0	−16.7	+8.0

Week 1316+19.2+21.7+23.1+1.20+1.35+1.44

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ ATL	ATL by 10	67%	74%	60%	+13.9	+18.4	+9.3
ARI @ NYJ	NYJ by 1	55%	57%	67%	+5.0	+6.9	+14.3
CAR @ KC	KC by 6	41%	49%	35%	−9.6	−1.5	−16.6
CIN @ LAC	CIN by 7	53%	48%	53%	−3.1	+2.1	−3.1
CLE @ LV	CLE by 3	39%	59%	43%	+9.8	−9.7	+6.8
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 14	21%	29%	30%	+20.8	+16.7	+15.9
IND @ DET	IND by 2	65%	54%	70%	−16.7	−3.9	−24.0
JAX @ BUF	BUF by 16	66%	67%	67%	+13.4	+13.9	+14.3
MIN @ GB	GB by 9	68%	71%	70%	+14.8	+16.7	+16.0
NE @ MIA	NE by 7	21%	35%	30%	+20.5	+12.4	+15.9
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 5	71%	64%	78%	+16.7	+12.0	+20.3
PIT @ BAL	PIT by 3	67%	69%	70%	−19.4	−23.1	−24.0
SEA @ CHI	SEA by 6	71%	67%	59%	−25.8	−19.4	−9.7
SF @ LA	LA by 3	29%	26%	30%	−25.7	−29.3	−23.9
TB @ DEN	DEN by 8	67%	69%	76%	+14.3	+15.6	+19.3
NYG @ WAS	WAS by 1	41%	44%	43%	−9.6	−6.2	−7.9

Week 1416+33.5−11.5+47.8+2.10−0.72+2.99

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ LV	DEN by 13	14%	32%	23%	+23.1	+14.7	+19.8
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 58	73%	67%	78%	+17.8	+13.9	+20.3
ATL @ CAR	CAR by 10	31%	20%	41%	−22.1	−38.9	−9.6
BAL @ WAS	WAS by 3	48%	38%	53%	−2.2	−13.1	+2.9
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 7	39%	46%	47%	−12.2	−4.6	−3.0
DAL @ CIN	DAL by 1	62%	61%	60%	−13.2	−12.3	−11.4
DET @ GB	GB by 7	68%	75%	67%	+14.8	+18.7	+14.3
KC @ CLE	CLE by 23	67%	63%	70%	+14.3	+11.5	+16.0
MIA @ SF	SF by 14	79%	77%	78%	+20.8	+19.8	+20.3
NO @ NYG	NYG by 25	70%	60%	62%	+16.0	+9.3	+10.4
NYJ @ JAX	NYJ by 7	41%	39%	41%	+8.0	+9.8	+8.0
PHI @ TB	PHI by 2	82%	65%	73%	−41.5	−16.7	−27.6
LAC @ PIT	LAC by 10	61%	73%	70%	−12.3	−27.6	−24.0
LA @ BUF	LA by 3	55%	57%	60%	−5.5	−8.0	−11.4
TEN @ IND	IND by 4	65%	64%	60%	+13.0	+12.0	+9.3
HOU @ NE	NE by 28	68%	50%	66%	+14.8	+0.0	+13.4

Week 1516−0.1+65.4+41.9−0.01+4.09+2.62

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CIN @ PHI	CIN by 21	34%	45%	37%	+13.4	+4.9	+11.4
CAR @ LAC	CAR by 24	66%	62%	59%	−18.5	−13.2	−9.7
DEN @ BAL	DEN by 17	45%	57%	41%	+4.9	−8.0	+8.0
DET @ ARI	ARI by 28	38%	55%	34%	−14.0	+4.3	−18.4
GB @ CHI	GB by 8	61%	46%	41%	−12.3	+4.2	+8.0
IND @ HOU	HOU by 12	79%	74%	78%	+20.6	+18.1	+20.3
JAX @ MIA	MIA by 21	73%	71%	71%	+17.5	+16.7	+16.7
KC @ LV	LV by 15	51%	62%	63%	+0.8	+10.4	+11.5
MIN @ LA	MIN by 14	49%	52%	53%	+1.4	−2.3	−3.1
NYG @ ATL	ATL by 34	52%	69%	53%	+1.5	+15.2	+2.9
PIT @ DAL	DAL by 3	56%	52%	47%	+5.6	+2.2	−3.0
SEA @ BUF	SEA by 33	32%	44%	37%	+14.7	+5.5	+11.4
SF @ NE	SF by 7	74%	59%	62%	−29.4	−9.7	−13.2
TB @ NO	NO by 41	45%	64%	60%	−5.4	+12.0	+9.3
WAS @ CLE	WAS by 17	49%	46%	62%	+1.4	+3.5	−13.2
NYJ @ TEN	TEN by 4	48%	52%	53%	−2.2	+1.5	+2.9

Week 1616+115.2+56.6+85.6+7.20+3.54+5.35

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ DET	ATL by 13	33%	27%	40%	+14.3	+17.8	+9.2
BUF @ MIA	MIA by 14	65%	60%	65%	+13.0	+9.3	+12.5
CHI @ ARI	CHI by 15	31%	46%	30%	+15.5	+3.5	+15.9
CIN @ PIT	CIN by 3	50%	57%	60%	−0.0	−7.2	−11.4
CLE @ DEN	DEN by 22	85%	79%	79%	+22.7	+20.6	+20.8
IND @ KC	IND by 7	36%	33%	37%	+11.9	+14.3	+11.4
MIN @ HOU	MIN by 17	73%	77%	71%	−27.6	−34.7	−25.8
NE @ JAX	NE by 7	9%	19%	15%	+24.3	+21.6	+22.8
NO @ DAL	NO by 3	52%	57%	53%	−2.3	−8.0	−3.1
NYG @ BAL	BAL by 19	50%	62%	47%	+0.0	+10.4	−3.0
LV @ CAR	CAR by 11	75%	61%	76%	+18.7	+9.9	+19.3
LAC @ NYJ	LAC by 10	47%	60%	59%	+2.8	−11.4	−9.7
SF @ SEA	SEA by 29	59%	41%	57%	+8.1	−9.6	+6.9
LA @ TB	LA by 15	69%	56%	59%	−23.1	−6.3	−9.7
TEN @ GB	GB by 48	82%	77%	78%	+21.8	+19.8	+20.3
WAS @ PHI	WAS by 7	31%	43%	40%	+15.1	+6.8	+9.2

Week 1716+119.8+73.3+142.6+7.49+4.58+8.91

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SF	SF by 14	84%	80%	88%	+22.4	+21.0	+23.7
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 6	57%	49%	66%	+6.3	−1.5	+13.4
CAR @ NO	CAR by 6	63%	67%	62%	−15.0	−19.4	−13.2
CHI @ DET	CHI by 2	34%	42%	41%	+13.4	+7.4	+8.0
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 14	67%	69%	77%	+13.9	+15.6	+19.8
DAL @ WAS	WAS by 10	61%	59%	59%	+9.9	+8.1	+8.1
GB @ MIN	MIN by 3	45%	41%	41%	−5.4	−9.6	−9.6
HOU @ IND	IND by 12	36%	40%	31%	−15.7	−10.5	−22.1
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 18	58%	73%	67%	+7.5	+17.8	+14.3
KC @ DEN	DEN by 35	94%	87%	90%	+24.6	+23.4	+24.0
MIA @ NE	NE by 28	85%	78%	81%	+22.8	+20.1	+21.2
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 19	51%	52%	60%	+0.8	+1.5	+9.3
LV @ LAC	LAC by 3	78%	65%	76%	+20.3	+12.5	+19.3
PHI @ NYG	NYG by 35	83%	73%	69%	+22.1	+17.8	+15.2
LA @ SEA	SEA by 7	83%	70%	79%	+22.3	+16.0	+20.8
TB @ ATL	TB by 5	74%	85%	59%	−30.3	−46.9	−9.7

2011RETRODICTION256+1106.7+729.1+1146.6+4.32+2.85+4.48

Week 116+53.1+18.5+66.3+3.32+1.16+4.14

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ GB	GB by 8	61%	55%	63%	+9.9	+4.3	+11.5
ATL @ CHI	CHI by 18	48%	52%	47%	−2.2	+2.2	−3.0
BUF @ KC	BUF by 34	64%	68%	60%	−15.8	−21.3	−11.4
CAR @ ARI	ARI by 7	67%	63%	69%	+13.9	+10.9	+15.2
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 10	63%	59%	69%	−14.1	−9.7	−22.2
DAL @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	62%	66%	69%	+10.4	+13.4	+15.2
DET @ TB	DET by 7	53%	65%	53%	−3.1	−16.7	−3.1
IND @ HOU	HOU by 27	55%	49%	75%	+4.3	−1.5	+18.7
MIN @ LAC	LAC by 7	73%	63%	75%	+17.5	+10.9	+18.7
NYG @ WAS	WAS by 14	45%	49%	47%	−5.4	−1.5	−3.0
PHI @ LA	PHI by 18	40%	51%	40%	+8.6	−0.8	+9.2
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 28	55%	57%	53%	+5.0	+6.3	+2.9
SEA @ SF	SF by 16	63%	55%	67%	+10.9	+4.3	+14.3
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 2	55%	60%	47%	+4.3	+9.3	−3.0
NE @ MIA	NE by 14	35%	43%	30%	+12.9	+6.8	+15.9
LV @ DEN	LV by 3	54%	49%	59%	−3.9	+1.4	−9.7

Week 216+92.2+33.1+142.5+5.76+2.07+8.91

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ WAS	WAS by 1	60%	60%	63%	+8.7	+9.3	+11.5
BAL @ TEN	TEN by 13	34%	38%	34%	−18.4	−14.0	−18.4
CHI @ NO	NO by 17	58%	49%	63%	+7.5	−1.5	+11.5
CIN @ DEN	DEN by 2	56%	50%	60%	+5.6	+0.0	+9.3
CLE @ IND	CLE by 8	63%	66%	47%	−15.0	−18.5	+2.8
DAL @ SF	DAL by 3	53%	63%	41%	−3.1	−15.0	+8.0
GB @ CAR	GB by 7	24%	33%	22%	+19.3	+13.8	+20.3
HOU @ MIA	HOU by 10	37%	52%	41%	+11.4	−2.3	+8.0
JAX @ NYJ	NYJ by 29	69%	63%	75%	+15.6	+10.9	+18.7
KC @ DET	DET by 45	72%	58%	75%	+17.1	+7.5	+18.7
LV @ BUF	BUF by 3	66%	50%	60%	+13.4	+0.0	+9.3
PHI @ ATL	ATL by 4	43%	55%	43%	−7.1	+5.0	−7.9
LAC @ NE	NE by 14	69%	67%	69%	+15.2	+13.9	+15.2
SEA @ PIT	PIT by 24	70%	66%	84%	+16.0	+13.4	+22.6
TB @ MIN	TB by 4	54%	50%	53%	−3.9	−0.0	−3.1
LA @ NYG	NYG by 12	61%	62%	70%	+9.9	+10.4	+16.0

Week 316+36.7+16.4+47.8+2.29+1.02+2.99

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 3	45%	54%	41%	−5.4	+3.6	−9.6
ATL @ TB	TB by 3	49%	50%	53%	−1.5	+0.0	+2.9
BAL @ LA	BAL by 30	38%	42%	34%	+10.9	+7.4	+13.4
DEN @ TEN	TEN by 3	57%	62%	70%	+6.3	+10.4	+16.0
DET @ MIN	DET by 3	36%	42%	41%	+11.9	+7.4	+8.0
GB @ CHI	GB by 10	41%	54%	38%	+8.0	−3.9	+10.3
HOU @ NO	NO by 7	57%	60%	60%	+6.3	+8.7	+9.3
JAX @ CAR	CAR by 6	55%	38%	60%	+5.0	−13.1	+9.3
KC @ LAC	LAC by 3	79%	63%	85%	+20.6	+11.5	+22.8
MIA @ CLE	CLE by 1	59%	59%	47%	+8.1	+8.1	−3.0
NE @ BUF	BUF by 3	39%	39%	30%	−12.2	−12.2	−23.9
NYG @ PHI	NYG by 13	69%	57%	75%	−22.2	−8.0	−31.2
NYJ @ LV	LV by 10	40%	43%	47%	−11.3	−7.1	−3.0
PIT @ IND	PIT by 3	47%	45%	22%	+2.8	+4.9	+20.3
SF @ CIN	SF by 5	52%	52%	53%	−1.6	−1.6	−3.1
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 2	63%	50%	60%	+10.9	+0.0	+9.3

Week 416+97.6+85.0+90.3+6.10+5.31+5.65

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ SEA	ATL by 2	40%	46%	33%	+9.2	+3.5	+14.3
BUF @ CIN	CIN by 3	41%	40%	41%	−9.6	−11.3	−9.6
CAR @ CHI	CHI by 5	67%	73%	70%	+13.9	+17.5	+16.0
DEN @ GB	GB by 26	79%	77%	82%	+20.6	+19.8	+21.6
DET @ DAL	DET by 4	46%	51%	57%	+4.2	−0.8	−8.0
MIA @ LAC	LAC by 10	69%	71%	69%	+15.2	+16.7	+15.2
MIN @ KC	KC by 5	43%	62%	41%	−7.1	+10.4	−9.6
NE @ LV	NE by 12	33%	48%	33%	+14.3	+2.1	+14.3
NO @ JAX	NO by 13	29%	43%	25%	+16.7	+6.8	+18.7
NYG @ ARI	NYG by 4	46%	41%	47%	+3.5	+8.0	+2.8
NYJ @ BAL	BAL by 17	65%	57%	65%	+12.5	+6.9	+12.5
PIT @ HOU	HOU by 7	64%	48%	62%	+12.0	−2.2	+10.4
SF @ PHI	SF by 1	66%	57%	76%	−18.5	−8.0	−33.0
TEN @ CLE	TEN by 18	52%	55%	53%	−2.3	−4.7	−3.1
WAS @ LA	WAS by 7	44%	46%	41%	+5.5	+4.2	+8.0
IND @ TB	TB by 7	58%	70%	77%	+7.5	+16.0	+19.8

Week 513+20.6+24.8+35.3+1.58+1.91+2.72

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ MIN	MIN by 24	52%	53%	60%	+2.2	+2.9	+9.3
CIN @ JAX	CIN by 10	43%	58%	47%	+6.2	−8.9	+2.8
GB @ ATL	GB by 11	32%	51%	33%	+14.7	−0.8	+14.3
KC @ IND	KC by 4	67%	52%	53%	−20.4	−1.6	−3.1
NO @ CAR	NO by 3	34%	29%	31%	+13.4	+16.3	+15.1
NYJ @ NE	NE by 9	74%	68%	71%	+18.1	+14.8	+16.7
LV @ HOU	LV by 5	73%	60%	63%	−27.6	−10.6	−15.0
PHI @ BUF	BUF by 7	58%	60%	41%	+7.5	+9.3	−9.6
LAC @ DEN	LAC by 5	46%	37%	40%	+4.2	+11.4	+9.2
SEA @ NYG	SEA by 11	74%	72%	77%	−29.4	−26.7	−34.7
TB @ SF	SF by 45	59%	50%	57%	+8.1	+0.0	+6.9
TEN @ PIT	PIT by 21	58%	59%	59%	+7.5	+8.1	+8.1
CHI @ DET	DET by 11	70%	62%	69%	+16.0	+10.4	+15.2

Week 613+100.3+124.6+109.2+7.72+9.58+8.40

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ NYG	NYG by 3	48%	57%	59%	−2.2	+6.9	+8.1
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 14	62%	77%	60%	+10.4	+19.8	+9.3
CLE @ LV	LV by 7	65%	65%	69%	+12.5	+13.0	+15.2
DAL @ NE	NE by 4	77%	76%	69%	+19.6	+19.0	+15.2
HOU @ BAL	BAL by 15	67%	67%	70%	+14.3	+14.3	+16.0
IND @ CIN	CIN by 10	63%	63%	65%	+10.9	+10.9	+12.5
JAX @ PIT	PIT by 4	80%	74%	83%	+21.0	+18.1	+21.9
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 29	60%	71%	53%	+8.7	+16.4	+2.9
NO @ TB	TB by 6	33%	49%	33%	−19.3	−0.7	−20.2
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 7	51%	65%	41%	−0.8	−17.6	+8.0
SF @ DET	SF by 6	63%	63%	66%	−15.0	−14.1	−18.5
LA @ GB	GB by 21	91%	83%	85%	+24.2	+22.1	+22.8
MIA @ NYJ	NYJ by 18	70%	71%	70%	+16.0	+16.4	+16.0

Week 713−0.2−16.7+21.3−0.02−1.28+1.64

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ DET	ATL by 7	71%	60%	63%	−24.9	−10.6	−15.0
CHI @ TB	CHI by 6	42%	63%	46%	+7.4	−14.1	+4.2
DEN @ MIA	DEN by 3	46%	57%	47%	+3.5	−7.2	+2.8
GB @ MIN	GB by 6	22%	25%	23%	+20.1	+18.7	+19.8
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 34	49%	59%	59%	+1.4	−9.7	−9.7
IND @ NO	NO by 55	74%	79%	84%	+18.4	+20.6	+22.6
KC @ LV	KC by 28	73%	63%	60%	−27.6	−15.0	−11.4
PIT @ ARI	PIT by 12	38%	31%	38%	+10.3	+15.1	+10.3
LAC @ NYJ	NYJ by 6	59%	52%	47%	+8.1	+2.2	−3.0
SEA @ CLE	CLE by 3	52%	52%	59%	+2.2	+2.2	+8.1
LA @ DAL	DAL by 27	77%	69%	85%	+19.6	+15.2	+22.8
WAS @ CAR	CAR by 13	50%	39%	55%	+0.0	−12.2	+4.3
BAL @ JAX	JAX by 5	20%	31%	23%	−38.9	−22.1	−34.6

Week 813+60.9+76.0+52.6+4.68+5.84+4.05

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ BAL	BAL by 3	82%	81%	82%	+21.8	+21.2	+21.6
CIN @ SEA	CIN by 22	44%	54%	47%	+5.5	−3.9	+2.8
CLE @ SF	SF by 10	80%	71%	75%	+21.0	+16.4	+18.7
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 27	53%	55%	59%	+2.9	+4.3	+8.1
DET @ DEN	DET by 35	40%	38%	41%	+9.2	+10.9	+8.0
IND @ TEN	TEN by 17	65%	71%	75%	+13.0	+16.7	+18.7
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 10	82%	65%	77%	+21.8	+13.0	+19.8
MIA @ NYG	NYG by 3	73%	78%	76%	+17.5	+20.1	+19.3
MIN @ CAR	MIN by 3	58%	57%	59%	−8.9	−7.2	−9.7
NE @ PIT	PIT by 8	46%	48%	41%	−4.6	−2.2	−9.6
NO @ LA	LA by 10	15%	28%	16%	−46.8	−26.6	−46.1
WAS @ BUF	BUF by 23	74%	62%	62%	+18.1	+10.4	+10.4
LAC @ KC	KC by 3	41%	53%	41%	−9.6	+2.9	−9.6

Week 914+38.6−32.8−25.4+2.76−2.34−1.81

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ IND	ATL by 24	35%	29%	31%	+12.9	+16.3	+15.1
BAL @ PIT	BAL by 3	52%	59%	60%	−2.3	−9.7	−11.4
CIN @ TEN	CIN by 7	46%	59%	55%	+3.5	−9.7	−4.7
CLE @ HOU	HOU by 18	82%	67%	78%	+21.6	+13.9	+20.3
DEN @ LV	DEN by 14	60%	72%	70%	−10.6	−26.7	−24.0
GB @ LAC	GB by 7	31%	41%	34%	+15.5	+8.0	+13.4
MIA @ KC	MIA by 28	60%	78%	65%	−11.4	−36.5	−16.7
NYG @ NE	NYG by 4	73%	65%	76%	−27.6	−17.6	−33.0
NYJ @ BUF	NYJ by 16	66%	52%	57%	−18.5	−1.6	−8.0
SEA @ DAL	DAL by 10	71%	63%	79%	+16.4	+10.9	+20.8
SF @ WAS	SF by 8	32%	37%	35%	+14.7	+11.4	+12.4
LA @ ARI	ARI by 6	65%	52%	53%	+13.0	+1.5	+2.9
TB @ NO	NO by 11	81%	57%	75%	+21.2	+6.9	+18.7
CHI @ PHI	CHI by 6	59%	50%	75%	−9.7	−0.0	−31.2

Week 1016−27.0−53.5−48.6−1.69−3.34−3.03

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LV @ LAC	LV by 7	65%	60%	71%	−17.6	−10.6	−25.8
ARI @ PHI	ARI by 4	73%	69%	84%	−27.6	−23.1	−46.2
BAL @ SEA	SEA by 5	27%	31%	30%	−28.4	−23.0	−23.9
BUF @ DAL	DAL by 37	49%	54%	63%	−1.5	+3.6	+11.5
DEN @ KC	DEN by 7	46%	69%	59%	+3.5	−22.2	−9.7
DET @ CHI	CHI by 24	48%	57%	57%	−2.2	+6.3	+6.9
HOU @ TB	HOU by 28	30%	55%	40%	+15.9	−5.5	+9.2
JAX @ IND	JAX by 14	46%	46%	41%	+3.5	+3.5	+8.0
NE @ NYJ	NE by 21	50%	54%	57%	−0.0	−3.9	−8.0
NO @ ATL	NO by 3	44%	57%	53%	+5.5	−8.0	−3.1
NYG @ SF	SF by 7	68%	60%	62%	+14.8	+8.7	+10.4
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 7	56%	46%	40%	−6.3	+4.2	+9.2
LA @ CLE	LA by 1	61%	64%	57%	−12.3	−15.8	−8.0
TEN @ CAR	TEN by 27	56%	40%	60%	−6.3	+8.6	−11.4
WAS @ MIA	MIA by 11	60%	51%	62%	+8.7	+0.8	+10.4
MIN @ GB	GB by 38	87%	85%	83%	+23.4	+22.8	+21.9

Week 1114+137.4+96.2+95.9+9.82+6.87+6.85

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ DEN	DEN by 4	46%	40%	31%	−3.8	−10.5	−22.1
ARI @ SF	SF by 16	78%	81%	77%	+20.3	+21.4	+19.8
BUF @ MIA	MIA by 27	46%	46%	59%	−4.6	−4.6	+8.1
CAR @ DET	DET by 14	78%	80%	70%	+20.1	+21.0	+16.0
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 7	65%	67%	70%	+12.5	+14.3	+16.0
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 3	33%	44%	30%	+13.8	+5.5	+15.9
JAX @ CLE	CLE by 4	53%	52%	53%	+2.9	+1.5	+2.9
LV @ MIN	LV by 6	48%	40%	53%	+2.1	+8.6	−3.1
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 7	54%	70%	67%	−3.9	−24.0	−20.4
LAC @ CHI	CHI by 11	71%	68%	63%	+16.4	+14.8	+11.5
SEA @ LA	SEA by 17	46%	52%	59%	+4.2	−1.6	−9.7
TB @ GB	GB by 9	92%	76%	84%	+24.4	+19.0	+22.6
TEN @ ATL	ATL by 6	61%	66%	67%	+9.9	+13.4	+14.3
KC @ NE	NE by 31	86%	72%	90%	+23.1	+17.1	+24.0

Week 1216+139.6+70.2+145.1+8.72+4.39+9.07

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ DET	GB by 12	41%	40%	38%	+8.0	+9.2	+10.3
MIA @ DAL	DAL by 1	68%	68%	70%	+14.8	+14.8	+16.0
SF @ BAL	BAL by 10	56%	52%	59%	+5.6	+1.5	+8.1
ARI @ LA	ARI by 3	42%	55%	53%	+7.4	−4.7	−3.1
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 4	60%	65%	76%	+9.3	+12.5	+19.3
CAR @ IND	CAR by 8	35%	57%	40%	+12.4	−8.0	+9.2
CHI @ LV	LV by 5	36%	46%	59%	−15.7	−3.8	+8.1
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 3	76%	63%	69%	+19.3	+11.5	+15.2
DEN @ LAC	DEN by 3	57%	60%	63%	−8.0	−10.6	−15.0
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 7	24%	40%	33%	+19.3	+9.2	+14.3
MIN @ ATL	ATL by 10	74%	80%	77%	+18.1	+21.0	+19.8
NE @ PHI	NE by 18	40%	36%	41%	+8.6	+11.9	+8.0
PIT @ KC	PIT by 4	26%	41%	22%	+18.4	+8.0	+20.3
TB @ TEN	TEN by 6	70%	53%	59%	+16.0	+2.9	+8.1
WAS @ SEA	WAS by 6	60%	65%	59%	−11.4	−16.7	−9.7
NYG @ NO	NO by 25	73%	63%	70%	+17.5	+11.5	+16.0

Week 1316+75.9+53.9+79.7+4.75+3.37+4.98

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PHI @ SEA	SEA by 17	43%	52%	41%	−7.1	+2.2	−9.6
ATL @ HOU	HOU by 7	73%	55%	47%	+17.8	+5.0	−3.0
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 14	28%	31%	30%	+17.1	+15.5	+15.9
CAR @ TB	CAR by 19	48%	74%	47%	+2.1	−29.4	+2.8
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 28	61%	72%	70%	+9.9	+17.1	+16.0
DAL @ ARI	ARI by 6	37%	41%	38%	−14.8	−9.6	−13.1
DEN @ MIN	DEN by 3	43%	43%	53%	+6.8	+6.8	−3.1
DET @ NO	NO by 14	65%	66%	76%	+12.5	+13.4	+19.3
GB @ NYG	GB by 3	24%	35%	30%	+19.3	+12.9	+15.9
IND @ NE	NE by 7	94%	90%	94%	+24.7	+24.1	+24.6
KC @ CHI	KC by 7	86%	71%	75%	−48.4	−24.9	−31.2
NYJ @ WAS	NYJ by 15	41%	39%	41%	+8.0	+9.8	+8.0
LV @ MIA	MIA by 20	59%	40%	60%	+8.1	−10.5	+9.3
LA @ SF	SF by 26	88%	83%	85%	+23.5	+22.3	+22.8
TEN @ BUF	TEN by 6	56%	51%	53%	−6.3	−0.8	−3.1
LAC @ JAX	LAC by 24	47%	50%	41%	+2.8	−0.0	+8.0

Week 1416+129.9+140.3+132.4+8.12+8.77+8.28

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 11	83%	82%	85%	+22.1	+21.8	+22.8
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 8	48%	31%	41%	+2.1	+15.5	+8.0
BUF @ LAC	LAC by 27	57%	61%	70%	+6.9	+9.9	+16.0
CHI @ DEN	DEN by 3	44%	47%	60%	−6.2	−3.0	+9.3
HOU @ CIN	HOU by 1	39%	42%	57%	+9.8	+7.4	−8.0
IND @ BAL	BAL by 14	91%	89%	89%	+24.1	+23.7	+23.8
KC @ NYJ	NYJ by 27	78%	65%	78%	+20.3	+12.5	+20.3
MIN @ DET	DET by 6	79%	77%	77%	+20.8	+19.6	+19.8
NE @ WAS	NE by 7	21%	25%	29%	+20.5	+19.0	+16.7
NO @ TEN	NO by 5	38%	41%	40%	+10.9	+8.0	+9.2
NYG @ DAL	NYG by 3	66%	55%	63%	−18.5	−5.5	−15.0
LV @ GB	GB by 30	88%	78%	81%	+23.5	+20.3	+21.2
PHI @ MIA	PHI by 16	60%	54%	59%	−10.6	−3.9	−9.7
SF @ ARI	ARI by 2	31%	34%	40%	−22.1	−18.4	−11.3
TB @ JAX	JAX by 27	57%	48%	41%	+6.9	−2.2	−9.6
LA @ SEA	SEA by 17	76%	69%	75%	+19.3	+15.6	+18.7

Week 1516−54.0−100.1+14.8−3.37−6.26+0.93

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
JAX @ ATL	ATL by 27	72%	76%	85%	+17.1	+19.0	+22.8
DAL @ TB	DAL by 16	27%	51%	30%	+17.8	−0.8	+15.9
BAL @ LAC	LAC by 20	43%	38%	47%	−7.1	−13.1	−3.0
CAR @ HOU	CAR by 15	81%	83%	63%	−39.8	−44.7	−15.0
CIN @ LA	CIN by 7	25%	40%	30%	+19.0	+8.6	+15.9
CLE @ ARI	ARI by 3	65%	65%	67%	+13.0	+13.0	+14.3
DET @ LV	DET by 1	33%	54%	47%	+13.8	−3.9	+2.8
GB @ KC	KC by 5	11%	27%	21%	−55.0	−28.4	−38.1
MIA @ BUF	MIA by 7	51%	57%	47%	−0.8	−8.0	+2.8
NE @ DEN	NE by 18	33%	35%	30%	+14.3	+12.9	+15.9
NO @ MIN	NO by 22	22%	21%	30%	+20.1	+20.5	+15.9
NYJ @ PHI	PHI by 26	49%	44%	59%	−0.7	−6.2	+8.1
SEA @ CHI	SEA by 24	69%	65%	60%	−23.1	−17.6	−11.4
TEN @ IND	IND by 14	25%	31%	31%	−32.0	−22.1	−22.1
WAS @ NYG	WAS by 13	67%	74%	66%	−20.4	−29.4	−18.5
PIT @ SF	SF by 17	61%	50%	59%	+9.9	+0.0	+8.1

Week 1616+86.3+51.4+78.5+5.39+3.22+4.91

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
HOU @ IND	IND by 3	15%	26%	30%	−46.8	−30.2	−23.9
ARI @ CIN	CIN by 7	68%	57%	60%	+14.8	+6.9	+9.3
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 6	83%	82%	78%	+22.3	+21.8	+20.3
DEN @ BUF	BUF by 26	52%	46%	41%	+2.2	−4.6	−9.6
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 6	69%	65%	74%	+15.6	+13.0	+18.1
MIA @ NE	NE by 3	79%	83%	71%	+20.8	+22.3	+16.7
MIN @ WAS	MIN by 7	63%	67%	67%	−14.1	−19.4	−20.4
NYG @ NYJ	NYG by 15	65%	62%	55%	−16.7	−13.2	−4.7
LV @ KC	LV by 3	46%	57%	59%	+4.2	−7.2	−9.7
PHI @ DAL	PHI by 13	61%	59%	46%	−12.3	−9.7	+4.2
LAC @ DET	DET by 28	62%	62%	47%	+10.4	+10.4	−3.0
SF @ SEA	SF by 2	43%	42%	46%	+6.2	+7.4	+4.2
LA @ PIT	PIT by 27	88%	87%	77%	+23.7	+23.2	+19.8
TB @ CAR	CAR by 32	75%	49%	75%	+18.7	−0.7	+18.7
CHI @ GB	GB by 14	80%	77%	83%	+21.0	+19.6	+22.3
ATL @ NO	NO by 29	71%	64%	70%	+16.4	+12.0	+16.0

Week 1716+118.8+141.8+108.7+7.43+8.87+6.80

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ CIN	BAL by 8	49%	40%	43%	+0.7	+8.6	+6.8
BUF @ NE	NE by 28	81%	85%	77%	+21.2	+22.7	+19.8
CAR @ NO	NO by 28	77%	84%	70%	+19.8	+22.6	+16.0
CHI @ MIN	CHI by 4	35%	38%	55%	+12.4	+10.9	−4.7
DAL @ NYG	NYG by 17	48%	62%	59%	−2.2	+10.4	+8.1
DET @ GB	GB by 4	74%	73%	31%	+18.1	+17.8	−22.1
IND @ JAX	JAX by 6	67%	62%	59%	+13.9	+10.4	+8.1
KC @ DEN	KC by 4	69%	55%	53%	−23.1	−5.5	−3.1
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 2	56%	43%	55%	+5.6	−7.9	+4.3
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 4	28%	25%	30%	+17.1	+18.7	+15.9
LAC @ LV	LAC by 12	43%	59%	57%	+6.2	−9.7	−8.0
SEA @ ARI	ARI by 3	46%	55%	57%	−4.6	+4.3	+6.9
SF @ LA	SF by 7	14%	22%	18%	+23.1	+20.1	+21.9
TB @ ATL	ATL by 21	83%	76%	77%	+21.9	+19.3	+19.8
TEN @ HOU	TEN by 1	74%	65%	47%	−29.4	−16.7	+2.8
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 24	74%	70%	70%	+18.1	+16.0	+16.0

2010RETRODICTION256+562.7+489.2+803.4+2.20+1.91+3.14

Week 116+54.7+25.9+63.7+3.42+1.62+3.98

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIN @ NO	NO by 5	62%	59%	63%	+10.4	+8.1	+11.5
ARI @ LA	ARI by 4	43%	39%	41%	+6.8	+9.8	+8.0
ATL @ PIT	PIT by 6	52%	57%	47%	+2.2	+6.3	−3.0
CAR @ NYG	NYG by 13	66%	57%	66%	+13.4	+6.3	+13.4
CIN @ NE	NE by 14	64%	57%	65%	+12.0	+6.3	+12.5
CLE @ TB	TB by 3	56%	52%	57%	+5.6	+2.2	+6.9
DAL @ WAS	WAS by 6	43%	43%	40%	−7.9	−7.9	−11.3
DEN @ JAX	JAX by 7	55%	55%	59%	+4.3	+4.3	+8.1
DET @ CHI	CHI by 5	65%	67%	69%	+12.5	+13.9	+15.2
GB @ PHI	GB by 7	48%	57%	41%	+2.1	−7.2	+8.0
IND @ HOU	HOU by 10	47%	46%	47%	−3.0	−3.8	−3.0
MIA @ BUF	MIA by 5	42%	55%	41%	+7.4	−4.7	+8.0
LV @ TEN	TEN by 25	64%	63%	69%	+12.0	+10.9	+15.2
SF @ SEA	SEA by 25	46%	51%	41%	−3.8	+0.8	−9.6
BAL @ NYJ	BAL by 1	56%	57%	53%	−6.3	−7.2	−3.1
LAC @ KC	KC by 7	38%	39%	38%	−13.1	−12.2	−13.1

Week 216+29.8+38.1+11.8+1.86+2.38+0.74

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ ATL	ATL by 34	63%	49%	70%	+10.9	−1.5	+16.0
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 5	55%	52%	43%	+4.3	+1.5	−7.9
BUF @ GB	GB by 27	79%	73%	83%	+20.6	+17.5	+21.9
CHI @ DAL	CHI by 7	63%	57%	70%	−15.0	−7.2	−24.0
HOU @ WAS	HOU by 3	47%	48%	43%	+2.8	+2.1	+6.8
JAX @ LAC	LAC by 25	65%	60%	70%	+12.5	+8.7	+16.0
KC @ CLE	KC by 2	46%	50%	59%	+3.5	−0.0	−9.7
MIA @ MIN	MIA by 4	60%	60%	66%	−11.4	−10.6	−18.5
NE @ NYJ	NYJ by 14	49%	46%	41%	−0.7	−3.8	−9.6
NYG @ IND	IND by 24	56%	60%	62%	+5.6	+9.3	+10.4
PHI @ DET	PHI by 3	46%	39%	31%	+4.2	+9.8	+15.1
PIT @ TEN	PIT by 8	60%	55%	67%	−11.4	−5.5	−20.4
SEA @ DEN	DEN by 17	47%	55%	60%	−3.0	+4.3	+9.3
LA @ LV	LV by 2	60%	64%	59%	+8.7	+12.0	+8.1
TB @ CAR	TB by 13	60%	58%	62%	−10.6	−8.9	−13.2
NO @ SF	NO by 3	40%	38%	37%	+8.6	+10.3	+11.4

Week 316+21.4+5.7+41.7+1.34+0.36+2.61

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ NO	ATL by 3	59%	71%	59%	−9.7	−24.9	−9.7
BUF @ NE	NE by 8	79%	70%	85%	+20.8	+16.0	+22.8
CIN @ CAR	CIN by 13	42%	44%	41%	+7.4	+5.5	+8.0
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 7	68%	71%	82%	+14.8	+16.7	+21.6
DAL @ HOU	DAL by 14	63%	68%	55%	−15.0	−21.3	−4.7
DET @ MIN	MIN by 14	65%	74%	83%	+13.0	+18.4	+22.3
IND @ DEN	IND by 14	42%	46%	34%	+7.4	+3.5	+13.4
NYJ @ MIA	NYJ by 8	52%	60%	53%	−2.3	−11.4	−3.1
LV @ ARI	ARI by 1	57%	65%	66%	+6.3	+12.5	+13.4
PHI @ JAX	PHI by 25	48%	50%	44%	+2.1	−0.0	+5.5
PIT @ TB	PIT by 25	46%	47%	44%	+3.5	+2.8	+5.5
LAC @ SEA	SEA by 7	43%	43%	40%	−7.9	−7.1	−11.3
SF @ KC	KC by 21	56%	63%	43%	+5.6	+11.5	−7.9
TEN @ NYG	TEN by 19	57%	57%	59%	−7.2	−7.2	−9.7
WAS @ LA	LA by 14	42%	42%	37%	−8.7	−8.7	−14.8
GB @ CHI	CHI by 3	42%	49%	41%	−8.7	−0.7	−9.6

Week 414+4.2−22.3+33.1+0.30−1.59+2.36

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ LAC	LAC by 31	73%	56%	77%	+17.8	+5.6	+19.8
BAL @ PIT	BAL by 3	65%	64%	56%	−16.7	−15.8	−6.3
CAR @ NO	NO by 2	79%	78%	83%	+20.6	+20.1	+21.9
CHI @ NYG	NYG by 14	54%	46%	60%	+3.6	−4.6	+9.3
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 3	40%	34%	46%	−11.3	−18.4	−4.6
DEN @ TEN	DEN by 6	69%	62%	67%	−22.2	−13.2	−20.4
DET @ GB	GB by 2	77%	82%	86%	+19.6	+21.6	+23.1
HOU @ LV	HOU by 7	42%	42%	40%	+7.4	+7.4	+9.2
IND @ JAX	JAX by 3	30%	39%	30%	−23.9	−12.2	−23.9
NYJ @ BUF	NYJ by 24	31%	39%	34%	+15.1	+9.8	+13.4
SEA @ LA	LA by 17	43%	42%	46%	−7.1	−8.7	−4.6
SF @ ATL	ATL by 2	75%	73%	70%	+18.7	+17.8	+16.0
WAS @ PHI	WAS by 5	67%	73%	65%	−20.4	−28.5	−16.7
NE @ MIA	NE by 27	47%	53%	53%	+2.8	−3.1	−3.1

Week 514−28.6−3.0−72.8−2.04−0.21−5.20

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ CLE	ATL by 10	37%	35%	41%	+11.4	+12.4	+8.0
CHI @ CAR	CHI by 17	45%	40%	57%	+4.9	+9.2	−8.0
DEN @ BAL	BAL by 14	61%	63%	73%	+9.9	+11.5	+17.5
GB @ WAS	WAS by 3	39%	43%	43%	−12.2	−7.9	−7.9
JAX @ BUF	JAX by 10	46%	43%	57%	+4.2	+6.8	−8.0
KC @ IND	IND by 10	65%	63%	71%	+13.0	+11.5	+16.7
NO @ ARI	ARI by 10	33%	44%	31%	−20.2	−6.2	−22.1
NYG @ HOU	NYG by 24	62%	63%	59%	−13.2	−15.0	−9.7
PHI @ SF	PHI by 3	46%	40%	59%	+4.2	+9.2	−9.7
LAC @ LV	LV by 8	31%	38%	30%	−22.1	−14.0	−23.9
LA @ DET	DET by 38	55%	44%	59%	+5.0	−6.2	+8.1
TB @ CIN	TB by 3	69%	63%	69%	−23.1	−15.0	−22.2
TEN @ DAL	TEN by 7	55%	59%	69%	−4.7	−9.7	−22.2
MIN @ NYJ	NYJ by 9	67%	62%	62%	+14.3	+10.4	+10.4

Week 614+32.7+24.8+62.6+2.34+1.77+4.47

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ PHI	PHI by 14	49%	52%	53%	−0.7	+2.2	+2.9
BAL @ NE	NE by 3	70%	55%	59%	+16.0	+5.0	+8.1
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 18	76%	76%	85%	+19.0	+19.3	+22.8
DAL @ MIN	MIN by 3	57%	58%	53%	+6.9	+7.5	+2.9
DET @ NYG	NYG by 8	60%	76%	77%	+9.3	+19.3	+19.8
IND @ WAS	IND by 3	40%	44%	41%	+8.6	+5.5	+8.0
KC @ HOU	HOU by 4	55%	61%	63%	+4.3	+9.9	+11.5
MIA @ GB	MIA by 3	71%	63%	59%	−25.8	−14.1	−9.7
NO @ TB	NO by 25	43%	45%	34%	+6.8	+4.9	+13.4
NYJ @ DEN	NYJ by 4	38%	45%	40%	+10.3	+4.9	+9.2
LV @ SF	SF by 8	54%	49%	75%	+3.6	−0.7	+18.7
LAC @ LA	LA by 3	31%	39%	24%	−22.1	−12.2	−32.9
SEA @ CHI	SEA by 3	61%	67%	67%	−12.3	−20.4	−20.4
TEN @ JAX	TEN by 27	40%	56%	41%	+8.6	−6.3	+8.0

Week 714+26.4−1.5−1.6+1.89−0.11−0.12

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 12	66%	50%	69%	+13.4	+0.0	+15.2
BUF @ BAL	BAL by 3	78%	78%	82%	+20.1	+20.1	+21.6
CIN @ ATL	ATL by 7	63%	66%	60%	+10.9	+13.4	+9.3
CLE @ NO	CLE by 13	78%	81%	82%	−35.6	−40.7	−41.5
JAX @ KC	KC by 22	69%	55%	75%	+15.6	+4.3	+18.7
MIN @ GB	GB by 4	62%	56%	57%	+10.4	+5.6	+6.9
NE @ LAC	NE by 3	51%	43%	57%	−0.8	+6.2	−8.0
LV @ DEN	LV by 45	60%	63%	70%	−10.6	−15.0	−24.0
PHI @ TEN	TEN by 18	65%	53%	59%	+12.5	+2.9	+8.1
PIT @ MIA	PIT by 1	42%	51%	41%	+7.4	−0.8	+8.0
SF @ CAR	CAR by 3	44%	53%	47%	−6.2	+2.9	−3.0
LA @ TB	TB by 1	53%	64%	59%	+2.9	+12.0	+8.1
WAS @ CHI	WAS by 3	60%	63%	59%	−10.6	−14.1	−9.7
NYG @ DAL	NYG by 6	53%	49%	60%	−3.1	+1.4	−11.4

Week 813+32.9−1.5+31.7+2.53−0.12+2.44

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ KC	KC by 3	78%	73%	70%	+20.3	+17.8	+16.0
CAR @ LA	LA by 10	61%	55%	57%	+9.9	+5.0	+6.9
DEN @ SF	SF by 8	60%	49%	56%	+8.7	−0.7	+5.6
GB @ NYJ	GB by 9	65%	63%	69%	−16.7	−15.0	−22.2
JAX @ DAL	JAX by 18	71%	55%	69%	−25.8	−4.7	−22.2
MIA @ CIN	MIA by 8	60%	52%	47%	−11.4	−2.3	+2.8
MIN @ NE	NE by 10	69%	70%	65%	+15.6	+16.0	+12.5
PIT @ NO	NO by 10	52%	55%	53%	+2.2	+4.3	+2.9
SEA @ LV	LV by 30	59%	47%	55%	+8.1	−3.0	+4.3
TB @ ARI	TB by 3	52%	60%	59%	−2.3	−10.6	−9.7
TEN @ LAC	LAC by 8	49%	45%	67%	−0.7	−5.4	+14.3
WAS @ DET	DET by 12	61%	37%	57%	+9.9	−14.8	+6.9
HOU @ IND	IND by 13	69%	64%	66%	+15.2	+12.0	+13.4

Week 913+81.9+61.0+128.7+6.30+4.69+9.90

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ MIN	MIN by 3	71%	57%	70%	+16.4	+6.3	+16.0
CHI @ BUF	CHI by 3	38%	37%	41%	+10.3	+11.4	+8.0
DAL @ GB	GB by 38	69%	73%	70%	+15.2	+17.5	+16.0
IND @ PHI	PHI by 2	46%	48%	60%	−4.6	−2.2	+9.3
KC @ LV	LV by 3	58%	52%	47%	+7.5	+2.2	−3.0
MIA @ BAL	BAL by 16	62%	63%	65%	+10.4	+10.9	+12.5
NE @ CLE	CLE by 20	31%	29%	38%	−22.1	−24.8	−13.1
NO @ CAR	NO by 31	32%	31%	34%	+14.7	+15.1	+13.4
NYG @ SEA	NYG by 34	41%	49%	30%	+8.0	+0.7	+15.9
NYJ @ DET	NYJ by 3	51%	33%	34%	−0.8	+14.3	+13.4
LAC @ HOU	LAC by 6	44%	60%	41%	+5.5	−11.4	+8.0
TB @ ATL	ATL by 6	74%	65%	77%	+18.4	+13.0	+19.8
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 6	47%	41%	35%	+2.8	+8.0	+12.4

Week 1014−43.5+35.5+7.9−3.11+2.53+0.56

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ ATL	ATL by 5	60%	58%	53%	+8.7	+7.5	+2.9
CAR @ TB	TB by 15	66%	71%	70%	+13.4	+16.4	+16.0
CIN @ IND	IND by 6	71%	76%	69%	+16.4	+19.0	+15.2
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 13	78%	74%	81%	−36.5	−29.4	−39.8
DET @ BUF	BUF by 2	32%	52%	55%	−21.1	+1.5	+4.3
HOU @ JAX	JAX by 7	47%	55%	53%	−3.0	+4.3	+2.9
KC @ DEN	DEN by 20	38%	49%	47%	−14.0	−1.5	−3.0
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 14	55%	56%	53%	+4.3	+5.6	+2.9
NE @ PIT	NE by 13	57%	55%	63%	−8.0	−4.7	−15.0
NYJ @ CLE	NYJ by 6	43%	39%	40%	+6.8	+9.8	+9.2
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 18	54%	57%	60%	−3.9	−7.2	−11.4
LA @ SF	SF by 3	57%	55%	63%	+6.9	+5.0	+11.5
TEN @ MIA	MIA by 12	36%	53%	53%	−15.7	+2.9	+2.9
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 31	48%	43%	40%	+2.1	+6.2	+9.2

Week 1116+50.5+111.2+108.6+3.16+6.95+6.79

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ MIA	CHI by 16	54%	57%	57%	−3.9	−7.2	−8.0
ARI @ KC	KC by 18	74%	58%	70%	+18.1	+7.5	+16.0
ATL @ LA	ATL by 17	40%	29%	40%	+9.2	+16.3	+9.2
BAL @ CAR	BAL by 24	28%	31%	17%	+17.1	+15.5	+22.2
BUF @ CIN	BUF by 18	71%	65%	62%	−25.8	−17.6	−13.2
CLE @ JAX	JAX by 4	51%	67%	57%	+0.8	+13.9	+6.9
DET @ DAL	DAL by 16	46%	69%	65%	−4.6	+15.6	+12.5
GB @ MIN	GB by 28	39%	46%	41%	+9.8	+4.2	+8.0
HOU @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	71%	69%	69%	+16.7	+15.2	+15.2
IND @ NE	NE by 3	57%	57%	62%	+6.9	+6.9	+10.4
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 10	55%	63%	60%	+5.0	+11.5	+9.3
LV @ PIT	PIT by 32	57%	65%	70%	+6.9	+13.0	+16.0
SEA @ NO	NO by 15	76%	70%	79%	+19.0	+16.0	+20.8
TB @ SF	TB by 21	57%	47%	60%	−7.2	+2.8	−11.4
WAS @ TEN	WAS by 3	78%	64%	70%	−35.6	−15.8	−24.0
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 21	74%	66%	75%	+18.1	+13.4	+18.7

Week 1216+69.5+59.1+106.1+4.34+3.69+6.63

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CIN @ NYJ	NYJ by 16	72%	79%	77%	+17.1	+20.8	+19.8
NE @ DET	NE by 21	46%	20%	33%	+4.2	+21.2	+14.3
NO @ DAL	NO by 3	38%	37%	37%	+10.3	+11.4	+11.4
CAR @ CLE	CLE by 1	76%	65%	75%	+19.0	+12.5	+18.7
GB @ ATL	ATL by 3	49%	61%	57%	−0.7	+9.9	+6.9
JAX @ NYG	NYG by 4	73%	56%	73%	+17.8	+5.6	+17.5
KC @ SEA	KC by 18	41%	57%	47%	+8.0	−7.2	+2.8
MIA @ LV	MIA by 16	64%	52%	59%	−15.8	−2.3	−9.7
MIN @ WAS	MIN by 4	55%	56%	47%	−4.7	−6.3	+2.8
PHI @ CHI	CHI by 5	50%	49%	41%	+0.0	−0.7	−9.6
PIT @ BUF	PIT by 3	29%	31%	31%	+16.3	+15.5	+15.1
LAC @ IND	LAC by 22	56%	63%	56%	−6.3	−15.0	−6.3
LA @ DEN	LA by 3	54%	62%	59%	−3.9	−13.2	−9.7
TB @ BAL	BAL by 7	69%	63%	71%	+15.2	+11.5	+16.7
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 20	40%	55%	65%	−11.3	+4.3	+12.5
SF @ ARI	SF by 21	46%	58%	47%	+4.2	−8.9	+2.8

Week 1316+47.5+61.5+48.2+2.97+3.84+3.01

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
HOU @ PHI	PHI by 10	68%	68%	74%	+14.8	+14.8	+18.1
ATL @ TB	ATL by 4	41%	39%	41%	+8.0	+9.8	+8.0
BUF @ MIN	MIN by 24	63%	73%	65%	+11.5	+17.5	+12.5
CAR @ SEA	SEA by 17	69%	72%	63%	+15.2	+17.1	+11.5
CHI @ DET	CHI by 4	51%	26%	35%	−0.8	+18.4	+12.4
CLE @ MIA	CLE by 3	59%	68%	67%	−9.7	−21.3	−20.4
DAL @ IND	DAL by 3	68%	73%	66%	−21.3	−27.6	−18.5
DEN @ KC	KC by 4	75%	67%	75%	+18.7	+13.9	+18.7
JAX @ TEN	JAX by 11	72%	53%	59%	−26.7	−3.1	−9.7
NO @ CIN	NO by 4	35%	28%	31%	+12.9	+17.4	+15.1
LV @ LAC	LV by 15	73%	69%	83%	−28.5	−22.2	−43.1
PIT @ BAL	PIT by 3	55%	57%	59%	−4.7	−8.0	−9.7
SF @ GB	GB by 18	81%	74%	75%	+21.2	+18.1	+18.7
LA @ ARI	LA by 13	40%	55%	41%	+9.2	−5.5	+8.0
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 24	74%	65%	70%	+18.4	+13.0	+16.0
NYJ @ NE	NE by 42	60%	60%	62%	+9.3	+9.3	+10.4

Week 1416+41.0+47.9+92.5+2.56+2.99+5.78

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ TEN	IND by 2	55%	45%	41%	−5.5	+4.9	+8.0
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 21	20%	18%	30%	+21.2	+21.9	+15.9
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 16	76%	82%	75%	+19.0	+21.6	+18.7
CLE @ BUF	BUF by 7	41%	45%	53%	−9.6	−5.4	+2.9
DEN @ ARI	ARI by 30	41%	55%	38%	−9.6	+4.3	−13.1
GB @ DET	DET by 4	35%	23%	30%	−17.5	−34.6	−23.9
KC @ LAC	LAC by 31	62%	60%	77%	+10.4	+9.3	+19.8
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 4	66%	67%	65%	−18.5	−20.4	−16.7
NE @ CHI	NE by 29	43%	46%	41%	+6.8	+3.5	+8.0
LV @ JAX	JAX by 7	46%	62%	60%	−3.8	+10.4	+9.3
PHI @ DAL	PHI by 3	41%	40%	38%	+8.0	+9.2	+10.3
SEA @ SF	SF by 19	55%	51%	63%	+5.0	+0.8	+11.5
LA @ NO	NO by 18	76%	79%	76%	+19.3	+20.6	+19.3
TB @ WAS	TB by 1	46%	51%	47%	+3.5	−0.8	+2.8
BAL @ HOU	BAL by 6	46%	45%	41%	+4.2	+4.9	+8.0
NYG @ MIN	NYG by 18	41%	52%	37%	+8.0	−2.3	+11.4

Week 1516+43.9+6.0+75.4+2.75+0.38+4.71

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SF @ LAC	LAC by 27	78%	70%	77%	+20.1	+16.0	+19.8
ARI @ CAR	CAR by 7	44%	46%	57%	−6.2	−4.6	+6.9
ATL @ SEA	ATL by 16	31%	30%	34%	+15.1	+15.9	+13.4
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 3	69%	74%	66%	−23.1	−30.3	−18.5
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 2	51%	49%	53%	+0.8	−1.5	+2.9
DEN @ LV	LV by 16	73%	67%	75%	+17.8	+14.3	+18.7
DET @ TB	DET by 3	54%	77%	60%	−3.9	−33.9	−11.4
GB @ NE	NE by 4	65%	69%	85%	+12.5	+15.6	+22.8
HOU @ TEN	TEN by 14	65%	55%	56%	+13.0	+4.3	+5.6
JAX @ IND	IND by 10	67%	60%	62%	+14.3	+9.3	+10.4
KC @ LA	KC by 14	44%	48%	59%	+5.5	+2.1	−9.7
NO @ BAL	BAL by 6	50%	50%	53%	+0.0	+0.0	+2.9
NYJ @ PIT	NYJ by 5	68%	61%	60%	−21.3	−12.3	−11.4
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 7	62%	50%	59%	−13.2	−0.0	−9.7
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 3	65%	59%	76%	+12.5	+8.1	+19.3
CHI @ MIN	CHI by 26	50%	47%	34%	−0.0	+2.8	+13.4

Week 1616−19.7−25.3−58.9−1.23−1.58−3.68

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ PIT	PIT by 24	89%	84%	85%	+23.7	+22.4	+22.8
DAL @ ARI	ARI by 1	38%	46%	30%	−14.0	−4.6	−23.9
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 10	43%	33%	40%	+6.8	+14.3	+9.2
DET @ MIA	DET by 7	54%	74%	60%	−3.9	−30.3	−11.4
HOU @ DEN	DEN by 1	42%	46%	44%	−8.7	−4.6	−6.2
IND @ LV	IND by 5	55%	44%	47%	−4.7	+5.5	+2.8
NE @ BUF	NE by 31	20%	22%	30%	+21.0	+20.1	+15.9
NYG @ GB	GB by 28	62%	57%	59%	+10.4	+6.9	+8.1
NYJ @ CHI	CHI by 4	60%	55%	55%	+8.7	+4.3	+4.3
LAC @ CIN	CIN by 14	28%	35%	25%	−26.6	−17.5	−31.1
SEA @ TB	TB by 23	65%	63%	65%	+12.5	+10.9	+12.5
SF @ LA	LA by 8	56%	55%	56%	+5.6	+4.3	+5.6
TEN @ KC	KC by 20	57%	62%	62%	+6.3	+10.4	+10.4
WAS @ JAX	WAS by 3	63%	69%	70%	−14.1	−22.2	−24.0
NO @ ATL	NO by 3	59%	64%	56%	−9.7	−15.8	−6.3
MIN @ PHI	MIN by 10	76%	74%	85%	−33.0	−29.4	−47.7

Week 1716+118.1+66.3+124.7+7.38+4.14+7.79

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SF	SF by 31	64%	58%	67%	+12.0	+7.5	+14.3
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 31	77%	78%	53%	+19.8	+20.1	+2.9
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 21	90%	89%	85%	+24.0	+23.8	+22.8
CHI @ GB	GB by 7	72%	54%	79%	+17.1	+3.6	+20.8
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 6	73%	79%	76%	+17.5	+20.8	+19.3
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 1	69%	74%	46%	−23.1	−30.3	+4.2
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 17	55%	49%	63%	+5.0	−1.5	+11.5
MIA @ NE	NE by 31	83%	79%	62%	+22.3	+20.6	+10.4
MIN @ DET	DET by 7	66%	42%	60%	+13.4	−8.7	+9.3
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 3	35%	45%	37%	+12.9	+4.9	+11.4
LV @ KC	LV by 21	63%	63%	63%	−14.1	−15.0	−15.0
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 32	36%	33%	31%	+11.9	+14.3	+15.1
LAC @ DEN	LAC by 5	23%	38%	35%	+19.8	+10.3	+12.4
LA @ SEA	SEA by 10	47%	57%	41%	−3.0	+6.9	−9.6
TB @ NO	TB by 10	72%	73%	70%	−26.7	−28.5	−24.0
TEN @ IND	IND by 3	60%	73%	75%	+9.3	+17.5	+18.7

2009RETRODICTION256+1047.6+921.9+1369.4+4.09+3.60+5.35

Week 116+118.9+64.0+149.0+7.43+4.00+9.31

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
TEN @ PIT	PIT by 3	65%	55%	69%	+13.0	+4.3	+15.2
CHI @ GB	GB by 6	58%	51%	65%	+7.5	+0.8	+12.5
DAL @ TB	DAL by 13	43%	57%	37%	+6.2	−7.2	+11.4
DEN @ CIN	DEN by 5	58%	50%	63%	−8.9	−0.0	−15.0
DET @ NO	NO by 18	73%	72%	85%	+17.8	+17.1	+22.8
JAX @ IND	IND by 2	65%	70%	69%	+13.0	+16.0	+15.2
KC @ BAL	BAL by 14	69%	73%	83%	+15.2	+17.8	+22.3
MIA @ ATL	ATL by 12	62%	57%	62%	+10.4	+6.3	+10.4
MIN @ CLE	MIN by 14	40%	45%	38%	+8.6	+4.9	+10.3
NYJ @ HOU	NYJ by 17	60%	55%	63%	−10.6	−4.7	−15.0
PHI @ CAR	PHI by 28	49%	62%	47%	+0.7	−13.2	+2.8
SF @ ARI	SF by 4	62%	60%	65%	−13.2	−11.4	−16.7
LA @ SEA	SEA by 28	65%	60%	70%	+13.0	+9.3	+16.0
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 6	68%	65%	67%	+14.8	+12.5	+14.3
BUF @ NE	NE by 1	76%	65%	84%	+19.0	+12.5	+22.6
LAC @ LV	LAC by 4	35%	51%	23%	+12.4	−0.8	+19.8

Week 216−21.5+14.9−7.5−1.34+0.93−0.47

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ JAX	ARI by 14	56%	51%	59%	−6.3	−0.8	−9.7
BAL @ LAC	BAL by 5	55%	52%	59%	−5.5	−1.6	−9.7
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 8	64%	63%	66%	+12.0	+10.9	+13.4
CIN @ GB	CIN by 7	71%	66%	71%	−24.9	−18.5	−25.8
CLE @ DEN	DEN by 21	60%	70%	59%	+8.7	+16.0	+8.1
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 3	65%	66%	70%	−17.6	−18.5	−24.0
MIN @ DET	MIN by 14	34%	31%	23%	+13.4	+15.5	+19.8
NE @ NYJ	NYJ by 7	45%	54%	40%	−5.4	+3.6	−11.3
NO @ PHI	NO by 26	62%	62%	43%	−13.2	−13.2	+6.8
NYG @ DAL	NYG by 2	58%	51%	59%	−8.9	−0.8	−9.7
LV @ KC	LV by 3	57%	52%	55%	−8.0	−1.6	−4.7
PIT @ CHI	CHI by 3	49%	43%	47%	−0.7	−7.9	−3.0
SEA @ SF	SF by 13	50%	63%	53%	+0.0	+11.5	+2.9
LA @ WAS	WAS by 2	76%	69%	77%	+19.3	+15.2	+19.8
TB @ BUF	BUF by 13	63%	54%	63%	+11.5	+3.6	+11.5
IND @ MIA	IND by 4	46%	49%	41%	+4.2	+1.4	+8.0

Week 316+106.2+65.0+94.1+6.64+4.06+5.88

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ NE	NE by 16	63%	49%	63%	+11.5	−0.7	+11.5
CHI @ SEA	CHI by 6	56%	46%	47%	−6.3	+3.5	+2.8
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 31	81%	79%	84%	+21.2	+20.6	+22.6
DEN @ LV	DEN by 20	47%	45%	47%	+2.8	+4.9	+2.8
GB @ LA	GB by 19	31%	41%	31%	+15.1	+8.0	+15.1
IND @ ARI	IND by 21	56%	44%	59%	−6.3	+5.5	−9.7
JAX @ HOU	JAX by 7	59%	68%	62%	−9.7	−21.3	−13.2
KC @ PHI	PHI by 20	73%	76%	71%	+17.8	+19.3	+16.7
MIA @ LAC	LAC by 10	69%	57%	66%	+15.2	+6.9	+13.4
NO @ BUF	NO by 20	42%	49%	34%	+7.4	+0.7	+13.4
NYG @ TB	NYG by 24	38%	35%	33%	+10.9	+12.4	+14.3
PIT @ CIN	CIN by 3	46%	43%	40%	−3.8	−7.1	−11.3
SF @ MIN	MIN by 3	66%	60%	70%	+13.4	+8.7	+16.0
TEN @ NYJ	NYJ by 7	57%	64%	53%	+6.3	+12.0	+2.9
WAS @ DET	DET by 5	43%	35%	31%	−7.1	−16.6	−22.1
CAR @ DAL	DAL by 14	73%	59%	75%	+17.8	+8.1	+18.7

Week 414+141.2+145.3+164.4+10.09+10.38+11.74

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ NE	NE by 6	54%	52%	53%	+3.6	+1.5	+2.9
BUF @ MIA	MIA by 28	52%	57%	53%	+2.2	+6.9	+2.9
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 3	38%	45%	33%	+10.9	+4.9	+14.3
DAL @ DEN	DEN by 7	48%	60%	47%	−2.2	+8.7	−3.0
DET @ CHI	CHI by 24	71%	77%	76%	+16.7	+19.6	+19.3
NYG @ KC	NYG by 11	33%	21%	25%	+13.8	+20.5	+18.7
NYJ @ NO	NO by 14	74%	52%	71%	+18.1	+2.2	+16.7
LV @ HOU	HOU by 23	67%	61%	75%	+14.3	+9.9	+18.7
LAC @ PIT	PIT by 10	57%	57%	66%	+6.3	+6.3	+13.4
SEA @ IND	IND by 17	65%	81%	77%	+13.0	+21.2	+19.8
LA @ SF	SF by 35	76%	79%	76%	+19.3	+20.6	+19.3
TB @ WAS	WAS by 3	66%	59%	76%	+13.4	+8.1	+19.3
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 20	54%	49%	41%	+3.6	−0.7	−9.6
GB @ MIN	MIN by 7	59%	69%	63%	+8.1	+15.6	+11.5

Week 514+45.8+76.9+66.5+3.27+5.49+4.75

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ SF	ATL by 35	65%	52%	53%	−16.7	−2.3	−3.1
CIN @ BAL	CIN by 3	72%	67%	75%	−26.7	−19.4	−31.2
CLE @ BUF	CLE by 3	66%	66%	67%	−18.5	−18.5	−20.4
DAL @ KC	DAL by 6	35%	32%	30%	+12.4	+14.7	+15.9
HOU @ ARI	ARI by 7	54%	56%	66%	+3.6	+5.6	+13.4
IND @ TEN	IND by 22	41%	35%	41%	+8.0	+12.4	+8.0
JAX @ SEA	SEA by 41	52%	49%	53%	+1.5	−1.5	+2.9
MIN @ LA	MIN by 28	19%	21%	23%	+21.4	+20.8	+19.8
NE @ DEN	DEN by 3	49%	57%	41%	−0.7	+6.9	−9.6
LV @ NYG	NYG by 37	83%	83%	88%	+22.3	+22.1	+23.5
PIT @ DET	PIT by 8	33%	32%	21%	+14.3	+14.7	+20.8
TB @ PHI	PHI by 19	82%	71%	88%	+21.6	+16.7	+23.5
WAS @ CAR	CAR by 3	48%	57%	65%	−2.2	+6.9	+12.5
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 4	56%	48%	41%	+5.6	−2.2	−9.6

Week 614+3.7+22.9−16.9+0.27+1.63−1.21

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SEA	ARI by 24	63%	46%	59%	−15.0	+4.2	−9.7
BAL @ MIN	MIN by 2	63%	66%	59%	+10.9	+13.4	+8.1
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 3	69%	72%	76%	−22.2	−26.7	−33.0
CAR @ TB	CAR by 7	49%	43%	41%	+1.4	+6.2	+8.0
CHI @ ATL	ATL by 7	58%	61%	62%	+7.5	+9.9	+10.4
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 13	82%	76%	85%	+21.8	+19.0	+22.8
DET @ GB	GB by 26	74%	73%	85%	+18.4	+17.5	+22.8
HOU @ CIN	HOU by 11	58%	64%	62%	−8.9	−15.8	−13.2
KC @ WAS	KC by 8	63%	74%	69%	−15.0	−29.4	−22.2
NYG @ NO	NO by 21	65%	47%	60%	+13.0	−3.0	+9.3
PHI @ LV	LV by 4	20%	37%	15%	−38.9	−14.8	−47.6
LA @ JAX	JAX by 3	77%	74%	76%	+19.6	+18.1	+19.3
TEN @ NE	NE by 59	74%	71%	76%	+18.1	+16.4	+19.3
DEN @ LAC	DEN by 11	57%	41%	60%	−7.2	+8.0	−11.4

Week 713+91.0+22.9+103.9+7.00+1.76+7.99

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ NYG	ARI by 7	67%	69%	75%	−20.4	−22.2	−31.2
ATL @ DAL	DAL by 16	55%	47%	66%	+5.0	−3.0	+13.4
BUF @ CAR	BUF by 11	57%	67%	70%	−8.0	−20.4	−24.0
CHI @ CIN	CIN by 35	49%	52%	47%	−1.5	+1.5	−3.0
GB @ CLE	GB by 28	26%	43%	24%	+18.1	+6.2	+19.3
IND @ LA	IND by 36	16%	14%	15%	+22.5	+22.9	+22.8
MIN @ PIT	PIT by 10	52%	47%	67%	+1.5	−3.0	+14.3
NE @ TB	NE by 28	19%	32%	12%	+21.4	+14.7	+23.5
NO @ MIA	NO by 12	28%	43%	33%	+17.1	+6.2	+14.3
NYJ @ LV	NYJ by 38	35%	48%	33%	+12.4	+2.1	+14.3
LAC @ KC	LAC by 30	43%	40%	34%	+6.8	+9.2	+13.4
SF @ HOU	HOU by 3	57%	55%	59%	+6.3	+4.3	+8.1
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 10	39%	46%	25%	+9.8	+4.2	+18.7

Week 813+31.2+42.9+64.5+2.40+3.30+4.96

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ ARI	CAR by 13	76%	65%	77%	−32.1	−16.7	−34.7
CLE @ CHI	CHI by 24	76%	74%	81%	+19.0	+18.1	+21.2
DEN @ BAL	BAL by 23	60%	42%	63%	+8.7	−8.7	+11.5
HOU @ BUF	HOU by 21	46%	49%	40%	+3.5	+0.7	+9.2
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 17	42%	55%	59%	−8.7	+4.3	+8.1
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 5	63%	59%	60%	−15.0	−9.7	−11.4
MIN @ GB	MIN by 12	60%	41%	60%	−10.6	+8.0	−11.4
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 23	57%	47%	47%	+6.3	−3.0	−3.0
LV @ LAC	LAC by 8	83%	67%	88%	+22.3	+14.3	+23.7
SEA @ DAL	DAL by 21	68%	74%	77%	+14.8	+18.1	+19.8
SF @ IND	IND by 4	78%	77%	83%	+20.1	+19.6	+22.3
LA @ DET	LA by 7	65%	63%	60%	−17.6	−14.1	−11.4
ATL @ NO	NO by 8	79%	64%	79%	+20.6	+12.0	+20.8

Week 913+18.5+45.1+35.6+1.43+3.47+2.74

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ CHI	ARI by 20	55%	55%	53%	−5.5	−5.5	−3.1
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 10	49%	52%	41%	−1.5	+1.5	−9.6
CAR @ NO	NO by 10	88%	73%	83%	+23.7	+17.5	+21.9
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 4	58%	55%	59%	−8.9	−5.5	−9.7
DET @ SEA	SEA by 12	74%	71%	79%	+18.4	+16.7	+20.8
GB @ TB	TB by 10	23%	43%	24%	−34.6	−7.1	−32.9
HOU @ IND	IND by 3	73%	73%	71%	+17.8	+17.5	+16.7
KC @ JAX	JAX by 3	61%	68%	70%	+9.9	+14.8	+16.0
MIA @ NE	NE by 10	81%	65%	78%	+21.2	+13.0	+20.3
LAC @ NYG	LAC by 1	58%	65%	65%	−8.9	−16.7	−16.7
TEN @ SF	TEN by 7	72%	59%	63%	−26.7	−9.7	−15.0
WAS @ ATL	ATL by 14	71%	74%	75%	+16.7	+18.4	+18.7
PIT @ DEN	PIT by 18	53%	59%	41%	−3.1	−9.7	+8.0

Week 1015+51.4+43.0+68.1+3.43+2.87+4.54

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ SF	SF by 4	57%	52%	60%	+6.3	+1.5	+9.3
ATL @ CAR	CAR by 9	38%	49%	47%	−13.1	−1.5	−3.0
BUF @ TEN	TEN by 24	53%	63%	75%	+2.9	+10.9	+18.7
CIN @ PIT	CIN by 6	65%	66%	69%	−16.7	−18.5	−22.2
DAL @ GB	GB by 10	50%	40%	41%	+0.0	−11.3	−9.6
DEN @ WAS	WAS by 10	42%	33%	40%	−8.7	−20.2	−11.3
DET @ MIN	MIN by 17	88%	91%	90%	+23.5	+24.3	+24.0
JAX @ NYJ	JAX by 2	71%	63%	69%	−25.8	−15.0	−22.2
KC @ LV	KC by 6	44%	66%	53%	+5.5	−18.5	−3.1
NE @ IND	IND by 1	52%	67%	53%	+1.5	+13.9	+2.9
NO @ LA	NO by 5	7%	15%	15%	+24.5	+22.8	+22.8
PHI @ LAC	LAC by 8	49%	57%	53%	−0.7	+6.3	+2.9
SEA @ ARI	ARI by 11	66%	74%	75%	+13.4	+18.1	+18.7
TB @ MIA	MIA by 2	73%	70%	77%	+17.8	+16.0	+19.8
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 16	20%	33%	22%	+21.0	+14.3	+20.3

Week 1116+64.2+52.1+94.5+4.01+3.25+5.91

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIA @ CAR	MIA by 7	49%	57%	60%	+0.7	−8.0	−11.4
ARI @ LA	ARI by 8	18%	23%	24%	+21.7	+19.8	+19.3
ATL @ NYG	NYG by 3	58%	57%	70%	+7.5	+6.9	+16.0
BUF @ JAX	JAX by 3	63%	63%	75%	+11.5	+10.9	+18.7
CIN @ LV	LV by 3	22%	33%	25%	−35.5	−19.3	−31.1
CLE @ DET	DET by 1	57%	47%	60%	+6.3	−3.0	+9.3
IND @ BAL	IND by 2	51%	36%	47%	−0.8	+11.9	+2.8
NO @ TB	NO by 31	14%	22%	22%	+22.9	+20.3	+20.3
NYJ @ NE	NE by 17	78%	71%	78%	+20.1	+16.4	+20.3
PHI @ CHI	PHI by 4	42%	52%	40%	+7.4	−2.3	+9.2
PIT @ KC	KC by 3	29%	27%	22%	−24.8	−28.4	−36.4
LAC @ DEN	LAC by 29	52%	57%	31%	−2.3	−8.0	+15.1
SEA @ MIN	MIN by 26	76%	82%	78%	+19.0	+21.8	+20.3
SF @ GB	GB by 6	67%	57%	67%	+14.3	+6.3	+14.3
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 1	78%	73%	79%	+20.1	+17.5	+20.8
TEN @ HOU	TEN by 3	70%	60%	62%	−24.0	−10.6	−13.2

Week 1216+183.5+168.5+187.4+11.47+10.53+11.71

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ DET	GB by 22	23%	29%	21%	+19.5	+16.3	+20.8
NYG @ DEN	DEN by 20	47%	52%	37%	−3.0	+2.2	−14.8
LV @ DAL	DAL by 17	87%	77%	84%	+23.4	+19.6	+22.6
ARI @ TEN	TEN by 3	35%	49%	60%	−16.6	−0.7	+9.3
CAR @ NYJ	NYJ by 11	67%	51%	60%	+14.3	+0.8	+9.3
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 26	78%	77%	77%	+20.3	+19.8	+19.8
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 9	86%	82%	82%	+23.1	+21.8	+21.6
IND @ HOU	IND by 8	42%	29%	41%	+7.4	+16.3	+8.0
JAX @ SF	SF by 17	64%	55%	59%	+12.0	+5.0	+8.1
KC @ LAC	LAC by 29	79%	79%	83%	+20.8	+20.6	+22.3
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 17	38%	39%	40%	−13.1	−12.2	−11.3
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 3	59%	52%	75%	+8.1	+2.2	+18.7
SEA @ LA	SEA by 10	31%	42%	40%	+15.1	+7.4	+9.2
TB @ ATL	ATL by 3	82%	75%	82%	+21.6	+18.7	+21.6
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 3	77%	71%	76%	+19.6	+16.7	+19.3
NE @ NO	NO by 21	63%	67%	53%	+10.9	+13.9	+2.9

Week 1316+60.6+94.6+66.6+3.79+5.91+4.16

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ BUF	NYJ by 6	40%	50%	40%	+9.2	−0.0	+9.2
DAL @ NYG	NYG by 7	46%	54%	47%	−3.8	+3.6	−3.0
DEN @ KC	DEN by 31	38%	31%	33%	+10.9	+15.1	+14.3
DET @ CIN	CIN by 10	84%	85%	84%	+22.6	+22.7	+22.6
HOU @ JAX	JAX by 5	42%	54%	47%	−8.7	+3.6	−3.0
MIN @ ARI	ARI by 13	44%	44%	40%	−6.2	−6.2	−11.3
NE @ MIA	MIA by 1	32%	48%	37%	−21.1	−2.2	−14.8
NO @ WAS	NO by 3	20%	21%	25%	+21.0	+20.8	+18.7
LV @ PIT	LV by 3	87%	75%	86%	−49.8	−31.2	−49.1
PHI @ ATL	PHI by 27	51%	57%	38%	−0.8	−7.2	+10.3
LAC @ CLE	LAC by 7	15%	21%	16%	+22.7	+20.5	+22.5
SF @ SEA	SEA by 3	50%	46%	47%	+0.0	−3.8	−3.0
LA @ CHI	CHI by 8	77%	78%	76%	+19.8	+20.3	+19.3
TB @ CAR	CAR by 10	67%	71%	60%	+14.3	+16.7	+9.3
TEN @ IND	IND by 10	83%	78%	67%	+21.9	+20.3	+14.3
BAL @ GB	GB by 13	60%	52%	62%	+8.7	+1.5	+10.4

Week 1416+126.9+70.8+103.7+7.93+4.42+6.48

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PIT @ CLE	CLE by 7	21%	27%	23%	−38.1	−28.4	−34.6
BUF @ KC	BUF by 6	48%	50%	41%	+2.1	−0.0	+8.0
CAR @ NE	NE by 10	84%	65%	83%	+22.4	+12.5	+21.9
CIN @ MIN	MIN by 20	70%	67%	67%	+16.0	+13.9	+14.3
DEN @ IND	IND by 12	71%	76%	69%	+16.7	+19.3	+15.2
DET @ BAL	BAL by 45	86%	85%	85%	+22.9	+22.7	+22.8
GB @ CHI	GB by 7	35%	48%	38%	+12.4	+2.1	+10.3
MIA @ JAX	MIA by 4	47%	49%	53%	+2.8	+1.4	−3.1
NO @ ATL	NO by 3	29%	33%	23%	+16.7	+13.8	+19.8
NYJ @ TB	NYJ by 23	28%	39%	40%	+17.4	+9.8	+9.2
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 7	46%	58%	47%	+4.2	−8.9	+2.8
LAC @ DAL	LAC by 3	55%	52%	60%	−5.5	−2.3	−11.4
SEA @ HOU	HOU by 27	63%	62%	70%	+10.9	+10.4	+16.0
LA @ TEN	TEN by 40	74%	86%	84%	+18.1	+22.9	+22.6
WAS @ LV	WAS by 21	37%	60%	47%	+11.4	−10.6	+2.8
ARI @ SF	SF by 15	46%	43%	38%	−3.8	−7.9	−13.1

Week 1516−28.4+13.8−4.2−1.78+0.86−0.26

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ JAX	IND by 4	26%	22%	40%	+18.4	+20.3	+9.2
DAL @ NO	DAL by 7	74%	77%	71%	−29.4	−33.9	−25.8
ARI @ DET	ARI by 7	18%	21%	15%	+21.7	+20.5	+22.8
ATL @ NYJ	ATL by 3	64%	55%	66%	−15.8	−4.7	−18.5
CHI @ BAL	BAL by 24	78%	67%	78%	+20.1	+14.3	+20.3
CIN @ LAC	LAC by 3	67%	67%	69%	+14.3	+13.9	+15.2
CLE @ KC	CLE by 7	60%	60%	53%	−11.4	−11.4	−3.1
GB @ PIT	PIT by 1	49%	50%	57%	−1.5	+0.0	+6.9
HOU @ LA	HOU by 3	18%	27%	15%	+21.9	+17.8	+22.8
MIA @ TEN	TEN by 3	53%	54%	63%	+2.9	+3.6	+11.5
MIN @ CAR	CAR by 19	25%	38%	25%	−31.1	−13.1	−31.1
NE @ BUF	NE by 7	24%	37%	31%	+19.3	+11.4	+15.1
LV @ DEN	LV by 1	85%	76%	84%	−46.9	−32.1	−46.2
SF @ PHI	PHI by 14	70%	67%	70%	+16.0	+14.3	+16.0
TB @ SEA	TB by 17	73%	65%	69%	−27.6	−17.6	−22.2
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 33	49%	38%	47%	+0.7	+10.3	+2.8

Week 1616+28.4−8.1+51.6+1.77−0.51+3.23

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LAC @ TEN	LAC by 25	38%	46%	53%	+10.9	+3.5	−3.1
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 3	46%	52%	59%	−3.8	+1.5	+8.1
BUF @ ATL	ATL by 28	70%	71%	75%	+16.0	+16.7	+18.7
CAR @ NYG	CAR by 32	71%	63%	75%	−25.8	−15.0	−31.2
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 17	35%	35%	30%	+12.9	+12.9	+15.9
DEN @ PHI	PHI by 3	70%	63%	70%	+16.0	+10.9	+16.0
DET @ SF	SF by 14	83%	82%	85%	+22.3	+21.6	+22.8
HOU @ MIA	HOU by 7	49%	63%	53%	+0.7	−14.1	−3.1
JAX @ NE	NE by 28	84%	73%	76%	+22.6	+17.5	+19.3
KC @ CIN	CIN by 7	81%	79%	83%	+21.2	+20.6	+22.3
NYJ @ IND	NYJ by 14	73%	85%	59%	−27.6	−47.7	−9.7
LV @ CLE	CLE by 14	56%	45%	59%	+5.6	−5.4	+8.1
SEA @ GB	GB by 38	81%	73%	84%	+21.2	+17.8	+22.6
LA @ ARI	ARI by 21	90%	89%	88%	+24.0	+23.8	+23.7
TB @ NO	TB by 3	93%	89%	85%	−62.0	−54.5	−47.7
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 6	29%	34%	25%	−25.7	−18.4	−31.1

Week 1716+25.9−12.6+148.3+1.62−0.78+9.27

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ TB	ATL by 10	29%	36%	41%	+16.7	+11.9	+8.0
BAL @ LV	BAL by 8	16%	40%	23%	+22.5	+9.2	+19.8
CHI @ DET	CHI by 14	31%	29%	38%	+15.5	+16.7	+10.3
CIN @ NYJ	NYJ by 37	60%	55%	76%	+9.3	+5.0	+19.3
GB @ ARI	GB by 26	50%	60%	59%	−0.0	−11.4	−9.7
IND @ BUF	BUF by 23	24%	19%	75%	−32.9	−41.4	+18.7
JAX @ CLE	CLE by 6	46%	44%	53%	−3.8	−6.2	+2.9
KC @ DEN	KC by 20	81%	81%	76%	−39.8	−40.7	−33.0
NE @ HOU	HOU by 7	40%	44%	75%	−10.5	−6.2	+18.7
NO @ CAR	CAR by 13	30%	40%	77%	−23.9	−11.3	+19.8
NYG @ MIN	MIN by 37	71%	63%	75%	+16.4	+10.9	+18.7
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 24	57%	54%	59%	+6.3	+3.6	+8.1
PIT @ MIA	PIT by 6	47%	55%	41%	+2.8	−5.5	+8.0
SF @ LA	SF by 22	20%	25%	30%	+21.2	+18.7	+15.9
TEN @ SEA	TEN by 4	46%	36%	33%	+4.2	+11.9	+14.3
WAS @ LAC	LAC by 3	82%	83%	59%	+21.8	+22.3	+8.1

2008RETRODICTION256+861.2+773.0+1052.1+3.36+3.02+4.11

Week 116+29.8+35.1+29.8+1.86+2.20+1.86

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 9	63%	59%	63%	+10.9	+8.1	+11.5
ARI @ SF	ARI by 10	50%	51%	43%	−0.0	−0.8	+6.8
CAR @ LAC	CAR by 2	71%	65%	76%	−25.8	−16.7	−33.0
CHI @ IND	CHI by 16	69%	68%	77%	−23.1	−21.3	−34.7
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 7	49%	53%	44%	−0.7	+2.9	−6.2
DAL @ CLE	DAL by 18	46%	51%	33%	+4.2	−0.8	+14.3
DET @ ATL	ATL by 13	49%	51%	41%	−1.5	+0.8	−9.6
HOU @ PIT	PIT by 21	65%	60%	69%	+13.0	+9.3	+15.2
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 7	47%	55%	41%	−3.0	+4.3	−9.6
KC @ NE	NE by 7	85%	78%	88%	+22.7	+20.3	+23.7
NYJ @ MIA	NYJ by 6	49%	51%	41%	+1.4	−0.8	+8.0
SEA @ BUF	BUF by 24	51%	51%	53%	+0.8	+0.8	+2.9
LA @ PHI	PHI by 35	67%	66%	73%	+14.3	+13.4	+17.5
TB @ NO	NO by 4	63%	53%	59%	+10.9	+2.9	+8.1
DEN @ LV	DEN by 27	50%	51%	41%	−0.0	−0.8	+8.0
MIN @ GB	GB by 5	56%	66%	57%	+5.6	+13.4	+6.9

Week 215+58.0+64.9+50.8+3.87+4.33+3.39

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ TB	TB by 15	62%	58%	70%	+10.4	+7.5	+16.0
BUF @ JAX	BUF by 4	51%	56%	62%	−0.8	−6.3	−13.2
CHI @ CAR	CAR by 3	54%	56%	59%	+3.6	+5.6	+8.1
GB @ DET	GB by 23	43%	38%	41%	+6.8	+10.9	+8.0
IND @ MIN	IND by 3	53%	49%	47%	−3.1	+0.7	+2.8
MIA @ ARI	ARI by 21	65%	76%	69%	+13.0	+19.0	+15.2
NE @ NYJ	NE by 9	33%	34%	53%	+13.8	+13.4	−3.1
NO @ WAS	WAS by 5	49%	53%	53%	−0.7	+2.9	+2.9
NYG @ LA	NYG by 28	37%	37%	28%	+11.4	+11.4	+17.4
LV @ KC	LV by 15	57%	58%	60%	−8.0	−8.9	−11.4
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 4	46%	50%	31%	+4.2	−0.0	+15.1
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 1	52%	56%	53%	+2.2	+5.6	+2.9
SF @ SEA	SF by 3	60%	65%	69%	−11.4	−17.6	−22.2
TEN @ CIN	TEN by 17	43%	43%	53%	+6.2	+6.8	−3.1
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 4	62%	67%	69%	+10.4	+13.9	+15.2

Week 316+73.5+22.9+105.1+4.60+1.43+6.57

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ WAS	WAS by 7	54%	53%	59%	+3.6	+2.9	+8.1
CAR @ MIN	MIN by 10	54%	45%	59%	+3.6	−5.4	+8.1
CIN @ NYG	NYG by 3	77%	74%	83%	+19.6	+18.1	+22.3
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 18	52%	57%	57%	+2.2	+6.3	+6.9
DAL @ GB	DAL by 11	49%	55%	41%	+0.7	−5.5	+8.0
DET @ SF	SF by 18	60%	60%	65%	+9.3	+8.7	+12.5
HOU @ TEN	TEN by 19	71%	70%	65%	+16.7	+16.0	+12.5
JAX @ IND	JAX by 2	61%	65%	62%	−12.3	−17.6	−13.2
KC @ ATL	ATL by 24	62%	64%	69%	+10.4	+12.0	+15.2
MIA @ NE	MIA by 25	84%	88%	83%	−46.2	−53.2	−43.1
NO @ DEN	DEN by 2	61%	63%	66%	+9.9	+11.5	+13.4
LV @ BUF	BUF by 1	73%	69%	77%	+17.8	+15.2	+19.8
PIT @ PHI	PHI by 9	64%	45%	60%	+12.0	−5.4	+9.3
LA @ SEA	SEA by 24	72%	67%	73%	+17.1	+14.3	+17.5
TB @ CHI	TB by 3	57%	55%	59%	−8.0	−4.7	−9.7
NYJ @ LAC	LAC by 19	72%	61%	73%	+17.1	+9.9	+17.5

Week 413+35.3+20.6+30.9+2.71+1.58+2.38

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ NYJ	NYJ by 21	49%	45%	55%	−1.5	−5.4	+4.3
ATL @ CAR	CAR by 15	57%	63%	70%	+6.3	+11.5	+16.0
BUF @ LA	BUF by 17	27%	32%	26%	+17.8	+14.7	+18.1
CLE @ CIN	CLE by 8	51%	50%	53%	−0.8	−0.0	−3.1
DEN @ KC	KC by 14	28%	31%	25%	−26.6	−22.1	−31.1
GB @ TB	TB by 9	55%	49%	56%	+5.0	−1.5	+5.6
HOU @ JAX	JAX by 3	71%	65%	69%	+16.7	+13.0	+15.2
MIN @ TEN	TEN by 13	66%	71%	59%	+13.4	+16.4	+8.1
PHI @ CHI	CHI by 4	46%	48%	41%	−4.6	−2.2	−9.6
LAC @ LV	LAC by 10	31%	45%	28%	+15.1	+4.9	+17.4
SF @ NO	NO by 14	63%	55%	62%	+11.5	+5.0	+10.4
WAS @ DAL	WAS by 2	73%	70%	77%	−28.5	−24.0	−34.7
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 3	63%	62%	67%	+11.5	+10.4	+14.3

Week 514+8.0+36.6+14.0+0.57+2.62+1.00

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ GB	ATL by 3	65%	71%	65%	−16.7	−24.9	−16.7
BUF @ ARI	ARI by 24	45%	46%	53%	−5.4	−4.6	+2.9
CHI @ DET	CHI by 27	36%	46%	40%	+11.9	+3.5	+9.2
CIN @ DAL	DAL by 9	83%	83%	88%	+22.3	+22.1	+23.7
IND @ HOU	IND by 4	43%	43%	38%	+6.8	+6.2	+10.3
KC @ CAR	CAR by 34	70%	73%	77%	+16.0	+17.8	+19.8
NE @ SF	NE by 9	45%	37%	41%	+4.9	+11.4	+8.0
PIT @ JAX	PIT by 5	54%	52%	66%	−3.9	−2.3	−18.5
LAC @ MIA	MIA by 7	35%	40%	33%	−16.6	−11.3	−20.2
SEA @ NYG	NYG by 38	69%	69%	69%	+15.6	+15.2	+15.2
TB @ DEN	DEN by 3	56%	53%	60%	+5.6	+2.9	+9.3
TEN @ BAL	TEN by 3	44%	40%	47%	+5.5	+9.2	+2.8
WAS @ PHI	WAS by 6	67%	47%	69%	−20.4	+2.8	−22.2
MIN @ NO	MIN by 3	65%	60%	59%	−17.6	−11.4	−9.7

Week 614−7.1−23.0−6.8−0.51−1.64−0.49

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ IND	IND by 28	63%	66%	62%	+10.9	+13.4	+10.4
CAR @ TB	TB by 24	55%	55%	53%	+5.0	+4.3	+2.9
CHI @ ATL	ATL by 2	46%	52%	41%	−3.8	+2.2	−9.6
CIN @ NYJ	NYJ by 12	71%	67%	76%	+16.7	+14.3	+19.3
DAL @ ARI	ARI by 6	44%	41%	37%	−6.2	−9.6	−14.8
DET @ MIN	MIN by 2	76%	69%	83%	+19.0	+15.6	+22.3
GB @ SEA	GB by 10	44%	49%	53%	+5.5	+1.4	−3.1
JAX @ DEN	JAX by 7	61%	60%	60%	−12.3	−11.4	−11.4
MIA @ HOU	HOU by 1	46%	53%	59%	−4.6	+2.9	+8.1
NE @ LAC	LAC by 20	60%	40%	67%	+9.3	−10.5	+14.3
LV @ NO	NO by 31	71%	65%	70%	+16.4	+12.5	+16.0
PHI @ SF	PHI by 14	42%	52%	37%	+7.4	−2.3	+11.4
LA @ WAS	LA by 2	83%	84%	82%	−43.9	−45.4	−41.5
NYG @ CLE	CLE by 21	28%	40%	25%	−26.6	−10.5	−31.1

Week 714+38.9+103.3+82.3+2.78+7.38+5.88

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ MIA	BAL by 14	65%	52%	59%	−17.6	−1.6	−9.7
CLE @ WAS	WAS by 3	63%	63%	70%	+10.9	+11.5	+16.0
DAL @ LA	LA by 20	18%	29%	25%	−42.2	−24.8	−31.1
DET @ HOU	HOU by 7	67%	65%	79%	+14.3	+12.5	+20.8
IND @ GB	GB by 20	55%	55%	47%	+4.3	+4.3	−3.0
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 7	65%	54%	59%	+13.0	+3.6	+8.1
NO @ CAR	CAR by 23	48%	63%	59%	−2.2	+10.9	+8.1
NYJ @ LV	LV by 3	36%	45%	41%	−15.7	−5.4	−9.6
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 28	35%	25%	25%	+12.9	+18.7	+18.7
LAC @ BUF	BUF by 9	47%	58%	47%	−3.0	+7.5	−3.0
SEA @ TB	TB by 10	76%	70%	78%	+19.0	+16.0	+20.3
SF @ NYG	NYG by 12	76%	74%	77%	+19.3	+18.1	+19.8
TEN @ KC	TEN by 24	25%	26%	25%	+19.0	+18.1	+18.7
DEN @ NE	NE by 34	57%	67%	59%	+6.9	+13.9	+8.1

Week 814+96.2+63.3+83.0+6.87+4.52+5.93

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ CAR	CAR by 4	57%	56%	65%	+6.3	+5.6	+12.5
ATL @ PHI	PHI by 13	71%	57%	76%	+16.4	+6.9	+19.3
BUF @ MIA	MIA by 9	46%	34%	53%	−4.6	−18.4	+2.9
CIN @ HOU	HOU by 29	65%	71%	75%	+13.0	+16.7	+18.7
CLE @ JAX	CLE by 6	60%	64%	70%	−11.4	−15.8	−24.0
KC @ NYJ	NYJ by 4	78%	65%	85%	+20.1	+13.0	+22.8
NYG @ PIT	NYG by 7	54%	60%	59%	−3.9	−11.4	−9.7
LV @ BAL	BAL by 19	65%	65%	75%	+12.5	+12.5	+18.7
LAC @ NO	NO by 5	50%	50%	41%	+0.0	+0.0	−9.6
SEA @ SF	SEA by 21	62%	55%	65%	−13.2	−5.5	−16.7
LA @ NE	NE by 7	82%	79%	75%	+21.8	+20.8	+18.7
TB @ DAL	DAL by 4	57%	57%	53%	+6.3	+6.3	+2.9
WAS @ DET	WAS by 8	29%	29%	30%	+16.3	+16.7	+15.9
IND @ TEN	TEN by 10	71%	70%	62%	+16.7	+16.0	+10.4

Week 914+64.4−8.4+72.2+4.60−0.60+5.16

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ LA	ARI by 21	31%	42%	41%	+15.1	+7.4	+8.0
ATL @ LV	ATL by 24	40%	46%	41%	+9.2	+4.2	+8.0
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 10	58%	60%	53%	−8.9	−11.4	−3.1
DAL @ NYG	NYG by 21	65%	60%	76%	+13.0	+8.7	+19.3
DET @ CHI	CHI by 4	84%	76%	83%	+22.6	+19.3	+21.9
GB @ TEN	TEN by 3	68%	68%	60%	+14.8	+14.8	+9.3
HOU @ MIN	MIN by 7	57%	60%	69%	+6.9	+8.7	+15.2
JAX @ CIN	CIN by 2	33%	30%	30%	−19.3	−23.9	−23.9
MIA @ DEN	MIA by 9	54%	67%	62%	−3.9	−19.4	−13.2
NE @ IND	IND by 3	46%	42%	69%	−3.8	−8.7	+15.2
NYJ @ BUF	NYJ by 9	60%	65%	65%	−11.4	−17.6	−16.7
PHI @ SEA	PHI by 19	33%	47%	30%	+13.8	+2.8	+15.9
TB @ KC	TB by 3	25%	32%	24%	+18.7	+14.7	+19.3
PIT @ WAS	PIT by 17	52%	57%	53%	−2.3	−8.0	−3.1

Week 1014+81.7+99.8+96.7+5.84+7.13+6.91

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ CLE	DEN by 4	59%	58%	59%	−9.7	−8.9	−9.7
BAL @ HOU	BAL by 28	51%	49%	57%	−0.8	+0.7	−8.0
BUF @ NE	NE by 10	64%	69%	60%	+12.0	+15.6	+9.3
CAR @ LV	CAR by 11	28%	33%	23%	+17.4	+14.3	+19.8
GB @ MIN	MIN by 1	49%	51%	57%	−1.5	+0.8	+6.9
IND @ PIT	IND by 4	67%	65%	60%	−20.4	−17.6	−11.4
JAX @ DET	JAX by 24	35%	35%	34%	+12.9	+12.9	+13.4
KC @ LAC	LAC by 1	84%	73%	86%	+22.4	+17.5	+23.1
NO @ ATL	ATL by 14	52%	57%	53%	+1.5	+6.9	+2.9
NYG @ PHI	NYG by 5	56%	44%	59%	−6.3	+5.5	−9.7
SEA @ MIA	MIA by 2	69%	59%	75%	+15.2	+8.1	+18.7
LA @ NYJ	NYJ by 44	77%	67%	76%	+19.8	+14.3	+19.3
TEN @ CHI	TEN by 7	49%	36%	47%	+0.7	+11.9	+2.8
SF @ ARI	ARI by 5	74%	73%	76%	+18.4	+17.8	+19.3

Week 1116+113.0+94.1+106.8+7.06+5.88+6.67

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYJ @ NE	NYJ by 3	57%	71%	59%	−7.2	−25.8	−9.7
ARI @ SEA	ARI by 6	35%	39%	41%	+12.9	+9.8	+8.0
BAL @ NYG	NYG by 20	71%	71%	70%	+16.7	+16.7	+16.0
CHI @ GB	GB by 34	57%	60%	60%	+6.3	+8.7	+9.3
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 4	55%	57%	47%	−4.7	−8.0	+2.8
DEN @ ATL	DEN by 4	66%	57%	69%	−18.5	−7.2	−22.2
DET @ CAR	CAR by 9	85%	85%	85%	+22.8	+22.7	+22.8
HOU @ IND	IND by 6	67%	73%	75%	+13.9	+17.5	+18.7
MIN @ TB	TB by 6	68%	62%	63%	+14.8	+10.4	+11.5
NO @ KC	NO by 10	31%	40%	33%	+15.1	+9.2	+14.3
LV @ MIA	MIA by 2	78%	70%	77%	+20.1	+16.0	+19.8
PHI @ CIN	tie	20%	35%	24%	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
LAC @ PIT	PIT by 1	59%	67%	63%	+8.1	+13.9	+11.5
LA @ SF	SF by 19	71%	57%	70%	+16.4	+6.9	+16.0
TEN @ JAX	TEN by 10	40%	33%	47%	+8.6	+13.8	+2.8
CLE @ BUF	CLE by 2	61%	60%	63%	−12.3	−10.6	−15.0

Week 1216+17.7+19.0+38.7+1.10+1.18+2.42

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 17	84%	83%	81%	+22.4	+22.1	+21.2
BUF @ KC	BUF by 23	33%	37%	41%	+13.8	+11.4	+8.0
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 17	53%	44%	53%	+2.9	−6.2	+2.9
CHI @ LA	CHI by 24	25%	40%	30%	+18.7	+8.6	+15.9
HOU @ CLE	HOU by 10	63%	65%	59%	−14.1	−17.6	−9.7
IND @ LAC	IND by 3	63%	44%	59%	−14.1	+5.5	−9.7
MIN @ JAX	MIN by 18	57%	55%	53%	−7.2	−4.7	−3.1
NE @ MIA	NE by 20	51%	42%	47%	−0.8	+7.4	+2.8
NYG @ ARI	NYG by 8	44%	44%	41%	+5.5	+5.5	+8.0
NYJ @ TEN	NYJ by 21	67%	77%	66%	−19.4	−34.7	−18.5
LV @ DEN	LV by 21	73%	77%	75%	−27.6	−33.9	−31.2
PHI @ BAL	BAL by 29	46%	56%	53%	−3.8	+5.6	+2.9
SF @ DAL	DAL by 13	67%	78%	76%	+14.3	+20.1	+19.3
TB @ DET	TB by 18	21%	23%	25%	+20.8	+19.8	+18.7
WAS @ SEA	WAS by 3	43%	37%	41%	+6.8	+11.4	+8.0
GB @ NO	NO by 22	49%	49%	53%	−0.7	−1.5	+2.9

Week 1316+19.0+42.5+38.7+1.19+2.66+2.42

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ PHI	PHI by 28	57%	50%	59%	+6.9	+0.0	+8.1
SEA @ DAL	DAL by 25	74%	81%	81%	+18.1	+21.2	+21.2
TEN @ DET	TEN by 37	16%	14%	21%	+22.4	+22.9	+20.8
ATL @ LAC	ATL by 6	56%	51%	69%	−6.3	−0.8	−22.2
BAL @ CIN	BAL by 31	24%	33%	30%	+19.3	+14.3	+15.9
CAR @ GB	CAR by 4	60%	52%	59%	−10.6	−2.3	−9.7
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 20	55%	60%	65%	+4.3	+9.3	+12.5
DEN @ NYJ	DEN by 17	78%	64%	71%	−35.6	−15.8	−25.8
IND @ CLE	IND by 4	49%	40%	38%	+0.7	+8.6	+10.3
KC @ LV	KC by 7	60%	65%	59%	−11.4	−17.6	−9.7
MIA @ LA	MIA by 4	23%	40%	30%	+19.5	+8.6	+15.9
NO @ TB	TB by 3	63%	68%	60%	+11.5	+14.8	+9.3
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 16	35%	43%	40%	+12.4	+6.2	+9.2
PIT @ NE	PIT by 23	59%	57%	53%	−9.7	−8.0	−3.1
SF @ BUF	SF by 7	70%	67%	69%	−24.0	−20.4	−22.2
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 13	52%	52%	59%	+1.5	+1.5	+8.1

Week 1416+114.3+97.4+137.1+7.14+6.09+8.57

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LV @ LAC	LAC by 27	78%	68%	76%	+20.1	+14.8	+19.3
ATL @ NO	NO by 4	55%	52%	59%	+5.0	+2.2	+8.1
CIN @ IND	IND by 32	83%	86%	84%	+22.1	+22.9	+22.6
CLE @ TEN	TEN by 19	82%	82%	85%	+21.6	+21.6	+22.8
DAL @ PIT	PIT by 7	64%	57%	62%	+12.0	+6.9	+10.4
HOU @ GB	HOU by 3	69%	64%	70%	−23.1	−15.8	−24.0
JAX @ CHI	CHI by 13	64%	60%	69%	+12.0	+9.3	+15.2
KC @ DEN	DEN by 7	72%	77%	75%	+17.1	+19.8	+18.7
MIA @ BUF	MIA by 13	60%	55%	53%	−11.4	−5.5	−3.1
MIN @ DET	MIN by 4	20%	25%	22%	+21.2	+19.0	+20.3
NE @ SEA	NE by 3	32%	30%	29%	+14.7	+15.9	+16.7
NYJ @ SF	SF by 10	37%	43%	38%	−14.8	−7.9	−13.1
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 6	70%	77%	69%	−24.0	−33.9	−22.2
LA @ ARI	ARI by 24	86%	79%	85%	+22.9	+20.8	+22.8
WAS @ BAL	BAL by 14	73%	55%	67%	+17.5	+4.3	+14.3
TB @ CAR	CAR by 15	52%	53%	59%	+1.5	+2.9	+8.1

Week 1516+53.6+52.0+94.9+3.35+3.25+5.93

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ CHI	CHI by 3	52%	56%	59%	+1.5	+5.6	+8.1
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 4	66%	64%	75%	+13.4	+12.0	+18.7
DEN @ CAR	CAR by 20	71%	65%	70%	+16.7	+13.0	+16.0
DET @ IND	IND by 10	88%	89%	89%	+23.5	+23.9	+23.8
GB @ JAX	JAX by 4	40%	51%	43%	−10.5	+0.8	−7.9
MIN @ ARI	MIN by 21	57%	55%	62%	−8.0	−4.7	−13.2
NE @ LV	NE by 23	28%	25%	31%	+17.1	+18.7	+15.1
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 12	43%	47%	59%	−7.9	−3.0	+8.1
PIT @ BAL	PIT by 4	59%	46%	59%	−9.7	+3.5	−9.7
LAC @ KC	LAC by 1	25%	39%	33%	+18.7	+9.8	+14.3
SEA @ LA	SEA by 3	34%	50%	47%	+13.4	−0.0	+2.8
SF @ MIA	MIA by 5	65%	65%	66%	+12.5	+12.5	+13.4
TB @ ATL	ATL by 3	56%	46%	66%	+5.6	−3.8	+13.4
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 1	29%	29%	41%	−24.8	−25.7	−9.6
WAS @ CIN	CIN by 7	28%	29%	31%	−27.5	−24.8	−22.1
CLE @ PHI	PHI by 20	77%	67%	88%	+19.6	+14.3	+23.5

Week 1616+3.6−22.4−37.3+0.22−1.40−2.33

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ JAX	IND by 7	40%	38%	34%	+8.6	+10.9	+13.4
BAL @ DAL	BAL by 9	53%	65%	65%	−3.1	−17.6	−16.7
ARI @ NE	NE by 40	64%	67%	75%	+12.0	+14.3	+18.7
ATL @ MIN	ATL by 7	57%	63%	59%	−7.2	−14.1	−9.7
BUF @ DEN	BUF by 7	49%	65%	69%	+0.7	−17.6	−22.2
CAR @ NYG	NYG by 6	65%	62%	62%	+13.0	+10.4	+10.4
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 14	74%	67%	53%	−29.4	−20.4	−3.1
HOU @ LV	LV by 11	36%	37%	30%	−15.7	−14.8	−23.9
MIA @ KC	MIA by 7	31%	31%	40%	+15.1	+15.5	+9.2
NO @ DET	NO by 35	18%	29%	30%	+21.7	+16.3	+15.9
NYJ @ SEA	SEA by 10	31%	39%	40%	−22.1	−12.2	−11.3
PHI @ WAS	WAS by 7	37%	52%	37%	−14.8	+1.5	−14.8
PIT @ TEN	TEN by 17	67%	58%	43%	+14.3	+7.5	−7.9
LAC @ TB	LAC by 17	61%	68%	63%	−12.3	−21.3	−15.0
SF @ LA	SF by 1	27%	40%	40%	+17.8	+8.6	+9.2
GB @ CHI	CHI by 3	55%	62%	62%	+5.0	+10.4	+10.4

Week 1716+61.4+75.3+115.4+3.84+4.71+7.21

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ NO	CAR by 2	57%	46%	47%	−8.0	+4.2	+2.8
CHI @ HOU	HOU by 7	46%	49%	59%	−4.6	−0.7	+8.1
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 31	79%	81%	79%	+20.6	+21.2	+20.8
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 38	65%	49%	57%	+12.5	−1.5	+6.9
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 31	73%	57%	70%	+17.8	+6.3	+16.0
DET @ GB	GB by 10	88%	79%	79%	+23.6	+20.8	+20.8
JAX @ BAL	BAL by 20	79%	69%	78%	+20.6	+15.6	+20.3
KC @ CIN	CIN by 10	49%	65%	55%	−0.7	+13.0	+4.3
MIA @ NYJ	MIA by 7	60%	54%	57%	−11.4	−3.9	−8.0
NE @ BUF	NE by 13	43%	35%	34%	+6.8	+12.4	+13.4
NYG @ MIN	MIN by 1	44%	43%	70%	−6.2	−7.9	+16.0
LV @ TB	LV by 7	83%	78%	79%	−43.1	−36.5	−38.2
SEA @ ARI	ARI by 13	67%	69%	70%	+13.9	+15.2	+16.0
LA @ ATL	ATL by 4	90%	84%	85%	+24.1	+22.4	+22.8
TEN @ IND	IND by 23	43%	49%	41%	−7.9	−0.7	−9.6
WAS @ SF	SF by 3	54%	46%	53%	+3.6	−4.6	+2.9

2007RETRODICTION256+1052.9+874.1+1271.4+4.11+3.41+4.97

Week 116+68.8+33.7+82.5+4.30+2.11+5.16

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NO @ IND	IND by 31	65%	60%	66%	+12.5	+9.3	+13.4
ATL @ MIN	MIN by 21	55%	55%	59%	+4.3	+4.3	+8.1
CAR @ LA	CAR by 14	52%	57%	55%	−2.3	−7.2	−4.7
CHI @ LAC	LAC by 11	65%	59%	70%	+12.5	+8.1	+16.0
DEN @ BUF	DEN by 1	43%	53%	41%	+6.8	−3.1	+8.0
DET @ LV	DET by 15	52%	55%	59%	−1.6	−4.7	−9.7
KC @ HOU	HOU by 17	52%	51%	59%	+1.5	+0.8	+8.1
MIA @ WAS	WAS by 3	55%	55%	59%	+5.0	+4.3	+8.1
NE @ NYJ	NE by 24	38%	53%	33%	+10.9	−3.1	+14.3
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 10	63%	59%	67%	+10.9	+8.1	+14.3
PHI @ GB	GB by 3	46%	53%	41%	−4.6	+2.9	−9.6
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 27	46%	49%	37%	+4.2	+1.4	+11.4
TB @ SEA	SEA by 14	64%	66%	67%	+12.0	+13.4	+14.3
TEN @ JAX	TEN by 3	65%	57%	71%	−17.6	−7.2	−25.8
ARI @ SF	SF by 3	59%	60%	60%	+8.1	+9.3	+9.3
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 7	57%	47%	57%	+6.3	−3.0	+6.9

Week 216+55.9+31.6+28.7+3.49+1.97+1.80

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ JAX	JAX by 6	68%	60%	77%	+14.8	+8.7	+19.8
BUF @ PIT	PIT by 23	72%	65%	77%	+17.1	+12.5	+19.8
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 6	35%	41%	30%	−16.6	−9.6	−23.9
DAL @ MIA	DAL by 17	38%	43%	40%	+10.3	+6.2	+9.2
GB @ NYG	GB by 22	61%	49%	59%	−12.3	+0.7	−9.7
HOU @ CAR	HOU by 13	65%	59%	69%	−17.6	−9.7	−22.2
IND @ TEN	IND by 2	33%	49%	30%	+14.3	+1.4	+15.9
KC @ CHI	CHI by 10	68%	65%	81%	+14.8	+13.0	+21.2
MIN @ DET	DET by 3	55%	50%	59%	+4.3	+0.0	+8.1
NO @ TB	TB by 17	51%	45%	35%	+0.8	−5.4	−16.6
NYJ @ BAL	BAL by 7	67%	61%	76%	+14.3	+9.9	+19.3
LV @ DEN	DEN by 3	71%	76%	77%	+16.4	+19.3	+19.8
LAC @ NE	NE by 24	66%	52%	60%	+13.4	+2.2	+9.3
SEA @ ARI	ARI by 3	47%	42%	41%	−3.0	−8.7	−9.6
SF @ LA	SF by 1	50%	51%	59%	−0.0	−0.8	−9.7
WAS @ PHI	WAS by 8	63%	57%	69%	−15.0	−8.0	−22.2

Week 316+68.5+35.0+74.6+4.28+2.19+4.66

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ BAL	BAL by 3	63%	70%	70%	+11.5	+16.0	+16.0
BUF @ NE	NE by 31	89%	78%	89%	+23.7	+20.1	+23.8
CAR @ ATL	CAR by 7	40%	48%	38%	+8.6	+2.1	+10.3
CIN @ SEA	SEA by 3	52%	57%	60%	+1.5	+6.3	+9.3
CLE @ LV	LV by 2	49%	44%	59%	−0.7	−6.2	+8.1
DAL @ CHI	DAL by 24	46%	57%	59%	+4.2	−8.0	−9.7
DET @ PHI	PHI by 35	56%	55%	65%	+5.6	+5.0	+12.5
IND @ HOU	IND by 6	42%	46%	31%	+7.4	+4.2	+15.1
JAX @ DEN	JAX by 9	59%	64%	60%	−9.7	−15.8	−11.4
MIA @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	56%	64%	59%	+5.6	+12.0	+8.1
MIN @ KC	KC by 3	46%	53%	59%	−3.8	+2.9	+8.1
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 7	56%	66%	60%	−6.3	−18.5	−11.4
LAC @ GB	GB by 7	49%	53%	34%	−1.5	+2.9	−18.4
SF @ PIT	PIT by 21	72%	58%	77%	+17.1	+7.5	+19.8
LA @ TB	TB by 21	61%	57%	60%	+9.9	+6.9	+9.3
TEN @ NO	TEN by 17	55%	52%	63%	−4.7	−2.3	−15.0

Week 414−26.7−25.7−61.2−1.91−1.83−4.37

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ CLE	CLE by 14	48%	35%	40%	−2.2	−17.5	−11.3
CHI @ DET	DET by 10	55%	45%	43%	+4.3	−5.4	−7.9
DEN @ IND	IND by 18	73%	70%	77%	+17.8	+16.0	+19.8
GB @ MIN	GB by 7	49%	40%	47%	+0.7	+8.6	+2.8
HOU @ ATL	ATL by 10	38%	43%	43%	−13.1	−7.1	−7.9
KC @ LAC	KC by 14	75%	66%	82%	−31.2	−18.5	−41.5
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 3	46%	46%	40%	−4.6	−3.8	−11.3
LV @ MIA	LV by 18	58%	57%	60%	−8.9	−7.2	−11.4
PHI @ NYG	NYG by 13	46%	55%	44%	−4.6	+4.3	−6.2
PIT @ ARI	ARI by 7	36%	41%	34%	−15.7	−9.6	−18.4
SEA @ SF	SEA by 20	48%	54%	47%	+2.1	−3.9	+2.8
LA @ DAL	DAL by 28	85%	78%	83%	+22.8	+20.1	+22.3
TB @ CAR	TB by 13	59%	63%	59%	−9.7	−14.1	−9.7
NE @ CIN	NE by 21	31%	35%	29%	+15.5	+12.4	+16.7

Week 514+120.2+78.5+129.9+8.59+5.60+9.28

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ LA	ARI by 3	39%	46%	40%	+9.8	+4.2	+9.2
ATL @ TEN	TEN by 7	69%	67%	75%	+15.6	+14.3	+18.7
BAL @ SF	BAL by 2	46%	49%	38%	+3.5	+0.7	+10.3
CAR @ NO	CAR by 3	43%	51%	60%	+6.8	−0.8	−11.4
CHI @ GB	CHI by 7	68%	66%	59%	−21.3	−18.5	−9.7
CLE @ NE	NE by 17	89%	81%	88%	+23.8	+21.2	+23.5
DET @ WAS	WAS by 31	52%	57%	62%	+2.2	+6.9	+10.4
JAX @ KC	JAX by 10	48%	55%	47%	+2.1	−5.5	+2.8
MIA @ HOU	HOU by 3	67%	70%	63%	+13.9	+16.0	+11.5
NYJ @ NYG	NYG by 11	65%	60%	60%	+12.5	+9.3	+9.3
LAC @ DEN	LAC by 38	52%	55%	47%	−1.6	−4.7	+2.8
SEA @ PIT	PIT by 21	65%	55%	66%	+13.0	+5.0	+13.4
TB @ IND	IND by 19	74%	76%	75%	+18.4	+19.0	+18.7
DAL @ BUF	DAL by 1	19%	37%	22%	+21.4	+11.4	+20.3

Week 613+35.1+32.9+52.0+2.70+2.53+4.00

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ ARI	CAR by 15	56%	55%	67%	−6.3	−4.7	−20.4
CIN @ KC	KC by 7	43%	61%	47%	−7.1	+9.9	−3.0
HOU @ JAX	JAX by 20	60%	63%	69%	+9.3	+11.5	+15.2
MIA @ CLE	CLE by 10	62%	67%	62%	+10.4	+14.3	+10.4
MIN @ CHI	MIN by 3	58%	70%	63%	−8.9	−24.0	−15.0
NE @ DAL	NE by 21	43%	51%	35%	+6.2	−0.8	+12.4
NO @ SEA	NO by 11	73%	69%	66%	−28.5	−23.1	−18.5
LV @ LAC	LAC by 14	70%	72%	76%	+16.0	+17.1	+19.3
PHI @ NYJ	PHI by 7	42%	55%	38%	+7.4	−4.7	+10.3
LA @ BAL	BAL by 19	70%	79%	75%	+16.0	+20.6	+18.7
TEN @ TB	TB by 3	56%	49%	53%	+5.6	−0.7	+2.9
WAS @ GB	GB by 3	58%	64%	59%	+7.5	+12.0	+8.1
NYG @ ATL	NYG by 21	42%	44%	37%	+7.4	+5.5	+11.4

Week 714+53.0+93.3+96.9+3.78+6.66+6.92

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ WAS	WAS by 2	63%	59%	75%	+10.9	+8.1	+18.7
ATL @ NO	NO by 6	59%	63%	75%	+8.1	+10.9	+18.7
BAL @ BUF	BUF by 5	40%	39%	41%	−11.3	−12.2	−9.6
CHI @ PHI	CHI by 3	63%	52%	66%	−15.0	−2.3	−18.5
KC @ LV	KC by 2	57%	42%	53%	−7.2	+7.4	−3.1
MIN @ DAL	DAL by 10	76%	74%	76%	+19.3	+18.1	+19.3
NE @ MIA	NE by 21	12%	15%	12%	+23.6	+22.7	+23.5
NYJ @ CIN	CIN by 7	67%	58%	67%	+14.3	+7.5	+14.3
PIT @ DEN	DEN by 3	28%	47%	38%	−27.5	−3.0	−13.1
SF @ NYG	NYG by 18	73%	65%	76%	+17.8	+12.5	+19.3
LA @ SEA	SEA by 27	75%	74%	75%	+18.7	+18.1	+18.7
TB @ DET	DET by 7	46%	50%	57%	−3.8	+0.0	+6.9
TEN @ HOU	TEN by 2	53%	51%	56%	−3.1	−0.8	−6.3
IND @ JAX	IND by 22	41%	43%	41%	+8.0	+6.2	+8.0

Week 813+81.1+73.7+61.8+6.23+5.67+4.75

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 10	57%	48%	59%	−8.0	+2.1	−9.7
CLE @ LA	CLE by 7	32%	43%	41%	+14.7	+6.8	+8.0
DET @ CHI	DET by 9	61%	63%	67%	−12.3	−15.0	−20.4
HOU @ LAC	LAC by 25	70%	69%	77%	+16.0	+15.6	+19.8
IND @ CAR	IND by 24	33%	36%	30%	+13.8	+11.9	+15.9
JAX @ TB	JAX by 1	55%	49%	60%	−4.7	+1.4	−11.4
NO @ SF	NO by 21	52%	55%	47%	−1.6	−4.7	+2.8
NYG @ MIA	NYG by 3	36%	29%	23%	+11.9	+16.7	+19.8
LV @ TEN	TEN by 4	65%	75%	70%	+12.5	+18.7	+16.0
PHI @ MIN	PHI by 7	51%	55%	53%	−0.8	−5.5	−3.1
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 11	41%	48%	38%	+8.0	+2.1	+10.3
WAS @ NE	NE by 45	90%	79%	87%	+24.0	+20.6	+23.3
GB @ DEN	GB by 6	42%	47%	59%	+7.4	+2.8	−9.7

Week 914+53.6+42.6+60.6+3.83+3.04+4.33

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ TB	TB by 7	62%	60%	60%	+10.4	+8.7	+9.3
CAR @ TEN	TEN by 13	60%	60%	65%	+9.3	+9.3	+12.5
CIN @ BUF	BUF by 12	46%	63%	47%	−4.6	+10.9	−3.0
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 21	41%	38%	41%	+8.0	+10.3	+8.0
DEN @ DET	DET by 37	60%	59%	59%	+9.3	+8.1	+8.1
GB @ KC	GB by 11	44%	48%	53%	+5.5	+2.1	−3.1
HOU @ LV	HOU by 7	55%	48%	59%	−4.7	+2.1	−9.7
JAX @ NO	NO by 17	47%	46%	60%	−3.0	−3.8	+9.3
NE @ IND	NE by 4	43%	55%	35%	+6.8	−5.5	+12.4
LAC @ MIN	MIN by 18	38%	38%	30%	−14.0	−13.1	−23.9
SEA @ CLE	CLE by 3	52%	50%	53%	+1.5	+0.0	+2.9
SF @ ATL	ATL by 4	57%	51%	60%	+6.3	+0.8	+9.3
WAS @ NYJ	WAS by 3	47%	43%	40%	+2.8	+6.2	+9.2
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 31	77%	57%	76%	+19.8	+6.3	+19.3

Week 1014−41.3−54.8−30.2−2.95−3.92−2.16

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 7	66%	68%	60%	−18.5	−21.3	−11.4
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 3	49%	31%	47%	+1.4	+15.1	+2.8
CHI @ LV	CHI by 11	53%	36%	40%	−3.1	+11.9	+9.2
CIN @ BAL	CIN by 14	52%	69%	59%	−1.6	−23.1	−9.7
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 3	78%	66%	77%	+20.3	+13.4	+19.8
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 11	43%	46%	47%	+6.8	+4.2	+2.8
DEN @ KC	DEN by 16	65%	61%	59%	−16.7	−12.3	−9.7
DET @ ARI	ARI by 10	46%	45%	56%	−3.8	−5.4	+5.6
IND @ LAC	LAC by 2	40%	40%	40%	−10.5	−11.3	−11.3
JAX @ TEN	JAX by 15	60%	59%	63%	−11.4	−9.7	−15.0
MIN @ GB	GB by 34	65%	74%	66%	+13.0	+18.4	+13.4
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 8	52%	62%	59%	−2.3	−13.2	−9.7
LA @ NO	LA by 8	77%	78%	78%	−34.7	−35.6	−36.5
SF @ SEA	SEA by 24	77%	67%	76%	+19.8	+13.9	+19.3

Week 1116+81.3+68.2+129.4+5.08+4.26+8.09

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ CIN	ARI by 8	57%	56%	59%	−8.0	−6.3	−9.7
CAR @ GB	GB by 14	77%	74%	77%	+19.6	+18.1	+19.8
CHI @ SEA	SEA by 7	69%	55%	67%	+15.6	+4.3	+14.3
CLE @ BAL	CLE by 3	44%	60%	47%	+5.5	−11.4	+2.8
KC @ IND	IND by 3	87%	76%	86%	+23.4	+19.3	+23.1
MIA @ PHI	PHI by 10	72%	79%	76%	+17.1	+20.6	+19.3
NE @ BUF	NE by 46	12%	28%	12%	+23.5	+17.4	+23.5
NO @ HOU	HOU by 13	54%	52%	53%	+3.6	+2.2	+2.9
NYG @ DET	NYG by 6	52%	52%	43%	−1.6	−2.3	+6.8
LV @ MIN	MIN by 7	60%	69%	63%	+9.3	+15.6	+11.5
PIT @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	20%	31%	24%	−38.9	−22.1	−32.9
LAC @ JAX	JAX by 7	49%	55%	59%	−0.7	+4.3	+8.1
LA @ SF	LA by 4	57%	61%	41%	−7.2	−12.3	+8.0
TB @ ATL	TB by 24	41%	49%	41%	+8.0	+0.7	+8.0
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 5	82%	76%	79%	+21.6	+19.3	+20.8
TEN @ DEN	DEN by 14	41%	51%	53%	−9.6	+0.8	+2.9

Week 1216+131.1+72.7+108.2+8.19+4.55+6.76

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ DET	GB by 11	40%	38%	40%	+8.6	+10.9	+9.2
IND @ ATL	IND by 18	19%	26%	16%	+21.6	+18.1	+22.5
NYJ @ DAL	DAL by 31	86%	84%	85%	+23.1	+22.6	+22.8
BAL @ LAC	LAC by 18	75%	66%	75%	+18.7	+13.4	+18.7
BUF @ JAX	JAX by 22	74%	66%	76%	+18.1	+13.4	+19.3
DEN @ CHI	CHI by 3	61%	56%	53%	+9.9	+5.6	+2.9
HOU @ CLE	CLE by 10	60%	59%	59%	+9.3	+8.1	+8.1
MIN @ NYG	MIN by 24	68%	69%	70%	−21.3	−22.2	−24.0
NO @ CAR	NO by 25	54%	55%	41%	−3.9	−5.5	+8.0
LV @ KC	LV by 3	57%	74%	62%	−7.2	−30.3	−13.2
PHI @ NE	NE by 3	92%	85%	96%	+24.4	+22.8	+24.9
SEA @ LA	SEA by 5	25%	38%	41%	+19.0	+10.3	+8.0
SF @ ARI	SF by 6	75%	69%	77%	−31.2	−22.2	−34.7
TEN @ CIN	CIN by 29	54%	46%	53%	+3.6	−4.6	+2.9
WAS @ TB	TB by 6	68%	60%	60%	+14.8	+9.3	+9.3
MIA @ PIT	PIT by 3	88%	86%	87%	+23.6	+22.9	+23.3

Week 1316+96.5+81.0+66.5+6.03+5.06+4.16

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ DAL	DAL by 10	65%	60%	70%	+13.0	+8.7	+16.0
ATL @ LA	LA by 12	51%	52%	59%	+0.8	+2.2	+8.1
BUF @ WAS	BUF by 1	66%	52%	69%	−18.5	−2.3	−22.2
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 14	76%	69%	70%	+19.0	+15.2	+16.0
CLE @ ARI	ARI by 6	51%	50%	53%	+0.8	+0.0	+2.9
DEN @ LV	LV by 14	56%	38%	40%	+5.6	−13.1	−11.3
DET @ MIN	MIN by 32	58%	57%	66%	+7.5	+6.3	+13.4
HOU @ TEN	TEN by 8	55%	62%	60%	+4.3	+10.4	+9.3
JAX @ IND	IND by 3	76%	66%	70%	+19.3	+13.4	+16.0
NYG @ CHI	NYG by 5	49%	55%	47%	+0.7	−5.5	+2.8
NYJ @ MIA	NYJ by 27	56%	40%	53%	−6.3	+9.2	−3.1
LAC @ KC	LAC by 14	34%	40%	33%	+13.4	+8.6	+14.3
SEA @ PHI	SEA by 4	50%	51%	59%	−0.0	−0.8	−9.7
SF @ CAR	CAR by 17	63%	62%	59%	+11.5	+10.4	+8.1
TB @ NO	TB by 4	49%	52%	66%	+1.4	−2.3	−18.5
NE @ BAL	NE by 3	9%	21%	8%	+24.1	+20.5	+24.4

Week 1416+182.2+164.7+195.9+11.39+10.29+12.24

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ WAS	WAS by 8	55%	49%	59%	+5.0	−1.5	+8.1
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 21	69%	65%	71%	+15.2	+13.0	+16.7
CAR @ JAX	JAX by 31	73%	72%	79%	+17.8	+17.1	+20.8
CLE @ NYJ	CLE by 6	40%	46%	41%	+8.6	+3.5	+8.0
DAL @ DET	DAL by 1	26%	29%	23%	+18.1	+16.7	+19.8
IND @ BAL	IND by 24	22%	29%	26%	+20.3	+16.7	+18.1
KC @ DEN	DEN by 34	55%	61%	71%	+5.0	+9.9	+16.7
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 21	60%	84%	70%	+8.7	+22.6	+16.0
MIN @ SF	MIN by 20	28%	43%	29%	+17.1	+6.8	+16.7
NYG @ PHI	NYG by 3	56%	47%	59%	−6.3	+2.8	−9.7
LV @ GB	GB by 31	78%	84%	78%	+20.3	+22.6	+20.3
PIT @ NE	NE by 21	81%	81%	79%	+21.2	+21.4	+20.8
LAC @ TEN	LAC by 6	39%	47%	47%	+9.8	+2.8	+2.8
LA @ CIN	CIN by 9	73%	63%	77%	+17.5	+11.5	+19.8
TB @ HOU	HOU by 14	44%	45%	41%	−6.2	−5.4	−9.6
NO @ ATL	NO by 20	38%	46%	38%	+10.3	+4.2	+10.3

Week 1516+43.8+28.1+13.8+2.74+1.76+0.86

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ HOU	HOU by 18	60%	54%	43%	+9.3	+3.6	−7.9
CIN @ SF	SF by 7	32%	46%	25%	−21.1	−3.8	−31.1
ARI @ NO	NO by 7	60%	60%	62%	+9.3	+9.3	+10.4
ATL @ TB	TB by 34	81%	74%	83%	+21.2	+18.1	+22.3
BAL @ MIA	MIA by 6	46%	29%	41%	−3.8	−24.8	−9.6
BUF @ CLE	CLE by 8	69%	55%	63%	+15.6	+5.0	+11.5
DET @ LAC	LAC by 37	74%	74%	76%	+18.4	+18.1	+19.3
GB @ LA	GB by 19	18%	26%	30%	+21.7	+18.4	+15.9
IND @ LV	IND by 7	21%	18%	24%	+20.8	+21.9	+19.3
JAX @ PIT	JAX by 7	65%	52%	60%	−17.6	−1.6	−11.4
NYJ @ NE	NE by 10	96%	93%	94%	+24.8	+24.5	+24.6
PHI @ DAL	PHI by 4	78%	83%	77%	−35.6	−43.1	−34.7
SEA @ CAR	CAR by 3	29%	43%	30%	−25.7	−7.1	−23.9
TEN @ KC	TEN by 9	43%	46%	40%	+6.2	+3.5	+9.2
WAS @ NYG	WAS by 12	65%	69%	67%	−16.7	−22.2	−20.4
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 7	72%	59%	78%	+17.1	+8.1	+20.3

Week 1616+115.6+117.7+112.9+7.22+7.36+7.06

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
PIT @ LA	PIT by 17	19%	35%	25%	+21.4	+12.9	+18.7
DAL @ CAR	DAL by 7	23%	31%	22%	+19.5	+15.1	+20.3
ATL @ ARI	ARI by 3	76%	67%	79%	+19.0	+13.9	+20.8
BAL @ SEA	SEA by 21	82%	69%	83%	+21.8	+15.6	+21.9
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 5	51%	47%	47%	+0.8	−3.0	−3.0
GB @ CHI	CHI by 28	27%	35%	25%	−28.4	−16.6	−31.1
HOU @ IND	IND by 23	82%	82%	69%	+21.6	+21.8	+15.2
KC @ DET	DET by 5	63%	63%	67%	+11.5	+10.9	+14.3
MIA @ NE	NE by 21	97%	97%	95%	+24.9	+24.9	+24.7
NYG @ BUF	NYG by 17	42%	51%	47%	+7.4	−0.8	+2.8
NYJ @ TEN	TEN by 4	67%	71%	75%	+14.3	+16.4	+18.7
LV @ JAX	JAX by 38	79%	84%	85%	+20.6	+22.4	+22.8
PHI @ NO	PHI by 15	57%	59%	59%	−7.2	−9.7	−9.7
TB @ SF	SF by 2	25%	40%	31%	−31.1	−11.3	−22.1
WAS @ MIN	WAS by 11	69%	62%	67%	−22.2	−13.2	−20.4
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 20	82%	74%	75%	+21.6	+18.4	+18.7

Week 1716−65.6+1.2+148.9−4.10+0.07+9.31

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NE @ NYG	NE by 3	19%	26%	17%	+21.4	+18.1	+22.2
BUF @ PHI	PHI by 8	74%	58%	76%	+18.4	+7.5	+19.3
CAR @ TB	CAR by 8	77%	63%	41%	−34.7	−14.1	+8.0
CIN @ MIA	CIN by 13	34%	32%	47%	+13.4	+14.7	+2.8
DAL @ WAS	WAS by 21	35%	33%	75%	−17.5	−19.3	+18.7
DET @ GB	GB by 21	81%	74%	60%	+21.2	+18.4	+9.3
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 14	37%	38%	70%	−14.8	−14.0	+16.0
KC @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	59%	55%	62%	+8.1	+5.0	+10.4
MIN @ DEN	DEN by 3	36%	50%	41%	−15.7	+0.0	−9.6
NO @ CHI	CHI by 8	53%	58%	53%	+2.9	+7.5	+2.9
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 6	21%	40%	41%	−37.2	−11.3	−9.6
LAC @ LV	LAC by 13	22%	24%	25%	+20.1	+19.3	+18.7
SEA @ ATL	ATL by 3	18%	31%	44%	−42.2	−22.1	−6.2
SF @ CLE	CLE by 13	77%	67%	81%	+19.6	+14.3	+21.2
LA @ ARI	ARI by 29	74%	67%	67%	+18.4	+14.3	+14.3
TEN @ IND	TEN by 6	85%	79%	38%	−46.9	−37.3	+10.3

2006RETRODICTION256+519.2+321.5+438.7+2.03+1.26+1.71

Week 116+6.6−16.1+26.7+0.41−1.00+1.67

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIA @ PIT	PIT by 11	64%	60%	55%	+12.0	+9.3	+4.3
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 14	65%	63%	63%	−16.7	−14.1	−15.0
BAL @ TB	BAL by 27	55%	66%	59%	−5.5	−18.5	−9.7
BUF @ NE	NE by 2	73%	66%	77%	+17.5	+13.4	+19.8
CHI @ GB	CHI by 26	45%	43%	40%	+4.9	+6.8	+9.2
CIN @ KC	CIN by 13	58%	55%	46%	−8.9	−4.7	+4.2
DAL @ JAX	JAX by 7	55%	63%	43%	+4.3	+10.9	−7.9
DEN @ LA	LA by 8	42%	43%	40%	−8.7	−7.9	−11.3
IND @ NYG	IND by 5	46%	51%	41%	+4.2	−0.8	+8.0
NO @ CLE	NO by 5	60%	63%	59%	−10.6	−14.1	−9.7
NYJ @ TEN	NYJ by 7	53%	57%	57%	−3.1	−7.2	−8.0
PHI @ HOU	PHI by 14	44%	49%	33%	+5.5	+1.4	+14.3
SEA @ DET	SEA by 3	39%	41%	33%	+9.8	+8.0	+14.3
SF @ ARI	ARI by 7	66%	59%	76%	+13.4	+8.1	+19.3
MIN @ WAS	MIN by 3	63%	59%	62%	−15.0	−9.7	−13.2
LAC @ LV	LAC by 27	46%	47%	41%	+3.5	+2.8	+8.0

Week 216+127.1+121.7+139.7+7.95+7.61+8.73

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 11	65%	71%	70%	+12.5	+16.4	+16.0
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 10	67%	64%	69%	−20.4	−15.8	−22.2
CAR @ MIN	MIN by 3	57%	60%	56%	+6.9	+9.3	+5.6
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 17	71%	73%	78%	+16.7	+17.8	+20.3
DET @ CHI	CHI by 27	74%	73%	70%	+18.4	+17.8	+16.0
HOU @ IND	IND by 19	81%	83%	83%	+21.2	+22.1	+21.9
KC @ DEN	DEN by 3	59%	60%	79%	+8.1	+9.3	+20.8
NE @ NYJ	NE by 7	43%	46%	33%	+6.2	+4.2	+14.3
NO @ GB	NO by 7	48%	52%	47%	+2.1	−1.6	+2.8
NYG @ PHI	NYG by 6	57%	54%	59%	−7.2	−3.9	−9.7
LV @ BAL	BAL by 22	77%	68%	83%	+19.8	+14.8	+22.3
LA @ SF	SF by 7	49%	43%	41%	−1.5	−7.9	−9.6
TB @ ATL	ATL by 11	71%	60%	63%	+16.7	+8.7	+11.5
TEN @ LAC	LAC by 33	74%	73%	82%	+18.4	+17.5	+21.6
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 17	59%	56%	70%	+8.1	+5.6	+16.0
PIT @ JAX	JAX by 9	51%	58%	43%	+0.8	+7.5	−7.9

Week 314+22.8−5.5−0.8+1.63−0.39−0.06

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ CLE	BAL by 1	38%	42%	31%	+10.3	+7.4	+15.1
CAR @ TB	CAR by 2	45%	56%	41%	+4.9	−6.3	+8.0
CHI @ MIN	CHI by 3	41%	54%	40%	+8.0	−3.9	+9.2
CIN @ PIT	CIN by 8	54%	51%	56%	−3.9	−0.8	−6.3
DEN @ NE	DEN by 10	62%	59%	69%	−13.2	−9.7	−22.2
GB @ DET	GB by 7	55%	60%	69%	−5.5	−10.6	−22.2
JAX @ IND	IND by 7	70%	59%	69%	+16.0	+8.1	+15.2
NYG @ SEA	SEA by 12	58%	67%	62%	+7.5	+13.9	+10.4
NYJ @ BUF	NYJ by 8	57%	59%	67%	−8.0	−9.7	−20.4
PHI @ SF	PHI by 14	46%	53%	33%	+3.5	−3.1	+14.3
LA @ ARI	LA by 2	60%	55%	66%	−10.6	−4.7	−18.5
TEN @ MIA	MIA by 3	69%	65%	78%	+15.2	+13.0	+20.3
WAS @ HOU	WAS by 16	50%	44%	40%	−0.0	+5.5	+9.2
ATL @ NO	NO by 20	49%	46%	38%	−1.5	−4.6	−13.1

Week 414+72.4+47.9+99.7+5.17+3.42+7.12

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ ATL	ATL by 22	59%	67%	70%	+8.1	+14.3	+16.0
CLE @ LV	CLE by 3	39%	57%	47%	+9.8	−8.0	+2.8
DAL @ TEN	DAL by 31	34%	37%	23%	+13.4	+11.4	+19.8
DET @ LA	LA by 7	60%	71%	66%	+9.3	+16.7	+13.4
IND @ NYJ	IND by 3	32%	32%	29%	+14.7	+14.7	+16.7
JAX @ WAS	WAS by 6	52%	43%	43%	+2.2	−7.1	−7.9
MIA @ HOU	HOU by 2	50%	40%	40%	+0.0	−10.5	−11.3
MIN @ BUF	BUF by 5	49%	43%	53%	−0.7	−7.9	+2.9
NE @ CIN	NE by 25	68%	65%	66%	−21.3	−16.7	−18.5
NO @ CAR	CAR by 3	53%	57%	70%	+2.9	+6.9	+16.0
LAC @ BAL	BAL by 3	47%	55%	53%	−3.0	+5.0	+2.9
SEA @ CHI	CHI by 31	64%	54%	60%	+12.0	+3.6	+9.3
SF @ KC	KC by 41	58%	64%	70%	+7.5	+12.0	+16.0
GB @ PHI	PHI by 22	73%	66%	82%	+17.5	+13.4	+21.6

Week 514+169.8+167.7+178.5+12.13+11.98+12.75

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ CHI	CHI by 33	83%	78%	76%	+21.9	+20.1	+19.3
CLE @ CAR	CAR by 8	63%	71%	71%	+10.9	+16.4	+16.7
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 14	54%	54%	47%	+3.6	+3.6	−3.0
DET @ MIN	MIN by 9	64%	75%	62%	+12.0	+18.7	+10.4
KC @ ARI	KC by 3	40%	46%	40%	+8.6	+3.5	+9.2
MIA @ NE	NE by 10	71%	73%	76%	+16.7	+17.8	+19.3
NYJ @ JAX	JAX by 41	63%	69%	70%	+10.9	+15.2	+16.0
LV @ SF	SF by 14	65%	61%	59%	+12.5	+9.9	+8.1
PIT @ LAC	LAC by 10	71%	57%	60%	+16.7	+6.9	+9.3
LA @ GB	LA by 3	45%	41%	43%	+4.9	+8.0	+6.8
TB @ NO	NO by 3	73%	60%	70%	+17.5	+9.3	+16.0
TEN @ IND	IND by 1	87%	89%	84%	+23.4	+23.9	+22.6
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 16	60%	57%	67%	+9.3	+6.9	+14.3
BAL @ DEN	DEN by 10	51%	58%	66%	+0.8	+7.5	+13.4

Week 613+16.9+20.2+27.7+1.30+1.55+2.13

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ DET	DET by 3	55%	43%	47%	+4.3	−7.9	−3.0
CAR @ BAL	CAR by 2	65%	57%	59%	−17.6	−7.2	−9.7
CIN @ TB	TB by 1	35%	37%	37%	−17.5	−14.8	−14.8
HOU @ DAL	DAL by 28	78%	72%	83%	+20.1	+17.1	+22.3
KC @ PIT	PIT by 38	50%	55%	69%	+0.0	+5.0	+15.2
MIA @ NYJ	NYJ by 3	54%	60%	56%	+3.6	+8.7	+5.6
NYG @ ATL	NYG by 13	55%	57%	59%	−4.7	−8.0	−9.7
LV @ DEN	DEN by 10	80%	85%	85%	+21.0	+22.8	+22.8
PHI @ NO	NO by 3	45%	53%	41%	−5.4	+2.9	−9.6
LAC @ SF	LAC by 29	29%	39%	24%	+16.7	+9.8	+19.3
SEA @ LA	SEA by 2	51%	47%	41%	−0.8	+2.8	+8.0
TEN @ WAS	TEN by 3	69%	74%	81%	−23.1	−30.3	−39.8
CHI @ ARI	CHI by 1	22%	24%	20%	+20.3	+19.3	+21.2

Week 713−73.2+15.6−73.3−5.63+1.20−5.64

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ LV	LV by 13	38%	49%	41%	−13.1	−0.7	−9.6
CAR @ CIN	CIN by 3	63%	55%	59%	+11.5	+5.0	+8.1
DEN @ CLE	DEN by 10	44%	29%	37%	+5.5	+16.3	+11.4
DET @ NYJ	NYJ by 7	58%	67%	62%	+7.5	+14.3	+10.4
GB @ MIA	GB by 10	63%	60%	67%	−14.1	−10.6	−20.4
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 20	28%	31%	29%	−26.6	−23.0	−25.7
MIN @ SEA	MIN by 18	61%	70%	67%	−12.3	−24.0	−20.4
NE @ BUF	NE by 22	35%	34%	34%	+12.9	+13.4	+13.4
PHI @ TB	TB by 2	31%	52%	33%	−22.1	+1.5	−20.2
PIT @ ATL	ATL by 3	49%	57%	43%	−1.5	+6.3	−7.9
LAC @ KC	KC by 3	31%	46%	33%	−23.0	−3.8	−20.2
WAS @ IND	IND by 14	77%	82%	73%	+19.6	+21.6	+17.5
NYG @ DAL	NYG by 14	65%	51%	59%	−17.6	−0.8	−9.7

Week 814+36.0+6.2−4.5+2.57+0.44−0.32

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ GB	GB by 17	56%	62%	62%	+5.6	+10.4	+10.4
ATL @ CIN	ATL by 2	59%	60%	60%	−9.7	−11.4	−11.4
BAL @ NO	BAL by 13	55%	57%	53%	−4.7	−7.2	−3.1
DAL @ CAR	DAL by 21	43%	63%	63%	+6.8	−14.1	−15.0
HOU @ TEN	TEN by 6	52%	53%	59%	+1.5	+2.9	+8.1
IND @ DEN	IND by 3	41%	48%	59%	+8.0	+2.1	−9.7
JAX @ PHI	JAX by 7	64%	51%	75%	−15.8	−0.8	−31.2
NYJ @ CLE	CLE by 7	52%	46%	53%	+1.5	−4.6	+2.9
PIT @ LV	LV by 7	27%	38%	25%	−28.4	−13.1	−31.1
SEA @ KC	KC by 7	57%	45%	62%	+6.3	−5.4	+10.4
SF @ CHI	CHI by 31	90%	85%	88%	+24.1	+22.7	+23.7
LA @ LAC	LAC by 14	79%	60%	76%	+20.8	+8.7	+19.3
TB @ NYG	NYG by 14	76%	69%	76%	+19.3	+15.2	+19.3
NE @ MIN	NE by 24	49%	49%	47%	+0.7	+0.7	+2.8

Week 914−27.1+8.8−17.3−1.94+0.63−1.23

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ DET	DET by 16	38%	30%	35%	−14.0	−23.9	−16.6
CIN @ BAL	BAL by 6	63%	55%	59%	+11.5	+5.0	+8.1
CLE @ LAC	LAC by 7	86%	73%	83%	+23.1	+17.8	+22.3
DAL @ WAS	WAS by 3	33%	47%	41%	−19.3	−3.0	−9.6
DEN @ PIT	DEN by 11	59%	38%	59%	−9.7	+10.3	−9.7
GB @ BUF	BUF by 14	48%	55%	60%	−2.2	+4.3	+9.3
HOU @ NYG	NYG by 4	79%	82%	83%	+20.6	+21.6	+22.3
IND @ NE	IND by 7	55%	43%	59%	−5.5	+6.2	−9.7
KC @ LA	KC by 14	52%	51%	57%	−2.3	−0.8	−8.0
MIA @ CHI	MIA by 18	91%	88%	83%	−58.5	−51.9	−44.7
MIN @ SF	SF by 6	39%	39%	38%	−12.2	−12.2	−13.1
NO @ TB	NO by 17	43%	53%	53%	+6.8	−3.1	−3.1
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 30	75%	74%	76%	+18.7	+18.4	+19.3
LV @ SEA	SEA by 16	70%	78%	70%	+16.0	+20.1	+16.0

Week 1016+9.9−40.4−5.4+0.62−2.53−0.34

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ TEN	BAL by 1	29%	33%	30%	+16.7	+14.3	+15.9
BUF @ IND	IND by 1	84%	89%	82%	+22.6	+23.7	+21.6
CHI @ NYG	CHI by 18	41%	53%	53%	+8.0	−3.1	−3.1
CLE @ ATL	CLE by 4	67%	73%	75%	−19.4	−27.6	−31.2
DAL @ ARI	DAL by 17	28%	36%	31%	+17.4	+11.9	+15.1
DEN @ LV	DEN by 4	31%	26%	25%	+15.5	+18.4	+18.7
GB @ MIN	GB by 6	63%	70%	65%	−15.0	−24.0	−16.7
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 3	78%	79%	77%	−36.5	−37.3	−34.7
KC @ MIA	MIA by 3	47%	39%	53%	−3.0	−12.2	+2.9
NO @ PIT	PIT by 7	55%	49%	69%	+4.3	−1.5	+15.2
NYJ @ NE	NYJ by 3	79%	76%	78%	−38.2	−32.1	−36.5
LAC @ CIN	LAC by 8	36%	54%	47%	+11.9	−3.9	+2.8
SF @ DET	SF by 6	63%	52%	69%	−14.1	−1.6	−22.2
LA @ SEA	SEA by 2	62%	71%	59%	+10.4	+16.4	+8.1
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 24	72%	56%	75%	+17.1	+5.6	+18.7
TB @ CAR	CAR by 14	64%	65%	77%	+12.0	+12.5	+19.8

Week 1116+38.8−12.9+27.4+2.42−0.81+1.71

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ BAL	BAL by 14	69%	67%	60%	+15.2	+13.9	+9.3
BUF @ HOU	BUF by 3	56%	53%	59%	−6.3	−3.1	−9.7
CHI @ NYJ	CHI by 10	21%	34%	34%	+20.8	+13.4	+13.4
CIN @ NO	CIN by 15	59%	53%	60%	−9.7	−3.1	−11.4
DET @ ARI	ARI by 7	49%	52%	57%	−0.7	+1.5	+6.9
IND @ DAL	DAL by 7	56%	26%	47%	+5.6	−29.3	−3.0
MIN @ MIA	MIA by 4	57%	51%	59%	+6.3	+0.8	+8.1
NE @ GB	NE by 35	35%	35%	34%	+12.9	+12.4	+13.4
LV @ KC	KC by 4	76%	76%	75%	+19.0	+19.0	+18.7
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 4	43%	49%	38%	+6.8	+1.4	+10.3
LAC @ DEN	LAC by 8	40%	64%	57%	+9.2	−15.8	−8.0
SEA @ SF	SF by 6	39%	35%	41%	−12.2	−16.6	−9.6
LA @ CAR	CAR by 15	57%	67%	69%	+6.3	+13.9	+15.2
TEN @ PHI	TEN by 18	83%	70%	83%	−43.1	−24.0	−44.7
WAS @ TB	TB by 3	50%	55%	59%	+0.0	+5.0	+8.1
NYG @ JAX	JAX by 16	60%	48%	62%	+8.7	−2.2	+10.4

Week 1216+95.7+95.2+110.9+5.98+5.95+6.93

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ KC	KC by 9	53%	47%	53%	+2.9	−3.0	+2.9
MIA @ DET	MIA by 17	47%	42%	41%	+2.8	+7.4	+8.0
TB @ DAL	DAL by 28	84%	67%	83%	+22.4	+13.9	+21.9
ARI @ MIN	MIN by 5	66%	72%	70%	+13.4	+17.1	+16.0
CAR @ WAS	WAS by 4	47%	42%	34%	−3.0	−8.7	−18.4
CHI @ NE	NE by 4	48%	47%	63%	−2.2	−3.0	+11.5
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 30	42%	40%	41%	+7.4	+9.2	+8.0
HOU @ NYJ	NYJ by 15	57%	67%	63%	+6.9	+14.3	+11.5
JAX @ BUF	BUF by 3	35%	42%	41%	−17.5	−8.7	−9.6
NO @ ATL	NO by 18	51%	58%	59%	−0.8	−8.9	−9.7
NYG @ TEN	TEN by 3	40%	35%	38%	−11.3	−17.5	−13.1
LV @ LAC	LAC by 7	90%	84%	84%	+24.0	+22.4	+22.6
PHI @ IND	IND by 24	64%	84%	77%	+12.0	+22.4	+19.8
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 27	66%	69%	59%	+13.4	+15.6	+8.1
SF @ LA	LA by 3	62%	54%	63%	+10.4	+3.6	+11.5
GB @ SEA	SEA by 10	68%	76%	77%	+14.8	+19.0	+19.8

Week 1316+58.6−29.7+8.5+3.66−1.86+0.53

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 6	50%	48%	59%	+0.0	−2.2	+8.1
ARI @ LA	ARI by 14	64%	71%	67%	−15.8	−24.9	−20.4
ATL @ WAS	ATL by 10	52%	55%	47%	−2.3	−5.5	+2.8
DAL @ NYG	DAL by 3	40%	56%	41%	+9.2	−6.3	+8.0
DET @ NE	NE by 7	85%	86%	83%	+22.7	+22.9	+22.3
HOU @ LV	HOU by 9	51%	55%	59%	−0.8	−4.7	−9.7
IND @ TEN	TEN by 3	28%	21%	29%	−26.6	−37.2	−25.7
JAX @ MIA	JAX by 14	46%	50%	53%	+4.2	−0.0	−3.1
KC @ CLE	CLE by 3	39%	36%	38%	−12.2	−15.7	−13.1
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 10	85%	76%	75%	+22.8	+19.0	+18.7
NYJ @ GB	NYJ by 28	47%	46%	53%	+2.8	+3.5	−3.1
LAC @ BUF	LAC by 3	26%	37%	34%	+18.4	+11.4	+13.4
SEA @ DEN	SEA by 3	62%	57%	63%	−13.2	−8.0	−15.0
SF @ NO	NO by 24	74%	63%	70%	+18.4	+11.5	+16.0
TB @ PIT	PIT by 17	73%	62%	75%	+17.5	+10.4	+18.7
CAR @ PHI	PHI by 3	66%	46%	41%	+13.4	−3.8	−9.6

Week 1416+40.6−29.9+1.2+2.54−1.87+0.07

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 20	69%	67%	70%	+15.6	+14.3	+16.0
ATL @ TB	ATL by 11	40%	49%	38%	+9.2	+1.4	+10.3
BAL @ KC	BAL by 10	45%	49%	59%	+4.9	+1.4	−9.7
BUF @ NYJ	BUF by 18	63%	63%	63%	−15.0	−14.1	−15.0
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 28	76%	63%	75%	+19.3	+11.5	+18.7
GB @ SF	GB by 11	56%	63%	62%	−6.3	−14.1	−13.2
IND @ JAX	JAX by 27	55%	38%	47%	+4.3	−14.0	−3.0
MIN @ DET	MIN by 10	46%	38%	53%	+4.2	+10.3	−3.1
NE @ MIA	MIA by 21	36%	36%	41%	−15.7	−15.7	−9.6
NO @ DAL	NO by 25	69%	65%	71%	−22.2	−16.7	−25.8
NYG @ CAR	NYG by 14	50%	55%	41%	−0.0	−4.7	+8.0
LV @ CIN	CIN by 17	82%	83%	78%	+21.6	+22.3	+20.3
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 2	38%	54%	44%	+10.9	−3.9	+5.5
SEA @ ARI	ARI by 6	43%	28%	41%	−7.9	−27.5	−9.6
TEN @ HOU	TEN by 6	52%	47%	53%	−2.3	+2.8	−3.1
CHI @ LA	CHI by 15	22%	29%	33%	+20.1	+16.7	+14.3

Week 1516+24.1+47.2+17.4+1.51+2.95+1.09

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
SF @ SEA	SF by 10	72%	75%	77%	−26.7	−31.2	−34.7
DAL @ ATL	DAL by 10	38%	51%	38%	+10.3	−0.8	+10.3
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 10	84%	81%	83%	+22.4	+21.2	+22.3
DEN @ ARI	DEN by 17	46%	35%	43%	+3.5	+12.9	+6.8
DET @ GB	GB by 8	53%	67%	67%	+2.9	+13.9	+14.3
HOU @ NE	NE by 33	81%	82%	83%	+21.2	+21.8	+22.3
JAX @ TEN	TEN by 7	33%	44%	40%	−20.2	−6.2	−11.3
KC @ LAC	LAC by 11	80%	71%	76%	+21.0	+16.4	+19.3
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 21	52%	55%	53%	+1.5	+4.3	+2.9
NYJ @ MIN	NYJ by 13	58%	57%	60%	−8.9	−8.0	−11.4
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 14	55%	64%	66%	−5.5	−15.8	−18.5
PIT @ CAR	PIT by 34	47%	54%	41%	+2.8	−3.9	+8.0
LA @ LV	LA by 20	45%	42%	59%	+4.9	+7.4	−9.7
TB @ CHI	CHI by 3	93%	83%	83%	+24.6	+22.3	+22.3
WAS @ NO	WAS by 6	79%	68%	77%	−37.3	−21.3	−34.7
CIN @ IND	IND by 18	58%	67%	60%	+7.5	+14.3	+9.3

Week 1616−38.0−47.9−93.6−2.37−3.00−5.85

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
MIN @ GB	GB by 2	46%	49%	62%	−4.6	−0.7	+10.4
KC @ LV	KC by 11	34%	30%	30%	+13.4	+15.9	+15.9
ARI @ SF	ARI by 6	52%	64%	60%	−1.6	−15.8	−11.4
BAL @ PIT	BAL by 24	50%	46%	62%	−0.0	+4.2	−13.2
CAR @ ATL	CAR by 7	63%	57%	67%	−15.0	−8.0	−20.4
CHI @ DET	CHI by 5	16%	15%	33%	+22.4	+22.7	+14.3
CIN @ DEN	DEN by 1	51%	57%	59%	+0.8	+6.9	+8.1
IND @ HOU	HOU by 3	27%	19%	25%	−28.4	−40.6	−31.1
NE @ JAX	NE by 3	57%	49%	59%	−7.2	+0.7	−9.7
NO @ NYG	NO by 23	48%	60%	59%	+2.1	−10.6	−9.7
LAC @ SEA	LAC by 3	28%	44%	38%	+17.1	+5.5	+10.3
TB @ CLE	TB by 15	60%	55%	60%	−10.6	−4.7	−11.4
TEN @ BUF	TEN by 1	60%	57%	66%	−11.4	−7.2	−18.5
WAS @ LA	LA by 6	59%	55%	53%	+8.1	+4.3	+2.9
NYJ @ MIA	NYJ by 3	56%	54%	57%	−6.3	−3.9	−8.0
PHI @ DAL	PHI by 16	65%	65%	69%	−16.7	−16.7	−22.2

Week 1716−61.9−26.5−4.1−3.87−1.66−0.26

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
NYG @ WAS	NYG by 6	46%	49%	47%	+4.2	+1.4	+2.8
ARI @ LAC	LAC by 7	87%	85%	84%	+23.4	+22.7	+22.6
ATL @ PHI	PHI by 7	72%	63%	70%	+17.1	+10.9	+16.0
BUF @ BAL	BAL by 12	78%	76%	76%	+20.1	+19.3	+19.3
CAR @ NO	CAR by 10	79%	60%	41%	−38.2	−10.6	+8.0
CLE @ HOU	HOU by 8	59%	57%	67%	+8.1	+6.9	+14.3
DET @ DAL	DET by 8	82%	83%	84%	−42.3	−44.7	−46.2
GB @ CHI	GB by 19	90%	84%	57%	−56.8	−45.4	−8.0
JAX @ KC	KC by 5	43%	55%	53%	−7.9	+4.3	+2.9
MIA @ IND	IND by 5	73%	78%	76%	+17.8	+20.3	+19.3
NE @ TEN	NE by 17	35%	41%	60%	+12.4	+8.0	−11.4
LV @ NYJ	NYJ by 20	76%	81%	77%	+19.0	+21.2	+19.8
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 6	61%	60%	67%	−12.3	−11.4	−20.4
SEA @ TB	SEA by 16	42%	41%	59%	+7.4	+8.0	−9.7
SF @ DEN	SF by 3	73%	76%	78%	−28.5	−32.1	−36.5
LA @ MIN	LA by 20	55%	55%	47%	−5.5	−5.5	+2.8

2005RETRODICTION256+1141.6+891.7+1330.1+4.46+3.48+5.20

Week 116+20.7+17.8+9.3+1.29+1.11+0.58

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
LV @ NE	NE by 10	71%	73%	71%	+16.4	+17.8	+16.7
ARI @ NYG	NYG by 23	53%	57%	55%	+2.9	+6.3	+4.3
CHI @ WAS	WAS by 2	60%	59%	67%	+8.7	+8.1	+14.3
CIN @ CLE	CIN by 14	43%	49%	40%	+6.8	+1.4	+9.2
DAL @ LAC	DAL by 4	58%	68%	65%	−8.9	−21.3	−16.7
DEN @ MIA	MIA by 24	45%	45%	37%	−5.4	−5.4	−14.8
GB @ DET	DET by 14	57%	49%	59%	+6.9	−1.5	+8.1
HOU @ BUF	BUF by 15	62%	60%	63%	+10.4	+9.3	+11.5
IND @ BAL	IND by 17	47%	51%	41%	+2.8	−0.8	+8.0
NO @ CAR	NO by 3	63%	55%	69%	−15.0	−4.7	−22.2
NYJ @ KC	KC by 20	57%	51%	59%	+6.9	+0.8	+8.1
SEA @ JAX	JAX by 12	55%	57%	59%	+5.0	+6.3	+8.1
LA @ SF	SF by 3	40%	45%	37%	−10.5	−5.4	−14.8
TB @ MIN	TB by 11	67%	63%	67%	−19.4	−14.1	−20.4
TEN @ PIT	PIT by 27	71%	75%	70%	+16.7	+18.7	+16.0
PHI @ ATL	ATL by 4	46%	52%	44%	−3.8	+2.2	−6.2

Week 216+30.3−2.9+33.7+1.90−0.18+2.11

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ SEA	SEA by 3	50%	45%	53%	+0.0	−5.4	+2.9
BAL @ TEN	TEN by 15	46%	50%	40%	−3.8	+0.0	−11.3
BUF @ TB	TB by 16	51%	49%	57%	+0.8	−0.7	+6.9
CLE @ GB	CLE by 2	60%	67%	70%	−11.4	−20.4	−24.0
DET @ CHI	CHI by 32	48%	46%	43%	−2.2	−4.6	−7.9
JAX @ IND	IND by 7	71%	62%	75%	+16.7	+10.4	+18.7
KC @ LV	KC by 6	42%	46%	46%	+7.4	+3.5	+4.2
MIA @ NYJ	NYJ by 10	54%	60%	67%	+3.6	+8.7	+14.3
MIN @ CIN	CIN by 29	58%	64%	59%	+7.5	+12.0	+8.1
NE @ CAR	CAR by 10	46%	37%	41%	−3.8	−14.8	−9.6
PIT @ HOU	PIT by 20	37%	35%	37%	+11.4	+12.9	+11.4
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 3	49%	54%	59%	−0.7	+3.6	+8.1
SF @ PHI	PHI by 39	77%	70%	81%	+19.6	+16.0	+21.2
LA @ ARI	LA by 5	49%	55%	47%	+0.7	−4.7	+2.8
NYG @ NO	NYG by 17	52%	60%	41%	−2.3	−11.4	+8.0
WAS @ DAL	WAS by 1	62%	57%	67%	−13.2	−8.0	−20.4

Week 314+58.5+48.7+93.1+4.18+3.48+6.65

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 25	66%	69%	69%	+13.4	+15.6	+15.2
ATL @ BUF	ATL by 8	54%	52%	59%	−3.9	−1.6	−9.7
CAR @ MIA	MIA by 3	46%	52%	40%	−3.8	+1.5	−11.3
CIN @ CHI	CIN by 17	48%	45%	41%	+2.1	+4.9	+8.0
CLE @ IND	IND by 7	82%	77%	84%	+21.8	+19.6	+22.6
DAL @ SF	DAL by 3	40%	49%	31%	+9.2	+0.7	+15.1
JAX @ NYJ	JAX by 6	51%	56%	57%	−0.8	−6.3	−8.0
NE @ PIT	NE by 3	62%	66%	59%	−13.2	−18.5	−9.7
NO @ MIN	MIN by 17	58%	49%	60%	+7.5	−0.7	+9.3
NYG @ LAC	LAC by 22	50%	52%	66%	+0.0	+1.5	+13.4
LV @ PHI	PHI by 3	77%	76%	74%	+19.8	+19.0	+18.1
TB @ GB	TB by 1	45%	50%	41%	+4.9	−0.0	+8.0
TEN @ LA	LA by 4	60%	59%	69%	+9.3	+8.1	+15.2
KC @ DEN	DEN by 20	43%	55%	57%	−7.9	+5.0	+6.9

Week 414+66.6+59.9+76.9+4.76+4.28+5.49

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ NO	NO by 12	49%	55%	47%	−1.5	+4.3	−3.0
DAL @ LV	LV by 6	51%	42%	59%	+0.8	−8.7	+8.1
DEN @ JAX	DEN by 13	62%	56%	62%	−13.2	−6.3	−13.2
DET @ TB	TB by 4	69%	65%	69%	+15.2	+12.5	+15.2
HOU @ CIN	CIN by 6	82%	72%	76%	+21.8	+17.1	+19.3
IND @ TEN	IND by 21	35%	33%	30%	+12.9	+13.8	+15.9
MIN @ ATL	ATL by 20	63%	69%	67%	+11.5	+15.2	+14.3
NYJ @ BAL	BAL by 10	49%	52%	71%	−0.7	+2.2	+16.7
PHI @ KC	PHI by 6	46%	47%	57%	+4.2	+2.8	−8.0
LAC @ NE	LAC by 24	63%	66%	66%	−14.1	−18.5	−18.5
SEA @ WAS	WAS by 3	49%	56%	56%	−1.5	+5.6	+5.6
SF @ ARI	ARI by 17	55%	55%	59%	+5.0	+5.0	+8.1
LA @ NYG	NYG by 20	61%	56%	59%	+9.9	+5.6	+8.1
GB @ CAR	CAR by 3	71%	60%	59%	+16.4	+9.3	+8.1

Week 514+13.2−4.3+28.9+0.94−0.31+2.07

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ DET	DET by 18	51%	53%	56%	+0.8	+2.9	+5.6
CAR @ ARI	CAR by 4	37%	48%	41%	+11.4	+2.1	+8.0
CHI @ CLE	CLE by 10	46%	56%	59%	−3.8	+5.6	+8.1
CIN @ JAX	JAX by 3	49%	49%	59%	−1.5	−1.5	+8.1
IND @ SF	IND by 25	23%	24%	15%	+19.8	+19.3	+22.8
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 6	50%	54%	57%	+0.0	+3.6	+6.9
NE @ ATL	NE by 3	60%	60%	57%	−10.6	−10.6	−8.0
NO @ GB	GB by 49	57%	45%	59%	+6.3	−5.4	+8.1
PHI @ DAL	DAL by 23	36%	39%	40%	−15.7	−12.2	−11.3
SEA @ LA	SEA by 6	49%	54%	59%	+0.7	−3.9	−9.7
TB @ NYJ	NYJ by 2	49%	44%	40%	−1.5	−6.2	−11.3
TEN @ HOU	TEN by 14	48%	56%	55%	+2.1	−6.3	−4.7
WAS @ DEN	DEN by 2	63%	58%	70%	+11.5	+7.5	+16.0
PIT @ LAC	PIT by 2	56%	49%	59%	−6.3	+0.7	−9.7

Week 614+100.6+68.5+110.1+7.19+4.90+7.87

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ NO	ATL by 3	31%	45%	38%	+15.5	+4.9	+10.3
CAR @ DET	CAR by 1	45%	54%	50%	+4.9	−3.9	−0.0
CIN @ TEN	CIN by 8	39%	43%	41%	+9.8	+6.2	+8.0
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 13	55%	57%	62%	+4.3	+6.9	+10.4
HOU @ SEA	SEA by 32	78%	72%	74%	+20.1	+17.1	+18.1
JAX @ PIT	JAX by 6	69%	67%	65%	−23.1	−20.4	−16.7
MIA @ TB	TB by 14	60%	67%	63%	+9.3	+13.9	+11.5
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 25	59%	52%	56%	+8.1	+2.2	+5.6
NE @ DEN	DEN by 8	54%	57%	59%	+3.6	+6.3	+8.1
NYG @ DAL	DAL by 3	49%	52%	60%	−0.7	+2.2	+9.3
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 10	57%	55%	59%	+6.9	+4.3	+8.1
LAC @ LV	LAC by 13	38%	42%	50%	+10.3	+7.4	−0.0
WAS @ KC	KC by 7	63%	51%	69%	+11.5	+0.8	+15.2
LA @ IND	IND by 17	78%	79%	83%	+20.1	+20.6	+22.3

Week 714+98.6+63.2+105.9+7.04+4.51+7.56

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
KC @ MIA	KC by 10	44%	47%	47%	+5.5	+2.8	+2.8
BAL @ CHI	CHI by 4	66%	50%	53%	+13.4	+0.0	+2.9
BUF @ LV	LV by 21	52%	44%	59%	+1.5	−6.2	+8.1
DAL @ SEA	SEA by 3	65%	59%	59%	+13.0	+8.1	+8.1
DEN @ NYG	NYG by 1	60%	42%	56%	+9.3	−8.7	+5.6
DET @ CLE	DET by 3	49%	53%	59%	+0.7	−3.1	−9.7
GB @ MIN	MIN by 3	37%	54%	56%	−14.8	+3.6	+5.6
IND @ HOU	IND by 18	15%	22%	14%	+22.7	+20.3	+23.1
NO @ LA	LA by 11	67%	56%	65%	+14.3	+5.6	+12.5
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 14	58%	53%	59%	−8.9	−3.1	−9.7
LAC @ PHI	PHI by 3	55%	60%	62%	+5.0	+9.3	+10.4
SF @ WAS	WAS by 35	76%	73%	81%	+19.0	+17.8	+21.2
TEN @ ARI	ARI by 10	50%	51%	59%	+0.0	+0.8	+8.1
NYJ @ ATL	ATL by 13	73%	70%	71%	+17.8	+16.0	+16.7

Week 814+67.9+51.3+58.1+4.85+3.66+4.15

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ DAL	DAL by 21	70%	67%	70%	+16.0	+14.3	+16.0
BUF @ NE	NE by 5	67%	69%	70%	+13.9	+15.2	+16.0
CHI @ DET	CHI by 6	52%	60%	59%	−1.6	−10.6	−9.7
CLE @ HOU	HOU by 3	43%	52%	56%	−7.9	+1.5	+5.6
GB @ CIN	CIN by 7	64%	74%	70%	+12.0	+18.1	+16.0
JAX @ LA	LA by 3	49%	44%	41%	−0.7	−6.2	−9.6
KC @ LAC	LAC by 8	63%	57%	65%	+10.9	+6.9	+12.5
MIA @ NO	MIA by 15	46%	59%	56%	+4.2	−9.7	−6.3
MIN @ CAR	CAR by 25	74%	67%	73%	+18.4	+13.9	+17.5
LV @ TEN	LV by 9	48%	55%	44%	+2.1	−4.7	+5.5
PHI @ DEN	DEN by 28	51%	57%	59%	+0.8	+6.3	+8.1
TB @ SF	SF by 5	26%	32%	20%	−29.3	−21.1	−39.7
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 36	60%	59%	59%	+8.7	+8.1	+8.1
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 1	78%	76%	74%	+20.3	+19.3	+18.1

Week 914+134.0+104.9+124.6+9.57+7.49+8.90

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ MIA	ATL by 7	41%	37%	44%	+8.0	+11.4	+5.5
CAR @ TB	CAR by 20	47%	54%	50%	+2.8	−3.9	−0.0
CHI @ NO	CHI by 3	34%	47%	43%	+13.4	+2.8	+6.8
CIN @ BAL	CIN by 12	39%	40%	40%	+9.8	+8.6	+9.2
DET @ MIN	MIN by 13	45%	52%	46%	−5.4	+2.2	−4.6
HOU @ JAX	JAX by 7	80%	74%	79%	+21.0	+18.4	+20.8
NYG @ SF	NYG by 18	19%	35%	24%	+21.6	+12.9	+19.3
LV @ KC	KC by 4	62%	63%	63%	+10.4	+11.5	+11.5
PHI @ WAS	WAS by 7	49%	46%	50%	−1.5	−3.8	+0.0
PIT @ GB	PIT by 10	46%	28%	31%	+4.2	+17.4	+15.1
LAC @ NYJ	LAC by 5	32%	46%	34%	+14.7	+4.2	+13.4
SEA @ ARI	SEA by 14	30%	36%	37%	+15.9	+11.9	+11.4
TEN @ CLE	CLE by 6	56%	56%	59%	+5.6	+5.6	+8.1
IND @ NE	IND by 19	34%	44%	41%	+13.4	+5.5	+8.0

Week 1014+66.2+68.6+65.6+4.73+4.90+4.68

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ DET	DET by 8	64%	63%	62%	+12.0	+11.5	+10.4
BAL @ JAX	JAX by 27	73%	72%	73%	+17.5	+17.1	+17.5
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 13	78%	83%	71%	+20.1	+22.1	+16.7
DEN @ LV	DEN by 14	46%	34%	43%	+4.2	+13.4	+6.8
GB @ ATL	GB by 8	69%	81%	76%	−23.1	−40.7	−33.0
HOU @ IND	IND by 14	94%	89%	90%	+24.6	+23.7	+24.0
KC @ BUF	BUF by 11	43%	49%	57%	−7.9	−1.5	+6.9
MIN @ NYG	MIN by 3	83%	71%	77%	−43.1	−24.9	−34.7
NE @ MIA	NE by 7	51%	38%	43%	−0.8	+10.9	+6.8
NYJ @ CAR	CAR by 27	79%	71%	76%	+20.8	+16.4	+19.3
SF @ CHI	CHI by 8	83%	71%	82%	+21.9	+16.7	+21.6
LA @ SEA	SEA by 15	73%	65%	70%	+17.5	+12.5	+16.0
WAS @ TB	TB by 1	56%	54%	47%	+5.6	+3.6	−3.0
DAL @ PHI	DAL by 1	53%	61%	59%	−3.1	−12.3	−9.7

Week 1116+48.4+43.3+46.9+3.02+2.71+2.93

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ LA	ARI by 10	67%	71%	75%	−19.4	−24.9	−31.2
BUF @ LAC	LAC by 38	76%	67%	75%	+19.3	+14.3	+18.7
CAR @ CHI	CHI by 10	42%	49%	41%	−8.7	−0.7	−9.6
DET @ DAL	DAL by 13	70%	67%	73%	+16.0	+14.3	+17.5
IND @ CIN	IND by 8	40%	40%	37%	+9.2	+9.2	+11.4
JAX @ TEN	JAX by 3	34%	31%	38%	+13.4	+15.1	+10.3
KC @ HOU	KC by 28	29%	41%	31%	+16.7	+8.0	+15.1
MIA @ CLE	CLE by 22	52%	55%	57%	+2.2	+5.0	+6.9
NO @ NE	NE by 7	76%	79%	77%	+19.3	+20.6	+19.8
NYJ @ DEN	DEN by 27	82%	79%	83%	+21.8	+20.6	+22.3
LV @ WAS	LV by 3	59%	66%	67%	−9.7	−18.5	−20.4
PHI @ NYG	NYG by 10	69%	57%	60%	+15.6	+6.3	+9.3
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 3	28%	28%	38%	−26.6	−27.5	−13.1
SEA @ SF	SEA by 2	15%	29%	19%	+22.8	+16.7	+21.6
TB @ ATL	TB by 3	67%	64%	67%	−20.4	−15.8	−20.4
MIN @ GB	MIN by 3	69%	49%	60%	−23.1	+0.7	−11.4

Week 1216+117.4+80.1+101.6+7.34+5.00+6.35

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ DET	ATL by 20	39%	43%	41%	+9.8	+6.8	+8.0
DEN @ DAL	DEN by 3	50%	46%	55%	−0.0	+3.5	−4.7
BAL @ CIN	CIN by 13	81%	72%	75%	+21.2	+17.1	+18.7
CAR @ BUF	CAR by 4	30%	46%	38%	+15.9	+4.2	+10.3
CHI @ TB	CHI by 3	55%	57%	59%	−4.7	−8.0	−9.7
CLE @ MIN	MIN by 12	50%	66%	60%	+0.0	+13.4	+9.3
GB @ PHI	PHI by 5	56%	71%	60%	+5.6	+16.4	+9.3
JAX @ ARI	JAX by 7	32%	33%	40%	+14.7	+14.3	+9.2
MIA @ LV	MIA by 12	65%	63%	70%	−16.7	−15.0	−24.0
NE @ KC	KC by 10	63%	46%	59%	+11.5	−4.6	+8.1
NO @ NYJ	NO by 2	57%	62%	47%	−8.0	−13.2	+2.8
NYG @ SEA	SEA by 3	57%	61%	66%	+6.3	+9.9	+13.4
LAC @ WAS	LAC by 6	35%	44%	41%	+12.4	+5.5	+8.0
SF @ TEN	TEN by 11	70%	59%	70%	+16.0	+8.1	+16.0
LA @ HOU	LA by 6	33%	44%	40%	+13.8	+5.5	+9.2
PIT @ IND	IND by 19	77%	70%	73%	+19.6	+16.0	+17.5

Week 1316+145.8+110.6+152.1+9.11+6.91+9.50

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SF	ARI by 7	40%	49%	41%	+9.2	+1.4	+8.0
ATL @ CAR	CAR by 18	61%	57%	59%	+9.9	+6.3	+8.1
BUF @ MIA	MIA by 1	60%	52%	59%	+9.3	+1.5	+8.1
CIN @ PIT	CIN by 7	53%	60%	62%	−3.1	−11.4	−13.2
DAL @ NYG	NYG by 7	65%	57%	59%	+12.5	+6.9	+8.1
DEN @ KC	KC by 4	50%	42%	50%	+0.0	−8.7	+0.0
GB @ CHI	CHI by 12	61%	75%	70%	+9.9	+18.7	+16.0
HOU @ BAL	BAL by 1	65%	67%	70%	+13.0	+14.3	+16.0
JAX @ CLE	JAX by 6	38%	33%	41%	+10.3	+14.3	+8.0
MIN @ DET	MIN by 5	55%	47%	41%	−4.7	+2.8	+8.0
NYJ @ NE	NE by 13	73%	76%	71%	+17.8	+19.3	+16.7
LV @ LAC	LAC by 24	79%	76%	77%	+20.8	+19.3	+19.8
TB @ NO	TB by 7	35%	42%	40%	+12.4	+7.4	+9.2
TEN @ IND	IND by 32	90%	92%	85%	+24.1	+24.3	+22.8
WAS @ LA	WAS by 15	52%	57%	41%	−2.3	−8.0	+8.0
SEA @ PHI	SEA by 42	43%	48%	41%	+6.8	+2.1	+8.0

Week 1416+91.4+97.3+118.9+5.71+6.08+7.43

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ DEN	DEN by 2	84%	77%	85%	+22.4	+19.8	+22.8
CHI @ PIT	PIT by 12	61%	61%	62%	+9.9	+9.9	+10.4
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 3	78%	81%	83%	+20.3	+21.2	+21.9
DET @ GB	GB by 3	65%	52%	66%	+13.0	+1.5	+13.4
HOU @ TEN	TEN by 3	66%	62%	69%	+13.4	+10.4	+15.2
IND @ JAX	IND by 8	34%	38%	29%	+13.4	+10.9	+16.7
KC @ DAL	DAL by 3	55%	52%	59%	+4.3	+2.2	+8.1
MIA @ LAC	MIA by 2	83%	77%	84%	−44.7	−33.9	−46.2
NE @ BUF	NE by 28	43%	38%	40%	+6.2	+10.3	+9.2
NYG @ PHI	NYG by 3	34%	52%	41%	+13.4	−1.6	+8.0
LV @ NYJ	NYJ by 16	42%	54%	41%	−8.7	+3.6	−9.6
SF @ SEA	SEA by 38	93%	88%	88%	+24.5	+23.6	+23.5
LA @ MIN	MIN by 14	55%	64%	70%	+4.3	+12.0	+16.0
TB @ CAR	TB by 10	74%	63%	66%	−30.3	−15.0	−18.5
WAS @ ARI	WAS by 4	41%	46%	41%	+8.0	+3.5	+8.0
NO @ ATL	ATL by 19	83%	75%	77%	+22.1	+18.7	+19.8

Week 1516+96.4+89.5+111.5+6.02+5.59+6.97

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ BUF	DEN by 11	26%	31%	28%	+18.1	+15.5	+17.4
KC @ NYG	NYG by 10	65%	61%	59%	+12.5	+9.9	+8.1
TB @ NE	NE by 28	60%	63%	63%	+9.3	+10.9	+11.5
ARI @ HOU	HOU by 11	42%	47%	47%	−8.7	−3.0	−3.0
ATL @ CHI	CHI by 13	50%	55%	59%	+0.0	+5.0	+8.1
CAR @ NO	CAR by 17	20%	33%	30%	+21.0	+13.8	+15.9
CIN @ DET	CIN by 24	30%	29%	29%	+15.9	+16.3	+16.7
CLE @ LV	CLE by 2	53%	57%	59%	−3.1	−8.0	−9.7
DAL @ WAS	WAS by 28	51%	52%	59%	+0.8	+1.5	+8.1
NYJ @ MIA	MIA by 4	68%	62%	71%	+14.8	+10.4	+16.7
PHI @ LA	PHI by 1	52%	48%	59%	−1.6	+2.1	−9.7
PIT @ MIN	PIT by 15	41%	47%	41%	+8.0	+2.8	+8.0
LAC @ IND	LAC by 9	73%	79%	71%	−27.6	−38.2	−25.8
SEA @ TEN	SEA by 4	20%	28%	29%	+21.0	+17.1	+16.7
SF @ JAX	JAX by 1	90%	87%	86%	+24.0	+23.4	+23.1
GB @ BAL	BAL by 45	43%	61%	60%	−7.9	+9.9	+9.3

Week 1616−25.1−12.5+32.8−1.57−0.78+2.05

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ TB	TB by 3	46%	55%	59%	−3.8	+5.0	+8.1
BUF @ CIN	BUF by 10	86%	81%	83%	−48.4	−40.7	−44.7
DAL @ CAR	DAL by 4	71%	63%	66%	−24.9	−14.1	−18.5
DET @ NO	DET by 1	44%	53%	59%	+5.5	−3.1	−9.7
IND @ SEA	SEA by 15	52%	43%	70%	+1.5	−7.9	+16.0
JAX @ HOU	JAX by 18	24%	25%	33%	+19.3	+19.0	+14.3
NYG @ WAS	WAS by 15	46%	46%	59%	−3.8	−3.8	+8.1
LV @ DEN	DEN by 19	81%	84%	83%	+21.4	+22.6	+21.9
PHI @ ARI	ARI by 6	47%	38%	53%	−3.0	−14.0	+2.9
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 41	40%	30%	30%	+9.2	+15.9	+15.9
LAC @ KC	KC by 13	43%	47%	53%	−7.9	−3.0	+2.9
SF @ LA	SF by 4	75%	73%	75%	−31.2	−28.5	−31.2
TEN @ MIA	MIA by 14	64%	66%	66%	+12.0	+13.4	+13.4
CHI @ GB	CHI by 7	43%	34%	30%	+6.8	+13.4	+15.9
MIN @ BAL	BAL by 7	57%	48%	57%	+6.3	−2.2	+6.9
NE @ NYJ	NE by 10	30%	31%	38%	+15.9	+15.5	+10.3

Week 1716+10.6+7.7+60.2+0.66+0.48+3.77

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
DEN @ LAC	DEN by 16	60%	49%	70%	−11.4	+1.4	−24.0
NYG @ LV	NYG by 9	29%	32%	29%	+16.7	+14.7	+16.7
ARI @ IND	IND by 4	91%	88%	67%	+24.1	+23.7	+14.3
BAL @ CLE	CLE by 4	52%	48%	41%	+1.5	−2.2	−9.6
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 4	51%	50%	55%	+0.8	+0.0	+4.3
CAR @ ATL	CAR by 33	50%	52%	40%	−0.0	−2.3	+9.2
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 24	42%	48%	59%	−8.7	−2.2	+8.1
CIN @ KC	KC by 34	51%	49%	71%	+0.8	−1.5	+16.7
DET @ PIT	PIT by 14	83%	81%	88%	+22.1	+21.4	+23.5
HOU @ SF	SF by 3	49%	55%	47%	−1.5	+5.0	−3.0
MIA @ NE	MIA by 2	69%	73%	59%	−22.2	−28.5	−9.7
NO @ TB	TB by 14	77%	79%	83%	+19.8	+20.6	+22.3
SEA @ GB	GB by 6	22%	24%	59%	−35.5	−32.9	+8.1
LA @ DAL	LA by 10	71%	73%	83%	−25.8	−27.6	−43.1
TEN @ JAX	JAX by 27	81%	83%	62%	+21.2	+22.1	+10.4
WAS @ PHI	WAS by 11	40%	54%	30%	+8.6	−3.9	+15.9

2004RETRODICTION256+725.0+613.4+850.0+2.83+2.40+3.32

Week 116+41.8+1.8+73.6+2.61+0.11+4.60

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
IND @ NE	NE by 3	58%	60%	59%	+7.5	+9.3	+8.1
TEN @ MIA	TEN by 10	54%	53%	41%	−3.9	−3.1	+8.0
ARI @ LA	LA by 7	71%	71%	79%	+16.7	+16.7	+20.8
ATL @ SF	ATL by 2	43%	60%	41%	+6.2	−11.4	+8.0
BAL @ CLE	CLE by 17	48%	47%	40%	−2.2	−3.0	−11.3
CIN @ NYJ	NYJ by 7	60%	53%	66%	+9.3	+2.9	+13.4
DAL @ MIN	MIN by 18	57%	55%	69%	+6.9	+4.3	+15.2
DET @ CHI	DET by 4	56%	60%	55%	−6.3	−11.4	−4.7
JAX @ BUF	JAX by 3	55%	59%	59%	−5.5	−9.7	−9.7
KC @ DEN	DEN by 10	52%	51%	59%	+2.2	+0.8	+8.1
NYG @ PHI	PHI by 14	74%	71%	76%	+18.1	+16.7	+19.3
LV @ PIT	PIT by 3	55%	60%	60%	+5.0	+9.3	+9.3
LAC @ HOU	LAC by 7	63%	59%	63%	−14.1	−9.7	−15.0
SEA @ NO	SEA by 14	51%	53%	43%	−0.8	−3.1	+6.8
TB @ WAS	WAS by 6	55%	53%	57%	+4.3	+2.9	+6.9
GB @ CAR	GB by 10	52%	59%	59%	−1.6	−9.7	−9.7

Week 216−0.7+5.7+46.5−0.05+0.35+2.91

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BUF @ LV	LV by 3	57%	53%	60%	+6.3	+2.9	+9.3
CAR @ KC	CAR by 11	66%	60%	70%	−18.5	−10.6	−24.0
CHI @ GB	CHI by 11	73%	69%	75%	−27.6	−23.1	−31.2
CLE @ DAL	DAL by 7	58%	57%	63%	+7.5	+6.9	+11.5
DEN @ JAX	JAX by 1	45%	46%	41%	−5.4	−3.8	−9.6
HOU @ DET	DET by 12	61%	64%	59%	+9.9	+12.0	+8.1
IND @ TEN	IND by 14	57%	64%	46%	−7.2	−15.8	+4.2
MIA @ CIN	CIN by 3	52%	52%	66%	+1.5	+2.2	+13.4
NE @ ARI	NE by 11	38%	31%	28%	+10.9	+15.5	+17.4
NYJ @ LAC	NYJ by 6	40%	52%	41%	+8.6	−2.3	+8.0
PIT @ BAL	BAL by 17	55%	57%	62%	+5.0	+6.3	+10.4
SEA @ TB	SEA by 4	54%	43%	41%	−3.9	+6.2	+8.0
SF @ NO	NO by 3	57%	59%	71%	+6.9	+8.1	+16.7
LA @ ATL	ATL by 17	53%	44%	56%	+2.9	−6.2	+5.6
WAS @ NYG	NYG by 6	46%	47%	41%	−3.8	−3.0	−9.6
MIN @ PHI	PHI by 11	57%	62%	59%	+6.3	+10.4	+8.1

Week 314+11.8+26.6+48.5+0.84+1.90+3.46

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ ATL	ATL by 3	72%	70%	79%	+17.1	+16.0	+20.8
BAL @ CIN	BAL by 14	52%	53%	46%	−2.3	−3.1	+4.2
CHI @ MIN	MIN by 5	67%	60%	82%	+14.3	+9.3	+21.6
CLE @ NYG	NYG by 17	54%	55%	59%	+3.6	+5.0	+8.1
GB @ IND	IND by 14	65%	63%	67%	+13.0	+10.9	+14.3
HOU @ KC	HOU by 3	71%	69%	71%	−24.9	−23.1	−25.8
JAX @ TEN	JAX by 3	66%	63%	67%	−18.5	−14.1	−20.4
NO @ LA	NO by 3	62%	63%	67%	−13.2	−15.0	−20.4
PHI @ DET	PHI by 17	44%	43%	37%	+5.5	+6.2	+11.4
PIT @ MIA	PIT by 10	60%	57%	57%	−11.4	−8.0	−8.0
LAC @ DEN	DEN by 10	69%	68%	76%	+15.6	+14.8	+19.3
SF @ SEA	SEA by 34	68%	75%	77%	+14.8	+18.7	+19.8
TB @ LV	LV by 10	53%	58%	59%	+2.9	+7.5	+8.1
DAL @ WAS	DAL by 3	55%	49%	55%	−4.7	+1.4	−4.7

Week 414+11.4+14.4−6.9+0.81+1.03−0.49

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ CAR	ATL by 17	55%	59%	60%	−5.5	−9.7	−11.4
CIN @ PIT	PIT by 11	60%	60%	62%	+8.7	+8.7	+10.4
DEN @ TB	DEN by 3	49%	37%	41%	+1.4	+11.4	+8.0
IND @ JAX	IND by 7	38%	50%	38%	+10.3	−0.0	+10.3
NE @ BUF	NE by 14	41%	28%	34%	+8.0	+17.4	+13.4
NO @ ARI	ARI by 24	47%	39%	40%	−3.0	−12.2	−11.3
NYG @ GB	NYG by 7	63%	60%	70%	−15.0	−10.6	−24.0
NYJ @ MIA	NYJ by 8	42%	45%	34%	+7.4	+4.9	+13.4
LV @ HOU	HOU by 13	47%	55%	44%	−3.0	+4.3	−6.2
PHI @ CHI	PHI by 10	39%	35%	26%	+9.8	+12.4	+18.1
LA @ SF	LA by 10	41%	43%	38%	+8.0	+6.8	+10.3
TEN @ LAC	LAC by 21	44%	43%	41%	−6.2	−7.9	−9.6
WAS @ CLE	CLE by 4	50%	56%	43%	+0.0	+5.6	−7.9
KC @ BAL	KC by 3	59%	65%	67%	−9.7	−16.7	−20.4

Week 514+29.5+20.8−0.5+2.11+1.49−0.03

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ SF	SF by 3	45%	52%	53%	−5.4	+2.2	+2.9
BAL @ WAS	BAL by 7	49%	43%	50%	+1.4	+6.2	−0.0
BUF @ NYJ	NYJ by 2	73%	76%	69%	+17.5	+19.0	+15.2
CAR @ DEN	DEN by 3	65%	63%	62%	+13.0	+11.5	+10.4
CLE @ PIT	PIT by 11	63%	65%	63%	+11.5	+12.5	+11.5
DET @ ATL	DET by 7	68%	66%	69%	−21.3	−18.5	−22.2
JAX @ LAC	LAC by 13	58%	49%	43%	+7.5	−0.7	−7.9
MIA @ NE	NE by 14	76%	83%	79%	+19.3	+21.9	+20.8
MIN @ HOU	MIN by 6	43%	48%	40%	+6.2	+2.1	+9.2
NYG @ DAL	NYG by 16	57%	62%	60%	−8.0	−13.2	−11.4
LV @ IND	IND by 21	75%	77%	74%	+18.7	+19.8	+18.1
LA @ SEA	LA by 6	67%	64%	73%	−20.4	−15.8	−27.6
TB @ NO	TB by 3	51%	69%	59%	−0.8	−23.1	−9.7
TEN @ GB	TEN by 21	59%	53%	59%	−9.7	−3.1	−9.7

Week 614+69.2+57.7+62.1+4.94+4.12+4.44

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ PHI	PHI by 22	75%	74%	77%	+18.7	+18.1	+19.8
CIN @ CLE	CLE by 17	57%	55%	59%	+6.9	+5.0	+8.1
DEN @ LV	DEN by 28	44%	35%	43%	+5.5	+12.4	+6.8
GB @ DET	GB by 28	57%	65%	59%	−8.0	−16.7	−9.7
HOU @ TEN	HOU by 10	63%	66%	66%	−15.0	−18.5	−18.5
KC @ JAX	JAX by 6	48%	55%	43%	−2.2	+4.3	−7.9
MIA @ BUF	BUF by 7	59%	52%	63%	+8.1	+1.5	+11.5
MIN @ NO	MIN by 7	38%	43%	40%	+10.9	+6.2	+9.2
PIT @ DAL	PIT by 4	49%	54%	59%	+0.7	−3.9	−9.7
LAC @ ATL	ATL by 1	60%	63%	66%	+8.7	+11.5	+13.4
SEA @ NE	NE by 10	63%	70%	60%	+10.9	+16.0	+9.3
SF @ NYJ	NYJ by 8	76%	75%	76%	+19.3	+18.7	+19.3
WAS @ CHI	WAS by 3	56%	63%	55%	−6.3	−15.0	−4.7
TB @ LA	LA by 7	63%	74%	69%	+10.9	+18.1	+15.2

Week 714−18.1−35.8−45.4−1.30−2.56−3.24

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ KC	KC by 46	51%	48%	60%	+0.8	−2.2	+9.3
BUF @ BAL	BAL by 14	67%	73%	63%	+13.9	+17.8	+11.5
CHI @ TB	TB by 12	60%	53%	70%	+9.3	+2.9	+16.0
DAL @ GB	GB by 21	63%	55%	62%	+11.5	+4.3	+10.4
DET @ NYG	DET by 15	69%	61%	70%	−22.2	−12.3	−24.0
JAX @ IND	JAX by 3	80%	71%	75%	−39.0	−24.9	−31.2
NO @ LV	NO by 5	52%	53%	59%	−2.3	−3.1	−9.7
NYJ @ NE	NE by 6	66%	71%	67%	+13.4	+16.4	+14.3
PHI @ CLE	PHI by 3	33%	31%	30%	+13.8	+15.1	+15.9
LAC @ CAR	LAC by 11	46%	58%	59%	+3.5	−8.9	−9.7
SEA @ ARI	ARI by 8	43%	37%	31%	−7.1	−14.8	−22.1
LA @ MIA	MIA by 17	42%	33%	35%	−8.7	−20.2	−16.6
TEN @ MIN	MIN by 17	69%	66%	67%	+15.2	+13.4	+14.3
DEN @ CIN	CIN by 13	33%	33%	30%	−20.2	−19.3	−23.9

Week 814+52.9+29.1+47.6+3.78+2.08+3.40

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ BUF	BUF by 24	51%	51%	63%	+0.8	+0.8	+11.5
ATL @ DEN	ATL by 13	67%	63%	70%	−19.4	−14.1	−24.0
BAL @ PHI	PHI by 5	71%	73%	71%	+16.4	+17.5	+16.7
CAR @ SEA	SEA by 6	73%	63%	73%	+17.5	+11.5	+17.5
CIN @ TEN	TEN by 7	62%	60%	59%	+10.4	+9.3	+8.1
DET @ DAL	DAL by 10	52%	52%	59%	+2.2	+1.5	+8.1
GB @ WAS	GB by 14	45%	47%	47%	+4.9	+2.8	+2.8
IND @ KC	KC by 10	49%	46%	47%	−0.7	−4.6	−3.0
JAX @ HOU	HOU by 14	58%	49%	56%	+7.5	−1.5	+5.6
NE @ PIT	PIT by 14	46%	38%	41%	−4.6	−14.0	−9.6
NYG @ MIN	NYG by 21	70%	68%	69%	−24.0	−21.3	−22.2
LV @ LAC	LAC by 28	71%	69%	67%	+16.4	+15.2	+14.3
SF @ CHI	CHI by 10	62%	58%	56%	+10.4	+7.5	+5.6
MIA @ NYJ	NYJ by 27	69%	74%	70%	+15.2	+18.4	+16.0

Week 914+5.8−37.7−27.0+0.41−2.70−1.93

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ MIA	ARI by 1	52%	55%	59%	−1.6	−5.5	−9.7
CHI @ NYG	CHI by 7	69%	70%	75%	−23.1	−24.0	−31.2
CLE @ BAL	BAL by 14	65%	66%	67%	+13.0	+13.4	+14.3
DAL @ CIN	CIN by 23	51%	49%	50%	+0.8	−0.7	+0.0
HOU @ DEN	DEN by 18	60%	64%	70%	+9.3	+12.0	+16.0
KC @ TB	TB by 3	41%	41%	41%	−9.6	−9.6	−9.6
NE @ LA	NE by 18	46%	40%	57%	+4.2	+9.2	−8.0
NO @ LAC	LAC by 26	73%	62%	69%	+17.5	+10.4	+15.2
NYJ @ BUF	BUF by 5	43%	35%	41%	−7.1	−17.5	−9.6
LV @ CAR	LV by 3	61%	66%	67%	−12.3	−18.5	−20.4
PHI @ PIT	PIT by 24	46%	44%	46%	−4.6	−6.2	−4.6
SEA @ SF	SEA by 15	32%	36%	30%	+14.7	+11.9	+15.9
WAS @ DET	WAS by 7	58%	67%	60%	−8.9	−19.4	−11.4
MIN @ IND	IND by 3	66%	57%	70%	+13.4	+6.9	+16.0

Week 1014+22.6+67.9+39.4+1.62+4.85+2.82

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
BAL @ NYJ	BAL by 3	60%	58%	47%	−11.4	−8.9	+2.8
BUF @ NE	NE by 23	72%	84%	70%	+17.1	+22.4	+16.0
CAR @ SF	CAR by 10	47%	49%	55%	+2.8	+1.4	−4.7
CHI @ TEN	CHI by 2	57%	64%	66%	−8.0	−15.8	−18.5
CIN @ WAS	CIN by 7	56%	54%	62%	−6.3	−3.9	−13.2
DET @ JAX	JAX by 6	57%	63%	60%	+6.3	+10.9	+9.3
HOU @ IND	IND by 35	74%	70%	74%	+18.1	+16.0	+18.1
KC @ NO	NO by 7	31%	48%	40%	−23.0	−2.2	−11.3
MIN @ GB	GB by 3	57%	52%	63%	+6.9	+2.2	+11.5
NYG @ ARI	ARI by 3	48%	46%	53%	−2.2	−3.8	+2.9
PIT @ CLE	PIT by 14	40%	32%	40%	+8.6	+14.7	+9.2
SEA @ LA	LA by 11	45%	55%	43%	−5.4	+4.3	−7.9
TB @ ATL	ATL by 10	57%	71%	60%	+6.3	+16.7	+9.3
PHI @ DAL	PHI by 28	35%	33%	30%	+12.9	+13.8	+15.9

Week 1116+149.6+129.5+176.6+9.35+8.09+11.04

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ CAR	CAR by 25	52%	55%	59%	+1.5	+4.3	+8.1
ATL @ NYG	ATL by 4	58%	46%	41%	−8.9	+4.2	+8.0
DAL @ BAL	BAL by 20	76%	68%	71%	+19.3	+14.8	+16.7
DEN @ NO	DEN by 21	38%	43%	33%	+10.3	+6.2	+14.3
DET @ MIN	MIN by 3	70%	66%	73%	+16.0	+13.4	+17.5
GB @ HOU	GB by 3	40%	48%	41%	+9.2	+2.1	+8.0
IND @ CHI	IND by 31	32%	39%	28%	+14.7	+9.8	+17.4
MIA @ SEA	SEA by 7	73%	75%	76%	+17.8	+18.7	+19.3
NYJ @ CLE	NYJ by 3	40%	43%	46%	+9.2	+6.8	+4.2
PIT @ CIN	PIT by 5	40%	36%	38%	+8.6	+11.9	+10.3
LAC @ LV	LAC by 6	25%	41%	37%	+18.7	+8.0	+11.4
SF @ TB	TB by 32	71%	67%	73%	+16.7	+14.3	+17.5
LA @ BUF	BUF by 20	53%	41%	56%	+2.9	−9.6	+5.6
TEN @ JAX	TEN by 3	57%	63%	59%	−7.2	−14.1	−9.7
WAS @ PHI	PHI by 22	79%	84%	77%	+20.6	+22.6	+19.8
NE @ KC	NE by 8	50%	30%	41%	−0.0	+15.9	+8.0

Week 1216+73.8+79.2+83.8+4.62+4.95+5.24

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ DAL	DAL by 14	48%	56%	60%	−2.2	+5.6	+9.3
IND @ DET	IND by 32	26%	34%	26%	+18.1	+13.4	+18.1
BAL @ NE	NE by 21	66%	74%	70%	+13.4	+18.1	+16.0
BUF @ SEA	BUF by 29	65%	67%	62%	−16.7	−19.4	−13.2
CLE @ CIN	CIN by 10	60%	64%	67%	+8.7	+12.0	+14.3
JAX @ MIN	MIN by 11	67%	60%	67%	+14.3	+9.3	+14.3
MIA @ SF	MIA by 7	43%	52%	50%	+6.2	−2.3	−0.0
NO @ ATL	ATL by 3	71%	72%	75%	+16.4	+17.1	+18.7
NYJ @ ARI	NYJ by 10	40%	43%	41%	+9.2	+6.8	+8.0
LV @ DEN	LV by 1	81%	79%	81%	−40.7	−37.3	−39.8
PHI @ NYG	PHI by 21	40%	30%	30%	+8.6	+15.9	+15.9
LAC @ KC	LAC by 3	49%	49%	59%	+1.4	+0.7	−9.7
TB @ CAR	CAR by 7	49%	59%	41%	−0.7	+8.1	−9.6
TEN @ HOU	HOU by 10	53%	51%	56%	+2.9	+0.8	+5.6
WAS @ PIT	PIT by 9	78%	82%	77%	+20.1	+21.8	+19.8
LA @ GB	GB by 28	68%	60%	70%	+14.8	+8.7	+16.0

Week 1316+84.6+57.2+87.6+5.29+3.58+5.47

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ARI @ DET	DET by 14	53%	57%	67%	+2.9	+6.9	+14.3
ATL @ TB	TB by 27	57%	34%	56%	+6.3	−18.4	+5.6
BUF @ MIA	BUF by 10	40%	43%	35%	+8.6	+6.2	+12.4
CAR @ NO	CAR by 11	44%	53%	44%	+5.5	−3.1	+5.5
CIN @ BAL	CIN by 1	66%	67%	69%	−18.5	−19.4	−22.2
DEN @ LAC	LAC by 3	65%	56%	59%	+12.5	+5.6	+8.1
GB @ PHI	PHI by 30	67%	73%	66%	+13.9	+17.5	+13.4
HOU @ NYJ	NYJ by 22	71%	67%	70%	+16.7	+13.9	+16.0
KC @ LV	KC by 7	33%	51%	47%	+14.3	−0.8	+2.8
MIN @ CHI	CHI by 10	38%	43%	30%	−14.0	−7.9	−23.9
NE @ CLE	NE by 27	28%	17%	21%	+17.1	+22.1	+20.8
NYG @ WAS	WAS by 24	46%	49%	59%	−3.8	−1.5	+8.1
PIT @ JAX	PIT by 1	38%	37%	41%	+10.9	+11.4	+8.0
SF @ LA	LA by 10	69%	79%	79%	+15.2	+20.8	+20.8
TEN @ IND	IND by 27	85%	74%	82%	+22.8	+18.1	+21.6
DAL @ SEA	DAL by 4	71%	63%	70%	−25.8	−14.1	−24.0

Week 1416+161.1+127.2+145.4+10.07+7.95+9.09

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CHI @ JAX	JAX by 19	60%	60%	70%	+8.7	+8.7	+16.0
CIN @ NE	NE by 7	81%	83%	78%	+21.2	+21.9	+20.3
CLE @ BUF	BUF by 30	75%	71%	79%	+18.7	+16.4	+20.8
DET @ GB	GB by 3	73%	70%	75%	+17.5	+16.0	+18.7
IND @ HOU	IND by 9	22%	33%	23%	+20.3	+13.8	+19.8
MIA @ DEN	DEN by 3	76%	78%	81%	+19.3	+20.1	+21.2
NO @ DAL	NO by 14	57%	65%	70%	−7.2	−16.7	−24.0
NYG @ BAL	BAL by 23	69%	67%	77%	+15.2	+14.3	+19.8
NYJ @ PIT	PIT by 11	59%	69%	63%	+8.1	+15.2	+11.5
LV @ ATL	ATL by 25	69%	77%	71%	+15.2	+19.6	+16.7
PHI @ WAS	PHI by 3	26%	22%	28%	+18.4	+20.3	+17.4
SEA @ MIN	SEA by 4	60%	61%	69%	−10.6	−12.3	−22.2
SF @ ARI	SF by 3	68%	69%	70%	−21.3	−23.1	−24.0
LA @ CAR	CAR by 13	64%	52%	70%	+12.0	+2.2	+16.0
TB @ LAC	LAC by 7	69%	72%	62%	+15.2	+17.1	+10.4
KC @ TEN	KC by 11	38%	56%	43%	+10.3	−6.3	+6.8

Week 1516+39.6+7.9+46.0+2.48+0.49+2.87

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
CAR @ ATL	ATL by 3	57%	67%	60%	+6.9	+14.3	+9.3
PIT @ NYG	PIT by 3	35%	27%	23%	+12.4	+17.8	+19.8
WAS @ SF	WAS by 10	39%	44%	31%	+9.8	+5.5	+15.1
BAL @ IND	IND by 10	76%	69%	71%	+19.3	+15.6	+16.7
BUF @ CIN	BUF by 16	43%	55%	41%	+6.8	−5.5	+8.0
DAL @ PHI	PHI by 5	88%	84%	81%	+23.6	+22.4	+21.2
DEN @ KC	KC by 28	57%	49%	41%	+6.3	−1.5	−9.6
HOU @ CHI	HOU by 19	54%	57%	53%	−3.9	−7.2	−3.1
JAX @ GB	JAX by 3	67%	65%	60%	−19.4	−17.6	−11.4
MIN @ DET	MIN by 1	43%	46%	41%	+6.8	+3.5	+8.0
NO @ TB	NO by 4	73%	55%	71%	−27.6	−5.5	−25.8
LAC @ CLE	LAC by 21	23%	29%	28%	+19.8	+16.3	+17.4
SEA @ NYJ	NYJ by 23	65%	62%	69%	+13.0	+10.4	+15.2
LA @ ARI	ARI by 24	55%	42%	41%	+4.3	−8.7	−9.6
TEN @ LV	LV by 5	46%	48%	60%	−4.6	−2.2	+9.3
NE @ MIA	MIA by 1	23%	14%	23%	−33.7	−49.7	−34.6

Week 1616+42.1+67.4+121.5+2.63+4.21+7.59

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
GB @ MIN	GB by 3	55%	54%	60%	−4.7	−3.9	−11.4
DEN @ TEN	DEN by 21	40%	44%	38%	+8.6	+5.5	+10.3
LV @ KC	KC by 1	81%	69%	76%	+21.4	+15.2	+19.3
ARI @ SEA	SEA by 3	62%	69%	70%	+10.4	+15.2	+16.0
ATL @ NO	NO by 13	41%	38%	69%	−9.6	−13.1	+15.2
BAL @ PIT	PIT by 13	65%	75%	65%	+12.5	+18.7	+12.5
BUF @ SF	BUF by 34	20%	30%	23%	+21.0	+15.9	+19.8
CAR @ TB	CAR by 17	60%	49%	55%	−10.6	+1.4	−4.7
CHI @ DET	DET by 6	62%	55%	67%	+10.4	+4.3	+14.3
CLE @ MIA	MIA by 3	65%	61%	75%	+12.5	+9.9	+18.7
HOU @ JAX	HOU by 21	61%	63%	69%	−12.3	−14.1	−22.2
NE @ NYJ	NE by 16	49%	40%	50%	+0.7	+9.2	−0.0
NYG @ CIN	CIN by 1	59%	62%	69%	+8.1	+10.4	+15.2
LAC @ IND	IND by 3	67%	65%	70%	+13.9	+13.0	+16.0
WAS @ DAL	DAL by 3	46%	61%	43%	−3.8	+9.9	−7.9
PHI @ LA	LA by 13	22%	26%	62%	−36.4	−30.2	+10.4

Week 1716−52.0−5.5−48.9−3.25−0.34−3.06

		HOME WIN PROBABILITY			POINTS
GAME	RESULT	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET	LOWFI/1	LOWFI/0	MARKET
ATL @ SEA	SEA by 2	55%	49%	66%	+4.3	−1.5	+13.4
CIN @ PHI	CIN by 28	80%	80%	38%	−39.0	−39.0	+10.3
CLE @ HOU	CLE by 8	73%	74%	77%	−27.6	−30.3	−34.7
DAL @ NYG	NYG by 4	63%	49%	53%	+10.9	−0.7	+2.9
DET @ TEN	TEN by 5	49%	56%	43%	−0.7	+5.6	−7.9
GB @ CHI	GB by 17	35%	38%	59%	+12.9	+10.9	−9.7
IND @ DEN	DEN by 19	38%	40%	77%	−13.1	−11.3	+19.8
JAX @ LV	JAX by 7	45%	44%	43%	+4.9	+5.5	+6.8
KC @ LAC	LAC by 7	67%	64%	31%	+13.9	+12.0	−22.1
MIA @ BAL	BAL by 7	72%	72%	79%	+17.1	+17.1	+20.8
MIN @ WAS	WAS by 3	47%	44%	38%	−3.0	−6.2	−13.1
NO @ CAR	NO by 3	70%	60%	70%	−24.0	−10.6	−24.0
NYJ @ LA	LA by 3	34%	50%	40%	−18.4	+0.0	−11.3
PIT @ BUF	PIT by 5	63%	34%	76%	−14.1	+13.4	−33.0
SF @ NE	NE by 14	93%	93%	83%	+24.5	+24.6	+22.3
TB @ ARI	ARI by 5	49%	55%	62%	−0.7	+5.0	+10.4

Notes

The scoring rule

The rules come from FiveThirtyEight's old NFL forecasting game, as later recreated by Lee Sharpe. Each game is worth 25 − 100 × (P − R)² points, where P is the probability given to the home team and R is whether it won. A coin flip scores nothing. Being certain and right is worth 25 - being certain and wrong costs 75.

Live and retrodiction

2026 is live. Every forecast is read back from that Tuesday's archive, written before kickoff, and the market is the price on file next to it.

Every season before that is retrodiction - today's model applied backwards to seasons already played. The timing inside a season is honest, since a week 10 game is forecast from week 9 ratings, but the model was built knowing how those seasons ended. The market there is the closing spread run through the same margin-to-probability step the models use. Compare seasons within a label, not across them.

Regular season only

Regular season only, for now. LOWFI rates teams from regular-season games, so it has no opinion about a divisional round game and none are scored here. That leaves out exactly the games the rules weight most heavily - a Super Bowl call is worth five times a week 3 one.